Download or read book Assessment of Stochastic Differential Equation and Markov Chain Models in Time Series written by Pawel Jacek Lasiecki and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Applied Stochastic Differential Equations written by Simo Särkkä and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-05-02 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With this hands-on introduction readers will learn what SDEs are all about and how they should use them in practice.

Download or read book Recent Advances In Stochastic Modeling And Data Analysis written by Christos H Skiadas and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2007-11-16 with total page 669 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most recent applied and methodological issues in stochastic modeling and data analysis. The contributions cover various fields such as stochastic processes and applications, data analysis methods and techniques, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, econometrics, sampling, linear and nonlinear models, networks and queues, survival analysis, and time series. The volume presents new results with potential for solving real-life problems and provides novel methods for solving these problems by analyzing the relevant data. The use of recent advances in different fields is emphasized, especially new optimization and statistical methods, data warehouse, data mining and knowledge systems, neural computing, and bioinformatics.

Download or read book An Introduction to Continuous Time Stochastic Processes written by Vincenzo Capasso and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-06-18 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook, now in its fourth edition, offers a rigorous and self-contained introduction to the theory of continuous-time stochastic processes, stochastic integrals, and stochastic differential equations. Expertly balancing theory and applications, it features concrete examples of modeling real-world problems from biology, medicine, finance, and insurance using stochastic methods. No previous knowledge of stochastic processes is required. Unlike other books on stochastic methods that specialize in a specific field of applications, this volume examines the ways in which similar stochastic methods can be applied across different fields. Beginning with the fundamentals of probability, the authors go on to introduce the theory of stochastic processes, the Itô Integral, and stochastic differential equations. The following chapters then explore stability, stationarity, and ergodicity. The second half of the book is dedicated to applications to a variety of fields, including finance, biology, and medicine. Some highlights of this fourth edition include a more rigorous introduction to Gaussian white noise, additional material on the stability of stochastic semigroups used in models of population dynamics and epidemic systems, and the expansion of methods of analysis of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations. An Introduction to Continuous-Time Stochastic Processes, Fourth Edition is intended for graduate students taking an introductory course on stochastic processes, applied probability, stochastic calculus, mathematical finance, or mathematical biology. Prerequisites include knowledge of calculus and some analysis; exposure to probability would be helpful but not required since the necessary fundamentals of measure and integration are provided. Researchers and practitioners in mathematical finance, biomathematics, biotechnology, and engineering will also find this volume to be of interest, particularly the applications explored in the second half of the book.

Download or read book Stochastic Differential and Difference Equations written by Imre Csiszár and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1997 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Periodically Correlated Solutions to a Class of Stochastic Difference Equations.- On Nonlinear SDE'S whose Densities Evolve in a Finite-Dimensional Family.- Composition of Skeletons and Support Theorems.- Invariant Measure for a Wave Equation on a Riemannian Manifold.- Ergodic Distributed Control for Parameter Dependent Stochastic Semilinear Systems.- Dirichlet Forms, Caccioppoli Sets and the Skorohod Equation Masatoshi Fukushima.- Rate of Convergence of Moments of Spall's SPSA Method.- General Setting for Stochastic Processes Associated with Quantum Fields.- On a Class of Semilinear Stochastic Partial Differential Equations.- Parallel Numerical Solution of a Class of Volterra Integro-Differential Equations.- On the Laws of the Oseledets Spaces of Linear Stochastic Differential Equations.- On Stationarity of Additive Bilinear State-space Representation of Time Series.- On Convergence of Approximations of Ito-Volterra Equations.- Non-isotropic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process and White Noise Analysis.- Stochastic Processes with Independent Increments on a Lie Group and their Selfsimilar Properties.- Optimal Damping of Forced Oscillations Discrete-time Systems by Output Feedback.- Forecast of Lévy's Brownian Motion as the Observation Domain Undergoes Deformation.- A Maximal Inequality for the Skorohod Integral.- On the Kinematics of Stochastic Mechanics.- Stochastic Equations in Formal Mappings.- On Fisher's Information Matrix of an ARMA Process.- Statistical Analysis of Nonlinear and NonGaussian Time Series.- Bilinear Stochastic Systems with Long Range Dependence in Continuous Time.- On Support Theorems for Stochastic Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations.- Excitation and Performance in Continuous-time Stochastic Adaptive LQ-control.- Invariant Measures for Diffusion Processes in Conuclear Spaces.- Degree Theory on Wiener Space and an Application to a Class of SPDEs.- On the Interacting Measure-Valued Branching Processes.

