Download or read book Trade Flows Multilateral Resistance and Firm Heterogeneity written by Mr.Alberto Behar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-12-20 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a gravity model that accounts for multilateral resistance, firm heterogeneity and country-selection into trade, while accommodating asymmetries in trade flows. A new equation for the proportion of exporting firms takes a gravity form, such that the extensive margin is also affected by multilateral resistance. We develop Taylor approximated multilateral resistance terms with which to capture the comparative static effects of changes in trade costs. For isolated bilateral changes in trade frictions, multilateral resistance effects are small for most countries. However, if all countries reduce their trade frictions, the impact of multilateral resistance is so strong that bilateral trade falls in most cases, despite the larger trade elasticities implied by firm heterogeneity. As a consequence, the world-wide trade response, though positive, is much lower.

Download or read book The Impact of Policy Restrictions on Services Trade written by Antoine Gervais and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Standard techniques used to estimate gravity equations, the workhorse empirical model in international trade, rely on bilateral variation to identify the effect of trade barriers on bilateral trade flows. This prevents the estimation of any exporter- or importer-specific trade barriers. To address this shortcoming, I develop a method that estimates the effects of country-level variables on trade between countries in the presence of firm heterogeneity and country selection into trade, a natural extension of existing empirical models of international trade. The method relies on the theoretical structure of a model of international trade to generate empirical measures of multilateral resistance and fixed production costs for each country. I implement the method in services data, where measures of services trade policy currently available provide information on the average level of regulations restricting entry into an importing country. I find that policy barriers are statistically significant and quantitatively important in predicting services trade flows. Further, consistent with the theoretical model, I find that increases in measured importer and exporter fixed costs reduce bilateral trade.

Download or read book Aggregate Implications of Firm Heterogeneity written by Rodrigo Adão and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We measure the role of firm heterogeneity in counterfactual predictions of monopolistic competition trade models without parametric restrictions on the distribution of firm fundamentals. We show that two bilateral elasticity functions are sufficient to nonparametrically compute the counterfactual aggregate impact of trade shocks, and recover changes in economic fundamentals from observed data. These functions are identified from two semiparametric gravity equations governing the impact of bilateral trade costs on the extensive and intensive margins of firm-level exports. Applying our methodology, we estimate elasticity functions that imply an impact of trade costs on trade flows that falls when more firms serve a market because of smaller extensive margin responses. Compared to a baseline where elasticities are constant, firm heterogeneity amplifies both the gains from trade in countries with more exporter firms and the welfare gains of European market integration in 2003-2012.

