Download or read book Past to Future and Land to Sea Constraining Global Glacier Models by Observations and Exploring Ice ocean Interactions written by Jan-Hendrik Malles and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Glacier mass loss is an iconic process induced by anthropogenic climate change. It threatens human livelihood at coasts affected by the rising sea level and in glacierized hydrological basins where the glacial runoff is essential for water availability. Moreover, as glacier mass loss adds large amounts of freshwater to the oceans, it might alter ocean circulation in a way that affects marine ecosystems and the climate system. Only recently, satellite-data processing revealed mass changes on an individual glacier level (outside the large ice sheets), but only for the last two decades. Glacier mass change observations become increasingly sparse going back in time. Therefore, the glaciers' past contribution to global mean sea level rise can only be reconstructed using numerical models. Since glacier mass change will continue during this century, it is vital to understand how this will affect global mean sea level, ocean circulation, and regional hydrology. Again, this is only possible using numerical models. Hence, it is essential to improve these models by incorporating previously neglected processes of glacier mass change into them, mainly in the form of parametrizations, and by constraining them using observations. Moreover, it is crucial to understand the uncertainties of results produced by numerical models, as they can never fully represent the natural world, which also hinges on the amount and quality of observational data. This work will tackle aspects of three issues in numerically modeling glacier mass changes: past glacier mass change reconstructions' uncertainties, future mass change projections' uncertainties, specifically regarding marine-terminating glaciers, and ice-ocean interactions in the northern hemisphere outside the Greenland ice sheet. All three issues are relevant in addressing the question of how glaciers respond to changes in their mass balance due to climatic changes and what consequences such changes have for the Earth system and, ultimately, human livelihood. It is found that the further outside the glaciological and meteorological observations' spatial and temporal domain a numerical model is applied, the more uncertain reconstructed glacier mass changes become. Similarly, one primary source of uncertainty in future glacier mass change projections is the difference in climate models' outputs of near-surface temperatures and precipitation. More accurately describing marine-terminating glacier dynamics and considering volume changes below sea level reduces estimates of future glacier contribution to global mean sea level rise systematically. However, significant uncertainties due to uncertainty about appropriate values for parameters involved in modeling (marine-terminating) glaciers' dynamics are detected. Concerning ice-ocean interactions, it was found that including the freshwater input from glacier mass loss in the northern hemisphere (outside the Greenland ice sheet) in an ocean general circulation model significantly impacts the simulated high-latitude ocean circulation. Finally, a first estimate of the ice mass glaciers lose due to melting directly into the ocean was produced.
Download or read book The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2022-04-30 with total page 755 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of human-induced climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. This IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate is the most comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of the observed and projected changes to the ocean and cryosphere and their associated impacts and risks, with a focus on resilience, risk management response options, and adaptation measures, considering both their potential and limitations. It brings together knowledge on physical and biogeochemical changes, the interplay with ecosystem changes, and the implications for human communities. It serves policymakers, decision makers, stakeholders, and all interested parties with unbiased, up-to-date, policy-relevant information. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
Download or read book Mass Balance of the Cryosphere written by Jonathan L. Bamber and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-02-12 with total page 672 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A detailed and comprehensive overview of observational and modelling techniques for all climate change, environmental science and glaciology researchers.
Download or read book Ocean Dynamics of Greenland s Glacial Fjords at Subannual to Seasonal Timescales written by Robert M. Sanchez and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mass loss of the Greenland Ice Sheet is expected to accelerate in the 21st century in response to both a warming atmosphere and ocean, with consequences for sea level rise, polar ecosystems and potentially the global overturning circulation. Glacial fjords connect Greenland's marine-terminating glaciers with the continental shelf, and fjord circulation plays a critical role in modulating the import of heat from the ocean and the export of freshwater from the ice sheet. Understanding fjord dynamics is crucial to predicting the cryosphere and ocean response to a changing climate. However, representing glacial fjord dynamics in climate models is an ongoing challenge because fjord circulation is complex and sensitive to glacial forcing that is poorly understood. Additionally, there are limited observations available for constraining models and theory. This dissertation aims to improve our understanding of fjord dynamics, focusing on key aspects (heat variability, freshwater residence time, and fjord exchange) which need to be included in glacial fjord parameterizations. We use three approaches combining novel observations, idealized, modeling and numerical simulations to investigate the dynamics of fjord circulation at different spatial scales. First, we investigate the heat content variability in the fjord using acoustic travel time (Chapter 2). We demonstrate that acoustic travel time can be used to model fjord stratification during winter months and monitor heat content variability at synoptic and seasonal timescales. Secondly, we use a combination of in situ observations and an idealized box model to evaluate freshwater residence time in a west Greenland Fjord (Chapter 3). We find that meltwater from the ice sheet is mixed downward across multiple layers near the glacier terminus resulting in freshwater storage and a delay in freshwater export from the fjord. Finally we analyze a multi-year realistically forced numerical simulation of Sermilik Fjord in southeast Greenland and identify the impact of shelf and glacial forcing on fjord exchange (Chapter 4). We show that the glacial-driven circulation is more efficient at renewing the fjord and that the sign of the exchange flow is related to the along-shelf wind stress. This dissertation strengthens our understanding of the fundamental connections between oceans and glaciers, and will lead to improved representation of ice-ocean interactions in climate models.
