Download or read book Forecasting Stock Indices Movement Using Hybrid Model written by Thapanun Punyavachira and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning written by Nazif AYYILDIZ and published by Özgür Publications. This book was released on 2023-12-16 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book titled "Prediction of Stock Market Index Movements with Machine Learning" focuses on the performance of machine learning methods in forecasting the future movements of stock market indexes and identifying the most advantageous methods that can be used across different stock exchanges. In this context, applications have been conducted on both developed and emerging market stock exchanges. The stock market indexes of developed countries such as NYSE 100, NIKKEI 225, FTSE 100, CAC 40, DAX 30, FTSE MIB, TSX; and the stock market indexes of emerging countries such as SSE, BOVESPA, RTS, NIFTY 50, IDX, IPC, and BIST 100 were selected. The movement directions of these stock market indexes were predicted using decision trees, random forests, k-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, logistic regression, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks methods. Daily dataset from 01.01.2012 to 31.12.2021, along with technical indicators, were used as input data for analysis. According to the results obtained, it was determined that artificial neural networks were the most effective method during the examined period. Alongside artificial neural networks, logistic regression and support vector machines methods were found to predict the movement direction of all indexes with an accuracy of over 70%. Additionally, it was noted that while artificial neural networks were identified as the best method, they did not necessarily achieve the highest accuracy for all indexes. In this context, it was established that the performance of the examined methods varied among countries and indexes but did not differ based on the development levels of the countries. As a conclusion, artificial neural networks, logistic regression, and support vector machines methods are recommended as the most advantageous approaches for predicting stock market index movements.
Download or read book Analysis of Financial Time Series written by Ruey S. Tsay and published by Wiley-Interscience. This book was released on 2001-11-01 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fundamental topics and new methods in time series analysis Analysis of Financial Time Series provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to financial econometric models and their application to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: analysis and application of univariate financial time series; the return series of multiple assets; and Bayesian inference in finance methods. Timely topics and recent results include: Value at Risk (VaR) High-frequency financial data analysis Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods Derivative pricing using jump diffusion with closed-form formulas VaR calculation using extreme value theory based on a non-homogeneous two-dimensional Poisson process Multivariate volatility models with time-varying correlations Ideal as a fundamental introduction to time series for MBA students or as a reference for researchers and practitioners in business and finance, Analysis of Financial Time Series offers an in-depth and up-to-date account of these vital methods.
Download or read book Forecasting Stock Index Movement written by Manish Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There exists vast research articles which predict the stock market as well pricing of stock index financial instruments but most of the proposed models focus on the accurate forecasting of the levels (i.e. value) of the underlying stock index. There is a lack of studies examining the predictability of the direction/sign of stock index movement. Given the notion that a prediction with little forecast error does not necessarily translate into capital gain, this study is an attempt to predict the direction of Samp;P CNX NIFTY Market Index of the National Stock Exchange, one of the fastest growing financial exchanges in developing Asian countries. Random forest and Support Vector Machines (SVM) are very specific type of machine learning method, and are promising tools for the prediction of financial time series. The tested classification models, which predict direction, include linear discriminant analysis, logit, artificial neural network, random forest and SVM. Empirical experimentation suggests that the SVM outperforms the other classification methods in terms of predicting the direction of the stock market movement and random forest method outperforms neural network, discriminant analysis and logit model used in this study.
Download or read book Forecasting of Stock Market Indices Using Artificial Neural Network written by Dr.Jay Desai and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a computational approach for predicting the S&P CNX Nifty 50 Index. A neural network based model has been used in predicting the direction of the movement of the closing value for the next day of trading. The model presented in the paper also confirms that it can be used to predict price trend of the stock market. After studying the various features of the network model, a suitable model for stocks forecast is proposed. The model has used the preprocessed data set of closing value of S&P CNX Nifty 50 Index. The training data set encompasses the trading days from 1st January, 2010 to 30th November, 2011. The test data set encompasses the trading days from 1st January, 2011 to 31st December, 2011. Accuracy of the performance of the neural network is compared with buy and hold return of the index. The model generated returns of 59.84% against buy and hold return of -26.08%. The average accuracy of target forecasting is found to be 82%.
