Download or read book How Robust are Estimates of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates written by Steven Vincent Dunaway and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Increased attention is being paid to assessments of the actual values of countries' real exchange rates relative to their "equilibrium" values as suggested by "fundamental" determining factors. This paper assesses the robustness of alternative approaches and models commonly used to derive equilibrium real exchange rate estimates. Using China's currency to illustrate this analysis, the variance in estimates raises serious questions regarding how robust the results are. The basic conclusion from the tests used here is that, at least for China, small changes in model specifications, explanatory variable definitions, and time periods used in estimation can lead to very substantial differences in equilibrium real exchange rate estimates. Thus, such estimates should be treated with great caution.
Download or read book Estimating China s Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate written by Steven Vincent Dunaway and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2005-10-01 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The number of studies attempting to estimate the "equilibrium" real value of China's currency has proliferated in recent years as the country's presence in world markets has grown. These studies have sought to establish whether or not a significant part of China's competitive prowess can be attributed to the foreign exchange value of the renminbi. Unfortunately, no consensus has emerged because the studies yield a very wide range of estimates. The paper looks at a sample of these studies, with estimates of undervaluation ranging from zero to nearly 50 percent. It attributes the wide variation in these estimates to the influence of such factors as the different methodologies used, explanatory variables included, subjective judgments of the various researchers in deriving their results, and instability in underlying economic relationships, especially in a rapidly developing economy like China.
Download or read book The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China written by Mr.Zhongxia Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in China. Taking into account institutional changes, the empirical study shows that significant and usually non-monotonic interactions exist between these three variables. The paper discusses theoretical and policy implications of the empirical result.
Download or read book China s Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Determination of China s Equilibrium Exchange Rate During the Transition Period written by Zhongxia Jin and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U S and Emerging Asia written by Ms.Isabelle Mejean and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the required adjustment in the terms of trade and real exchange rates in a three-country open economy model of the U.S., China, and other emerging Asia. We compare scenarios where both Chinese and other emerging Asian export prices change by the same proportion to the case where export prices remain constant in one country and increase in the other. Our results are robust to different assumptions about elasticities of substitution and to introducing a high degree of vertical fragmentation in production in the model.
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in China written by Zhichao Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the theory of equilibrium real exchange rate, this paper estimates the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate and the resulting misalignment in China. Evidence shows chronic overvaluation in China's central planning period, but economic reforms have brought the real exchange rate closer to equilibrium. The cumulative effect of exchange rate reform led to a substantial real depreciation of the Chinese currency after 1981. Indications are that China now has a proactive exchange rate policy with the nominal exchange rate used as a policy tool to attain real targets.
Download or read book The Real Exchange Rate and Employment in China written by Ms.Ruo Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the impact of real exchange rate fluctuations on sectoral and regional employment in China from 1980 to 2008. In contrast to theoretical predictions, employment in both the tradable and non-tradable sectors contracts following a real appreciation. Our results are robust across different sub-samples, levels of sectoral disaggregation, and are more pronounced for regions with higher export exposure. We attribute our findings to the importance of services as intermediate input in exportable production. We test this channel of exchange rate transmission using regional input-output tables linked with employment data at the region-sector level. The results of this paper have important implications for China's labor market adjustment should the Chinese RMB strengthen in the future. To mitigate the costs of short-run labor market adjustment, appropriate demand management and structural reforms in the non-traded sectors should play an important role.
Download or read book The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for P R China written by Tao Sun and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Debating China s Exchange Rate Policy written by Morris Goldstein and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2008 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Are Chinese Exports Sensitive to Changes in the Exchange Rate written by Shaghil Ahmed and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Builds a model of two types of Chinese exports, those processed and assembled from imported inputs ("processed" exports (PE)) and "non-processed" exports (NPE). When the source of the increase in the Chinese real exchange rate (CRER) is appreciation against the currencies of other emerging Asian trading partners, the effect on PE is positive but insignificant, while the effect on NPE is negative. By contrast, when the source of the increase in the CRER is appreciation against China's advanced-economy trading partners, the effects on both types of exports are negative. Thus greater exchange rate flexibility could contribute to lowering China's trade surplus through restraining growth of exports. Illustrations. A print on demand report.