Download or read book Introduction to Stochastic Analysis written by Vigirdas Mackevicius and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-02-07 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an introduction to stochastic integration and stochastic differential equations written in an understandable way for a wide audience, from students of mathematics to practitioners in biology, chemistry, physics, and finances. The presentation is based on the naïve stochastic integration, rather than on abstract theories of measure and stochastic processes. The proofs are rather simple for practitioners and, at the same time, rather rigorous for mathematicians. Detailed application examples in natural sciences and finance are presented. Much attention is paid to simulation diffusion processes. The topics covered include Brownian motion; motivation of stochastic models with Brownian motion; Itô and Stratonovich stochastic integrals, Itô’s formula; stochastic differential equations (SDEs); solutions of SDEs as Markov processes; application examples in physical sciences and finance; simulation of solutions of SDEs (strong and weak approximations). Exercises with hints and/or solutions are also provided.

Download or read book Estimation and Hypothesis Testing for Stochastic Differential Equations with Time dependent Parameters written by Yanqiao Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are two sources of information available in empirical research in finance: one corresponding to historical data and the other to prices currently observed in the markets. When proposing a model, it is desirable to use information from both sources. However in modern finance, where stochastic differential equations have been one of the main modeling tools, the common models are typically different for historical data and for current market data. The former are usually assumed to be time homogeneous, while the latter are typically time in-homogeneous. This practice can be explained by the fact that a time-homogeneous model is stationary and easier to estimate, while time-inhomogeneous model are required in order to replicate market data sufficiently well without creating arbitrage opportunities. In this thesis, we study methods of statistical inference, both parametric and non-parametric, for stochastic differential equations with time-dependent parameters. In the first part, we propose a new class of stochastic differential equation with time-dependent drift and diffusion terms, where some of the parameters change according to a hidden Markov process. We show that under some technical conditions this innovative way of modeling switching times renders the resulting model stationary. We also explore different approaches to estimate parameters in our proposed model. Our simulation studies demonstrate that the parameters of the model can be efficiently estimated by using a version of the filtering method proposed in the literature. We illustrate our model and the proposed estimation method by applying them to interest rate data, and we detect significant time variations in early 1980s, when targets of the monetary policy in the United States were changed. One of the known drawbacks of parametric models is the risk of model misspecification. In the second part of the thesis, we allow the drift to be time-dependent and nonparametric, and our objective is to estimate it using a single trajectory of the process. The main idea underlying this method is to approximate the time-dependent function with a sequence of polynomials. Since we can estimate efficiently only a finite number of parameters for any finite length of data, in our method we propose to relate the number of parameters to the length of the observed trajectory. This idea is similar to the method of sieves proposed by Grenander (Abstract Inference, 1981). The asymptotic analysis that we present is based on the assumption that the length of available data $T$ increases to infinity. We investigate two cases, one is a Brownian motion with time-dependent drift and the other corresponds to a class of mean-reverting stochastic differential equations with time-dependent mean-reversion level. In both cases we prove asymptotic consistency and normality of a modified maximum likelihood estimator of the projected time-dependent component. The main challenge in proving our results in the second case stems from two features of the problem: one is due to the fact that coefficients of projections change with $T$ and the other is related to the confounding effect between the mean-reversion speed and the level function. By applying our method to the same interest rate data we use in the first part, we find another evidence of time-variation in the drift term.

Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by Henrik Madsen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2007-11-28 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a focus on analyzing and modeling linear dynamic systems using statistical methods, Time Series Analysis formulates various linear models, discusses their theoretical characteristics, and explores the connections among stochastic dynamic models. Emphasizing the time domain description, the author presents theorems to highlight the most important results, proofs to clarify some results, and problems to illustrate the use of the results for modeling real-life phenomena. The book first provides the formulas and methods needed to adapt a second-order approach for characterizing random variables as well as introduces regression methods and models, including the general linear model. It subsequently covers linear dynamic deterministic systems, stochastic processes, time domain methods where the autocorrelation function is key to identification, spectral analysis, transfer-function models, and the multivariate linear process. The text also describes state space models and recursive and adaptivemethods. The final chapter examines a host of practical problems, including the predictions of wind power production and the consumption of medicine, a scheduling system for oil delivery, and the adaptive modeling of interest rates. Concentrating on the linear aspect of this subject, Time Series Analysis provides an accessible yet thorough introduction to the methods for modeling linear stochastic systems. It will help you understand the relationship between linear dynamic systems and linear stochastic processes.

