Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2006-11-16 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium written by Bradford Cornell and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1999-05-26 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Das Thema Risikoprämie für Aktien (Equity Risk Premium) wird hier zum ersten Mal verständlich erklärt. Die Risikoprämie für Aktien stellt einen Renditeausgleich dar für das erhöhte Risiko, das ein Anleger bei der Investition in Aktien eingeht, im Vergleich zu einer Investition in risikofreie Staatsanleihen. Die Risikoprämie ist zwar von der Theorie her einfach, jedoch in der Praxis ein sehr komplexes Phänomen. Für Finanzentscheidungen ist es von größter Bedeutung, daß man das Prinzip der Risikoprämie versteht und es anwenden kann. Cornell erläutert das Thema Schritt für Schritt sehr anschaulich und ohne terminologischen Ballast. Zunächst wird die Risikoprämie im Zusammenhang mit der Geschichte des Aktienmarktes betrachtet. Der Haussemarkt der 90er dient dabei als Fallstudie. Cornell zeigt, welche Rückschlüsse man durch die Analyse der Risikoprämie im historischen Verlauf für den Aktienmarkt ziehen kann, z.B. ob Aktienkurse steigen oder fallen oder ob sich der Aktienmarkt verändert. Vorausschauende Schätzungen der Risikoprämie werden anhand verschiedener konkurrierender Modelle analysiert, wobei die Vorzüge der jeweiligen Methode mitbewertet werden. 'Equity Risk Premium' ist das erste Buch, das dieses wichtige Prinzip der Risiko-Nutzen-Analyse erschöpfend behandelt. Es vermittelt einen tiefen Einblick und deckt alle Grundlagen ab, damit Investoren fundierte Finanzentscheidungen treffen können. Ein absolutes Muß für institutionelle Anleger, Geldmanager und Finanzvorstände, die auf eine fundierte Marktanalyse zurückgreifen müssen. (06/99)

Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2006-11-16 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

Download or read book The Unpredictable Certainty written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-03-05 with total page 631 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a key component of the NII 2000 project of the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board, a set of white papers that contributed to and complements the project's final report, The Unpredictable Certainty: Information Infrastructure Through 2000, which was published in the spring of 1996. That report was disseminated widely and was well received by its sponsors and a variety of audiences in government, industry, and academia. Constraints on staff time and availability delayed the publication of these white papers, which offer details on a number of issues and positions relating to the deployment of information infrastructure.

Download or read book Stock Market Crashes Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them written by William T Ziemba and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2017-08-30 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Overall, the book provides an interesting and useful synthesis of the authors’ research on the predictions of stock market crashes. The book can be recommended to anyone interested in the Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential model, and similar methods to predict crashes.'Quantitative FinanceThis book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.

Download or read book Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium written by Rajnish Mehra and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-08-11 with total page 635 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.

Download or read book Principles and Practice of Property Valuation in Australia written by David Parker and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-10-01 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a clear outline of the key principles underlying property valuation and the current techniques and issues in the practice of valuation for the major sectors of the Australian real estate market. Formerly titled Valuation Principles and Practice, this entirely new third edition comprises Australia's leading advanced valuation textbook. The first part of the book, Principles of valuation, comprises chapters written by globally recognised academics and specialists on the principles of law, economics, planning, policy and finance, all in the context of property valuation. The second part of the book, Practice of valuation, comprises chapters written by acknowledged expert valuers on the practice of valuation for key property sectors including residential, retail, commercial, industrial, leisure and rural. Further, chapters also cover valuations for purposes including lending, insurance, rating, taxation and financial reporting. The most up to date valuation text for the Australian market, this book will appeal to both valuation practitioners and undergraduate/postgraduate students as well as to accountants, lawyers and professionals dealing with property valuation issues.

