Download or read book United Kingdom 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for the United Kingdom written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-02-23 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The UK’s rapid vaccination campaign enabled it to start to reopen the economy in the Spring of 2021. With highly accommodative policies, the recovery has been faster than expected. However, capacity constraints and rising price pressures have emerged while new Covid-19 variants have raised new uncertainties. The government has allowed all initial pandemic support programs to sunset but has loosened near-term fiscal policy while specifying a back-loaded medium-term consolidation plan. With continued above-target inflation readings, the BoE made a first move to raise the policy rate in December. Macroprudential policies are returning to more standard risk settings. The near-term growth outlook remains strong, but so too are price pressures, while the financial cycle remains ahead of the economic cycle. The pandemic and Brexit have magnified structural challenges. Real GDP would remain below its pre-pandemic trend by about 2–21⁄4 percent in the medium term. Risks are considerable in the period ahead, centering on new Covid-19 waves and spillovers from tensions in Eastern Europe.
Download or read book United Kingdom written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Rising Corporate Market Power written by Ufuk Akcigit and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-15 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Corporate market power has risen in recent decades, and new estimates in this note suggest that the likely wave of small and medium-sized enterprise bankruptcies from the ongoing pandemic will further strengthen market concentration. Whether and how policymakers should address this issue is hotly debated. This note provides new evidence on the policy relevance of rising market power and highlights possible implications for the design of competition policy frameworks and macroeconomic policies.
Download or read book Germany 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for Germany written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-15 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Germany’s economy contracted by just under 5 percent in 2020, outperforming most European peers. But renewed waves of infections and associated lockdowns caused economic activity to plunge again in the first quarter of this year. While the pace of mass vaccination has picked up and the economy has started to reopen, the recovery path is beset with risks, particularly with respect to the progress of the pandemic and supply shortages in major industries. The authorities have maintained appropriately accommodative fiscal and financial policies, and most measures supporting households and firms have been extended through 2021.
Download or read book Australia 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-12-06 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strong health and economic policies allowed for quick economic recovery from initial COVID-19-related lockdowns in 2020. Renewed outbreaks and lockdowns have created setbacks since mid-2021, with disproportionate impacts on some regions, sectors, and workers. Accommodative macroeconomic policies have been instrumental in cushioning the economic impact.
Download or read book United Kingdom written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-06-16 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses key issues related to the economy of the United Kingdom. The U.K. economy has performed well in recent years, but it faces important challenges and risks. In the near term, the largest risks and uncertainties relate to the upcoming European Union (EU) referendum. In the event the United Kingdom stays in the EU, steady growth is expected to continue over the next few years. Macroeconomic policies in the baseline should focus on promoting continued steady growth while reducing vulnerabilities. In particular, monetary policy should remain on hold until inflationary pressures are clearer and to help offset headwinds from fiscal consolidation.
Download or read book Review of the Role of Trade in the Work of the Fund written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-04-03 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper outlines key changes in the global trade landscape in recent years, reviews the role of the Fund in this area, and outlines a trade strategy for the Fund going forward. The analysis points to three key messages. First, while trade has been resilient vis-à-vis recent global shocks, the deteriorating trade policy environment poses risks to the current levels of prosperity. Second, the Fund has responded quickly to key trade developments in its multilateral surveillance, but attention to trade policy has declined pointing to the need of improved expertise. Third, a reinvigorated trade strategy for the Fund would help country authorities to address key challenges, including adjusting to structural changes associated with climate change and new technologies; promoting policy coherence between trade and non-trade objectives such as climate, inequality, and security; and managing rising geopolitical tensions and risks of geo-economic fragmentation.
Download or read book Iceland 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report Staff Statement and Statement by the Executive Director for Iceland written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 77 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Icelandic economy has been severely affected by the pandemic. Sharp tourism contraction and containment measures caused real GDP to plummet by 6.6 percent in 2020. A modest recovery will take hold in 2021. Recovery prospects in the tourism sector depend on control of the epidemic and progress in global and domestic vaccine distribution, spelling a challenging outlook with possibly deep medium-term scarring. Fiscal policy should continue to support the economy for now. Policy buffers accumulated over the last decade provided space for a large fiscal support and accommodated substantial automatic stabilizers. Additional stimulus is planned in 2021 to address still large slack in the economy, mitigate scarring, and provide confidence in the event of downside risks. Medium-term policies should ensure that public debt is firmly on a downward path, while limiting the drag on growth.
Download or read book Panama 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for Panama written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-30 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After over two decades of unprecedented economic expansion, Panama’s economy contracted sharply in 2020 amidst challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic. As conditions rapidly deteriorated, Panama requested financial support under the Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) for 100 percent of quota equivalent to US$0.5 billion (SDR 0.4 billion) to address immediate balance of payments needs, which the IMF Executive Board approved on April 15, 2020. Subsequently, uncertainties magnified, and Panama requested a two-year arrangement under the Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL) for 500 percent of quota, equivalent to US$2.7 billion (SDR 1.9 billion), as insurance against extreme external shocks, which was approved by the IMF Executive Board on January 19, 2021.