Download or read book Markov Chain Models and Stochastic Differential Equations written by Frank Hedley Fitch and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems written by David Brillinger and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of a two volume set based on a recent IMA program of the same name. The goal of the program and these books is to develop a community of statistical and other scientists kept up-to-date on developments in this quickly evolving and interdisciplinary field. Consequently, these books present recent material by distinguished researchers. Topics discussed in Part I include nonlinear and non- Gaussian models and processes (higher order moments and spectra, nonlinear systems, applications in astronomy, geophysics, engineering, and simulation) and the interaction of time series analysis and statistics (information model identification, categorical valued time series, nonparametric and semiparametric methods). Self-similar processes and long-range dependence (time series with long memory, fractals, 1/f noise, stable noise) and time series research common to engineers and economists (modeling of multivariate and possibly non-stationary time series, state space and adaptive methods) are discussed in Part II.

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems written by Enders Anthony Robinson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-09-17 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series methods are essential tools in the analysis of many geophysical systems. This volume, which consists of papers presented by a select, international group of statistical and geophysical experts at a Workshop on Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems at the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications (IMA) at the University of Minnesota from November 12-15, 2001 as part of the IMA's Thematic Year on Mathematics in the Geosciences, explores the application of recent advances in time series methodology to a host of important problems ranging from climate change to seismology. The works in the volume deal with theoretical and methodological issues as well as real geophysical applications, and are written with both statistical and geophysical audiences in mind. Important contributions to time series modeling, estimation, prediction, and deconvolution are presented. The results are applied to a wide range of geophysical applications including the investigation and prediction of climatic variations, the interpretation of seismic signals, the estimation of flooding risk, the description of permeability in Chinese oil fields, and the modeling of NOx decomposition from thermal power plants.

Download or read book Applied Stochastic Models and Control for Finance and Insurance written by Charles S. Tapiero and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applied Stochastic Models and Control for Finance and Insurance presents at an introductory level some essential stochastic models applied in economics, finance and insurance. Markov chains, random walks, stochastic differential equations and other stochastic processes are used throughout the book and systematically applied to economic and financial applications. In addition, a dynamic programming framework is used to deal with some basic optimization problems. The book begins by introducing problems of economics, finance and insurance which involve time, uncertainty and risk. A number of cases are treated in detail, spanning risk management, volatility, memory, the time structure of preferences, interest rates and yields, etc. The second and third chapters provide an introduction to stochastic models and their application. Stochastic differential equations and stochastic calculus are presented in an intuitive manner, and numerous applications and exercises are used to facilitate their understanding and their use in Chapter 3. A number of other processes which are increasingly used in finance and insurance are introduced in Chapter 4. In the fifth chapter, ARCH and GARCH models are presented and their application to modeling volatility is emphasized. An outline of decision-making procedures is presented in Chapter 6. Furthermore, we also introduce the essentials of stochastic dynamic programming and control, and provide first steps for the student who seeks to apply these techniques. Finally, in Chapter 7, numerical techniques and approximations to stochastic processes are examined. This book can be used in business, economics, financial engineering and decision sciences schools for second year Master's students, as well as in a number of courses widely given in departments of statistics, systems and decision sciences.

Download or read book Hidden Markov and Other Models for Discrete valued Time Series written by Iain L. MacDonald and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-01-01 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discrete-valued time series are common in practice, but methods for their analysis are not well-known. In recent years, methods have been developed which are specifically designed for the analysis of discrete-valued time series. Hidden Markov and Other Models for Discrete-Valued Time Series introduces a new, versatile, and computationally tractable class of models, the "hidden Markov" models. It presents a detailed account of these models, then applies them to data from a wide range of diverse subject areas, including medicine, climatology, and geophysics. This book will be invaluable to researchers and postgraduate and senior undergraduate students in statistics. Researchers and applied statisticians who analyze time series data in medicine, animal behavior, hydrology, and sociology will also find this information useful.

