Download or read book Mortality Risk Insurance and the Value of Life written by Daniel Bauer (Professor of risk and insurance) and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop and apply a generalized framework for valuing health and longevity improvements that departs from conventional assumptions of full annuitization and deterministic mortality. In contrast to conventional theory, we find a given mortality improvement may be worth more, not less, to patients facing shorter lives. Using real-world data, we calculate that severe illness can increase the value of statistical life by over $1 million. This result reconciles an anomaly in the research on preferences for life-extension. Moreover, our framework can value the prevention of mortality and of illness. We calculate that treating illness is up to an order of magnitude more valuable to consumers than prevention, even when both extend life equally. This asymmetry helps explain low observed investment in preventive care. Finally, we show that retirement annuities boost aggregate demand for life-extension. For instance, Social Security adds $11.5 trillion (10.5 percent) to the value of post-1940 longevity gains.
Download or read book Mortality Risk Insurance and the Value of Life written by Daniel Bauer and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop and apply a generalized framework for valuing health and longevity improvements that departs from conventional assumptions of full annuitization and deterministic mortality. In contrast to conventional theory, we find a given mortality improvement may be worth more, not less, to patients facing shorter lives. Using real-world data, we calculate that severe illness can increase the value of statistical life by over $1 million. This result reconciles an anomaly in the research on preferences for life-extension. Moreover, our framework can value the prevention of mortality and of illness. We calculate that treating illness is up to an order of magnitude more valuable to consumers than prevention, even when both extend life equally. This asymmetry helps explain low observed investment in preventive care. Finally, we show that retirement annuities boost aggregate demand for life-extension. For instance, Social Security adds $11.5 trillion (10.5 percent) to the value of post-1940 longevity gains.
Download or read book Explaining Divergent Levels of Longevity in High Income Countries written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-06-27 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the last 25 years, life expectancy at age 50 in the United States has been rising, but at a slower pace than in many other high-income countries, such as Japan and Australia. This difference is particularly notable given that the United States spends more on health care than any other nation. Concerned about this divergence, the National Institute on Aging asked the National Research Council to examine evidence on its possible causes. According to Explaining Divergent Levels of Longevity in High-Income Countries, the nation's history of heavy smoking is a major reason why lifespans in the United States fall short of those in many other high-income nations. Evidence suggests that current obesity levels play a substantial part as well. The book reports that lack of universal access to health care in the U.S. also has increased mortality and reduced life expectancy, though this is a less significant factor for those over age 65 because of Medicare access. For the main causes of death at older ages-cancer and cardiovascular disease-available indicators do not suggest that the U.S. health care system is failing to prevent deaths that would be averted elsewhere. In fact, cancer detection and survival appear to be better in the U.S. than in most other high-income nations, and survival rates following a heart attack also are favorable. Explaining Divergent Levels of Longevity in High-Income Countries identifies many gaps in research. For instance, while lung cancer deaths are a reliable marker of the damage from smoking, no clear-cut marker exists for obesity, physical inactivity, social integration, or other risks considered in this book. Moreover, evaluation of these risk factors is based on observational studies, which-unlike randomized controlled trials-are subject to many biases.
Download or read book Notes on Life Insurance written by Gustavus W. Smith and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2024-05-09 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reprint of the original, first published in 1875.
Download or read book Life Settlements and Longevity Structures written by Geoff Chaplin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-08-03 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent turbulence in the financial markets has highlighted the need for diversified portfolios with lower correlations between the different investments. Life settlements meet this need, offering investors the prospect of high, stable returns, uncorrelated with the broader financial markets. This book provides readers of all levels of experience with essential information on the process surrounding the acquisition and management of a portfolio of life settlements; the assessment, modelling and mitigation of the associated longevity, interest rate and credit risks; and practical approaches to financing and risk management structures. It begins with the history of life insurance and looks at how the need for new financing sources has led to the growth of the life settlements market in the United States. The authors provide a detailed exploration of the mathematical formulae surrounding the generation of mortality curves, drawing a parallel between the tools deployed in the credit derivatives market and those available to model longevity risk. Structured products and securitisation techniques are introduced and explained, starting with simple vanilla products and models before illustrating some of the investment structures associated with life settlements. Capital market mechanisms available to assist the investor in limiting the risks associated with life settlement portfolios are outlined, as are opportunities to use life settlement portfolios to mitigate the risks of traditional capital markets. The last section of the book covers derivative products, either available now or under consideration, that will reduce or potentially eliminate longevity risks within life settlement portfolios. It then reviews hedging and risk management strategies and considers how to measure the effectiveness of risk mitigation.