Download or read book Kingdom of the Netherlands the Netherlands 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kingdom of the Netherlands the Netherlands written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-11-15 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Dutch economy was more resilient than the average Euro area economy in 2020 owing in part to a high rate of digitalization of activities that allowed a large share of the work force to work remotely, while the strong policy response mitigated the impact of containment measures. A strong recovery is underway, with pre-pandemic GDP level to be exceeded in 2021:Q4, and the labor market has tightened considerably. The economy is forecast to grow by 4.0 percent in 2021 and 3.3 percent in 2022, on the back of strong consumption and investment, supported by increasing coverage of vaccines. Near-term risks to the outlook are roughly balanced, driven by the uncertain trajectory of the pandemic on the downside, while a fuller than expected drawdown of savings accumulated in the pandemic would further support domestic demand and growth. Further out, real estate market developments present additional risks.
Download or read book Malta 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for Malta written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-17 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The fallout from the COVID-19 crisis has hit the Maltese economy hard, particularly its large tourism sector. Using fiscal buffers accumulated prior to the pandemic, the authorities have taken swift actions to support households, businesses, and the healthcare system. With the rapid rollout of COVID-19 vaccine, the economy has reopened for the summer tourism season. While the outlook is surrounded by a high degree of uncertainty, the Maltese economy is expected to rebound by 53⁄4 percent this year, up from -73⁄4 percent in 2020. The financial system has remained stable. In late June 2021, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) put Malta under increased monitoring due to concerns about effectiveness of its anti-money laundering and combatting the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) framework.
Download or read book United Kingdom written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-07-08 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The UK economy is approaching a soft landing, following a mild technical recession in 2023. A modest recovery is projected, with 0.7 percent growth in 2024, strengthening to 1.5 percent in 2025. Inflation has fallen rapidly from double digit levels last year in the context of easing energy prices and tight policies. Assuming wage and services inflation continue to moderate from their current elevated levels, inflation should return durably to target in the first half of 2025. The medium-term outlook is affected by significant public spending pressures, notably in healthcare, and the downshift in labor productivity growth post-GFC, exacerbated by recent adverse shocks (Brexit, COVID, energy price surge). Risks to the outlook are balanced. A general election is scheduled on July 4.
Download or read book United Kingdom written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-07-11 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market stress following the September 2022 'mini-budget' has dissipated, in the context of a successful financial stability intervention by the Bank of England (BoE) and two prudent budgets. Post-Brexit uncertainty has declined somewhat due to the Windsor Framework agreement to resolve disputes around the Northern Ireland Protocol. Still, the economy faces several challenges. The post-pandemic recovery was disrupted by the sharp energy price shock due to Russia’s war in Ukraine; labor force participation has declined, mainly on account of rising long-term illness; and large policy rate increases—needed to arrest high and sticky inflation—have tightened financial conditions. Accordingly, and despite recent upgrades, GDP growth is forecast at a modest 0.4 percent for 2023, followed by 1 percent growth in 2024. Lower energy prices and emerging economic slack is projected to help reduce headline inflation to around 51⁄4 percent by end-2023 and to the 2 percent target by mid-2025. Risks are tilted to the downside for growth and to the upside for inflation. Tighter-than-expected global financial conditions present the key downside risk to growth, while robust wage growth and greater inflation persistence pose upside risks to inflation.
Download or read book Republic of Tajikistan 2021 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by Executive Director for the Republic of Tajikistan written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-02-18 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a strong recovery in train, the authorities are gradually withdrawing the policy stimulus released during the pandemic. Although debt is sustainable, there is a high risk of debt distress. At the same time, financing the Roghun dam project while implementing tax reform remains a key challenge. The financial sector has stabilized, but intermediation remains low. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside due to uncertainty on the pandemic and regional spillovers.
Download or read book United Kingdom written by Michael Deppler and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Taming the Cycles of Finance written by Matthias Thiemann and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2024-01-31 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroprudential regulation is a set of economic and policy tools that aim to mitigate risk in the financial and banking systems. It was largely developed in response to the financial crisis of 2007-08, turning central banks into de facto financial policemen. Taming the Cycles of Finance traces the post-crisis rise of macroprudential regulation and argues that, despite its original aims, it typically supports finance in times of crisis but fails to curb it in times of booms. Investigating how different macroprudential frameworks developed in the UK, the USA and the Eurozone, the book explains how central bank economists went about building early warning systems to identify fragilities in the financial system. It then shows how administrative and political constraints limited the effects of this shift, as central banks were wary of intervening in a discretionary manner and policymakers were opposed to measures to limit credit growth.
Download or read book Development Co operation Report 2023 Debating the Aid System written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2023-02-13 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last three years, multiple global crises and the growing urgency of containing climate change have put current models of development co-operation to, perhaps, their most radical test in decades. The goal of a better world for all seems harder to reach, with new budgetary pressures, demands to provide regional and global public goods, elevated humanitarian needs, and increasingly complex political settings.
