Download or read book Estimating the Probability of Hurricane Force Winds Affecting an Air Base written by S. J. Kimball and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study provides an objective means of estimating the chances of a base being affected by hurricane winds of a storm whose forecast track indicates a possibility of the base being struck. It is based on errors in tropical-cyclone forecasts made during several recent years. Tables and nomographs are provided for both Atlantic-Caribbean and western North-Pacific areas. They are simple and quick to apply. It is requested that experiences with use of these aids be communicated to Headquarters Air Weather Service.
Download or read book Estimating the Probability of Operationally Critical Wind Speeds Affecting an Air Base During the Passage of a Tropical Cyclone written by Herbert S. Appleman and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ANCE THE COST OF PROTECTION AGAINST THE DAMAGE INCURRED BY AN UNPROTEA forecast of a tr pical cyclone to pass in the vicinity of a base requir certain decisions to be made, such as whether t tie down or evacuate aircraft, delay construction projects, removn. issiles from firing pads, etc. A decision to take such protective action is based primarily on the expectancy of occurrence of wind speeds above a critical value considered hazardous to that particular installation. In order to bal-ANCE THE COST OF PROTECTION AGAINST THE DAMAGE INCURRED BY AN UNPROTEA forecast of a tr pical cyclone to pass in the vicinity of a base requir certain decisions to be made, such as whether t tie down or evacuate aircraft, delay construction projects, remove missiles from firing pads, etc. A decision to take such protective action is based primarily on the expectancy of occurrence of wind speeds above a critical value considered hazardous to that particular installation. In order to bal-ANCE THE COST OF PROTECTION AGAINST THE DAMAGE INCURRED BY AN UNPROTECTED BASE, THE COMMANDER MUST KNOW THE PROBABILITY OF HIS INSTALLATION BEING STRUCK BY ABOVE-CRITICAL WIND SPEEDS DURING THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM. In June 1958, Air Weather Service published a technical report (AD 218 559) which outlined a method for computing the total probability of above-critical wind speeds affecting an airbase at some time during the passage of a hurricane or typhoon. A technique was developed for obtaining the instantaneous probability of strong winds affecting a base at each hour during the storm's passage, and a somewhat different approach was used to obtain the hour-by-hour instantaneous probability. Since an estimate of both the total and hourly probabthe en ire problem. (Author).
Download or read book Technical Report Air Weather Service written by United States. Air Weather Service and published by . This book was released on 1960 with total page 1016 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book U S Government Research Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 1076 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The National Weather Service Hurricane Probability Program written by Robert C. Sheets and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book FAA Headquarters Library List of Unpublished Research Reports written by Herner and Company and published by . This book was released on 1961 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Atlantic Hurricane Wind Probability Forecasting WINDPA written by Jerry D. Jarrell and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Atlantic Hurricane Wind Probability (WINDPA) program is documented. WINDPA provides the probability of selected Navy and Air Force bases either being struck by an Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclone or receiving winds of at least 30 or 50 kt. The basis for WINDPA estimates is discussed in comparison to a similar western Pacific program (WINDP). WINDPA estimates were subjected to independent reliability testing, the results of which are discussed.
Download or read book Technical Publications Announcements with Indexes written by United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 1556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Meteorological and Geoastrophysical Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Technical Abstract Bulletin written by Defense Documentation Center (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 1148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Keywords Index to U S Government Technical Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 1160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Keywords Index to U S Government Technical Reports permuted Title Index written by United States. Department of Commerce. Office of Technical Services and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 860 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book List of Available AWS Technical Reports written by United States. Air Weather Service and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Final Environmental Impact Statement for a Geologic Repository for the Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel and High level Radioactive Waste at Yucca Mountain Nye County Nevada pt 1 Comment response document Introduction etc written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 926 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this environmental impact statement (EIS) is to provide information on potential environmental impacts that could result from a Proposed Action to construct, operate and monitor, and eventually close a geologic repository for the disposal of spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste at the Yucca Mountain site in Nye County, Nevada. The EIS also provides information on potential environmental impacts from an alternative referred to as the No-Action Alternative, under which there would be no development of a geologic repository at Yucca Mountain.
Download or read book Quantifying Extreme Hurricane Risk in the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico written by Jill Trepanier and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ABSTRACT: Hurricanes threaten the United States every year. It is important to quantify the risk of these events for emergency managers. Extreme value statistics are used to model hurricane characteristics at different locations. Using wind speeds over a specified threshold, the risk of extreme winds are estimated in twelve Florida cities. The risk estimates are provided as statistical return periods, or the expected frequency of specific hurricane magnitudes. Results show that the city of Miami can expect to see hurricane winds blowing at 50 ms-1 (45.5-54.5) [90% CI] or stronger, on average, once every 12 years. In comparison, the city of Pensacola can expect to see hurricane winds of 50 ms-1 (46.9-53.1) [90% CI] or stronger once every 24 years. Hurricanes in the vicinity of Florida are found to be increasing in intensity over time as a product of higher offshore intensification rates. The risk of hurricane strikes can be further understood by including an additional variable, storm surge. Using observational data, the joint probability distribution of hurricane wind speeds and storm surge is found at three Air Force Bases along the U. S. Gulf coast. The quartile pointwise uncertainty is quantified using a Monte Carlo procedure. Eglin Air Force Base can expect wind speeds blowing at 50 ms-1 and surge heights of 3 m, on average, once every 28 years (23-36). MacDill Air Force Base can expect wind speeds blowing at 50 ms-1 and surge heights of 3 m, on average, once every 27 years (22-34). Keesler Air Force Base can expect wind speeds blowing at 50 ms-1 and surge heights of 3 m, on average, once every 15 years (13-18). Utilizing a spatial tessellation across the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico provides additional insight into the risk of hurricane strikes. Parameters from the extreme value model are mapped across space to visualize patterns. Sea surface temperature is included as a covariate in a geographically weighted regression model with each parameter. It is found that as sea surface temperatures increase, the expected hurricane wind speed for a given return period also increases.
Download or read book Geologic Repository for Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel and High level Radioactive Waste at Yucca Mountain written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 928 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
