Download or read book Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands written by Paul Krugman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1992-10-22 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume examines the intersection between a new analytical approach and a real economic problem.

Download or read book Target Zones and Forward Rates in a Model with Repeated Realignments written by Mr.Leonardo Bartolini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1992-03-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the implications of the imperfect credibility of an exchange rate target zone on the term structure of forward premia. The relationship between spot and forward exchange rates of different maturities reflects the possibility of repeated realignments of the exchange rate band. The credibility of the commitment to the target zone implicit in forward market data can be extracted by estimating the model. Application to French/German data indicates that the model is capable of matching observed patterns of interest rate differentials during the EMS, while yielding estimates of the credibility parameters that accord with the experience of the FF/DM exchange rate during the 1980s.

Download or read book On the credibility issue of exchange rate target zones written by Matthias Rau-Göhring and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2003-04-29 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Zusammenfassung: Währungskrisen, wie die des Europäischen Währungssystems (EWS) 1992, können noch immer nur unzureichend vorausgesagt werden. Es wird jedoch anerkannt, dass die Glaubwürdigkeit eines jeden Währungssystems ausschließlich endogen bestimmt wird, d.h. durch Interaktion der einzelnen Akteure an den Wechselkursmärkten. Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht, ob ein bestimmtes Glaubwürdigkeitsmaß, eingeführt von Avesani, Gallo und Salmon (1995), geeignet ist, die große EWS Krise 1992 vorauszusagen. Dabei handelt es sich um ein dynamisches Spiel, in dem die beiden Akteure (Zentralbank und Finanzmarkt) miteinander interagieren und damit die Glaubwürdigkeit des Systems aushandeln . Es wird gezeigt, dass o.g. Glaubwürdigkeitsmaß ein geeigneter Indikator für Währungskrisen darstellt, was empirisch anhand des französischen Francs, der italienischen Lira und des niederländischen Guldens nachgewiesen wird. Introduction: The objective of the present study is to present the literature of exchange rate target zones and to explore empirically the Avesani-Gallo-Salmon credibility measure for selected currencies belonging to the Exchange-Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS). In the past decade the empirical literature on real world target zones mushroomed considerably, but still, its overall significance in explaining strains in the relevant foreign exchange markets remains relatively low. In this context, I will explore whether the Avesani-Gallo-Salmon (1995) credibility measure demonstrates more power than earlier studies in the analysis of the 1992/3 EMS crisis. It is not my intention to pursue a normative analysis whether flexible or fixed exchange rates or intermediate regimes are superior to one another in terms of their economic implications. This question is beyond the scope of my analysis.1 Given that target zones are applied frequently in the real world, I purely want to figure out, whether their application is sensible on grounds of a firm commitment of the policy-makers. Exchange rate bands have been discussed widely after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System in 1973. Although experiences with the fixed exchange rate regime were disappointing in the 1960s, increased volatility and/or overshooting of the exchange rates in the 1970s let economists doubt the famous argument by Friedman (1953) that speculation would stabilize exchange rate movements in the floating system. McKinnon (1976) reckoned that [...]

Download or read book The Distributional Approach to Exchange Rate Target Zones written by Colin Rose and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Target Zones and Exchange Rates written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we develop an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The model is general enough to nest most theoretical and empirical models in the existing literature. We find evidence of two types of jumps in exchange rates. Realignment jumps are those that are associated with the periodic realignments of the target zone and within-the-band jumps are those that can be accommodated within the current target zone. The exchange rate may jump outside the current target zone band, in the case of a realignment, but when no jump occurs the target zone is credible (there is zero probability of a realignment) and the exchange rate must stay within the band. We incorporate jumps, in general, by conditioning the distribution of exchange rate changes on a jump variable where the probability and size of a jump vary over time as a function of financial and macroeconomic variables. With this more general model, we revisit the empirical evidence from the European Monetary System regarding the conditional distribution of exchange rate changes, the credibility of the system, and the size of the foreign exchange risk premia. In contrast to some previous findings, we conclude that the FF/DM rate exhibits considerable non-linearities, realignments are predictable and the credibility of the system did not increase after 1987. Moreover, our model implies that the foreign exchange risk premium becomes large during speculative crises. A comparison with the Deutschemark/Dollar rate suggests that an explicit target zone does have a noticeable effect on the time-series behavior of exchange rates.

Download or read book The Economics of Exchange Rates written by Lucio Sarno and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-01-09 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last few decades exchange rate economics has seen a number of developments, with substantial contributions to both the theory and empirics of exchange rate determination. Important developments in econometrics and the increasingly large availability of high-quality data have also been responsible for stimulating the large amount of empirical work on exchange rates in this period. Nonetheless, while our understanding of exchange rates has significantly improved, a number of challenges and open questions remain in the exchange rate debate, enhanced by events including the launch of the Euro and the large number of recent currency crises. This volume provides a selective coverage of the literature on exchange rates, focusing on developments from within the last fifteen years. Clear explanations of theories are offered, alongside an appraisal of the literature and suggestions for further research and analysis.