Download or read book Life Insurance Origin and History written by Theodore Wehle and published by Editions Le Mono. This book was released on 2016-10-19 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ORIGIN AND HISTORY OF LIFE INSURANCE. "Among the nations of antiquity, the Romans were the first to make an effort to arrive at a law of mortality. To this they were led indirectly by their highly developed system of jurisprudence. It became necessary at times to fix the value of life-estates, i. e., property owned during lifetime only, without the right of alienation or bequest, and to do so the probability of life had to be estimated. It appears that the method in common use was about equivalent to assuming that all persons who attain the age of thirty would certainly live to the age of sixty, and then certainly die. This purely arbitrary assumption was probably accepted by jurists as the simple solution of a difficult problem."
Download or read book Longevity Risk written by Frederik Weber and published by VVW GmbH. This book was released on 2010 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Die Dissertation von Dr. Frederik Weber erscheint in englischer Sprache. Der demographische Wandel und die steigende Lebenserwartung haben in jüngster Zeit verstärkte Diskussionen in der Öffentlichkeit angeregt. Zusätzlich sinkende Rentenleistungen erfordern ein effizienteres Management der privaten Altersvorsorge. Gleichzeitig ergibt sich aus dieser Tatsache ein erhöhtes Risiko für Rentenanbieter aus der Unsicherheit über die zukünftige Sterblichkeitsentwicklung. Die vorliegende Arbeit beleuchtet dazu zunächst die zugrundeliegende demographische Entwicklung und unterschiedliche Ausprägungen des Langlebigkeitsrisikos. Mögliche Probleme bei der Versicherbarkeit dieses Risikos bieten Anknüpfungspunkte für die optimierte Gestaltung von Versicherungsverträgen. Neben Kohorteneffekten in der Sterblichkeitsentwicklung, für die geeignete Maßzahlen und Kriterien zur Identifikation sogenannter "Select Cohorts" diskutiert werden, steht eine Abschätzung des potenziellen Ausmaßes des Langlebigkeitsrisikos im Mittelpunkt des ersten Teils. In einer Simulation wird die Wechselbeziehung von Langlebigkeits- und Investmentrisiko in Rentenportfolios erörtert. Sie verdeutlicht die Unterschiede beider Risikoarten, zeigt jedoch für das Langlebigkeitsrisiko feinere Muster, die aufgrund fehlender Kapitalmarktinstrumente nicht vollständig abgesichert werden können. Typische Risikomanagement-Optionen erweisen sich in Bezug auf das Langlebigkeitsrisiko überwiegend als wenig hilfreich oder sinnvoll. Einzig ein verändertes aktuarielles Produktdesign in Form einer mortalitätsindexierten Leibrente (Mortality-Indexed Annuity) verspricht eine signifikante Reduktion des Risikos für Versicherer. Dieser Vorteil bestätigt sich in einer weiteren Simulation auch aus Kundenperspektive, so dass diese Produktidee dazu beitragen könnte, Angebot und Nachfrage in einem unterentwickelten Markt für private Rentenversicherungen zu stärken. The demographic transition and increasing life expectancies have increasingly been discussed also in the general public. As a consequence, reduced social security pensions increasingly challenge individuals’ retirement funding to adequately manage the individual longevity risk. In addition, pension providers face the uncertainty regarding future mortality development. The present work sketches the underlying demographic development and distinguishes different forms of longevity risk. Potential drawbacks with respect to its insurability represent natural starting points for a discussion of adequate insurance contract design. Besides cohort effects in mortality reduction, for which suitable measures and criteria to identify so called "select cohorts" are discussed, an appraisal of the potential financial impact of longevity risk is a key objective here. Further insight into its relationship to and interaction with investment risk in life annuity portfolios are the main objective of a simulation study. Although capital market risks exert a stronger direct influence on an insurer’s technical result, longevity risk turns out to be of a more subtle nature. However, this risk cannot yet be hedged with the existing capital market instruments and thus appears worthwhile to be further analyzed. Typical risk management tools prove to be less apt upon closer inspection. Solely, a modified actuarial product design in the form of a life annuity with mortality-indexed benefits shows promise for reducing insurers’ exposure. The advantageousness of such a product concept can also be confirmed from a policyholder’s perspective by means of a further simulation study so that it might contribute to stimulate supply and demand in the underdeveloped market for life annuities.