Download or read book Antarctic Climate Evolution written by Fabio Florindo and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2008-10-10 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Antarctic Climate Evolution is the first book dedicated to furthering knowledge on the evolution of the world’s largest ice sheet over its ~34 million year history. This volume provides the latest information on subjects ranging from terrestrial and marine geology to sedimentology and glacier geophysics. An overview of Antarctic climate change, analyzing historical, present-day and future developments Contributions from leading experts and scholars from around the world Informs and updates climate change scientists and experts in related areas of study
Download or read book Glacier Permafrost Interactions written by Richard I. Waller and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2024-07-01 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Glacier-Permafrost Interactions A systematic exploration of the interactions between glaciers and permafrost In Glacier-Permafrost Interactions, experienced glaciologist Richard I. Waller delivers a comprehensive discussion of the interactions between glaciers and permafrost. The book is highly relevant to contemporary debates regarding ongoing recession of glaciers and the degradation of permafrost in the face of global warming. By integrating modern-era observations with findings from Quaternary science, this book demonstrates how glaciers and permafrost can interact and behave as an integrated system. This summary of the current thinking and emerging research on glacier-permafrost interaction also provides: Comprehensive discussions of permafrost in modern and ancient glacial environments A focused review of the distinctive characteristics of glaciers found in permafrost environments An integrated overview of the nature and impacts of glacier-permafrost interactions on the hydrology and dynamic behaviour of glaciers and their landscape expression A survey of current research efforts and future directions in the field Lying at the boundary between a research monograph and an advanced textbook, Glacier-Permafrost Interactions contributes to the future development of this rapidly evolving field by incorporating new approaches and ideas while still offering a summary of the current state of knowledge. It is perfect for advanced undergraduate students, postgraduate students, researchers, and professionals with an interest in polar and alpine environments.
Download or read book Vanishing Ice written by Vivien Gornitz and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2019-06-11 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Arctic is thawing. In summer, cruise ships sail through the once ice-clogged Northwest Passage, lakes form on top of the Greenland Ice Sheet, and polar bears swim farther and farther in search of waning ice floes. At the opposite end of the world, floating Antarctic ice shelves are shrinking. Mountain glaciers are in retreat worldwide, unleashing flash floods and avalanches. We are on thin ice—and with melting permafrost’s potential to let loose still more greenhouse gases, these changes may be just the beginning. Vanishing Ice is a powerful depiction of the dramatic transformation of the cryosphere—the world of ice and snow—and its consequences for the human world. Delving into the major components of the cryosphere, including ice sheets, valley glaciers, permafrost, and floating ice, Vivien Gornitz gives an up-to-date explanation of key current trends in the decline of ice mass. Drawing on a long-term perspective gained by examining changes in the cryosphere and corresponding variations in sea level over millions of years, she demonstrates the link between thawing ice and sea-level rise to point to the social and economic challenges on the horizon. Gornitz highlights the widespread repercussions of ice loss, which will affect countless people far removed from frozen regions, to explain why the big meltdown matters to us all. Written for all readers and students interested in the science of our changing climate, Vanishing Ice is an accessible and lucid warning of the coming thaw.