Download or read book Deep Learning Tools for Predicting Stock Market Movements written by Renuka Sharma and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2024-04-10 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: DEEP LEARNING TOOLS for PREDICTING STOCK MARKET MOVEMENTS The book provides a comprehensive overview of current research and developments in the field of deep learning models for stock market forecasting in the developed and developing worlds. The book delves into the realm of deep learning and embraces the challenges, opportunities, and transformation of stock market analysis. Deep learning helps foresee market trends with increased accuracy. With advancements in deep learning, new opportunities in styles, tools, and techniques evolve and embrace data-driven insights with theories and practical applications. Learn about designing, training, and applying predictive models with rigorous attention to detail. This book offers critical thinking skills and the cultivation of discerning approaches to market analysis. The book: details the development of an ensemble model for stock market prediction, combining long short-term memory and autoregressive integrated moving average; explains the rapid expansion of quantum computing technologies in financial systems; provides an overview of deep learning techniques for forecasting stock market trends and examines their effectiveness across different time frames and market conditions; explores applications and implications of various models for causality, volatility, and co-integration in stock markets, offering insights to investors and policymakers. Audience The book has a wide audience of researchers in financial technology, financial software engineering, artificial intelligence, professional market investors, investment institutions, and asset management companies.
Download or read book Emerging Trends in Data Driven Computing and Communications written by Rajeev Mathur and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-27 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book includes best selected, high-quality research papers presented at International Conference on Data Driven Computing and IoT (DDCIoT 2021) organized jointly by Geetanjali Institute of Technical Studies (GITS), Udaipur, and Rajasthan Technical University, Kota, India, during March 20–21, 2021. This book presents influential ideas and systems in the field of data driven computing, information technology, and intelligent systems.
Download or read book Backpropagation written by Yves Chauvin and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2013-02-01 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Composed of three sections, this book presents the most popular training algorithm for neural networks: backpropagation. The first section presents the theory and principles behind backpropagation as seen from different perspectives such as statistics, machine learning, and dynamical systems. The second presents a number of network architectures that may be designed to match the general concepts of Parallel Distributed Processing with backpropagation learning. Finally, the third section shows how these principles can be applied to a number of different fields related to the cognitive sciences, including control, speech recognition, robotics, image processing, and cognitive psychology. The volume is designed to provide both a solid theoretical foundation and a set of examples that show the versatility of the concepts. Useful to experts in the field, it should also be most helpful to students seeking to understand the basic principles of connectionist learning and to engineers wanting to add neural networks in general -- and backpropagation in particular -- to their set of problem-solving methods.
Download or read book Applications and Innovations in Intelligent Systems XIII written by Ann Macintosh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-10-27 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers in this volume are the refereed application papers presented at AI-2005, the Twenty-fifth SGAI International Conference on Innovative Techniques and Applications of Artificial Intelligence, held in Cambridge in December 2005. The papers present new and innovative developments in the field, divided into sections on Synthesis and Prediction, Scheduling and Search, Diagnosis and Monitoring, Classification and Design, and Analysis and Evaluation. This is the thirteenth volume in the Applications and Innovations series. The series serves as a key reference on the use of AI Technology to enable organisations to solve complex problems and gain significant business benefits. The Technical Stream papers are published as a companion volume under the title Research and Development in Intelligent Systems XXII.
Download or read book The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory written by Vladimir Vapnik and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this book is to discuss the fundamental ideas which lie behind the statistical theory of learning and generalization. It considers learning as a general problem of function estimation based on empirical data. Omitting proofs and technical details, the author concentrates on discussing the main results of learning theory and their connections to fundamental problems in statistics. This second edition contains three new chapters devoted to further development of the learning theory and SVM techniques. Written in a readable and concise style, the book is intended for statisticians, mathematicians, physicists, and computer scientists.
Download or read book Advanced Models of Energy Forecasting written by Xun Zhang and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2022-11-23 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Computational Intelligence in Economics and Finance written by Paul P. Wang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-07-11 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Readers will find, in this highly relevant and groundbreaking book, research ranging from applications in financial markets and business administration to various economics problems. Not only are empirical studies utilizing various CI algorithms presented, but so also are theoretical models based on computational methods. In addition to direct applications of computational intelligence, readers can also observe how these methods are combined with conventional analytical methods such as statistical and econometric models to yield preferred results.
