Download or read book Multiple Stopping Problems written by Georgy Sofronov and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-12-24 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the theory of rational decisions involving the selection of stopping times in observed discrete-time stochastic processes, both by single and multiple decision-makers. Readers will become acquainted with the models, strategies, and applications of these models. It begins with an examination of selected models framed as stochastic optimization challenges, emphasizing the critical role of optimal stopping times in sequential statistical procedures. The authors go on to explore models featuring multiple stopping and shares on leading applications, particularly focusing on change point detection, selection problems, and the nuances of behavioral ecology. In the following chapters, an array of perspectives on model strategies is presented, elucidating their interpretation and the methodologies underpinning their genesis. Essential notations and definitions are introduced, examining general theorems about solution existence and structure, with an intricate analysis of optimal stopping predicaments and addressing crucial multilateral models. The reader is presented with the practical application of models based on multiple stopping within stochastic processes. The coverage includes a diverse array of domains, including sequential statistics, finance, economics, and the broader generalization of the best-choice problem. Additionally, it delves into numerical and asymptotic solutions, offering a comprehensive exploration of optimal stopping quandaries. The book will be of interest to researchers and practitioners in fields such as economics, finance, and engineering. It could also be used by graduate students doing a research degree in insurance, economics or business analytics or an advanced undergraduate course in mathematical sciences.

Download or read book Optimal Pricing Inflation and the Cost of Price Adjustment written by Eytan Sheshinski and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1993 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These collected articles constitute what is perhaps the definitive study of pricing models under inflation, providing a solid basis for further research on this elusive question. What are the real effects of inflation? These collected articles constitute what is perhaps the definitive study of pricing models under inflation, providing a solid basis for further research on this elusive question. Covering a broad range of theory and applications by well-known microeconomists, the eighteen contributions evaluate the effects of inflation on aggregate output and on welfare and reveal the scope of recent efforts to explicitly incorporate frictions in economic models. A basic building block common to most of the essays in this volume is the observation that individual firms change nominal prices intermittently. The frequency and size of nominal price changes are influenced by the cost of price adjustment and changes in the economic environment, production costs, market demand, market structure, and most important, inflation. Thus the degree of nominal rigidity is influenced by the economic environment, and in a dynamic context. Two introductory essays survey the empirical studies of pricing policies by individual firms and the theoretical efforts to integrate the nominal rigidities at the micro level into macro relationships. The essays that follow treat the general problem of optimal dynamic adjustment in the presence of convex costs of adjustment, include applications of the inventory models to the case of nominal price adjustment by an individual firm, address the question of aggregation, introduce active search by consumers, and provide empirical analysis of nominal price rigidities.

Download or read book Optimal Stopping Problems in Operations Management written by SeChan Oh and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2010 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimal stopping problems determine the time to terminate a process to maximize expected rewards. Such problems are pervasive in the areas of operations management, marketing, statistics, finance, and economics. This dissertation provides a method that characterizes the structure of the optimal stopping policy for a general class of optimal stopping problems. It also studies two important optimal stopping problems arising in Operations Management. In the first part of the dissertation, we provide a method to characterize the structure of the optimal stopping policy for the class of discrete-time optimal stopping problems. Our method characterizes the structure of the optimal policy for some stopping problems for which conventional methods fail. Our method also simplifies the analysis of some existing results. Using the method, we determine sufficient conditions that yield threshold or control-band type optimal stopping policies. The results also help characterize parametric monotonicity of optimal thresholds and provide bounds for them. In the second part of the dissertation, we first generalize the Martingale Model of Forecast Evolution to account for multiple forecasters who forecast demand for the same product. The result enables us to consistently model the evolution of forecasts generated by two forecasters who have asymmetric demand information. Using the forecast evolution model, we next study a supplier's problem of eliciting credible forecast information from a manufacturer when both parties obtain asymmetric demand information over multiple periods. For better capacity planning, the supplier designs and offers a screening contract that ensures the manufacturer's credible information sharing. By delaying to offer this incentive mechanism, the supplier can obtain more information. This delay, however, may increase (resp., or decrease) the degree of information asymmetry between the two firms, resulting in a higher (resp., or lower) cost of screening. The delay may also increase capacity costs. Considering all such trade-offs, the supplier has to determine how to design a mechanism to elicit credible forecast information from the manufacturer and when to offer this incentive mechanism. In the last part of the dissertation, we study a manufacturer's problem of determining the time to introduce a new product to the market. Conventionally, manufacturing firms determine the time to introduce a new product to the market long before launching the product. The timing decision involves considerable risk because manufacturing firms are uncertain about competing firms' market entry timing and the outcome of production process development activities at the time when they make the decision. As a solution for reducing such risk, we propose a dynamic market entry strategy under which the manufacturer makes decisions about market entry timing and process improvements in response to the evolution of uncertain factors. We show that the manufacturer can reduce profit variability and increase average profit by employing this dynamic strategy. Our study also characterizes the industry conditions under which the dynamic strategy is most effective.

