Download or read book Two Essays on Modeling Financial Markets as Complex and Interactive Systems written by Yoonjung Lee and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Complex Dynamics of Economic Interaction written by Mauro Gallegati and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economy is examined by the authors as a complex interactive system. The emphasis is on the direct interaction between agents rather than on the indirect and autonomous interaction through the market mechanism. Contributions from economists and physicists emphasise the consequences for aggregate behaviour of the interaction between agents with limited rationality. Models of financial markets which exhibit many of the stylised facts of empirical markets such as bubbles, herd behaviour and long memory are presented. This includes contributions on bargaining, buyer-seller relations, the evolution of economic networks and several aspects of macro-economic behaviour. This book will be of interest to all those interested in the foundations of collective social and economic behaviour and in particular, to those concerned with the dynamics of market behaviour and recent applications of physics to economics.
Download or read book The Complex Networks of Economic Interactions written by Akira Namatame and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-09 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the mechanism of a socio-economic system requires more than an understanding of the individuals that comprise the system. It also requires understanding how individuals interact with each other, and how the agg- gated outcome can be more than the sum of individual behaviors. This book contains the papers fostering the formation of an active multi-disciplinary community on socio-economic systems with the exciting new ?elds of age- based modeling and econophysics. We especially intend to increase the awareness of researchers in many ?elds with sharing the common view many economic and social activities as collectives of a large-scale heterogeneous and interacting agents. Economists seek to understand not only how individuals behave but also how the interaction of many individuals leads to complex outcomes. Age- based modeling is a method for studying socio-economic systems exhibiting the following two properties: (1) the system is composed of interacting agents, and (2) the system exhibits emergent properties, that is, properties arising from the interactions of the agents that cannot be deduced simply by agg- gating the properties of the system’s components. When the interaction of the agents is contingent on past experience, and especially when the agents continually adapt to that experience, mathematical analysis is typically very limited in its ability to derive the outcome.
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 884 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets written by Hajime Kita and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-06 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book takes up unique agent-based approaches to solving problems related to stock and their derivative markets. Toward this end, the authors have worked for more than 15 years on the development of an artificial market simulator called U-Mart for use as a research and educational tool. A noteworthy feature of the U-Mart simulator compared to other artificial market simulators is that U-Mart is an ultra-realistic artificial stock and their derivative market simulator. For example, it can simulate “arrowhead,” a next-generation trading system used in the Tokyo Stock Exchange and other major markets, as it takes into consideration the institutional design of the entire market. Another interesting feature of the U-Mart simulator is that it permits both human and computer programs to participate simultaneously as traders in the artificial market. In this book, first the details of U-Mart are explained, enabling readers to install and run the simulator on their computers for research and educational purposes. The simulator thus can be used for gaming simulation of the artificial market and even for users as agents to implement their own trading strategies for agent-based simulation (ABS).The book also presents selected research cases using the U-Mart simulator. Here, topics include automated acquisition of trading strategy using artificial intelligence techniques, evaluation of a market maker system to treat thin markets such as those for small and regional businesses, systemic risk analysis of the financial market considering institutional design of the market, and analysis of how humans behave and learn in gaming simulation. New perspectives on artificial market research are provided, and the power, potential, and challenge of ABS are discussed. As explained in this important work, ABS is considered to be an effective tool as the third approach of social science, an alternative to traditional literary and mathematical approaches.
Download or read book Modeling Dynamics of Adaptive Complex Systems written by Min Liu and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 482 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Complexity in Financial Markets written by Matthieu Cristelli and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-08-25 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tools and methods from complex systems science can have a considerable impact on the way in which the quantitative assessment of economic and financial issues is approached, as discussed in this thesis. First it is shown that the self-organization of financial markets is a crucial factor in the understanding of their dynamics. In fact, using an agent-based approach, it is argued that financial markets’ stylized facts appear only in the self-organized state. Secondly, the thesis points out the potential of so-called big data science for financial market modeling, investigating how web-driven data can yield a picture of market activities: it has been found that web query volumes anticipate trade volumes. As a third achievement, the metrics developed here for country competitiveness and product complexity is groundbreaking in comparison to mainstream theories of economic growth and technological development. A key element in assessing the intangible variables determining the success of countries in the present globalized economy is represented by the diversification of the productive basket of countries. The comparison between the level of complexity of a country's productive system and economic indicators such as the GDP per capita discloses its hidden growth potential.