Download or read book Smart Computing written by Mohammad Ayoub Khan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-05-12 with total page 1110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of SMART technologies is an interdependent discipline. It involves the latest burning issues ranging from machine learning, cloud computing, optimisations, modelling techniques, Internet of Things, data analytics, and Smart Grids among others, that are all new fields. It is an applied and multi-disciplinary subject with a focus on Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Realistic & Timely system operations combined with Machine intelligence & Real-Time computing. It is not possible for any one person to comprehensively cover all aspects relevant to SMART Computing in a limited-extent work. Therefore, these conference proceedings address various issues through the deliberations by distinguished Professors and researchers. The SMARTCOM 2020 proceedings contain tracks dedicated to different areas of smart technologies such as Smart System and Future Internet, Machine Intelligence and Data Science, Real-Time and VLSI Systems, Communication and Automation Systems. The proceedings can be used as an advanced reference for research and for courses in smart technologies taught at graduate level.
Download or read book The Effect of Information Technology on Business and Marketing Intelligence Systems written by Muhammad Alshurideh and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-03-12 with total page 2536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Business shapes have been changed these days. Change is the main dominant fact that change the way of business operations running. Topics such as innovation, entrepreneurship, leadership, blockchain, mobile business, social media, e-learning, machine learning, and artificial intelligence become essential to be considered by each institution within the technology era. This book tries to give additional views on how technologies influence business and marketing operations for insuring successful institutions survival. The world needs to develop management and intelligent business scenario plans that suite a variety of crisis appears these days. Also, business and marketing intelligence should meet government priorities in individual countries and minimise the risk of business disruptions. Business intelligence - the strategies and technology companies that use it to collect, interpret, and benefit from data - play a key role in informing company strategies, functions, and efficiency. However, being essential to the success, many companies are not taking advantage of tools that can improve their business intelligence efforts. Information technology become a core stone in business. For example, the combination of machine learning and business intelligence can have a far-reaching impact on the insights the company gets from its available data to improve productivity, quality, customer service and more. This book is important because it introduces a large number of chapters that discussed the implications of different Information technology applications in business. This book contains a set of volumes which are: 1- Social Marketing and Social Media Applications, 2- Social Marketing and Social Media Applications, 3- Business and Data Analytics, 4- Corporate governance and performance, 5- Innovation, Entrepreneurship and leadership, 6- Knowledge management, 7- Machine learning, IOT, BIG DATA, Block Chain and AI, 8- Marketing Mix, Services and Branding.
Download or read book Learning Deep Architectures for AI written by Yoshua Bengio and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theoretical results suggest that in order to learn the kind of complicated functions that can represent high-level abstractions (e.g. in vision, language, and other AI-level tasks), one may need deep architectures. Deep architectures are composed of multiple levels of non-linear operations, such as in neural nets with many hidden layers or in complicated propositional formulae re-using many sub-formulae. Searching the parameter space of deep architectures is a difficult task, but learning algorithms such as those for Deep Belief Networks have recently been proposed to tackle this problem with notable success, beating the state-of-the-art in certain areas. This paper discusses the motivations and principles regarding learning algorithms for deep architectures, in particular those exploiting as building blocks unsupervised learning of single-layer models such as Restricted Boltzmann Machines, used to construct deeper models such as Deep Belief Networks.
Download or read book How can I get started Investing in the Stock Market written by Lokesh Badolia and published by Educreation Publishing. This book was released on 2016-10-27 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is well-researched by the author, in which he has shared the experience and knowledge of some very much experienced and renowned entities from stock market. We want that everybody should have the knowledge regarding the different aspects of stock market, which would encourage people to invest and earn without any fear. This book is just a step forward toward the knowledge of market.
Download or read book Transactions on Rough Sets XVII written by James F. Peters and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-03-03 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The LNCS journal Transactions on Rough Sets is devoted to the entire spectrum of rough sets related issues, from logical and mathematical foundations, through all aspects of rough set theory and its applications, such as data mining, knowledge discovery and intelligent information processing, to relations between rough sets and other approaches to uncertainty, vagueness, and incompleteness, such as fuzzy sets and theory of evidence. Volume XVII is a continuation of a number of research streams which have grown out of the seminal work by Zdzislaw Pawlak during the first decade of the 21st century. The research streams represented in the papers cover both theory and applications of rough, fuzzy and near sets as well as their combinations.