Download or read book Firm Heterogeneity and Political Economy of International Trade written by Esra Ergul and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this dissertation I examine a set of crucial topics in the political economy of international trade, with an emphasis on firm-level heterogeneity. The first chapter is an empirical study of the new trade theories in which firm heterogeneity and trade costs play central roles in shaping the patterns of international trade. It examines the empirical basis for the theoretical insights offered by Helpman, Melitz, and Rubinstein (QJE 2008), HMR. A crucial element in this analysis is identifying a variable that affects the fixed costs of exporting from one country to another, but not the variable costs (0́−excluded variable0́+). We argue that the nature of the variable that HMR had selected for this purpose and some errors in the dataset weaken their empirical case for the theoretical observations. We propose an alternative 0́−excluded variable0́+ that addresses those concerns. It benefits from the existence of panel data contemporaneous with the trade data and it fulfills the empirical requirements for an excluded variable regardless of the model specification. The results confirm HMR0́9s finding that firm heterogeneity plays a significant role in the response of trade volumes to trade costs. However, the magnitude of selection and heterogeneity biases in trade elasticities caused by the absence of appropriate corrections are smaller than those presented in HMR. The option to use panel data opens up possibilities for further research on the role of country-level variables in shaping trade patterns. We examine two such variables0́4GDP and Rule of Law0́4and find that they have tangible effects on shaping trade, though not as strong as often found in traditional gravity regressions. Our study also casts doubt on the use of some bilateral indicators, such as common religion and language, proposed as alternative excluded variables. Instead, it points to other indicators that may be useful in the future studies of trade flows and related topics. The second chapter examines the determinants of formations of trade partnerships and bilateral flows in oil trade and how these factors ultimately affect the world prices and trade pattern. We use the approach developed by HMR to specify and estimate a model of bilateral oil trade controlling for the role of selection in partnership formation and source heterogeneity in the flow of oil among countries. The results show that ignoring these controls introduces significant biases in the estimation of the elasticities of oil trade with respect to its determinants. We employ the estimation results to analyze the role of various factors in the formation of partnerships and bilateral flows in oil trade and examine how these factors affect the cost of oil for each country and their ultimate impact on world prices and trade pattern. We use the model to carry out a series of global equilibrium simulation exercises to demonstrate the usefulness of the model. In particular, we show that for the rise in oil prices during 1997-2007 to have been caused by economic growth around the world, the demand and supply price elasticities must have been closer to their short run estimates found in the literature. Moreover, relatively high growth in OECD countries followed by rapid growth in transition countries and India and China account for the bulk of the rise in global oil prices. We also show that the model can be used to explore various scenarios of oil price responses to international security issues, especially the conflicts of Iran with the West. Finally, the third chapter analyzes the bilateral trade patterns of oil substitutes around the world and how it links with the crude oil trade. We construct price and quantity indices for three forms of energy0́4natural gas, coal and electricity (GCE)0́4that are substitutes for each other and oil. In order to estimate a model of bilateral trade in GCE forms of energy we use the approach developed by HMR. We use the model to carry out a series of global equilibrium simulation exercises. We show that the rise in GCE prices during 1997-2007 may be explained by economic growth around the world, with an estimated long-run price elasticity of world supply of GCE which is around 0.60. Moreover, high growth in China and India followed by rapid growth in transition countries and OECD countries account for the bulk of the rise in global GCE prices. We also show that the model can be used to explore various scenarios of GCE price responses to international conflict issues.

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis written by Marc Bacchetta and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Trade flows and trade policies need to be properly quantified to describe, compare, or follow the evolution of policies between sectors or countries or over time. This is essential to ensure that policy choices are made with an appropriate knowledge of the real conditions. This practical guide introduces the main techniques of trade and trade policy data analysis. It shows how to develop the main indexes used to analyze trade flows, tariff structures, and non-tariff measures. It presents the databases needed to construct these indexes as well as the challenges faced in collecting and processing these data, such as measurement errors or aggregation bias. Written by experts with practical experience in the field, A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis has been developed to contribute to enhance developing countries' capacity to analyze and implement trade policy. It offers a hands-on introduction on how to estimate the distributional effects of trade policies on welfare, in particular on inequality and poverty. The guide is aimed at government experts engaged in trade negotiations, as well as students and researchers involved in trade-related study or research. An accompanying DVD contains data sets and program command files required for the exercises. Copublished by the WTO and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

Download or read book Handbook of International Trade and Transportation written by Bruce A. Blonigen and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2018-01-26 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International trade has grown rapidly over the past half century, accommodated by the transportation industry through concomitant growth and technological change. But while the connection between transport and trade flows is clear, the academic literature often looks at these two issues separately. This Handbook is unique in pulling together the key insights of each field while highlighting what we know about their intersection and ideas for future research in this relatively unexamined but growing area of study.

Download or read book Advances in Geoeconomics written by J Mark Munoz and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While geopolitics has captured global attention, geoeconomics is the often hidden force that governs countries’ relationships. It is the economic psyche that shapes the new world order. Geoeconomics refers to the intersection of economic factors, relationships and conditions on global events. A country’s political and business alignments have an impact on individuals, companies and on future economic stability. This book assembles leading scholars and experts from around the world to advance current thinking on geoeconomics. It is a thorough and authoritative reference work on world economics that aims to shape strategy formulation in business and government for years to come by expanding understanding on the topic of geoeconomics, analyzing the implications of international geoeconomic events, and providing the reader with theoretical and practical approaches on the management of geoeconomics. Geoeconomic concepts in this book will prove timely and highly insightful to students, academics, executives, entrepreneurs, government officials, consultants and policymakers.

