Download or read book Unobserved Heterogeneity in Models of Competing Mortgage Termination written by John M. Clapp and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends unobserved heterogeneity to the multinomial logit model (MNL) framework in the context of mortgages terminated by refinance, move, or default. It tests for the importance of unobserved heterogeneity when borrower characteristics such as income, age and credit score are included to capture lender-observed heterogeneity. It does this by comparing the proportional hazard model (PHM) to MNL with and without mass-point estimates of unobserved heterogeneous groups of borrowers.The mass point mixed hazard model (MMH) yields larger and more significant coefficients for several important variables in the move model, whereas the MNL model without unobserved heterogeneity performs well with the refinance estimates. The MMH clearly dominates the alternative models in-sample and out-of-sample. However, it is sometimes difficult to obtain convergence for the models estimated jointly with mass points.
Download or read book Unobserved Heterogeneity in Models of Competing Mortgage Termination Risks written by John M. Clapp and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends unobserved heterogeneity to the multinomial logit model (MNL) framework in the context of mortgages terminated by refinance, move or default. It tests for the importance of unobserved heterogeneity when borrower characteristics such as income, age and credit score are included to capture lender-observed heterogeneity. It does this by comparing the proportional hazard model (PHM) to MNL with and without mass-point estimates of unobserved heterogeneous groups of borrowers. The mass point mixed hazard model (MMH) yields larger and more significant coefficients for several important variables in the move model, whereas the MNL model without unobserved heterogeneity performs well with the refinance estimates. The MMH clearly dominates the alternative models in-sample and out-of-sample. However, it is sometimes difficult to obtain convergence for the models estimated jointly with mass points.
Download or read book Mortgage Terminations Heterogeneity and the Exercise of Mortgage Options written by John M. Quigley and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As applied to the behavior of homeowners with mortgages, option theory predicts that mortgage prepayment or default will be exercised if the call or put option is in the money by some specific amount. Our analysis: tests the extent to which the option approach can explain default and prepayment behavior; evaluates the practical importance of modeling both options simultaneously; and models the unobserved heterogeneity of borrowers in the home mortgage market. The paper presents a unified model of the competing risks of mortgage termination by prepayment and default, considering the two hazards as dependent competing risks which are estimated jointly. It also accounts for the unobserved heterogeneity among borrowers, and estimates the unobserved heterogeneity simultaneously with the parameters and baseline hazards associated with prepayment and default functions.Our results show that the option model, in its most straightforward version, does a good job of explaining default and prepayment; but it is not enough by itself. The simultaneity of the options is very important empirically in explaining behavior. The results also show that there exists significant heterogeneity among mortgage borrowers. Ignoring this heterogeneity results in serious errors in estimating the prepayment behavior of homeowners.
Download or read book Mortgage Terminations Heterogeneity and the Exercise of Mortgage Options written by Yongheng Deng and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As applied to the behavior of homeowners with mortgages, option theory predicts that mortgage prepayment or default will be exercised if the call or put option is in the money by some specific amount. Our analysis: tests the extent to which the option approach can explain default and prepayment behavior; evaluates the practical importance of modeling both options simultaneously; and models the unobserved heterogeneity of borrowers in the home mortgage market. The paper presents a unified model of the competing risks of mortgage termination by prepayment and default, considering the two hazards as dependent competing risks which are estimated jointly. It also accounts for the unobserved heterogeneity among borrowers, and estimates the unobserved heterogeneity simultaneously with the parameters and baseline hazards associated with prepayment and default functions. Our results show that the option model, in its most straightforward version, does a good job of explaining default and prepayment; but it is not enough by itself. The simultaneity of the options is very important empirically in explaining behavior. The results also show that there exists significant heterogeneity among mortgage borrowers. Ignoring this heterogeneity results in serious errors in estimating the prepayment behavior of homeowners.