Download or read book Currency Option Pricing in Credible Target Zones written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a model for valuing options on a currency which is maintained within a band. The starting point of our model is the well known Krugman model for exchange-rate behavior within a target zone. Results from model runs provide insight into evidence reported by other authors of mispricing of currency options by extensions of the Black-Scholes model.

Download or read book Capital Mobility written by Leonardo Leiderman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-07-14 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited volume examines capital mobility in both industrialised and developing countries.

Download or read book Target Zones and Interest Rate Variability written by Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-04-01 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The trade-off between interest rate variability and the width of an exchange rate target zone is examined, using the regulated Brownian motion model of target zones. The interest rate differential’s asymptotic (unconditional) variability is increasing in the exchange rate band for narrow bands; whereas it is slowly decreasing for wide bands. The interest rate differential’s instantaneous (conditional) variability is decreasing in the exchange rate band. The model is extended to include a realignment/devaluation risk, as well as an endogenous exchange rate risk premium. The risk premium is small for reasonable parameter values.

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Target Zones written by Zhen Zhu and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Realignment Risk and Currency Option Pricing in Target Zones written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends the Krugman target zone model by including a realignment mechanism. Various properties of that realignment mechanism are discussed. The movement of the exchange rate is governed both by a Wiener process on fundamental and by a Poisson jump process with endogenous realignment size. The realignment mechanism is such that (except in cases where a speculative attack occurs) no jump in fundamental is needed to accompany the jump in the exchange rate. A risk neutral valuation of currency options is constructed. Some properties of option values under realignment risk are illustrated by numerical results.

Download or read book Increase Your Sales and Lower Your Golf Score written by Peter Biadasz and published by iUniverse. This book was released on 2007-06 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: You Need This Book If. You are in sales and want to increase your sales and improve yourself as a sales professional. You are a golfer desiring to improve your golf game and lower your score. You want more information to see if sales is a career option for you. You have heard that golf is a great sport but know nothing about it. You are a sales manager and want to combine the advantages of sales with the recreation of golf. You are in sales and feel that you have reached a frustrating plateau. You just want to have fun playing golf. If you are in sales, and we all are to some degree, you may want to increase your income and/or increase your job satisfaction. If you are a golfer, you may want to lower you score and/or increase how satisfied you are with very aspect of your game. The good news is that you can increase your sales by relating how you sell to how you improve your golf game. Likewise, you can lower your golf score as you see how the same principles that make you a top producing sale professional can be utilized on your favorite golf course. The end result is a top producing salesperson with a golf game that is the envy of all co-workers and competitors.

Download or read book Advances in Geophysics written by Ru-Shan Wu and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-12-14 with total page 627 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Significant progress in our understanding of the Earth's structure and functioning is dependent on new and original observations. However, these observations cannot be interpreted in a quantitative way without tools to model them, and developing adequate modelling methods is also a prerequisite for progress. Seismological raw data in the 21st century are mostly three-component broadband recordings, and require advanced numerical tools to be modelled, especially if lateral variations in the model are accounted for in addition to the radial stratification of the Earth. Considerable progress has been made concerning modelling of elastic waves in laterally heterogeneous structures in the last decades, taking advantage of the development of computer power. The number of articles related to new developments of diverse methods is enormous and it can be very difficult for newcomers to get an overview of the different methods available, and to be able to find which method is most appropriate for his or her applications. This book aims at giving introductions and basic reviews of the modelling methods for elastic waves in laterally heterogeneous structures which are most commonly used in contemporary seismology, or may have great potential for the future.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Determination and the Collapse of a Target Zone with Stochastic Capital Flows written by Alejandro Hernández D. and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Merits of Flexible Exchange Rates written by Leo Melamed and published by Univ Publ Assn. This book was released on 1988-12-29 with total page 555 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This anthology of significant writings by eminent economists is, in part, a critique of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates, which was very successful at the time it was instituted but which, because of its rigidity, failed in the end to address the economic problems of the post-war era. The authors suggest that the stock market crash of 1987 might not have occurred if market forces had been allowed simply to run their course in the absence of any real economic restrictions. Contributors include: Harry Johnson, Fritz Machlup, Milton Friedman, Gottfried Haberler, Henry Wallich, Alan Greenspan, Leo Melamed, Jacques de Larosiere, Beryl Sprinkel, Michael L. Mussa, Martin Feldstein, Jacob Frenkel, Rudiger Dornbusch, Morris Goldstein, Rachel McCulloch, Paul R. Krugman, William H. Branson, Thomas D. Willett, J. Carter Murphy.

Download or read book Development and Implementation of Range wide Mission and Major Capabilities at White Sands Missile Range New Mexico written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Soft Exchange Rate Bands and Speculative Attacks written by Mr.Alessandro Prati and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-11-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a model of a “soft” exchange rate target zone and interpret it as a stylized description of the post-August 1993 ERM. Our central bank targets a moving average of the current and past exchange rates, rather than the exchange rate’s current level, thus allowing the rate to move within wide margins in the short run, but within narrow margins in the long run. For realistic parameters, soft target zones are significantly less vulnerable to speculative attacks than “hard” target zones. These predictions are consistent with the ERM’s experience and the abatement of speculative pressure in European markets since the bands’ widening in 1993.