Download or read book Studies on the Behavior of Equity Markets written by Achla Marathe and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 1998 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a practical understanding of issues surrounding the efficiency, volatility, and integration of equity markets and their interaction with special applications to developed and developing countries. Investigates whether the opening of emerging markets to foreign investors is facilitating the efficiency and integration of these markets with global markets, and performs a case study on the equity market in Korea to understand the extent of the impact of equity market liberalization on domestic market fundamentals. Contains chapters on predicting stock returns using components of output, recessionary and non-recessionary markets, stock market bubbles, and macroeconomic determinants of emerging stock markets. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Download or read book Musings on Markets Articles from 2020 2024 written by Martin Kilarski and published by Martin Kilarski. This book was released on with total page 1369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the ever-evolving world of finance, clarity and insight are precious commodities. Enter Professor Aswath Damodaran, the mind behind the influential blog "Musings on Markets." This unassuming corner of the internet, launched in 2008, serves as a platform for his insightful commentary on current financial events, valuation methodologies, and emerging trends. Damodaran's ability to break down complex financial concepts into digestible terms has made him a beloved figure among investors and students. Professor Damodaran, or "Aswath" as he's affectionately known to his readers, isn't your typical Wall Street guru. His writing is refreshingly devoid of jargon, laced with wit, and grounded in a passion for demystifying complex financial concepts. Think of "Musings on Markets" as your friendly neighborhood professor, patiently explaining the intricate workings of financial markets through clear explanations, insightful analyses, and a healthy dose of real-world examples. Aswath Damodaran is a distinguished professor of finance at the Stern School of Business, New York University. Renowned for his groundbreaking work in corporate finance and valuation, Damodaran has been instrumental in shaping the field's methodologies and applications. Born in India, Damodaran pursued his academic journey in the United States, earning his Ph.D. in finance from the University of Michigan. His early career was marked by a deep dive into the intricacies of capital markets and corporate valuation, a fascination that has remained a constant throughout his illustrious career. Damodaran's academic prowess is evident in his extensive publications. He is the author of several highly acclaimed textbooks, including "Investment Valuation," "Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice," and "Applied Corporate Finance: A User's Guide." These books are considered essential reading for students, practitioners, and academics alike, providing invaluable insights into the theory and practice of finance. His contributions to the field of finance have not gone unnoticed. Damodaran has been recognized with numerous awards and honors, including the Graham and Dodd Award from the Financial Analysts Journal and the Distinguished Scholar Award from the Academy of Financial Management. Aswath Damodaran's legacy extends far beyond his academic achievements. His dedication to teaching, research, and public outreach has inspired countless individuals to pursue careers in finance and has significantly advanced the field of corporate valuation.

Download or read book Musings on Markets Articles from 2015 2019 written by Martin Kilarski and published by Martin Kilarski. This book was released on with total page 1502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the ever-evolving world of finance, clarity and insight are precious commodities. Enter Professor Aswath Damodaran, the mind behind the influential blog "Musings on Markets." This unassuming corner of the internet, launched in 2008, serves as a platform for his insightful commentary on current financial events, valuation methodologies, and emerging trends. Damodaran's ability to break down complex financial concepts into digestible terms has made him a beloved figure among investors and students. Professor Damodaran, or "Aswath" as he's affectionately known to his readers, isn't your typical Wall Street guru. His writing is refreshingly devoid of jargon, laced with wit, and grounded in a passion for demystifying complex financial concepts. Think of "Musings on Markets" as your friendly neighborhood professor, patiently explaining the intricate workings of financial markets through clear explanations, insightful analyses, and a healthy dose of real-world examples. Aswath Damodaran is a distinguished professor of finance at the Stern School of Business, New York University. Renowned for his groundbreaking work in corporate finance and valuation, Damodaran has been instrumental in shaping the field's methodologies and applications. Born in India, Damodaran pursued his academic journey in the United States, earning his Ph.D. in finance from the University of Michigan. His early career was marked by a deep dive into the intricacies of capital markets and corporate valuation, a fascination that has remained a constant throughout his illustrious career. Damodaran's academic prowess is evident in his extensive publications. He is the author of several highly acclaimed textbooks, including "Investment Valuation," "Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice," and "Applied Corporate Finance: A User's Guide." These books are considered essential reading for students, practitioners, and academics alike, providing invaluable insights into the theory and practice of finance. His contributions to the field of finance have not gone unnoticed. Damodaran has been recognized with numerous awards and honors, including the Graham and Dodd Award from the Financial Analysts Journal and the Distinguished Scholar Award from the Academy of Financial Management. Aswath Damodaran's legacy extends far beyond his academic achievements. His dedication to teaching, research, and public outreach has inspired countless individuals to pursue careers in finance and has significantly advanced the field of corporate valuation.

Download or read book Investment Valuation written by Aswath Damodaran and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2024-12-24 with total page 1143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updated edition of the definitive guide to investment valuation tools and techniques Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset delves into valuation techniques for a variety of different asset classes, including real options, start-up firms, unconventional assets, distressed companies and private equity, real estate, and many more, and explains how to choose the right model for any given asset valuation scenario. The models are presented with real-world examples so as to capture some of the problems inherent in applying these models, with discussion of differences and common elements between the models to provide readers with a holistic understanding of the subject matter. Written by a professor of finance who is widely regarded as one of the best educators and thinkers on the topic of investment valuation, this newly revised and updated Fourth Edition explores topics including: Understanding financial statements, the basics of risk, and tests and evidence for market efficiency Estimating risk parameters and costs of financing, terminal value, and equity value per share Using scenario analysis, decision trees, and simulations for probabilistic approaches in valuation Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset is an essential resource for all investors and students of financial markets seeking an all-in-one guide to expand their valuation knowledge and make better investment decisions.