Download or read book Spatial Heterogeneity in Mortgage Terminations by Refinance Sale and Default written by Yongheng Deng and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the impact of spatially correlated unobservable variables on the refinancing, selling, and default decisions of mortgage borrowers. Virtually the entire mortgage literature acknowledges that borrower specific characteristics, such as culture, education, or access to information, play an important role in the mortgage termination decisions. While we do not observe these variables directly, we note that borrowers of similar background tend to cluster together in neighborhoods. We propose a method to take advantage of this information and reconcile the theoretical option-based models of mortgage terminations with the empirical experience of mortgage refinancing, sale, and default.Specifically, we estimate a competing risks hazard model with random effect using a three-stage maximum likelihood estimation (3SMLE) approach with space-varying coefficient method (SVC) to modify the covariance structure according to the spatial distribution of the observations. Beyond a significant improvement of the model performance, this yields a number of insightful implications for mortgage termination behavior. For instance, borrowers of the affluent quot;West Sidequot; of Los Angeles County both refinance and move at a higher rate than predicted by the standard maximum likelihood estimation method. At the same time, borrowers from some lower-valued neighborhoods tend to stay longer than expected with their mortgages and properties. Such findings have direct implications for mortgage pricing and have the potential to ultimately improve the equity and efficiency of the lending markets.
Download or read book Mortgage Loan Characteristics Unobserved Heterogeneity and the Performance of United Kingdom Securitised Sub prime Loans written by Gauthier Lanot and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Economics of the Mortgage Market written by David Leece and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis of the mortgage market is a specialised field but examines a financial market with extremely wide-ranging implications; it affects the stability of the whole economy. The key thing about this analysis is the increasing importance of the secondary mortgage market – which in the US is now several times larger than the market for government debt. The UK secondary mortgage market is also growing and the book will provide a timely resource to those active and interested in this important financial market. The 1990s saw an enormous growth of mortgage market analysis as an academic subject and there is a vast literature scattered among the key real estate journals. There is now a great need to not only bring this very complex subject area together, but also to abstract the main issues and to render them intelligible. The book will provide an organised research resource and also inform and motivate further research into the microeconomics of mortgage markets.
Download or read book Handbook of Asset and Liability Management written by Alexandre Adam and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-03-11 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Handbook of Asset and Liability Management: From Models to Optimal Return Strategies, Alexandre Adam presents a comprehensive guide to Asset and Liability Management. Written from a quantitative perspective with economic explanations, this book will appeal to both mathematicians and non-mathematicians alike as it gives an operational view on the business. Well structured, this book includes essential information on Balance Sheet Items and Products Modeling, Tools for Asset and Liability Managers, as well as Optimal Returns Strategies. Explaining, in detail, all the written and unwritten rules of Asset Liability Management, using up-to-date models and the latest findings, the Handbook of Asset and Liability Management is an essential tool for Asset and Liability Managers both for the present day and the future.
Download or read book Competing Risks of Mortgage Termination written by Andrey D. Pavlov and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why, when, and who terminates their mortgages? The primary reasons for mortgage termination are refinancing, selling of the property, and default. This paper is the first to explicitly model these competing risks within a unified conceptual framework and provide a link between theoretical value maximizing mortgage termination models and empirical estimation. I find, for instance, that the refinancing risk is highly sensitive to interest rate changes and other variables capturing the value of the mortgage. On the other hand, the necessity to relocate, either through sale of the property or default, is sensitive to the local economic conditions but largely independent of the value of the mortgage.
Download or read book Applied Econometrics written by Chia-Lin Chang and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-05-13 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although the theme of the monograph is primarily related to “Applied Econometrics”, there are several theoretical contributions that are associated with empirical examples, or directions in which the novel theoretical ideas might be applied. The monograph is associated with significant and novel contributions in theoretical and applied econometrics; economics; theoretical and applied financial econometrics; quantitative finance; risk; financial modeling; portfolio management; optimal hedging strategies; theoretical and applied statistics; applied time series analysis; forecasting; applied mathematics; energy economics; energy finance; tourism research; tourism finance; agricultural economics; informatics; data mining; bibliometrics; and international rankings of journals and academics.