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Pricing Management written by Özalp Özer and published by Oxford University Press (UK). This book was released on 2012-06-07 with total page 977 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A definitive reference to the theory and practice of pricing across industries, environments, and methodologies. It covers all major areas of pricing including, pricing fundamentals, pricing tactics, and pricing management.

Download or read book Optimal Control of Credit Risk written by Didier Cossin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-28 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimal Control of Credit Risk presents an alternative methodology to deal with a financial problem that has not been well analyzed yet: the control of credit risk. Credit risk has become recently the center of interest of the financial community, with new instruments (such as Credit Risk Derivatives) and new methodologies (such as Credit Metrics) being developed. The recent literature has focused on the pricing of credit risk. On the other hand, practitioners tend to eliminate credit risk rather than price it. They do so via collateralization. The authors propose here a methodological basis for an optimal collateralization. The monograph is organized as follows: Chapter 1 reviews the main avenues of literature related to our problem; Chapter 2 provides a brief overview of the main optimal control principles; and Chapter 3 presents the models and their setting. In the remaining chapters, the authors propose two sets of programs. One set of programs will apply in cases where the information on the assets=value is readily available (full observation case), while the other applies when costly audits are needed in order to assess this value (partial observation case). In either case, the modeling stage leads to a set of quasi-variational inequalities which the authors attempt to solve numerically in the simpler case of full observations. This is done in Chapter 6. Finally a simulation analysis is carried out in Chapter 7, in which the authors study the influence on the control process of changes in the different model parameters. This precedes a discussion on possible extensions in Chapter 8 and some concluding remarks in Section 9.

Download or read book Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty written by Svetlana Boyarchenko and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-08-26 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems. The monograph will teach the reader to apply the technique to many problems in economics and finance, including new ones. From the technical point of view, the method can be characterized as option pricing via the Wiener-Hopf factorization.

Download or read book Optimal Mean Reversion Trading Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications written by Tim Siu-tang Leung and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-11-26 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications provides a systematic study to the practical problem of optimal trading in the presence of mean-reverting price dynamics. It is self-contained and organized in its presentation, and provides rigorous mathematical analysis as well as computational methods for trading ETFs, options, futures on commodities or volatility indices, and credit risk derivatives.This book offers a unique financial engineering approach that combines novel analytical methodologies and applications to a wide array of real-world examples. It extracts the mathematical problems from various trading approaches and scenarios, but also addresses the practical aspects of trading problems, such as model estimation, risk premium, risk constraints, and transaction costs. The explanations in the book are detailed enough to capture the interest of the curious student or researcher, and complete enough to give the necessary background material for further exploration into the subject and related literature.This book will be a useful tool for anyone interested in financial engineering, particularly algorithmic trading and commodity trading, and would like to understand the mathematically optimal strategies in different market environments.

Download or read book Proceedings of the 2022 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science BADS 2022 written by Víctor Fernández-Viagas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-13 with total page 1511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. The 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science (BADS 2022) is hosted by Kashi University and organized by the College of Economics and Management of Kashi University. The 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science (BADS 2022) is one of the series of activities for the 60th anniversary of the founding of Kashgar University In the current situation of rapid economic development, the competition in the market is increasingly fierce. The drawbacks of traditional enterprise management and the backward management concept have seriously hindered the normal development of enterprises. In order to improve their competitive advantages and market share, enterprises must optimize their management methods and build a modern business administration system. In this situation, enterprises can only promote their development process by improving their business management mode and formulating scientific business management policies.