Download or read book Champions Wanted written by Mélise Jaud and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2015-04-21 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While other emerging regions were thriving, MENA's aggregate export performance over the past two decades has been consistently weak. Using detailed firm-level export data from Customs administrations, this report explains why. One central finding is that the size distribution of MENA's exporting firms is suggestive of a critical weakness at the top. With the exception of the top firm, MENA's elite exporters are smaller and weaker compared to their peers in other regions. The largest exporter is alone at the top-Zidane without a team. MENA countries have failed to nurture a group of export superstars which critically contribute to export success in other regions. Part of the reason behind weak export performance is the lack of a competitive real exchange rate. The deleterious effects of an uncompetitive currency can be traced all the way down to the firm, hurting expansion at the intensive and extensive margin and preventing the emergence of export take-offs. The lack of heavy weight exporters at the top of the distribution also reflects the region's failure to push for trade and business climate reforms energetically. Finally, MENA's prevalent cronyism and corruption under pre-Arab Spring regimes (at least) confirms that business-government ties led to distortionary allocation of favors and rent dissipation by beneficiary firms, with little evidence that those firms developed into national champions or helped lift the region's export performance. The possibility of state capture in itself should call for caution when advocating any form of government intervention. In contrast, some interventions, like export promotion programs show effects on small exporters. However, because these firms are marginal in trade, such programs cannot be game changers. More broadly, the success of MENA countries in promoting export growth and diversification as well as generating jobs depends heavily on their ability to create an environment where large firms can invest and expand exports and new, efficient firms can rise to the top.

Download or read book International Trade and International Finance written by Malabika Roy and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-26 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a collection of papers on international trade and international finance, instead of treating the two as disjoint fields of study. The volume, while focusing on the recent developments and frontiers of research in international trade and international finance, also emphasizes the inherent integrated nature of the two subjects; some of the papers are overlapping across the two areas. A unique feature of the proposed volume is that it unravels some new issues in addition to re-examining certain old issues in a new perspective and thus covers wide ranging issues with an emphasis on policy. The book covers issues mostly relating to emerging market economies, which has increasingly assumed importance in the context of globalization. The book contains some survey papers covering the frontiers of current knowledge on important themes like recent developments in trade theory and empirics, foreign exchange market, institutions in trade and finance, interrelation and interaction between international trade and international finance. The papers, fruit of rigorous and original research, are written by internationally and nationally reputed authors along with promising young researchers on the subjects. The book substantially contributes to the growing literature on issues relating to trade and international finance in emerging market economies and extends the frontiers of knowledge. The book is expected to have the widest possible readership comprising of advanced undergraduate and graduate students as well as senior researchers working in international trade and international finance.

Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin March 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-15 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Research Summaries in the March 2013 Research Bulletin discuss "Trade Finance and Its Role in the Great Trade Collapse" (JaeBin Ahn) and "Sovereign Debt: How to Track Who Is Buying and Selling It" (Serkan Arslanalp and Takahiro Tsuda). The Q&A looks at "Seven Questions on the Implications of Global Supply Chains for Real Effective Exchange Rates" (Rudolfs Bems). Readers can also find in this issue a listing of recent IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from IMF Publications. The Bulletin also includes a call for papers for a research conference and information on free access to the IMF Economic Review in April.

Download or read book Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms written by Andrew B. Bernard and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how country, industry and firm characteristics interact in general equilibrium to determine nations' responses to trade liberalization. When firms possess heterogeneous productivity, countries differ in relative factor abundance and industries vary in factor intensity, falling trade costs induce reallocations of resources both within and across industries and countries. These reallocations generate substantial job turnover in all sectors, spur relatively more creative destruction in comparative advantage industries than comparative disadvantage industries, and magnify ex ante comparative advantage to create additional welfare gains from trade. The relative ascendance of high-productivity firms within industries boosts aggregate productivity and drives down consumer prices. In contrast with the neoclassical model, these price declines dampen and can even reverse the real wage losses of scarce factors as countries liberalize.