Download or read book Global Land Ice Measurements from Space written by Jeffrey S. Kargel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 936 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An international team of over 150 experts provide up-to-date satellite imaging and quantitative analysis of the state and dynamics of the glaciers around the world, and they provide an in-depth review of analysis methodologies. Includes an e-published supplement. Global Land Ice Measurements from Space - Satellite Multispectral Imaging of Glaciers (GLIMS book for short) is the leading state-of-the-art technical and interpretive presentation of satellite image data and analysis of the changing state of the world's glaciers. The book is the most definitive, comprehensive product of a global glacier remote sensing consortium, Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS, http://www.glims.org). With 33 chapters and a companion e-supplement, the world's foremost experts in satellite image analysis of glaciers analyze the current state and recent and possible future changes of glaciers across the globe and interpret these findings for policy planners. Climate change is with us for some time to come, and its impacts are being felt by the world's population. The GLIMS Book, to be released about the same time as the IPCC's 5th Assessment report on global climate warming, buttresses and adds rich details and authority to the global change community's understanding of climate change impacts on the cryosphere. This will be a definitive and technically complete reference for experts and students examining the responses of glaciers to climate change. World experts demonstrate that glaciers are changing in response to the ongoing climatic upheaval in addition to other factors that pertain to the circumstances of individual glaciers. The global mosaic of glacier changes is documented by quantitative analyses and are placed into a perspective of causative factors. Starting with a Foreword, Preface, and Introduction, the GLIMS book gives the rationale for and history of glacier monitoring and satellite data analysis. It includes a comprehensive set of six "how-to" methodology chapters, twenty-five chapters detailing regional glacier state and dynamical changes, and an in-depth summary and interpretation chapter placing the observed glacier changes into a global context of the coupled atmosphere-land-ocean system. An accompanying e-supplement will include oversize imagery and other other highly visual renderings of scientific data.
Download or read book Greenland Outlet Glacier Behavior During the 21st Century written by Twila Moon and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Outlet glacier ice dynamics, including ice-flow speed, play a key role in determining Greenland Ice Sheet mass loss, which is a significant contributor to global sea-level rise. Mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet increased significantly over the last several decades and current mass losses of 260-380 Gt ice/yr contribute 0.7-1.1 mm/yr to global sea-level rise (~10%). Understanding the potentially complex interactions among glacier, ocean, and climate, however, remains a challenge and limits certainty in modeling and predicting future ice sheet behavior and associated risks to society. This thesis focuses on understanding the seasonal to interannual scale changes in outlet glacier velocity across the Greenland Ice Sheet and how velocity fluctuations are connected to other elements of the ice sheet-ocean-atmosphere system. 1) Interannual velocity patterns Earlier observations on several of Greenland's outlet glaciers, starting near the turn of the 21st century, indicated rapid (annual-scale) and large (>100%) increases in glacier velocity. Combining data from several satellites, we produce a decade-long (2000 to 2010) record documenting the ongoing velocity evolution of nearly all (200+) of Greenland's major outlet glaciers, revealing complex spatial and temporal patterns. Changes on fast-flow marine-terminating glaciers contrast with steady velocities on ice-shelf-terminating glaciers and slow speeds on land-terminating glaciers. Regionally, glaciers in the northwest accelerated steadily, with more variability in the southeast and relatively steady flow elsewhere. Intraregional variability shows a complex response to regional and local forcing. Observed acceleration indicates that sea level rise from Greenland may fall well below earlier proposed upper bounds. 2) Seasonal velocity patterns. Greenland mass loss includes runoff of surface melt and ice discharge via marine-terminating outlet glaciers, the latter now making up a third to a half of total ice loss. The magnitude of ice discharge depends in part on ice-flow speed, which has broadly increased since 2000 but varies locally, regionally, and from year-to-year. Research on a few Greenland glaciers also shows that speed varies seasonally. However, for many regions of the ice sheet, including wide swaths of the west, northwest, and southeast coasts where ice loss is increasing most rapidly, there are few or no records of seasonal velocity variation. We present 5-year records of seasonal velocity measurements for 55 glaciers distributed around the ice sheet margin. We find 3 distinct seasonal velocity patterns. The different patterns indicate varying glacier sensitivity to ice-front (terminus) position and likely regional differences in basal hydrology in which some subglacial systems do transition seasonally from inefficient, distributed hydrologic networks to efficient, channelized drainage, while others do not. Our findings highlight the need for modeling and observation of diverse glacier systems in order to understand the full spectrum of ice-sheet dynamics. 3) Seasonal to interannual glacier and sea ice behavior and interaction Focusing on 16 northwestern Greenland glaciers during 2009-2012, we examine terminus position, sea ice and ice m??lange conditions, seasonal velocity changes, topography, and climate, with extended 1999-2012 records for 4 glaciers. There is a strong correlation between near-terminus sea ice/mélange conditions and terminus position. In several cases, late-forming and inconsistent sea ice/mélange may induce sustained retreat. For all of the 13-year records and most of the 4-year records, sustained, multi-year retreat is accompanied by velocity increase. Seasonal speedup, which is observed across the region, may, however, be more heavily influenced by melt interacting with the subglacial hydrologic system than seasonal terminus variation. Projections of continued warming and longer ice-free periods around Greenland suggest that notable retreat over wide areas may continue. Sustained retreat is likely to be associated with multi-year speedup, though both processes are modulated by local topography. The timing of seasonal ice dynamics patterns may also shift.
