Download or read book The Impact of Stock Index Futures Trading on Daily Returns Seasonality written by Michael D. McKenzie and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this article, we investigate the impact of the introduction of stock index futures trading on the daily returns seasonality of the underlying index for seven national markets. It has been previously argued that the introduction of futures trading should lead to reduced seasonality of mean returns, and generally our results support this conclusion. The impact of index futures introduction on return autocorrelations and volatility is also tested, and the evidence presented suggests that futures trading has no impact on the former, although a change in the seasonal for the latter was detected.
Download or read book Seasonal Stock Market Trends written by Jay Kaeppel and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-12-22 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a seasonal bias to the stock market, and by paying attention to the seasonal market tendencies you can gain an edge in the stock market over the long haul. Seasonality offers a practical approach to investing and trading. What better way to learn how to employ seasonal systems than learning from Jay Kaeppel, a master in the analysis of seasonal trends? Kaeppel walks you through this phenomenon that continues to work consistently, providing you with his ultimate seasonal index to make the calendar work for you. Stock Market Seasonals provides a never-before-seen definitive guide that illustrates how to utilize a combination of four basic seasonal tendencies in order to maximize returns.
Download or read book Seasonality written by Jake Bernstein and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-03-30 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: a groundbreaking look at trading the markets with one of the most important forecasting tools available . . . "If you've ever wondered about the validity of seasonals or how to trade them, buy this book now!" --Glen Larson, Genesis Data Services "Jake does it again. This time his extensive research really leaps out as he makes seasonal trading easy to understand and a very useful tool for any commodity trader." --Jeffrey H. Fox, Fox Investments. Is there a "holy grail" of price prediction? Traders have long been in pursuit of one, and while a handful of strategies, techniques, and methodologies have proven noteworthy, the search continues for the ultimate forecasting instrument --if one does indeed exist. The theory and methods of seasonality may well prove to be a step in the right direction to this goal. In this unique new book, a leading seasonal trading analyst examines seasonality in-depth, elucidating the concise principles, numerous advantages, and enormous potential that make it one of the most important --and effective --methods currently available for targeting futures price trends. Over the years, considerable attention has been paid to the effects of interest rates, money supply, earnings, inflation, and other key factors on stock and commodity prices. Yet, the immense impact of seasonal price tendencies has been either grossly underestimated or completely ignored. Often overlooked, but equally significant, seasonality is based on the assumption that seasonal influences cause biases in the movement of market prices. Among its many advantages, seasonality allows the trader to formulate objective decisions founded on a logical, verifiable, and operational methodology, creating a backdrop of probable market trends in most time frames and in most markets, and providing historically valid input for use as an adjunct to other analytical methods and timing indicators. The essence of seasonality is found in its lengthy history and statistically testable methodologies. However, seasonal correlations are not 100 percent foolproof. Using seasonal data to time the market involves an unavoidable degree of subjectivity --unless you have a firm grasp of seasonal timing concepts and techniques. Now, in the first resource devoted exclusively to the subject, Jake Bernstein gives you the foundation necessary to implement this powerful tool effectively and with confidence. Balancing theory and practice, Bernstein provides a thorough, real-world understanding of seasonal timing concepts and techniques. Along with results of his own extensive research, he integrates the work of numerous market analysts, such as W. D. Gann, Art Merrill, Burton Pugh, Samuel Benner, and Yale Hirsch, among others, to create a pragmatic and highly functional analytical framework. With his accessible, comprehensive coverage of significant concepts such as seasonal spread relationships, key dates, and cash tendencies, you'll be able to discern seasonal patterns in monthly and daily cash and futures data. Once the basics are firmly in place, Bernstein leads you step by step through the essential process of formulating a seasonal trading program that incorporates important timing strategies and risk management tools. An ideal overview for any trader, investor, or analyst, this lucidly written and clearly organized resource emphasizes the validity and significance of seasonality. Jake Bernstein has compiled a comprehensive guide to the effective use of seasonal concepts and methods in the futures markets. This is a major work that belongs on the shelves of all serious traders.