Download or read book Complex Systems Modeling and Simulation in Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-20 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title brings together frontier research on complex economic systems, heterogeneous interacting agents, bounded rationality, and nonlinear dynamics in economics. The book contains the proceedings of the CEF2015 (21st Computing in Economics in Finance), held 20-22 June 2015 in Taipei, Taiwan, and addresses some of the important driving forces for various emergent properties in economies, when viewed as complex systems. The breakthroughs reported in this book are a result of an interdisciplinary approach and simulation remains the unifying theme for these papers as they deal with a wide range of topics in economics. The text is a valuable addition to the efforts in promoting the complex systems view in economic science. The computational experiments reported in the book are both transparent and replicable. Complex System Modeling and Simulation in Economics and Finance is useful for graduate courses of complex systems, with particular focus on economics and finance. At the same time it serves as a good overview for researchers who are interested in the topic.
Download or read book The Economy As An Evolving Complex System II written by W. Brian Arthur and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-05-04 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new view of the economy as an evolving, complex system has been pioneered at the Santa Fe Institute over the last ten years, This volume is a collection of articles that shape and define this view?a view of the economy as emerging from the interactions of individual agents whose behavior constantly evolves, whose strategies and actions are always adapting.The traditional framework in economics portrays activity within an equilibrium steady state. The interacting agents in the economy are typically homogenous, solve well-defined problems using perfect rationality, and act within given legal and social structures. The complexity approach, by contrast, sees economic activity as continually changing?continually in process. The interacting agents are typically heterogeneous, they must cognitively interpret the problems they face, and together they create the structures?markets, legal and social institutions, price patters, expectations?to which they individually react. Such structures may never settle down. Agents may forever adapt and explore and evolve their behaviors within structures that continually emerge and change and disappear?structures these behaviors co-create. This complexity approach does not replace the equilibrium one?it complements it.The papers here collected originated at a recent conference at the Santa Fe Institute, which was called to follow up the well-known 1987 SFI conference organized by Philip Anderson, Kenneth Arrow, and David Pines. They survey the new study of complexity and the economy. They apply this approach to real economic problems and they show the extent to which the initial vision of the 1987 conference has come to fruition.
Download or read book Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting written by Xiaolian Zheng and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-04-23 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting translates experience in system adaptation gained in an engineering context to the modeling of financial markets with a view to improving the capture and understanding of market dynamics. The modeling process is considered as identifying a dynamic system in which a real stock market is treated as an unknown plant and the identification model proposed is tuned by feedback of the matching error. Like a physical system, a financial market exhibits fast and slow dynamics corresponding to external (such as company value and profitability) and internal forces (such as investor sentiment and commodity prices) respectively. The framework presented here, consisting of an internal model and an adaptive filter, is successful at considering both fast and slow market dynamics. A double selection method is efficacious in identifying input factors influential in market movements, revealing them to be both frequency- and market-dependent. The authors present work on both developed and developing markets in the shape of the US, Hong Kong, Chinese and Singaporean stock markets. Results from all these sources demonstrate the efficiency of the model framework in identifying significant influences and the quality of its predictive ability; promising results are also obtained by applying the model framework to the forecasting of major market-turning periods. Having shown that system-theoretic ideas can form the core of a novel and effective basis for stock market analysis, the book is completed by an indication of possible and likely future expansions of the research in this area.