Download or read book The Great Ice Age written by R. C. L. Wilson and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Great Ice Age documents and explains the natural climatic and palaeoecologic changes that have occurred during the past 2.6 million years, outlining the emergence and global impact of our species during this period. Exploring a wide range of records of climate change, the authors demonstrate the interconnectivity of the components of the Earths climate system, show how the evidence for such change is obtained, and explain some of the problems in collecting and dating proxy climate data. One of the most dramatic aspects of humanity's rise is that it coincided with the beginnings of major environmental changes and a mass extinction that has the pace, and maybe magnitude, of those in the far-off past that stemmed from climate, geological and occasionally extraterrestrial events. This book reveals that anthropogenic effects on the world are not merely modern matters but date back perhaps a million years or more.
Download or read book Glaciers written by Richard S. Williams (Jr.) and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Ice Chronicles written by Paul Andrew Mayewski and published by UPNE. This book was released on 2012-07-03 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An exciting account of revolutionary new discoveries for understanding the earth's climate, and their implications for future scientific research and global environmental policy.
Download or read book Inferring Ocean Circulation During the Last Glacial Maximum and Last Deglaciation Using Data and Models written by Dan Amrhein and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~ 20,000 years ago) air temperatures warmed, sea level rose roughly 130 meters, and atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide increased. This thesis combines global models and paleoceanographic observations to constrain the ocean’s role in storing and transporting heat, salt, and other tracers during this time, with implications for understanding how the modern ocean works and how it might change in the future. • By combining a kinematic ocean model with “upstream” and “downstream” deglacial oxygen isotope time series from benthic and planktonic foraminifera, I show that the data are in agreement with the modern circulation, quantify their power to infer circulation changes, and propose new data locations. • An ocean general circulation model (the MITgcm) constrained to fit LGM sea surface temperature proxy observations reveals colder ocean temperatures, greater sea ice extent, and changes in ocean mixed layer depth, and suggests that some features in the data are not robust. • A sensitivity analysis in the MITgcm demonstrates that changes in winds or in ocean turbulent transport can explain the hypothesis that the boundary between deep Atlantic waters originating from Northern and Southern Hemispheres was shallower at the LGM than it is today.
Download or read book Thriving on Our Changing Planet A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2019-06-18 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live on a dynamic Earth shaped by both natural processes and the impacts of humans on their environment. It is in our collective interest to observe and understand our planet, and to predict future behavior to the extent possible, in order to effectively manage resources, successfully respond to threats from natural and human-induced environmental change, and capitalize on the opportunities â€" social, economic, security, and more â€" that such knowledge can bring. By continuously monitoring and exploring Earth, developing a deep understanding of its evolving behavior, and characterizing the processes that shape and reshape the environment in which we live, we not only advance knowledge and basic discovery about our planet, but we further develop the foundation upon which benefits to society are built. Thriving on Our Changing Planet: A Decadal Strategy for Earth Observation from Space (National Academies Press, 2018) provides detailed guidance on how relevant federal agencies can ensure that the United States receives the maximum benefit from its investments in Earth observations from space, while operating within realistic cost constraints. This short booklet, designed to be accessible to the general public, provides a summary of the key ideas and recommendations from the full decadal survey report.