Download or read book Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability written by Sean P. Meyn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 559 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability is part of the Communications and Control Engineering Series (CCES) edited by Professors B.W. Dickinson, E.D. Sontag, M. Thoma, A. Fettweis, J.L. Massey and J.W. Modestino. The area of Markov chain theory and application has matured over the past 20 years into something more accessible and complete. It is of increasing interest and importance. This publication deals with the action of Markov chains on general state spaces. It discusses the theories and the use to be gained, concentrating on the areas of engineering, operations research and control theory. Throughout, the theme of stochastic stability and the search for practical methods of verifying such stability, provide a new and powerful technique. This does not only affect applications but also the development of the theory itself. The impact of the theory on specific models is discussed in detail, in order to provide examples as well as to demonstrate the importance of these models. Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability can be used as a textbook on applied Markov chain theory, provided that one concentrates on the main aspects only. It is also of benefit to graduate students with a standard background in countable space stochastic models. Finally, the book can serve as a research resource and active tool for practitioners.

Download or read book Continuous Parameter Markov Processes and Stochastic Differential Equations written by Rabi Bhattacharya and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-11-16 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This graduate text presents the elegant and profound theory of continuous parameter Markov processes and many of its applications. The authors focus on developing context and intuition before formalizing the theory of each topic, illustrated with examples. After a review of some background material, the reader is introduced to semigroup theory, including the Hille–Yosida Theorem, used to construct continuous parameter Markov processes. Illustrated with examples, it is a cornerstone of Feller’s seminal theory of the most general one-dimensional diffusions studied in a later chapter. This is followed by two chapters with probabilistic constructions of jump Markov processes, and processes with independent increments, or Lévy processes. The greater part of the book is devoted to Itô’s fascinating theory of stochastic differential equations, and to the study of asymptotic properties of diffusions in all dimensions, such as explosion, transience, recurrence, existence of steady states, and the speed of convergence to equilibrium. A broadly applicable functional central limit theorem for ergodic Markov processes is presented with important examples. Intimate connections between diffusions and linear second order elliptic and parabolic partial differential equations are laid out in two chapters, and are used for computational purposes. Among Special Topics chapters, two study anomalous diffusions: one on skew Brownian motion, and the other on an intriguing multi-phase homogenization of solute transport in porous media.

Download or read book Stochastic Models With Applications To Genetics Cancers Aids And Other Biomedical Systems written by Wai-yuan Tan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2002-02-26 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a systematic treatment of Markov chains, diffusion processes and state space models, as well as alternative approaches to Markov chains through stochastic difference equations and stochastic differential equations. It illustrates how these processes and approaches are applied to many problems in genetics, carcinogenesis, AIDS epidemiology and other biomedical systems.One feature of the book is that it describes the basic MCMC (Markov chain and Monte Carlo) procedures and illustrates how to use the Gibbs sampling method and the multilevel Gibbs sampling method to solve many problems in genetics, carcinogenesis, AIDS and other biomedical systems.As another feature, the book develops many state space models for many genetic problems, carcinogenesis, AIDS epidemiology and HIV pathogenesis. It shows in detail how to use the multilevel Gibbs sampling method to estimate (or predict) simultaneously the state variables and the unknown parameters in cancer chemotherapy, carcinogenesis, AIDS epidemiology and HIV pathogenesis. As a matter of fact, this book is the first to develop many state space models for many genetic problems, carcinogenesis and other biomedical problems.

Download or read book Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability written by Sean Meyn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-02 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Meyn and Tweedie is back! The bible on Markov chains in general state spaces has been brought up to date to reflect developments in the field since 1996 - many of them sparked by publication of the first edition. The pursuit of more efficient simulation algorithms for complex Markovian models, or algorithms for computation of optimal policies for controlled Markov models, has opened new directions for research on Markov chains. As a result, new applications have emerged across a wide range of topics including optimisation, statistics, and economics. New commentary and an epilogue by Sean Meyn summarise recent developments and references have been fully updated. This second edition reflects the same discipline and style that marked out the original and helped it to become a classic: proofs are rigorous and concise, the range of applications is broad and knowledgeable, and key ideas are accessible to practitioners with limited mathematical background.