Download or read book Asymptotic Behavior of Time Series Aggregates written by G. C. Tiao and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper discusses the efficiency of disaggregation in forecasting time series aggregates. Let be the disaggregated series and XT+(ZMT-m+1 + ... + ZMT) be the m-component aggregated series. Forecasts of future XT may be constructed from data on (i) Zt or (ii) XT. It is shown that, for large m, there is no gain in using the disaggreagated data if Zt is stationary, but dramatic gain can be obtained when Zt is non-stationary. (Author).

Download or read book Some Recent Developments in Statistical Theory and Applications written by Kuldeep Kumar and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2012 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is part of the proceedings of The International Conference on Recent Developments in Statistics, Econometrics and Forecasting 2010, which was organized to provide opportunities for academics and researchers to share their knowledge on recent developments in this area. The conference featured the most up-to-date research results and applications in statistics, econometrics and forecasting. The book has fifteen chapters contributed by different authors and can be divided into five parts: Time Series and Econometric Modeling, Linear Models, Non-parametrics, Statistical Applications and Statistical Methodology. This book will be helpful to graduate students, researchers and applied statisticians working in the area of time series, statistical and econometric modeling.

Download or read book State Space Methods for Time Series Analysis written by Jose Casals and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The state-space approach provides a formal framework where any result or procedure developed for a basic model can be seamlessly applied to a standard formulation written in state-space form. Moreover, it can accommodate with a reasonable effort nonstandard situations, such as observation errors, aggregation constraints, or missing in-sample values. Exploring the advantages of this approach, State-Space Methods for Time Series Analysis: Theory, Applications and Software presents many computational procedures that can be applied to a previously specified linear model in state-space form. After discussing the formulation of the state-space model, the book illustrates the flexibility of the state-space representation and covers the main state estimation algorithms: filtering and smoothing. It then shows how to compute the Gaussian likelihood for unknown coefficients in the state-space matrices of a given model before introducing subspace methods and their application. It also discusses signal extraction, describes two algorithms to obtain the VARMAX matrices corresponding to any linear state-space model, and addresses several issues relating to the aggregation and disaggregation of time series. The book concludes with a cross-sectional extension to the classical state-space formulation in order to accommodate longitudinal or panel data. Missing data is a common occurrence here, and the book explains imputation procedures necessary to treat missingness in both exogenous and endogenous variables. Web Resource The authors’ E4 MATLAB® toolbox offers all the computational procedures, administrative and analytical functions, and related materials for time series analysis. This flexible, powerful, and free software tool enables readers to replicate the practical examples in the text and apply the procedures to their own work.

Download or read book Forecasting Aggregated Vector ARMA Processes written by Helmut Lütkepohl and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study is concerned with forecasting time series variables and the impact of the level of aggregation on the efficiency of the forecasts. Since temporally and contemporaneously disaggregated data at various levels have become available for many countries, regions, and variables during the last decades the question which data and procedures to use for prediction has become increasingly important in recent years. This study aims at pointing out some of the problems involved and at pro viding some suggestions how to proceed in particular situations. Many of the results have been circulated as working papers, some have been published as journal articles, and some have been presented at conferences and in seminars. I express my gratitude to all those who have commented on parts of this study. They are too numerous to be listed here and many of them are anonymous referees and are therefore unknown to me. Some early results related to the present study are contained in my monograph "Prognose aggregierter Zeitreihen" (Lutkepohl (1986a)) which was essentially completed in 1983. The present study contains major extensions of that research and also summarizes the earlier results to the extent they are of interest in the context of this study.

Download or read book Time Aggregation and the Hodrick Prescott Filter written by Agustín Maravall and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Asymptotics Nonparametrics and Time Series written by Subir Ghosh and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1999-02-18 with total page 858 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Contains over 2500 equations and exhaustively covers not only nonparametrics but also parametric, semiparametric, frequentist, Bayesian, bootstrap, adaptive, univariate, and multivariate statistical methods, as well as practical uses of Markov chain models."

