Download or read book The Effect of Macro Economic Factors on Stock Return Volatility at NSE written by Tobias Olweny and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012-06 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a wider scope on the effect of NSE index, Foreign exchange rate, and Interest rate and Inflation rate in determining macroeconomic environment affecting stock return volatility on Nairobi Stock Exchange. Secondary data from NSE, Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) and Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) were employed in the study. The results of the study have been presented in five chapters each handling introduction, literature review, study design and summary of the study findings and conclusion. The major investigations presented in the study were mainly concentrated around the selected variables. The finding of this research provides robust understanding by policy makers, policy analysts, investors, and academics of the dynamics of the stock returns in Kenya particularly, with regard to leverage and impact of news. The study recommends the government and the regulator to come up with policies that will help stabilize Foreign exchange rate, Interest rate and Inflation rate fluctuation thus creating investor confidence in the securities market.
Download or read book Effect of Macro economic Factors on Stock Returns at the Nairobi Stock Exchange MBA Thesis a Ccompanied by a CD ROM written by and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study evaluates the effect of macro-economic factors on stock returns at the Nairobi stock exchange. According to the stock market efficiency (SME) hypothesis, all past information on fiscal and monetary policy actions is reflected in current stock returns and so changes in money supply or budget deficit should not have any significant impact on stock returns. The main aim of this study was therefore to test if stocks returns at the Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) follow the efficiency hypothesis. The objectives of the study was to determine the relationship between stock returns at the NSE on one hand and public deficit, interest rates and inflation on the other hand. The study uses regression analysis to establish the relationship between stock returns at the NSE and public deficits, interest rate, and inflation rate. Sixty data points are taken for the period beginning January 2008 to December 2012. The findings of the study indicate that budget deficits do not have any significant relationship with stock returns at the Nairobi stock exchange. This is true across all the five years that were analyzed. This finding is in line with stock market efficiency theory but it?s in contrast to some of the previous studies done on the subject. The study also found an inverse relationship between interest rates and stock returns in four out of the five years that were analyzed. A unit increase in interest rates led to a significant decrease in stock returns. Inflation was also found to have an inverse relationship with stock returns in four out of the five years that were analyzed. A unit increase in inflation led to a significant decrease in stock returns but the relationship was not as strong as that observed with interest rates. The major recommendation of this study is that more research is needed to establish whether indeed the lack of a significant relationship between stock returns and fiscal deficits in Kenya is because the Kenya stock market is efficient in terms of information on fiscal policy actions or there are other reasons why fiscal deficits do not seem to matter. Interest rates and Inflation on the other hand have been found to adversely impact stock returns at the Nairobi stock exchange. This indicates that high interest rates and inflation do harm to the economy and the major recommendation for improvement is that the government should pursue policies aimed at bringing interest rates down and containing inflation.
Download or read book Macroeconomic Impact on Stock Market Returns and Volatility written by Antonette Fernando and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relationship between stock market returns and selected macroeconomic variables and examine the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on stock market volatility in Sri Lankan stock market. Interest rate, inflation, money supply and exchange rate are selected as a set of exogenous variables to represent the macroeconomic factors that influence the stock market, returns and volatility. The sample includes monthly stock market index and macroeconomics data from 1998 to 2016 covering 228 data points. In achieving research objectives, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) models are specified and estimated.The results of Johansen Juselius cointegration test indicate a long run relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock returns. Particularly, the results of cointegration test suggest that there is a significant negative effect of Treasury bill Rate (TBR) and Exchange Rate (EXR) on stock returns while significant positive long run effect of Money Supply (MSI) / Inflation (INF) on stock returns. The Error Correction Term (ECM) in the VECM model indicates only 4.1 percent of the long run shock adjusted in the short run period and supports the argument of weak form of market efficiency in the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), Sri Lanka. Further, the results of the EGARCH model evidence the presence of asymmetric volatility in the monthly stock returns which suggest that the bad news in the CSE has larger effect on the volatility of the stock market than the good news. Similarly, the model establishes that interest rate and money supply create macroeconomic risk to the volatility of the stock market returns in Sri Lankan context. Accordingly, this paper, as a whole, conclusively establishes that the stock returns and market volatility are dependent on macroeconomic variables. These findings hold managerial and policy implication at least to the Sri Lankan policy makers, market regulators, investors and market analysts. The test results suggest the information inefficiency in the Colombo stock market. Further, Investors in the market should look at the systematic risks revealed by the money supply and short term interest rates when structuring portfolios and diversification strategies. Policymakers may need to take these macroeconomic variables into account when formulating economic and financial policies.