Download or read book Modeling Financial Markets Using Mixed Minority majority Games written by Niki Savjani and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial markets are considered to be a system formed due to the interaction between heterogeneous individuals. Many models have tried emulating it and have tried to uncover the working behind it. Minority Game Model is one such model which has tried to emulate it. It is a game consisting of heterogeneous agents who believe that to gain profit one needs to be in the minority. However, it has been proved that the financial market consists of both fundamentalists (i.e. individuals gaining profit by being in the minority) as well as noise traders (individuals gaining profit by following the herd). So, we have used the Mixed Game Model to emulate financial markets which consists of Minority and Majority game players. Although it has been proved that the mixed game model is a suitable model to imitate financial world, we have observed that it still has many limitations like the two groups of agents have same properties and thus they lack in heterogeneity and also that the life of each agent is constant. But in real world, every individual has a unique memory and learning ability and will join and leave the markets as well. To improve on these limitations we have created the model, "Highly Heterogeneous Model" which removes both of these limitations. Also, we show that the new improved game improves the performance of the majority game players by 2.35 % and minority game players by 4.45 %. Apart from this we observed that all the models which have emulated financial market by using Minority Game have concentrated on the combined effect of agents of financial factors like prices, returns and volatilities i.e. they are synchronous. With the availability of high frequency data, its analysis has been continuously gaining importance in recent years. We have thus also studied this behavior of market using the asynchronous form of the game known as the "Asynchronous Mixed Game Model". We finally also prove that the Highly Heterogeneous Game represents the daily time series and the Asynchronous Mixed Game represents the high frequency time series of real financial world.
Download or read book Agent Based Approaches in Economics and Social Complex Systems IX written by Utomo Sarjono Putro and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-05-02 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book includes many cases that provide new perspectives in developing agent-based modeling and simulation. The real problems are complex, and sophisticated methodology is needed to handle them. Agent-based modeling and simulation is one methodology that provides a bottom-up experimental approach applicable to social sciences such as economics, management, sociology, and politics as well as some engineering fields dealing with social activities. However, to improve the applicability of agent-based modeling and simulation methods, a new perspective is needed. In this book, that new perspective is developed and utilized to deal with many cases of real-world problems such as the supply chain, land use and land cover, transportation, health, services, economics, and social problems. The cases are selected from papers presented at the Ninth International Workshop on Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems held in Bali, Indonesia, in 2015. At the workshop, 29 reviewed full papers were presented, and of those, 16 were selected to be included in this volume.
Download or read book Advances in data driven approaches and modeling of complex systems written by Mohd Hafiz Mohd and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2023-06-27 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems and confronts the nonlinear dynamic models with empirical stylized facts and laboratory experiments. The complexity modeling paradigm has been strongly advocated since the late 1980s by some economists and by multidisciplinary scientists from various fields, such as physics, computer science and biology. More recently the complexity view has also drawn the attention of policy makers, who are faced with complex phenomena, irregular fluctuations and sudden, unpredictable market transitions. The complexity tools - bifurcations, chaos, multiple equilibria - discussed in this book will help students, researchers and policy makers to build more realistic behavioral models with heterogeneous expectations to describe financial market movements and macro-economic fluctuations, in order to better manage crises in a complex global economy.
Download or read book Reasoning Action and Interaction in AI Theories and Systems written by Oliviero Stock and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-04 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present book is a festschrift in honor of Luigia Carlucci Aiello. The 18 articles included are written by former students, friends, and international colleagues, who have cooperated with Luigia Carlucci Aiello, scientifically or in AI boards or committees. The contributions by reputed researchers span a wide range of AI topics and reflect the breadth and depth of Aiello's own work.
Download or read book Large Scale Complex IT Systems Development Operation and Management written by Radu Calinescu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-10-12 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the thoroughly refereed and revised post-workshop proceedings of the 17th Monterey Workshop, held in Oxford, UK, in March 2012. The workshop explored the challenges associated with the Development, Operation and Management of Large-Scale complex IT Systems. The 21 revised full papers presented were significantly extended and improved by the insights gained from the productive and lively discussions at the workshop, and the feedback from the post-workshop peer reviews.
Download or read book Global Analysis of Dynamic Models in Economics and Finance written by Gian Italo Bischi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-08-07 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays in this special volume survey some of the most recent advances in the global analysis of dynamic models for economics, finance and the social sciences. They deal in particular with a range of topics from mathematical methods as well as numerous applications including recent developments on asset pricing, heterogeneous beliefs, global bifurcations in complementarity games, international subsidy games and issues in economic geography. A number of stochastic dynamic models are also analysed. The book is a collection of essays in honour of the 60th birthday of Laura Gardini.