Download or read book Forecasting Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter written by Andrew C. Harvey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.

Download or read book The Analysis and Testing of the Asymptotic Behavior of Aggregate Growth Models written by John Conlisk and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Research in Progress written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Arnold Zellner and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by G. Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-07-14 with total page 1071 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Section headings in this handbook include: 'Forecasting Methodology; 'Forecasting Models'; 'Forecasting with Different Data Structures'; and 'Applications of Forecasting Methods.'.

Download or read book Time Series Techniques for Economists written by Terence C. Mills and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of time series techniques in economics has become increasingly important, both for forecasting purposes and in the empirical analysis of time series in general. In this book, Terence Mills not only brings together recent research at the frontiers of the subject, but also analyses the areas of most importance to applied economics. It is an up-to-date text which extends the basic techniques of analysis to cover the development of methods that can be used to analyse a wide range of economic problems. The book analyses three basic areas of time series analysis: univariate models, multivariate models, and non-linear models. In each case the basic theory is outlined and then extended to cover recent developments. Particular emphasis is placed on applications of the theory to important areas of applied economics and on the computer software and programs needed to implement the techniques. This book clearly distinguishes itself from its competitors by emphasising the techniques of time series modelling rather than technical aspects such as estimation, and by the breadth of the models considered. It features many detailed real-world examples using a wide range of actual time series. It will be useful to econometricians and specialists in forecasting and finance and accessible to most practitioners in economics and the allied professions.

Download or read book Proceedings of the Conference on the Design of Experiments written by and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 1126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis written by Gebhard Kirchgässner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-27 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents modern developments in time series econometrics that are applied to macroeconomic and financial time series. It contains the most important approaches to analyze time series which may be stationary or nonstationary.

Download or read book Advances in Statistics Combinatorics and Related Areas written by Chandra Gulati and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2002 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of selected refereed papers presented at the International Conference on Statistics, Combinatorics and Related Areas, and the Eighth International Conference of the Forum for Interdisciplinary Mathematics. It includes contributions from eminent statisticians such as Joe Gani, Clive Granger, Chris Heyde, R Nishii, C R Rao, P K Sen and Sue Wilson. By exploring and investigating deeper, these papers enlarge the reservoir in the represented areas of research, such as bioinformatics, estimating functions, financial statistics, generalized linear models, goodness of fit, image analysis, industrial data analysis, multivariate statistics, neural networks, quasi-likelihood, sample surveys, statistical inference, stochastic models, and time series.

Download or read book Welfare Aggregate consumer behavior written by Dale Weldeau Jorgenson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 588 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first of two volumes of Dale Jorgenson's empirical studies of consumer behaviour. It focuses on an econometric model of demand obtained by aggregating over a population of consumers with heterogeneous preferences.

Download or read book Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics written by M. Hashem Pesaran and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015 with total page 1095 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is concerned with recent developments in time series and panel data techniques for the analysis of macroeconomic and financial data. It provides a rigorous, nevertheless user-friendly, account of the time series techniques dealing with univariate and multivariate time series models, as well as panel data models. It is distinct from other time series texts in the sense that it also covers panel data models and attempts at a more coherent integration of time series, multivariate analysis, and panel data models. It builds on the author's extensive research in the areas of time series and panel data analysis and covers a wide variety of topics in one volume. Different parts of the book can be used as teaching material for a variety of courses in econometrics. It can also be used as reference manual. It begins with an overview of basic econometric and statistical techniques, and provides an account of stochastic processes, univariate and multivariate time series, tests for unit roots, cointegration, impulse response analysis, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models, simultaneous equation models, vector autoregressions, causality, forecasting, multivariate volatility models, panel data models, aggregation and global vector autoregressive models (GVAR). The techniques are illustrated using Microfit 5 (Pesaran and Pesaran, 2009, OUP) with applications to real output, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, and stock prices.