Download or read book Seasonal Effects on Stock Markets and How We Can Benefit from It in Our Investing and Trading Activity written by Pimarn Charn and published by Booktango. This book was released on 2016-03-11 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To increase our possibility to win and profit in investing and trading we got to know seasonal effects on stock markets. This is about understanding existing market patterns and cycles. We explain all these patterns in plain and simple terms that investors or traders can grasp in a short reading period so they could increase an odd on their favor to win or profit in the stock markets. Some investors and traders will be interested in the market patterns and cycles in some points. Some may already have gone on searching this information. Many of them are disappointed as they didn’t find it. They will acquire the information here and don’t have to read all kind of theories and references that many other books of this kind present. As investors and traders, we just want to know what they are and how good we could and should believe in it. Also, what is the simple logic behind this belief or information? Are they making sense to us? What are their applications? Should we be more comfortable to apply it in our situation? Do they really work? How could we benefit from it and make profit in our investing and trading activities. One of the significant phenomena is the best trading period of the year. It often occurs time after time. Also, we will learn all kinds of seasonal effects which include calendar effects, month of the year effects, government related effects, day and hour of the week and day, and the supply and demand of goods and services. On the month of year effects, we will learn about January barometer, September effect, May principle or Halloween indicator, Mark Twain effect, The Santa Claus rally or December effect, and January effect. On the government related effect, we will be learning about the presidential election effect and the congressional effect. On the demand and supply of goods and services, we will explain on how market supply and demand affect the stock price.
Download or read book Closing the Question on the Continuation of Turn of the month Effects written by Edwin D. Maberly and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Seasonal Concepts in Futures Trading written by Jacob Bernstein and published by Wiley-Interscience. This book was released on 1986-03-31 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An incisive guide to the use and analysis of seasonal price trends in the futures markets. Emphasizing application, it explains in detail methods and procedures of ``seasonality,'' a trading strategy based on seasonal price tendencies. Includes many figures mapping futures price changes and cycles, and suggestions for further research.
Download or read book Handbook of Business Practices and Growth in Emerging Markets written by Satyendra Singh and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 577 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Business Practices and Growth in Emerging Markets consists of a collection of specially commissioned chapters that describe the current business environment, organizational culture, consumer behavior, financial investment climate, and examples of best prevailing practices in emerging markets. It covers all the major functional areas of business ? marketing, strategy, operations and finance ? in all continents. The focus of each chapter is on the identification of different business issues in different emerging markets (including Asia, Africa and South America) and on the implementation of a proposed set of recommendations, using both qualitative and quantitative techniques to assist in decision-making and in improving organizational efficiency and effectiveness. Readers will also appreciate the multidimensional view of financial and non-financial performance measurement of businesses.Specifically, the goal of this research-based handbook is to provide a comprehensive guide for business students and managers by discussing a range of issues from the diverse emerging markets and enabling them to develop a strategic mindset for a market-oriented culture. Given the changing business dynamics, government policies and demands in industries, this handbook is both timely and topical.
Download or read book A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns written by Robert A. Ariel and published by Palala Press. This book was released on 2018-03-03 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Download or read book Stock index futures trading and volatility in international equity markets written by Huseyin Gulen and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stock Trader s Almanac 2024 written by Jeffrey A. Hirsch and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2023-10-19 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 57th edition of the gold standard in US stock market trend, patterns, and cycles In Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024, veteran trader and market strategist Jeffrey Hirsch delivers the latest edition of the most trusted source used by traders around the world to make sense of the complexities of the US stock market. You’ll master key cycles and trends, including the “January Barometer,” the “Santa Claus Rally,” the “Best Six Months,” and the four-year “Presidential Election Cycle” as you learn to trade and invest with confidence. You’ll explore strategies for getting a handle on increased market volatility, identifying past periods of exceptional price movement in the market, as well as streaks of positive and negative performance likely to repeat themselves. You’ll also find: Month-by-month strategies that deliver reliably outsized market returns based on cyclical trends Key explanations and descriptions of seasonal and annual cycles that consistently repeat themselves, year after year Strategies and techniques that promise—and deliver—a sizeable impact on your investing bottom-line For 57 years, the Almanac has offered savvy investors the freshest data and most insightful advice. Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024 is the comprehensive roadmap to investing eagerly anticipated by day traders, long-term investors, and portfolio managers alike.