Download or read book Ice Ages and Interglacials written by Donald Rapp and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-08-22 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book studies the history and gives an analysis of extreme climate change on Earth. In order to provide a long-term perspective, the first chapter briefly reviews some of the wild gyrations that occurred in the Earth’s climate hundreds of millions of years ago: snowball Earth and hothouse Earth. Coming closer to modern times, the effects of continental drift, particularly the closing of the Isthmus of Panama are believed to have contributed to the advent of ice ages in the past three million years. This first chapter sets the stage for a discussion of ice ages in the geological recent past (i.e. within the last three million years, with an emphasis on the last few hundred thousand years). The second chapter discusses geological evidence for ice ages – how geologists surmised their existence prior to actual subsurface data that proved the theory. The following two chapters look at ice cores (primarily from Greenland and Antarctica). Chapter 3 discusses how ice core data is processed and Chapter 4 summarizes data obtained from ice cores. Chapter 5 discusses the processing of data obtained from ocean sediments, and summarizes the results, while the following chapter discusses data from other sources, such as "Devil’s Cave." Chapter 7 summarizes the experimental results from Chapters 4, 5, and 6. It provides the foundation for comparison with theories in later chapters. In a perfect world, this data would be totally separate and disconnected from theory. Unfortunately, as the author shows, dating of much of the data was accomplished by "tuning" to the astronomical theory, which introduces circular reasoning. Chapter 8 provides a brief overview of the various theories that have been devised to "explain" the patterns of alternating ice ages and interglacials that have occurred over the past three million years. This serves as an introduction to the following three chapters which presents the astronomical theory in its various manifestations, compare the astronomical theory with data, and then compare other theories with data. Finally, Chapter 12 summarizes what we think we know about ice ages and, more importantly, what we don’t know.
Download or read book Reversibility of Sea Ice and Climate Under Global Change written by Kyle C. Armour and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present work on several topics in physical climatology. Motivated by recent satellite observations of Arctic sea ice age, we investigate how the properties of first-year and multiyear ice regulate sea ice area and volume. Using an autoregressive model of sea ice and numerical simulation with a global dynamic-thermodynamic sea ice model that traces first-year and multiyear, we show that the sea ice mean state, variability, and sensitivity to forcing may be related to sea ice age. Ice age observations may thus offer insights into Arctic sea ice changes under warming. We next investigate the plausibility of sea ice threshold behavior and irreversible loss under global warming, a subject of much speculation following rapid sea ice declines in recent years. Within a state-of-the-art global climate model (GCM), carbon dioxide is increased until the oceans become ice-free and subsequently decreased until the ice cover returns. We find no evidence of irreversibility over the range of simulated sea ice conditions in the summer or winter ice cover in either hemisphere. We then shift our focus to quantification of the climate commitment---the warming that would still occur given no further emissions of greenhouse gases or aerosols. We show that elimination of emissions would cause global temperature to increase rapidly as aerosols are quickly washed from the atmosphere, and that large uncertainty in the present aerosol forcing implies large uncertainty in the climate commitment. The multi-millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic carbon dioxide causes global temperature to remain elevated for the indefinite future, making climate change from greenhouse gas emissions irreversible on human timescales. Finally, we propose a mechanism for the time-variation of global climate feedback as diagnosed within GCMs. Using a GCM and a low-order energy balance model, we show that the global climate feedback is fundamental related to the geographic patterns of regional feedbacks and surface warming. Its time-variation arises naturally when the pattern of surface warming evolves, activating regional feedbacks of different strengths. These findings have implications for our ability to constrain future climate changes from past and present observations, and for the quantification of climate sensitivity within models and observations.
Download or read book Glacier Science and Environmental Change written by Peter G. Knight and published by Wiley-Blackwell. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Glacier Science and Environmental Change is an authoritative and comprehensive reference work on contemporary issues in glaciology. It explores the interface between glacier science and environmental change, in the past, present, and future. Written by the world’s foremost authorities in the subject and researchers at the scientific frontier where conventional wisdom of approach comes face to face with unsolved problems, this book provides: state-of-the-art reviews of the key topics in glaciology and related disciplines in environmental change cutting-edge case studies of the latest research an interdisciplinary synthesis of the issues that draw together the research efforts of glaciologists and scientists from other areas such as geologists, hydrologists, and climatologists color-plate section (with selected extra figures provided in color at www.blackwellpublishing.com/knight). The topics in this book have been carefully chosen to reflect current priorities in research, the interdisciplinary nature of the subject, and the developing relationship between glaciology and studies of environmental change. Glacier Science and Environmental Change is essential reading for advanced undergraduates, postgraduate research students, and professional researchers in glaciology, geology, geography, geophysics, climatology, and related disciplines.
