Download or read book Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia VRP written by Hao Wang and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Variance Risk written by 張琍韓 and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the relation between equity returns and the variance risk premium (VRP) of the credit default swap (CDS). The variance risk premium is defined as the difference of the physical and risk-neutral variance. We use a Jump-GARCH model following Ornthanalai (2014) and calculate the variance risk premium of credit default swaps. Appling equity returns and credit default swap data, we construct the equal-weighted portfolios to investigate the results. Our study finds that time-varying variance risk premiums of credit default swaps significantly affect future equity returns.

Download or read book Spread Risk Premia in Corporate Credit Default Swap Markets written by Oliver Entrop and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The spread risk premium component of credit default swap (CDS) spreads represents a compensation demanded by protection sellers for future changes in CDS spreads caused by unpredictable fluctuations in the reference entity's risk-neutral default intensity. This paper defines and estimates a measure of the spread risk premium component in CDS spreads of a sample of European investment-grade firms by using a stochastic intensity credit model. Our results show that, on average, investors demand a positive premium for such mark-to-market risks. After controlling for CDS market conditions, like liquidity and supply/demand effects, a panel data analysis of the estimated spread risk premia reveals among other things a significant positive impact of event risk captured by the overall stock market volatility and of investors' appetite for exposure to credit markets as reflected by the overall CDS market.

Download or read book Credit Default Swaps written by Christopher L. Culp and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-12 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, unique in its composition, reviews the academic empirical literature on how CDSs actually work in practice, including during distressed times of market crises. It also discusses the mechanics of single-name and index CDSs, the theoretical costs and benefits of CDSs, as well as comprehensively summarizes the empirical evidence on important aspects of these instruments of risk transfer. Full-time academics, researchers at financial institutions, and students will benefit from the dispassionate and comprehensive summary of the academic literature; they can read this book instead of identifying, collecting, and reading the hundreds of academic articles on the important subject of credit risk transfer using derivatives and benefit from the synthesis of the literature provided.

Download or read book Pricing Credit Default Swap Subject to Counterparty Risk and Collateralization written by Alan White and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2018-03-26 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 10, , language: English, abstract: This article presents a new model for valuing a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by multiple credit risks of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset pricing. In fact, correlated default risk is one of the most pervasive threats in financial markets. We also show that a fully collateralized CDS is not equivalent to a risk-free one. In other words, full collateralization cannot eliminate counterparty risk completely in the CDS market.

Download or read book Explaining the Level of Credit Spreads written by Martijn Cremers and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prices of equity index put options contain information on the price of systematic downward jump risk. We use a structural jump-diffusion firm value model to assess the level of credit spreads that is generated by option-implied jump risk premia. In our compound option pricing model, an equity index option is an option on a portfolio of call options on the underlying firm values. We calibrate the model parameters to historical information on default risk, the equity premium and equity return distribution, and S & P 500 index option prices. Our results show that a model without jumps fails to fit the equity return distribution and option prices, and generates a low out-of-sample prediction for credit spreads. Adding jumps and jump risk premia improves the fit of the model in terms of equity and option characteristics considerably and brings predicted credit spread levels much closer to observed levels.

Download or read book Credit Risk Premia in Sovereign Credit Default Swaps written by Rob C. Sperna Weiland and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I analyze credit risk premia embedded in sovereign CDS spreads. In particular, I consider a heretofore largely ignored component that reflects the compensation investors demand for default event risk. I find that this default event risk premium is most heavily priced in short maturity CDS spreads of low-rated countries. Risk premia related to unpredictable variations in default risk, on the other hand, are more important for long maturity CDS spreads of high-rated countries. I show that differences in CDS decomposition across rating classes are mainly caused by differences in sovereign-specific risk rather than differences in exposure to systemic risk.

Download or read book The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress written by Jochen R. Andritzky and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-11 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit default swaps (CDS) provide the buyer with insurance against certain types of credit events by entitling him to exchange any of the bonds permitted as deliverable against their par value. Unlike bonds, whose risk spreads are assumed to be the product of default risk and loss rate, CDS are par instruments, and their spreads reflect the partial recovery of the delivered bond's face value. This paper addresses the implications of the difference between bond and CDS spreads and shows the extent to which the recovery assumption matters for determining CDS spreads. A no-arbitrage argument is applied to extract recovery rates from CDS and bond markets, using data from Brazil's distress in 2002-03. Results are related to the observation that preemptive restructurings are now more common than straight defaults in sovereign bond markets and that this leads to a decoupling of CDS and bond spreads.

Download or read book The Variance Risk Premium written by Junye Li and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the properties of the variance risk premium (VRP). We propose a flexible asset pricing model that captures co-jumps in prices and volatility, and self-exciting jump clustering. We estimate the model on equity returns and variance swap rates at different horizons. The total VRP is negative and has a downward-sloping term structure, while its jump component displays an upward-sloping term structure. The abrupt and persistent response of the short-term jump VRP to extreme events makes this specific premium a proxy for investors' fear of a market crash. Furthermore, the use of the VRP level and slope, and of its components, helps improve the short-run predictability of equity excess returns.