Download or read book NBS Special Publication written by and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Smooth Forecast Reconciliation written by Mr. Sakai Ando and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-03-22 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to make forecasts that (1) satisfy constraints, like accounting identities, and (2) are smooth over time? Solving this common forecasting problem manually is resource-intensive, but the existing literature provides little guidance on how to achieve both objectives. This paper proposes a new method to smooth mixed-frequency multivariate time series subject to constraints by integrating the minimum-trace reconciliation and Hodrick-Prescott filter. With linear constraints, the method has a closed-form solution, convenient for a high-dimensional environment. Three examples show that the proposed method can reproduce the smoothness of professional forecasts subject to various constraints and slightly improve forecast performance.

Download or read book Applied Mechanics Reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 628 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Sequential Analysis and Optimal Design written by Herman Chernoff and published by SIAM. This book was released on 1972-01-31 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An exploration of the interrelated fields of design of experiments and sequential analysis with emphasis on the nature of theoretical statistics and how this relates to the philosophy and practice of statistics.

Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Author and Permuted Title Index to Selected Statistical Journals written by Brian L. Joiner and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All articles, notes, queries, corrigenda, and obituaries appearing in the following journals during the indicated years are indexed: Annals of mathematical statistics, 1961-1969; Biometrics, 1965-1969#3; Biometrics, 1951-1969; Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1956-1969; Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 1954-1969,#2; South African statistical journal, 1967-1969,#2; Technometrics, 1959-1969.--p.iv.

Download or read book Handbook of Stochastic Analysis and Applications written by D. Kannan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2001-10-23 with total page 800 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to general theories of stochastic processes and modern martingale theory. The volume focuses on consistency, stability and contractivity under geometric invariance in numerical analysis, and discusses problems related to implementation, simulation, variable step size algorithms, and random number generation.

Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance written by Marco Corazza and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-06 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The interaction between mathematicians and statisticians has been shown to be an effective approach for dealing with actuarial, insurance and financial problems, both from an academic perspective and from an operative one. The collection of original papers presented in this volume pursues precisely this purpose. It covers a wide variety of subjects in actuarial, insurance and finance fields, all treated in the light of the successful cooperation between the above two quantitative approaches. The papers published in this volume present theoretical and methodological contributions and their applications to real contexts. With respect to the theoretical and methodological contributions, some of the considered areas of investigation are: actuarial models; alternative testing approaches; behavioral finance; clustering techniques; coherent and non-coherent risk measures; credit scoring approaches; data envelopment analysis; dynamic stochastic programming; financial contagion models; financial ratios; intelligent financial trading systems; mixture normality approaches; Monte Carlo-based methods; multicriteria methods; nonlinear parameter estimation techniques; nonlinear threshold models; particle swarm optimization; performance measures; portfolio optimization; pricing methods for structured and non-structured derivatives; risk management; skewed distribution analysis; solvency analysis; stochastic actuarial valuation methods; variable selection models; time series analysis tools. As regards the applications, they are related to real problems associated, among the others, to: banks; collateralized fund obligations; credit portfolios; defined benefit pension plans; double-indexed pension annuities; efficient-market hypothesis; exchange markets; financial time series; firms; hedge funds; non-life insurance companies; returns distributions; socially responsible mutual funds; unit-linked contracts. This book is aimed at academics, Ph.D. students, practitioners, professionals and researchers. But it will also be of interest to readers with some quantitative background knowledge.

Download or read book Resolving the Climate Change Crisis written by Philip Lawn and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-29 with total page 646 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains why the climate change crisis is a symptom of a much larger underlying problem – namely, humankind’s predilection with continuous GDP-growth. Given this starting point, the world’s high-income nations must begin the transition to a qualitatively-improving steady-state economy and low-income nations must follow suit at some stage over the next 20-40 years. Unless they do, a well-designed emissions protocol will be as useless as the paper it is written on. Adopting an ecological economic approach, this book sets out why we must abandon the goal of continuous growth; how we can do so in a way that improves human well-being; what constitutes a safe atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases; and what type of emissions protocol and emissions-trading framework is likely to achieve a desirable climate change outcome. Failure of the world’s leaders to achieve these goals will not only put future human well-being at risk, it will threaten freedom in the liberal-democratic tradition and international peace.