Download or read book The A B C of Life Insurance written by Charles E. Willard and published by . This book was released on 1897 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Life is Cheap written by Leora Friedberg and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the widely-cited Lee-Carter mortality model, we quantify aggregate mortality risk as the risk that the average annuitant lives longer than is predicted by the model, and we conclude that annuity business exposes insurance companies to substantial mortality risk. We calculate that a markup of 3.7% on an annuity premium (or else shareholders' capital equal to 3.7% of the expected present value of annuity payments) would reduce the probability of insolvency resulting from uncertain aggregate mortality trends to 5% and a markup of 5.4% would reduce the probability of insolvency to 1%. Using the same model, we find that a projection scale commonly referred to by the insurance industry underestimates aggregate mortality improvements. Annuities that are priced on that projection scale without any conservative margin appear to be substantially underpriced. Insurance companies could deal with aggregate mortality risk by transferring it to financial markets through mortality-contingent bonds, one of which has recently been offered. We calculate the returns that investors would have obtained on such bonds had they been available over a long period. Using both the Capital and the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Models, we determine the risk premium that investors would have required on such bonds. At plausible coefficients of risk aversion, annuity providers should be able to hedge aggregate mortality risk via such bonds at a very low cost.
Download or read book Mathematical Foundations of Life Insurance written by Lewis C. Workman and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Mortality in Industrial Life Insurance written by Petrus Mattson and published by . This book was released on 1934 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Mortality Assumptions and Longevity Risk Implications for pension funds and annuity providers written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2014-12-08 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The publication assess how pension funds, annuity providers such as life insurance companies, and the regulatory framework incorporate future improvements in mortality and life expectancy.
Download or read book Retirement Income Bequests and Insurance written by Jeffrey Robert Brown and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Actuarial Model written by Yanyun Zhu and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Life insurance and life annuities are about cash flows, the time value of money, and the randomness of policyholders' death time. This book intends to present the actuarial model as a combination of these three factors. It also describes how to set premiums and reserves for those insurance products.
Download or read book Life is Cheap written by Leora Friedberg and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the widely-cited Lee-Carter mortality model, we quantify aggregate mortality risk as the risk that the average annuitant lives longer than is predicted by the model, and we conclude that annuity business exposes insurance companies to substantial mortality risk. We calculate that a markup of 3.7% on an annuity premium (or else shareholders%u2019 capital equal to 3.7% of the expected present value of annuity payments) would reduce the probability of insolvency resulting from uncertain aggregate mortality trends to 5% and a markup of 5.4% would reduce the probability of insolvency to 1%. Using the same model, we find that a projection scale commonly referred to by the insurance industry underestimates aggregate mortality improvements. Annuities that are priced on that projection scale without any conservative margin appear to be substantially underpriced. Insurance companies could deal with aggregate mortality risk by transferring it to financial markets through mortality-contingent bonds, one of which has recently been offered. We calculate the returns that investors would have obtained on such bonds had they been available over a long period. Using both the Capital and the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Models, we determine the risk premium that investors would have required on such bonds. At plausible coefficients of risk aversion, annuity providers should be able to hedge aggregate mortality risk via such bonds at a very low cost.
Download or read book Mortality Risk Management written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a multi-essay dissertation in the area of mortality risk management. The first essay investigates natural hedging between life insurance and annuities and then proposes a mortality swap between a life insurer and an annuity insurer. Compared with reinsurance, capital markets have a greater capacity to absorb insurance shocks, and they may offer more flexibility to meet insurers' needs. Therefore, my second essay studies securitization of mortality risks in life annuities. Specifically I design a mortality bond to transfer longevity risks inherent in annuities or pension plans to financial markets. By explicitly taking into account the jumps in mortality stochastic processes, my third essay fills a gap in the mortality securitization modeling literature by pricing mortality securities in an incomplete market framework. Using the Survey of Consumer Finances, my fourth essay creates a new financial vulnerability index to examine a household's life cycle demand for different types of life insurance.
Download or read book Prognostic Value of Life Insurance Mortality Investigations written by Association of Life Insurance Medical Directors of America and published by . This book was released on 1955 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