Download or read book China s Currency An Analysis of the Economic Issues written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2007 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many Members of Congress charge that China's policy of accumulating foreign reserves (especially U.S. dollars) to influence the value of its currency constitutes a form of currency manipulation intended to make its exports cheaper and imports into China more expensive than they would be under free market conditions. They further contend that this policy has caused a surge in the U.S. trade deficit with China and has been a major factor in the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. Although China made modest reforms to its currency policy in 2005, resulting in a modest appreciation of its currency, many Members contend the reforms have not gone far enough and have warned of potential legislative action. This report summarizes the main findings in CRS Report RL32165, China's Currency: Economic Issues and Options for U.S. Trade Policy, by Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte, and will be updated as events warrant.
Download or read book Structural Breaks and the Equilibrium Chinese Yuan US Dollar Real Exchange Rate written by Kefei You and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the equilibrium Chinese yuan/US dollar (CNY/USD) real exchange rate within the framework of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) model. Endogenous structural breaks are allowed for in all cointegration relationships. Macroeconomic fundamentals that affect medium-term savings and investment and hence, the sustainable current account, are also highlighted. A unique set of quarterly data for the post-reform period (1982-2009) is constructed. This paper finds structural breaks in all trade and the sustainable current account equations. The misalignment rates show that the real exchange rate was overvalued in most years until 2003, followed by undervaluation during 2004-09. However, the average misalignment rates and revaluation required to correct this undervaluation are not as large as suggested by previous studies, with the undervaluation rate declining sharply in 2009. Further, misalignment rates are computed using a sustainable current account of 3%. The findings suggest such exogenous input leads to results biased towards larger undervaluation.
Download or read book Real Equilibrium Exchange Rate in China written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Export Performance in Developing Asia written by Juthathip Jongwanich and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the equilibrium real exchange rate and real exchange rate misalignments in developing Asian countries during the period 1995-2008. In addition, the relationship between real exchange rate misalignment and export performance is investigated. In the lead-up to the 1997-1998 financial crisis, real exchange rate exhibited persistent overvaluation in the crisis-affected countries. After the crisis, real exchange rate undervaluation was evident in many Asian countries such as People's Republic of China (PRC), Malaysia, and Thailand. This study also shows that real exchange rate misalignment could have a negative impact on export performance in developing Asia. With its implications on economic activity, monitoring real exchange rate equilibrium and misalignment is a useful tool for governments/central banks to ensure balance in the economy.
Download or read book China s Exchange Rate Regime written by China Development Research Foundation and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-12-05 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The imbalance between China’s currency, the RMB, and those of other countries is widely regarded as a major problem for the world economy. There was a reform of China’s exchange rate mechanism in 2005, following which the RMB appreciated 17% against the US dollar, but many people argue that further reform is still needed. This book reports on a major research project undertaken following the 2005 reform to assess the impact on China’s economy. It considers the impact in a number of areas of the economy, including export-oriented companies, the banking industry, international trade, international capital flows, and China’s macroeconomic policy. It concludes that the policies pursued so far have been correct, and that further reform, both to the exchange rate, and to the system overall, would be desirable, but that any reform should be gradual and incremental, preserving economic stability, and integrating changes with reform in other parts of the economy.
Download or read book Do Hong Kong SAR and China Constitute An Optimal Currency Area An Empirical Test of the Generalized Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis written by Ms.Hong Liang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper explores the behavior of the long-run real exchange rate (RER) of Hong Kong SAR and China by testing the generalized-purchasing power parity hypothesis (G-PPP). The hypothesis argues that if the fundamental variables determining RERs are sufficiently integrated, as in a currency area, the RERs should share common trends. The findings of this study suggest (1) at present, Hong Kong SAR and China do not satisfy the conditions necessary for forming an optimal currency area by themselves; (2) when Japan and the United States are added to the group, common trends can be found; and (3) the long-run elasticity between the RERs of Hong Kong SAR and China is negative.