Download or read book The VAR Implementation Handbook Chapter 7 Explaining Cross Sectional Differences in Credit Default Swap Spreads An Alternative Approach Using Value at Risk written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The following is a chapter from The VaR Implementation Handbook, which examines the latest strategies for measuring, managing, and modeling risk across a variety of applications. Packed with the insights, methods, and models that make experienced professionals competitive all over the world, this comprehensive guide features cutting-edge research and findings from some of the industry's most respected academics, practitioners, and consultants.

Download or read book Credit Default Swaps Pricing Valuation and Investment Applications written by Panagiotis Papadopoulos and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 67%, University of Westminster (Westminster Business School), course: Financial Derivatives, language: English, abstract: "A credit default swap (CDS) is a bilateral agreement designed explicitly to shift credit risk between two parties. In a CDS, one party (protection buyer) pays a periodic fee to another party (protection seller) in return for compensation for default (or similar credit event) by a reference entity". Credit Default Swaps (CDS) are by far the most popular credit derivatives and have proven to be the most successful financial innovation. The structure of CDS is somewhat similar to the insurance policy. The market of CDS has heavily expanded and is traded in Over-The-Counter (OTC) market. This essay will briefly address the structure and the market of CDS, outlining its common products usage by some large institutions. Following the review of financial structure and pricing of CDS. And finally, this essay will also evaluate the risk management and investment applications of such products.

Download or read book Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads with Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms written by Yibin Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Information Content of Option Implied Volatility for Credit Default Swap Valuation written by Charles Cao and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit default swaps (CDS) are similar to out-of-the-money put options in that both offer a low cost and effective protection against downside risk. This study investigates whether put option-implied volatility is an important determinant of CDS pricing. Using a large sample of firms with both CDS and options data, we find that individual firms' put option-implied volatility dominates historical volatility in explaining the time-series variation in CDS spreads. To understand this result, we show that implied volatility is a more efficient forecast for future realized volatility than historical volatility. More importantly, the volatility risk premium embedded in option prices covaries with the CDS spread. These findings complement existing empirical evidence based on market-level data.

Download or read book Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads With the Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms written by Benjamin Yi-Bin Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to explain the credit default swap (CDS) premium, using a novel approach to identify the volatility and jump risks of individual firms from high-frequency equity prices. Our empirical results suggest that the volatility risk alone predicts 48 percent of the variation in CDS spread levels, whereas the jump risk alone forecasts 19 percent. After controlling for credit ratings, macroeconomic conditions, and firms' balance sheet information, we can explain 73 percent of the total variation. We calibrate a Merton-type structural model with stochastic volatility and jumps, which can help to match credit spreads after controlling for the historical default rates. Simulation evidence suggests that the high-frequency-based volatility measures can help to explain the credit spreads, above and beyond what is already captured by the true leverage ratio.

Download or read book Measuring Default Risk Premia from Default Swap Rates and EDFs written by Antje Berndt and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates recent default risk premia for U.S. corporate debt, based on a close relationship between default probabilities, as estimated by Moody's KMV EDFs, and default swap (CDS) market rates. The default-swap data, obtained through CIBC from 22 banks and specialty dealers, allow us to establish a strong link between actual and risk-neutral default probabilities for the 69 firms in the three sectors that we analyze: broadcasting and entertainment, healthcare, and oil and gas. We find dramatic variation over time in risk premia, from peaks in the third quarter of 2002, dropping by roughly 50% to late 2003.

Download or read book Implied Liquidity Risk Premium in the Term Structure of Sovereign Credit Default Swap and Bond Spreads written by Saad Badaoui and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, we focus on the dynamic properties of the risk-neutral liquidity risk premium specific to the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. We show that liquidity risk has a non-trivial role and participates directly to the variation over time of the term structure of sovereign CDS and bond spreads for both the pre- and crisis periods. Secondly, our results indicate that the time-varying bond and CDS liquidity risk premium move in opposite directions which imply that when bond liquidity risk is high, CDS liquidity risk is low (and vice versa), which may in turn be consistent with the substitution eff ect between CDS and bond markets. Finally, our Granger causality analysis reveals that, although the magnitude of bond and CDS liquidity risk are substantially different, there is a strong liquidity fl ow between the CDS and the bond markets, however no market seems to consistently lead the other.

Download or read book Recovery Risk in Credit Default Swap Premia written by Timo Schläfer and published by Gabler Verlag. This book was released on 2011-04-05 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Timo Schläfer exploits the fact that differently-ranking debt instruments of the same issuer face identical default risk but different default-conditional recovery rates. He shows that this allows isolating recovery risk without any of the rigid assumptions employed by priors and implements his approach using credit default swap data.