Download or read book Nexus Between Stock Price Volatility and Selected Macroeconomic Variables written by Dr. P. Karthika and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: India is taken into account a high potential investment destination all-over the world even though it has some challenges like political, social, cultural complexities.Wide literature survey is available on the macroeconomic factors affecting the Indian stock market volatility. There is a general belief on macroeconomic variable affects the functioning of stock market and its volatility (PallaviKudal 2010). In developing countries like India stock markets are sensitive to change in the macroeconomic variable. It is presumed that domestic economic fundamentals affect performance of the stock market but the changes in domestic variables may occur due to the changes in the global environment. This stimulates the researcher to find out whether the macroeconomic variable changes create any volatility in the Indian stock market. This study used the average monthly closing price of Nifty 50 from June 2000 to December 2016 and the average monthly data of 12 macroeconomic variables for analyzing, which factors influence the performance of Nifty 50 in India. In this study the selected variables are grouped into three factors by using factor analysis and named as macro environment factors, industrial performance factor and policy rates. The empirical result shows that macro environments and industrial performance factors are used to predict the variance in Nifty 50.
Download or read book Trade Investment and Economic Growth written by Pooja Lakhanpal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book contributes to the growing literature pertaining to empirical and policy issues in international trade, foreign capital flows and issues in finance, implications for India and emerging economies related to trade and development interface, and analysis of sector level growth and development in India. Further, the focus is on the policy aspects of these themes and their role in fostering economic development in the context of India and other emerging market economies. The discourse focuses mainly on empirical work and econometric details. The relevant issues are investigated using state of the art techniques such as gravity models, panel co-integration, generalized hyperbolic distributions, SEM, FMOLS and Probit models. In addition, detailed literature survey, discussions on data availability, issues related to statistical estimation techniques and a theoretical background, ensure that each chapter significantly contributes to the ever-growing literature on international trade and capital flows. The readers shall find an engaging dialogue on the crucial role played by policy and the trade-capital flows-growth experience of emerging economies. The book is relevant for those who are interested in contemporary issues in trade, growth and finance as well as for students of advanced econometrics who may benefit from the analytical and econometric exposition. The empirical evidences provided here could serve as ready reference for academicians, researchers and policy makers, particularly in emerging economies facing similar challenges.
Download or read book Investors and Markets written by William F. Sharpe and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Investors and Markets, Nobel Prize-winning financial economist William Sharpe shows that investment professionals cannot make good portfolio choices unless they understand the determinants of asset prices. But until now asset-price analysis has largely been inaccessible to everyone except PhDs in financial economics. In this book, Sharpe changes that by setting out his state-of-the-art approach to asset pricing in a nonmathematical form that will be comprehensible to a broad range of investment professionals, including investment advisors, money managers, and financial analysts. Bridging the gap between the best financial theory and investment practice, Investors and Markets will help investment professionals make better portfolio choices by being smarter about asset prices. Based on Sharpe's Princeton Lectures in Finance, Investors and Markets presents a method of analyzing asset prices that accounts for the real behavior of investors. Sharpe makes this technique accessible through a new, one-of-a-kind computer program (available for free on his Web site, at http://www.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/apsim/index.html) that enables users to create virtual markets, setting the starting conditions and then allowing trading until equilibrium is reached and trading stops. Program users can then analyze the final portfolios and asset prices, see expected returns, and measure risk. In addition to popularizing the most sophisticated form of asset-price analysis, Investors and Markets summarizes much of Sharpe's most important previous work and reflects a lifetime of thinking about investing by one of the leading minds in financial economics. Any serious investment professional will benefit from Sharpe's unique insights.
Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Download or read book Portfolio Flows Into India written by Mr.James P. F. Gordon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the factors affecting portfolio equity flows into India using monthly data. Flows to India are small compared to other emerging markets, but seem to be relatively less volatile. They also seem to be quite resilient. The paper shows that portfolio flows are determined by both external and domestic factors. Among external factors, LIBOR and emerging market stock returns are important, while the primary domestic determinants are the lagged stock return and changes in credit ratings. In quantitative terms, both external and domestic factors are found to be about equally important.
