Download or read book Studies in Subjective Probability written by Henry Ely Kyburg and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Truth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge.
Download or read book Studies in subjective probability ed written by Henry Ely Kyburg and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Subjective Probability written by George Wright and published by . This book was released on 1994-11 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This overview of subjective probability ranges from discussion of the philosophy of axiom systems through studies in the psychological laboratory to the real world of business decision-making.
Download or read book Studies in Subjective Probability Edited by Henry E Kyburg Jr And Howard E Smokler written by Henry Ely Kyburg (1928- ed) and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Ten Great Ideas about Chance written by Persi Diaconis and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-10-08 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact.
Download or read book Subjective Probability written by Richard Jeffrey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-04-12 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sample Text
Download or read book Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability written by Rudolf Carnap and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 1980-01-01 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A basic system of inductive logic; An axiomatic foundation for the logic of inductive generalization; A survey of inductive systems; On the condition of partial exchangeability; Representation theorems of the de finetti type; De finetti's generalizations of excahngeability; The structure of probabilities defined on first-order languages; A subjectivit's guide to objective chance.
Download or read book Studies in Subjective Probability Edited by H E Kyburg H E Smokler written by Henry Ely KYBURG (and SMOKLER (Howard Edward)) and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Degrees of Belief written by Steven G. Vick and published by ASCE Publications. This book was released on 2002-01-01 with total page 469 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts
Download or read book Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions written by Carl-Axel S. Stael von Holstein and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Subjective Probability and Statistical Practice written by Leonard Jimmie Savage and published by . This book was released on 1959 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Assessment of Subjective Probability Distribution written by Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs written by H. Jungermann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 525 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.
Download or read book Assessment of subjective probability distributions written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Subjective Probability Distribution Elicitation in Cost Risk Analysis written by Lionel A. Galway and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A cost estimate for a project such as the acquisition of a new aircraft or satellite system carries with it an inherent probability that the actual cost will exceed the estimate-that changes in requirements, technology, the economic environment, and a multitude of other factors that may occur over the life of the project will change the final cost. One major approach to cost risk analysis-the evaluating and quantifying of the uncertainty of a cost estimate-has been probabilistic: expressing the uncertainty in a cost estimate as a probability distribution over a range of potential costs. Cost analysts in industry and government and researchers in statistics and management have often proposed that, to get probability distributions for platforms using new and untried technologies, expert judgment should be tapped and subjective probability distributions elicited from the experts to represent cost uncertainty. This technical report reviews procedures for eliciting subjective probability distributions in cost risk analysis, both in the cost risk field and in other disciplines in which elicitation has been a topic of research-primarily, statistics and psychology. Because of a lack of empirical work in elicitation, especially in cost risk, the author also interviewed a number of senior people in the cost risk community, who gave insight into the practices of the field. This report should be of interest to cost analysis professionals who wish to quantify uncertainty when using expert opinions in cost risk analysis.
Download or read book Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Uncertainty in Public Research Administration and Scientists Subjective Probability Estimates about Changing the State of Knowledge written by Walter Lee Fishel and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