Download or read book Public Real Estate Markets and Investments written by Harold Kent Baker and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real estate is typically classified as an alternative to more traditional investments such as stocks and bonds. Real estate investing involves the purchase, ownership, management, rental, or sale of real estate for profit. Real estate investments can be both income producing and non-income producing. Although real estate can produce income like a bond and appreciate like a stock, this tangible asset has several unique characteristics as well as advantages and disadvantages relative to other investment alternatives. Benefits of including real estate in a portfolio include diversification, yield enhancement, risk reduction, tax management, and inflation hedging. Unlike traditional investments, investors in real estate have the ability to influence performance. Real estate has drawbacks in that it requires management, is costly and difficult to buy, sell, and operate, and sometimes has lower liquidity. Additionally, measuring the relative performance of real estate can be challenging. The purpose of this 14-chapter book is to provide an overview and synthesis of public real estate markets and investments in a global context. The book discusses the major types and the latest trends within public real estate markets and presents the results of research studies in a straightforward manner. It has three sections: (1) foundations of public real estate, (2) public debt markets and investments, and (3) public equity markets and investments. The book should be interest to various groups including academics, practitioners, investors, and students. Readers should gain a greater appreciation of what is needed for success when investing in public real estate markets. For more information about private real estate, read Private Real Estate Markets and Investments.
Download or read book Household Credit Usage written by B. W. Ambrose and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-10-29 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In response to growing interest in household finance, this collection of essays with a foreword by John Y. Campbell, studies household and consumer use of credit instruments. It shows how individual consumers and households utilize various credit alternatives in managing their consumption and savings and suggests areas for future research.
Download or read book Woodhead Behavior and the Pricing of Residential Mortgages written by Yongheng Deng and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mortgage terminations arise because borrowers exercise options. This paper investigates the non-optimal and apparently irrational behavior of those borrowers who do not terminate their mortgages even when the exercise value of the option is deeply in the money. We develop an option-based empirical model to analyze this phenomenon -- the behavior of irrational or boundedly rational ldquo;woodheads.rdquo; Of course we do not observe ldquo;woodheadsrdquo; explicitly in any body of data. Instead, we analyze correlates of unobserved heterogeneity within a large sample of mortgage holders. We develop a three-stage maximum likelihood (3SML) estimator using martingale transforms to estimate the competing risks of mortgage prepayment and default, recognizing unobserved heterogeneity which in part generates the behavior of ldquo;woodheads.rdquo; The extended model is clearly superior to alternatives on statistical grounds. We then analyze the economic implications of this more powerful model. We analyze the predictions of the model for the valuation and pricing of mortgage pools and mortgage-backed securities. Based upon an extensive Monte Carlo simulation, we find that the 3SML model yields prices for seasoned mortgage pools that deviate quite substantially from more primitive estimates. The results indicate the empirical importance of heterogeneity and the implications of non-optimizing behavior for the valuation and pricing of mortgages and mortgage-backed securities.
Download or read book Journal of Housing Research written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 1430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Contingent Claims and Competing Risks for Mortgage Termination by Prepayment and Default written by Yongheng Deng and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Decomposing the Foreclosure Crisis written by Kristopher Gerardi and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-06 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates a model of foreclosure using a data set that includes every residential mortgage, purchase-and-sale, and foreclosure transaction in Mass. from 1989 to 2008. Addresses the identification issues related to the estimation of the effects of house prices on residential foreclosures. Studies the dramatic increase in foreclosures that occurred in Mass. between 2005 and 2008 and concludes that the foreclosure crisis was primarily driven by the severe decline in housing prices that began in the latter part of 2005, not by a relaxation of underwriting standards. Relaxed underwriting standards severely aggravated the crisis by creating a class of homeowners who were particularly vulnerable to the decline in prices. Charts and tables.
Download or read book Mortgage Valuation Models written by Andrew S. Davidson and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2014 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation of mortgage-backed securities requires blending empirical analysis of borrower behavior and mathematical modeling of interest rates and home prices, with recognition of various prices of risk and uncertainty. This book offers a detailed description of the sophisticated theories and advanced methods used for the real-world valuation of MBS.