Download or read book Mastering the Stock Market written by John L. Person and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-12-10 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Noted technical analyst John Person outlines a comprehensive method to pinpointing today's best trading opportunities The economy and stock market are heavily influenced by seasonal factors. For example, a strong holiday buying season tends to be bullish for retail stocks or rising energy costs hurt airline profitability. Awareness of seasonal trends in both the economy and stock market can put you in a better position to profit from sectors and stocks that are likely to outperform the overall market. And technical tools can then be used to confirm emerging trends and time entries into these stocks and sectors. Mastering the Stock Market provides authoritative insights into a method for trading stocks based on seasonal trends, sector analysis, and market timing. Taking a top-down approach, the book explains how seasonal supply/demand forces impact commodities and different sectors of the stock market. After learning how to identify stock market sectors and commodity ETFs that are ripe for a big move, you'll quickly discover how to use technical analysis to gauge the strength of the sector or commodity and then identify the strongest stocks and ETFs to trade. Along the way, you'll also learn how to use the author's own indicators, Persons Pivots, to identify support/resistance areas and pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Outlines a proven technical approach for trading stocks based on seasonal trends, sector analysis, and market timing Breaks new ground in comparative relative strength, trading volume, breadth indicators, and utilizing pivot analysis in conjunction with options expiration days to identify trading opportunities Written by noted technical analyst John L. Person To successfully trade today's markets you need to use a proven approach and have the discipline to effectively implement it. Mastering the Stock Market has what you need to achieve these goals and capture consistent profits along the way.
Download or read book The Effect of Futures Trading on Cash Market Volatility written by Gary Robinson and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The stock market crash of October 1987 and the growing importance of index arbitrage and portfolio insurance helped to focus the attention of academics, practitioners and regulators on the possibly destabilising role of equity index futures on the underlying cash market. Although theoretical evidence on this question is somewhat ambiguous, empirical evidence, relating particularly to US markets, has been less equivocal: typically, no significant effect of futures trading has been found. This paper presents an analysis of daily stock price volatility on the London Stock Exchange for the period 1980-93. The measure of volatility produced is appropriate, given the distribution of returns and the time-varying nature of stock price volatility, and changes in monetary policy regime. The impact of futures on stock price volatility is measured within an augmented ARCH framework and the principal result is striking: rather than increasing volatility, index futures contracts are found to have reduced volatility significantly by around 17%.
Download or read book Life Cycles written by Abhay Abhyankar and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a data set consisting of a complete history of all transactions and quotes to examine intraday patterns in trading volume, volatility and the quoted bid-ask spread in the market for FTSE-100 index futures. We also document a number of regularities in the pattern of daily returns and volatility of the cash index. Finally, we document intraday patterns in the basis, i.e. the contemporaneous difference between the futures price and the underlying cash index level. In general, we find returns vary somewhat over the day, reflecting in particular the influence of the US market openings in early afternoon London-time. We find that, while both volume and volatility exhibit a U-shaped pattern over the day, movements in the spread tend if anything to follow the opposite pattern. As far as consistency with the best-known microstructure models is concerned, our results are more supportive of the Brock and Kleidon (1992) market closures model than the Admati and Pfleiderer (1988) noise- trading model.
Download or read book New Evidence on the Monday Seasonal in Stock Returns written by Avraham Kamara and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Equity derivatives and the institutionalization of equity markets affect the Monday seasonal. The seasonal in the Samp;P 500 declines significantly over 1962-1993. This decline is positively related to the ratio of institutional to individual trading volume. In contrast, the seasonal for small stocks does not decline and is unaffected by institutional versus individual trading. Higher trading costs sustain the seasonal in small stocks, and unlike the Samp;P, these costs are not lower for institutions than for individuals. Samp;P futures minus spot returns exhibit a reverse seasonal. Informed traders use the less costly futures market to exploit the seasonal.
Download or read book Don t Sell Stocks on Monday written by Yale Hirsch and published by Penguin Group USA. This book was released on 1987-12-01 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Describes the best hours, days, weeks, and months for trading in the stock market, and offers advice on developing an investment strategy
Download or read book Analysis of Selected Seasonality Effects in Market of Rubber Future Contracts Quoted on Tokyo Commodity Exchange written by Krzysztof Borowski and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The commodity market has been becoming one of the main popular segments of the financial markets among individual and institutional investors in recent years, due to downward trend on the stock exchanges. Likely to the equity market, the problem of anomalies in the commodities market is becoming an interesting phenomenon, particularly in the segment of the agricultural market. This paper tests the hypothesis of: monthly, daily, the day-of-the week, the first and the second half of monthly effects on the market of rubber futures, quoted in the period from 01.12.1981 to 31.03.2015. Calculations presented in this paper indicate the existence of monthly effect: in May and November, with the use of the average monthly rates of return and in February, March, April, June, July, August, October and December, when the daily average rates of return were implemented. The seasonal effects were also observed in the case of testing the statistical hypothesis for daily averaged rates of returns for different days of the month (15th), as well as for the daily average rates of return on various days of the week (Thursday). The seasonal effects were no registered for the daily average rates of return in the first and in the second half of a month.
Download or read book Three Essays on Stock Market Seasonality written by Hyung-suk Choi and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