Download or read book The Gravity Model in International Trade written by Peter A. G. van Bergeijk and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-06-10 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do borders affect trade? Are cultural and institutional differences important for trade? Is environmental policy relevant to trade? How does one's income or wage relate to the fact that trade partners are nearby or far away? These are just some of the important questions that can be answered using the gravity model of international trade. This model predicts and explains bilateral trade flows in terms of the economic size and distance between trading partners (e.g. states, regions, countries, trading blocs). In recent years, there has been a surge of interest in this model and it is now one of the most widely applied tools in applied international economics. This book traces the history of the gravity model and takes stock of recent methodological and theoretical advances, including new approximations for multilateral trade resistance, insightful analyses of the measurement of economic distance and analyses of foreign direct investment.

Download or read book The Trade Impact of European Union Preferential Policies written by Luca De Benedictis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-21 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book investigates the EU preferential trade policy and, in particular, the impact it had on trade flows from developing countries. It shows that the capability of the "trade as aid" model to deliver its expected benefits to these countries crucially differs between preferential schemes and sectors. The book takes an eclectic but rigorous approach to the econometric analysis by combining different specifications of the gravity model. An in-depth presentation of the gravity model is also included, providing significant insights into the distinctive features of this technique and its state-of-art implementation. The evidence produced in the book is extensively applied to the analysis of the EU preferential policies with substantial suggestions for future improvement. Additional electronic material to replicate the book's analysis (datasets and Gams and Stata 9.0 routines) can be found in the Extra Materials menu on the website of the book.

Download or read book Search Externalities in Firm to Firm Trade written by John Spray and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-19 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I develop a model of firm-to-firm search and matching to show that the impact of falling trade costs on firm sourcing decisions and consumer welfare depends on the relative size of search externalities in domestic and international markets. These externalities can be positive if firms share information about potential matches, or negative if the market is congested. Using unique firm-to-firm transaction-level data from Uganda, I document empirical evidence consistent with positive externalities in international markets and negative externalities in domestic markets. I then build a dynamic quantitative version of the model and show that, in Uganda, a 25% reduction in trade costs led to a 3.7% increase in consumer welfare, 12% of which was due to search externalities.

Download or read book Globalization written by Bent Jesper Christensen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-03-07 with total page 609 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume uses cutting-edge theory and empirical analysis of channels of international interaction to build new knowledge about strategies of entrepreneurs, domestic and multinational firms, governments, and international organizations facing increasing globalization. The ongoing process of globalization implies the continuing expansion and intensification of economic, political, social, cultural and judicial relations across borders. It is furthered by reductions in transportation and communication costs, the rise of new information technologies, such as the internet, and liberalizations in the markets for goods, services, labor, capital, and technology. Globalization presents new opportunities to some, but risks and threats to others. The volume presents new research and findings by leading scholars on international trade, labor markets, financial markets, economic integration, political science, law, management, the humanities, developing countries, and international relations.

Download or read book Constraints on Trade in the LAC Region written by Ms. Rina Bhattacharya and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-02-16 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies Latin America and the Caribbean’s (LAC) trade performance in recent years and estimates the salience of key country-specific factors in explaining underperformance in some sub-regions within LAC. First, the paper documents that, while the average country in the region displays aggregate trade values that are consistent with a standard gravity model, there is substantial heterogeneity across sub-regions and product-types. The paper then estimates an augmented gravity specification that includes proxies for the quality of infrastructure, the availability and quality of factors of production, and governance. Results point to infrastructure and customs regulation as key factors explaining undertrading in manufacturing in most sub-regions. Factors of production partly explain South America’s underpeformance in manufacturing while governance explains undertrading across most product groups, but neither set of factors play a significant role in other sub-regions.

Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 7493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.