Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.
Download or read book Applied Commodity Price Analysis and Forecasting written by Brian Holding and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Applied Commodity Price Analysis Forecasting and Market Risk Management written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Commodity Prices and Markets written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.
Download or read book Applied Commodity Price Analysis Forecasting and Market Risk Management written by NCR-134 (Committee : U.S.). Conference and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting written by John W. Goodwin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1994-03-02 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uses a problem solving framework to provide students with the means for acquiring the necessary skills in the application of economic theory. Enables them to understand that economic theory does describe authentic relationships by actual people in the existing world.
Download or read book Applied Commodity Price Analysis Forecasting and Risk Management written by NCR-134 (Committee : U.S.). Conference and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book NCR Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis Forecasting and Market Risk Management written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book NCR 134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis and Forecasting written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein?Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.
Download or read book NCR Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis Forecasting and Market Risk Management St Louis Missouri April 26 27 1988 written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-01-04 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.
Download or read book Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits written by R. Schabacker and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2021-02-15 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Richard W. Schabacker's great work, Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits, is a worthy addition to any technical analyst's personal library or any market library. His "pioneering research" represents one of the finest works ever produced on technical analysis, and this book remains an example of the highest order of analytical quality and incisive trading wisdom. Originally devised as a practical course for investors, it is as alive, vital and instructional today as the day it was written. It paved the way for Robert Edwards and John Magee's best-selling Technical Analysis of Stock Trends - a debt which is acknowledged in their foreword: 'Part One is based in large part on the pioneer researches and writings of the late Richard Schabacker.'Schabacker presents technical analysis as a totally organized subject and comprehensively lays out the various important patterns, formations, trends, support and resistance areas, and associated supporting technical detail. He presents factors that can be confidently relied on, and gives equal attention to the blemishes and weaknesses that can upset the best of analytical forecasts: Factors which investors would do well to absorb and apply when undertaking the fascinating game of price, time and volume analysis.
Download or read book Stock Index Futures written by Charles M.S. Sutcliffe and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-18 with total page 844 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global value of trading in index futures is about $20 trillion per year and rising and for many countries the value traded is similar to that traded on their stock markets. This book describes how index futures markets work and clearly summarises the substantial body of international empirical evidence relating to these markets. Using the concepts and tools of finance, the book also provides a comprehensive description of the economic forces that underlie trading in index futures. Stock Index Futures 3/e contains many teaching and learning aids including numerous examples, a glossary, essay questions, comprehensive references, and a detailed subject index. Written primarily for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students, this text will also be useful to researchers and market participants who want to gain a better understanding of these markets.
Download or read book The Financialization of Commodity Markets written by A. Zaremba and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-01 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The landscape of commodity markets has drastically changed in recent years. Once a market of refineries and mines, it has become the market of investment funds and commodity trading advisors. Given this transformation, are commodity investments still as beneficial as 20 or 30 years ago? This book is an attempt to answer these questions.
Download or read book Conomic Models of Cattle Prices written by Nancy R. Kingsbury and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2003-06 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reviews economic models, especially treatment of competition, marketing practices, and international trade effects on U.S. cattle prices and producers' incomes. The report addresses 3 questions: To what extent do these models incorporate structural changes -- specifically, market concentration in the meatpacking sector and the use of marketing agreements, forward contracts, and imports?; What are the most important factors that affect cattle prices and producers' incomes?; and What are the most significant data and modeling issues to be considered in developing a more comprehensive model, or logical framework, to explain cattle prices and producers' income? Makes recommendations about how to resolve issues and problems regarding cattle price modeling.
Download or read book Economic Models of Cattle Prices written by United States. General Accounting Office and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