Download or read book Exchange Rates and Inflation written by Rudiger Dornbusch and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 490 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Collected for the first time in Exchange Rates and Inflation, twenty-two articles are gathered in four parts covering exchange rate theory, special topics in exchange rate economics, equilibrium real exchange rates, and inflation and stabilization.
Download or read book Global Capital Markets written by Maurice Obstfeld and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an economic survey of international capital mobility from the late nineteenth century to the present.
Download or read book World Economic Outlook October 2018 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-09 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.
Download or read book Statistical Bulletin written by United States. Securities and Exchange Commission and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Managing Capital Flows written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing Capital Flows provides analyses that can help policymakers develop a framework for managing capital flows that is consistent with prudent macroeconomic and financial sector stability. While capital inflows can provide emerging market economies with invaluable benefits in pursuing economic development and growth, they can also pose serious policy challenges for macroeconomic management and financial sector supervision. The expert contributors cover a wide range of issues related to managing capital flows and analyze the experience of emerging Asian economies in dealing with surges in capital inflows. They also discuss possible policy measures to manage capital flows while remaining consistent with the goals of macroeconomic and financial sector stability. Building on this analysis, the book presents options for workable national policies and regional policy cooperation, particularly in exchange rate management. Containing chapters that bring in international experiences relevant to Asia and other emerging market economies, this insightful book will appeal to policymakers in governments and financial institutions, as well as public and private finance experts. It will also be of great interest to advanced students and academic researchers in finance.
Download or read book Data Science for Financial Econometrics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-13 with total page 633 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an overview of state-of-the-art econometric techniques, with a special emphasis on financial econometrics. There is a major need for such techniques, since the traditional way of designing mathematical models – based on researchers’ insights – can no longer keep pace with the ever-increasing data flow. To catch up, many application areas have begun relying on data science, i.e., on techniques for extracting models from data, such as data mining, machine learning, and innovative statistics. In terms of capitalizing on data science, many application areas are way ahead of economics. To close this gap, the book provides examples of how data science techniques can be used in economics. Corresponding techniques range from almost traditional statistics to promising novel ideas such as quantum econometrics. Given its scope, the book will appeal to students and researchers interested in state-of-the-art developments, and to practitioners interested in using data science techniques.
Download or read book Generalized Additive Models written by T.J. Hastie and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-10-19 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes an array of power tools for data analysis that are based on nonparametric regression and smoothing techniques. These methods relax the linear assumption of many standard models and allow analysts to uncover structure in the data that might otherwise have been missed. While McCullagh and Nelder's Generalized Linear Models shows how to extend the usual linear methodology to cover analysis of a range of data types, Generalized Additive Models enhances this methodology even further by incorporating the flexibility of nonparametric regression. Clear prose, exercises in each chapter, and case studies enhance this popular text.
Download or read book Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Information Management and Machine Intelligence written by Dinesh Goyal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-01-22 with total page 751 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book features selected papers presented at Second International Conference on International Conference on Information Management & Machine Intelligence (ICIMMI 2020) held at Poornima Institute of Engineering & Technology, Jaipur, Rajasthan, India during 24 – 25 July 2020. It covers a range of topics, including data analytics; AI; machine and deep learning; information management, security, processing techniques and interpretation; applications of artificial intelligence in soft computing and pattern recognition; cloud-based applications for machine learning; application of IoT in power distribution systems; as well as wireless sensor networks and adaptive wireless communication.
Download or read book Bidding Behavior in Treasury Bill Auctions written by Daniel C. L. Hardy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-06 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavior in the first three years of auctions for Pakistani treasury bills is studied. Bidding strategies rapidly converged to a consistent pattern after the auctions started in 1991. Factors are identified that influenced the expected profitability of auction participation, which was on average low and did not differ between types of bidders. Prices bid are found to reflected both ‘buy and sell’ and ‘buy and hold’ strategies, and were affected by risk considerations and bidder-specific variables. The Pakistani experience suggests the robustness of auctions as a market-based allocation mechanism, and their value in public debt management.