Download or read book 2017 Valuation Handbook U S Guide to Cost of Capital written by Roger J. Grabowski and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-04-10 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ensure that you're using the most up-to-date data available: Buy the 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital + Quarterly PDF Updates together! The New Industry Standard in Business Valuation Reference Materials 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital provides the key annual valuation data previously published in (i) the now discontinued Morningstar/Ibbotson SBBI Valuation Yearbook (discontinued in 2013), and (ii) the Duff & Phelps Risk Premium Report Study (no longer published as a stand-alone publication). The size premia data previously published in the SBBI Valuation Yearbook is referred to as the "CRSP Deciles Size Premia" exhibits in the new 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital, while the size and risk premia data published in the Duff & Phelps Risk Premium Report Study has been published annually since 1996 and, like the former SBBI Valuation Yearbook, provides data and methodology that can be used to develop cost of equity capital estimates using (i) the build-up method and (ii) the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital includes data through December 31, 2016, and is intended to be used for 2017 valuation dates. For more information about Duff & Phelps valuation data resources published by Wiley, please visit www.wiley.com/go/valuationhandbooks. Also Available 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Industry Cost of Capital 2017 Valuation Handbook – International Guide to Cost of Capital 2017 Valuation Handbook – International Industry Cost of Capital Key Features Key cost of capital inputs: The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital provides the key inputs needed for developing the cost of equity capital (i.e., "discount rate") for use in estimating the value of a subject business, business ownership interest, security, or intangible asset. Inputs provided include: equity risk premia, size premia, risk premia over the risk free rate, full-information industry betas, industry risk premia, and the risk-free rate. Discussion of topics that come up most when performing valuation analysis: The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital includes straightforward discussions about: (i) valuation theory, (ii) the differences between the various cost of capital estimation models (build-up, CAPM, Fama-French), (iii) understanding the basic building blocks of cost of equity capital (the risk-free rate, the equity risk premium, the size premium, beta, the industry risk premium, the company-specific risk premium), (iv) whether to "normalize" risk-free rates or not, (v) a detailed comparison of the CRSP Deciles Size Premia Study (the former SBBI Valuation Yearbook data) and the Risk Premium Report Study, and more. Easy-to-follow examples: The 2017 Valuation Handbook – U.S. Guide to Cost of Capital is packed with easy-to-understand examples for properly using the data to develop levered, unlevered, and even "high-financial-risk" cost of equity capital estimates using various build-up methods and CAPM.

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Download or read book Stock Market Volatility written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-04-08 with total page 654 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel

Download or read book Financial Economics written by Antonio Mele and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2022-11-22 with total page 1147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive reference for financial economics, balancing theoretical explanations, empirical evidence, and the practical relevance of knowledge in the field. This volume offers a comprehensive, integrated treatment of financial economics, tracking the major milestones in the field and providing methodological tools. Doing so, it balances theoretical explanations, empirical evidence, and practical relevance. It illustrates nearly a century of theoretical advances with a vast array of models, showing how real phenomena (and, at times, market practice) have helped economists reformulate existing theories. Throughout, the book offers examples and solved problems that help readers understand the main lessons conveyed by the models analyzed. The book provides a unique and authoritative reference for the field of financial economics. Part I offers the foundations of the field, introducing asset evaluation, information problems in asset markets and corporate finance, and methods of statistical inference. Part II explains the main empirical facts and the challenges these pose for financial economists, which include excess price volatility, market liquidity, market dysfunctionalities, and the countercyclical behavior of market volatility. Part III covers the main instruments that protect institutions against the volatilities and uncertainties of capital markets described in part II. Doing so, it relies on models that have become the market standard, and incorporates practices that emerged from the 2007–2008 financial crisis.

Download or read book Financial Market History Reflections on the Past for Investors Today written by David Chambers and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the 2008 financial crisis, a resurgence of interest in economic and financial history has occurred among investment professionals. This book discusses some of the lessons drawn from the past that may help practitioners when thinking about their portfolios. The book’s editors, David Chambers and Elroy Dimson, are the academic leaders of the Newton Centre for Endowment Asset Management at the University of Cambridge in the United Kingdom.

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.