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EBookClubs

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Book The Estimation of Linear Models with Future Rational Expectations by Efficient and Instrumental Variable Methods

Download or read book The Estimation of Linear Models with Future Rational Expectations by Efficient and Instrumental Variable Methods written by Mike Wickens and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper considers the estimation of a number of commonly used single-equation linear models, all of which have rationally expected future explanatory variables. Fully efficient and less efficient instrumental variable estimators are proposed in each case. The choice of estimation method is usually represented as a trade-off between efficiency on the one hand and robustness and computational convenience on the other. It is shown in this paper that there is a more fundamental issue which must influence the choice of estimator, namely the type of solution that the model possesses. The construction of an efficient estimation method depends on whether or not the model has a unique solution and often this will not be known a priori. Preliminary estimation by instrumental variable methods can be used to resolve this question. Various tests are proposed in the paper. Whiteman's solution method is used to determine the types of solution that are possible for each model. It is shown how these solutions can be written as both backwards and forwards solutions and the parameter restrictions which are required to obtain unique solutions.

Book IMF Staff papers Volume 37 No 3

Download or read book IMF Staff papers Volume 37 No 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-01-01 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes macroeconomic effects of projected population aging in industrial countries. The effects of population aging are examined with a theoretical model and simulations of the IMF’s multiregion econometric model (MULTIMOD). The study highlights that an older population will consume more of aggregate disposable income, require higher government expenditure, and decrease labor supply. These effects should raise real interest rates and lower capital stock and output. Effects on current balances will depend on the relative speed and extent of aging.

Book Macroeconomic Modelling

Download or read book Macroeconomic Modelling written by S.G. Hall and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book arose out of research carried out by the authors in the period 1983-1987 whilst at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. A number of things combined to impart the basic thrust of the research: partly the developments in formulating and estimating rational expectations models, and partly actual developments in the UK economy itself.An application of recent developments in dynamic modelling to a complete macroeconometric model of the UK is presented. Rational expectations modelling, co-integration and disequilibrium modelling are covered. The book also develops computational procedures for obtaining efficient solutions to large-scale models, and illustrates model solutions assuming rational expectations and stochastic simulations. Finally, sections on the analysis of models using optimal control methods illustrate applications of a large-scale econometric model. This section also discusses policy applications, including the derivation of time-consistent policies in the presence of rational expectations, giving quantified illustrations.

Book Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models

Download or read book Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectation Models written by Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models

Download or read book Methods of Solution and Simulation for Dynamic Rational Expectations Models written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many methods have been proposed for the solution and simulation of medium or large size models under the assumption of rational expectations. The purpose of this paper is to present these methods, and to show how and where each can be applied. The methods fall into two groups. Methods in the first can be used to solve for perfect foresight paths in non-linear models. Methods in the second can be used in linear models, to solve either for paths or processes followed by endogenous variables. All the methods described here have been used in empirical applications and computer algorithms are available for most.

Book Primary Commodity Prices

Download or read book Primary Commodity Prices written by L. Alan Winters and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-03-08 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity markets are of considerable interest and importance to economists, econometricians and dealers. This book reports the proceedings of an international conference on 'Primary Commodity Prices: Economic Models and Policy', held in London under the auspices of the Centre for Economic Policy Research in March 1989. A range of papers by leading international authorities covers topics such as expectations formation in econometric commodity market models; price determination in the market for aluminium; the estimation of dynamic disequilibrium models with rational expectations; and a comparison of forward markets and buffer stocks as commodity earnings stabilizers. A key feature of this stock is its development of the policy implications of theoretical and empirical work in the field of commodity economics. Most papers are accompanied by discussant's comments to draw out their technical and policy implications. The book's readership will include commodity economists, commodity market practitioners and policy analysis, as well as professionals and advanced students interested in the fields of applied econometrics, economic development and international trade.

Book IMF Working Paper

Download or read book IMF Working Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 724 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models

Download or read book Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models written by L. Broze and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.

Book Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics

Download or read book Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics written by Frederick van Der Ploeg and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-01 with total page 649 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Lectures in Quantitative Economics summarizes some of the efforts of a second-phase program for first-rate candidates with a Master's degree in economics who wish to continue with a doctoral degree in quantitative economics. This book is organized into three main topics—macroeconomics, microeconomics, and econometrics. This text specifically discusses the Neo-Keynesian macroeconomics in an open economy, international coordination of monetary policies under alternative exchange-rate regimes, and prospects for global trade imbalances. The post-war developments in labor economics, introduction to overlapping generation models, and measurement of expectations and direct tests of the REH are also elaborated. This monograph likewise covers the dynamic econometric modeling of decisions under uncertainty and fundamental bordered matrix of linear estimation. This publication is a good reference for students and specialists interested in quantitative economics.

Book Two Step Two Stage Least Squares Estimation in Models with Rational Expectations

Download or read book Two Step Two Stage Least Squares Estimation in Models with Rational Expectations written by John Huizinga and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper introduces a limited-information two-step estimator for models with rational expectations and serially correlated disturbances. The estimator greatly extends the area of applicability of McCallum's (1976) instrumental variables approach to rational expectations models. Section I reviews McCallum's method and discusses in detail the problems surrounding its use in many empirical contexts. Section II presents the two-step two-stage least squares estimator (2S2S1S) and demonstrates its efficiency relative to that of McCallum (1979). Section III provides a comparison of several estimators for a two equation macroeconomic model with rational expectations due to Taylor (1979).

Book Advances in Econometrics Volume 1

Download or read book Advances in Econometrics Volume 1 written by Truman F. Bewley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-06-24 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With its focus on econometrics, this volume contains key papers delivered at the Fifth World Congress in 1985.

Book Methods for Applied Macroeconomic Research

Download or read book Methods for Applied Macroeconomic Research written by Fabio Canova and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 509 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last twenty years have witnessed tremendous advances in the mathematical, statistical, and computational tools available to applied macroeconomists. This rapidly evolving field has redefined how researchers test models and validate theories. Yet until now there has been no textbook that unites the latest methods and bridges the divide between theoretical and applied work. Fabio Canova brings together dynamic equilibrium theory, data analysis, and advanced econometric and computational methods to provide the first comprehensive set of techniques for use by academic economists as well as professional macroeconomists in banking and finance, industry, and government. This graduate-level textbook is for readers knowledgeable in modern macroeconomic theory, econometrics, and computational programming using RATS, MATLAB, or Gauss. Inevitably a modern treatment of such a complex topic requires a quantitative perspective, a solid dynamic theory background, and the development of empirical and numerical methods--which is where Canova's book differs from typical graduate textbooks in macroeconomics and econometrics. Rather than list a series of estimators and their properties, Canova starts from a class of DSGE models, finds an approximate linear representation for the decision rules, and describes methods needed to estimate their parameters, examining their fit to the data. The book is complete with numerous examples and exercises. Today's economic analysts need a strong foundation in both theory and application. Methods for Applied Macroeconomic Research offers the essential tools for the next generation of macroeconomists.

Book Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics

Download or read book Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics written by William A. Barnett and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1991-06-28 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Papers from a 1988 symposium on the estimation and testing of models that impose relatively weak restrictions on the stochastic behaviour of data.