Download or read book The Causal Relationship Between the S P 500 and the VIX Index written by Florian Auinger and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions. Contents Risk and Emotions Financial Market Volatility Behavioural Finance VIX Index Target Groups Researchers and students in the fields of risk management, portfolio management and investment banking Practitioners in these areas The Author Florian Auinger wrote his master thesis at the University of Applied Sciences in Steyr, Upper Austria and is currently working in the fields of mergers & acquisitions.
Download or read book The Causal Relationship between the S P 500 and the VIX Index written by Florian Auinger and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-13 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.
Download or read book An Investigation of the Lead Lag Relationship Between the VIX Index and the VIX Futures on the S P500 written by Sotirios Karagiannis and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the lead-lag relationship between the price movements of VIX futures and VIX index levels. As a proxy for the futures, the front month VIX futures contract is used. A Johansen cointegration approach with a vector error correction model and Granger causality analysis are applied. The results suggest that VIX futures lead spot VIX index, which implies that VIX futures market seems to play a more important role in price discovery.
Download or read book Understanding the Relationship Between VIX and the S P 500 Index Volatility written by Irena Vodenska and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the VIX Index, often referred to as “the investor's fear gauge,” relative to the observed volatility of the S&P 500 Index to investigate the relationship between these two measures of financial markets variability and to understand the directionality of their influence on one another. Calculated as a weighted average of put and call options on the S&P 500 Index, the VIX is considered as a forecasting indicator of the S&P 500 Index's volatility over a one-month period. We examine the daily VIX and S&P 500 Index volatility data for the 20-year period between 1990 and 2009 and find that VIX lags the S&P 500 one-month volatility for the period that we study. Furthermore, we analyze the VIX Index and the S&P 500 volatility for different time periods, when the financial markets exhibit: (i) higher level of stability with volatility below two standard deviations from the mean and (ii) lower stability regimes, with volatilities above two standard deviations from the mean. We find that in general, the VIX overestimates the S&P 500 Index volatility during the stable financial market regimes, and underestimates the S&P 500 Index volatility throughout high volatility periods.
Download or read book Handbook of Investors Behavior during Financial Crises written by Fotini Economou and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-06-24 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Investors' Behavior during Financial Crises provides fundamental information about investor behavior during turbulent periods, such the 2000 dot com crash and the 2008 global financial crisis. Contributors share the same behavioral finance tools and techniques while analyzing behaviors across a variety of market structures and asset classes. The volume provides novel insights about the influence and effects of regional differences in market design. Its distinctive approach to studies of financial crises is of key importance in our contemporary financial landscape, even more so since the accelerated process of globalization has rendered the outbreak of financial crises internationally more commonplace compared to previous decades. Encompasses empirical, quantitative and regulation-motivated studies Includes information about retail and institutional investor behavior Analyzes optimal financial structures for the development and growth of specific regional economies
Download or read book Handbook of Research on Stock Market Investment Practices and Portfolio Management written by Sharma, Renuka and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2022-06-30 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the first time since the Great Depression, financial market issues threatened to derail global economic growth. This global financial crisis forced a reconsideration of systemic vulnerabilities with knowledge of numerous investment options and portfolio management strategies becoming more critical than ever before. A complete study of investment choices and portfolio management approaches in both the developing and developed worlds is required to achieve stability and sustainability. The Handbook of Research on Stock Market Investment Practices and Portfolio Management gives a thorough view on the recent developments in investment options and portfolio management strategies in global stock markets. Learning about the many investment options and portfolio management strategies available in the event of a worldwide catastrophe is critical. Covering topics such as AI-based technical analysis, marketing theory, and sharing economy, this major reference work is an excellent resource for investors, traders, economists, business leaders and executives, marketers, students and faculty of higher education, librarians, researchers, and academicians.
Download or read book Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics written by Michael McAleer and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-07-23 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.
Download or read book The Relationship Between VIX Futures Term Structure and S P500 Returns written by Athanasios Fassas and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current paper tests and documents the relationship between the term structure of VIX futures and the underlying equity returns. Furthermore, it investigates the signaling effects of VIX futures term structure in respect to future stock index movements. The objective of this empirical analysis is to verify if a steep upward-sloping term structure indicates a late phase of a bullish trend and conversely if an extreme negative term structure suggests an over-sold market, as certain market participants believe.The empirical findings of this study suggest that there is a strong statistical significant positive contemporaneous relationship between the changes in the VIX futures term structure and the returns of the underlying equity index. Finally, the econometric analysis lends some support to the hypothesis that the term structure of VIX futures can be used as a contrarian indicator for investing in the equity market.
Download or read book Generalized Correlation Measures of Causality and Forecasts of the VIX Using Non Linear Models written by David E. Allen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper features an analysis of causal relations between the VIX, S&P500, and the realised volatility (RV) of the S&P500 sampled at 5 minute intervals, plus the application of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to forecast the VIX. Causal relations are analysed using the recently developed concept of general correlation Zheng et al. (2012) and Vinod (2017). The neural network analysis is performed using the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) approach. The results suggest that causality runs from lagged daily RV and lagged continuously compounded return on the S&P500 index to the VIX. Out of sample tests suggest an ANN model can successfully predict the VIX using lagged RV and lagged S&P500 Index continuously compounded returns as inputs.
Download or read book Interpretive Research Economics and Administration Sciences written by Erkan USTAOĞLU and published by Livre de Lyon. This book was released on 2022-10-15 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Interpretive Research: Economics and Administration Sciences , Livre de Lyon
Download or read book Blockchain Economics and Financial Market Innovation written by Umit Hacioglu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-12-03 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses various aspects of blockchains in economic systems and investment strategies in crypto markets. It first addresses the topic from a conceptual and theoretical point of view, and then analyzes it from an assessment and investment angle. Further, it examines the opportunities and limitations of the taxation of crypto currency, as well as the political implications, such as regulation of speculation with crypto currencies. The book is intended for academicians and students in the fields of economics and finance.
Download or read book On the Intraday Relation Between the VIX and Its Futures written by Bart Frijns and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) in 1993. The index has come to act as the benchmark for stock market volatility and, more generally, investor sentiment. The VIX has proven to be very useful in forecasting the future market direction especially during high volatility periods. In order to expedite trading in volatility, as well as increase hedging opportunities, the CBOE introduced futures on the VIX (henceforth referred to as VXF) on March 26, 2004.We study the intraday dynamics of the VIX and VXF for the period January 2, 2008 to December 31, 2012. Applying a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model on daily data, we observe some evidence of causality from the VXF to the VIX. However, estimating a VAR using our ultra-high frequency data, we find strong evidence for bi-directional Granger causality between the VIX and the VXF. Overall, this effect appears to be stronger from the VXF to the VIX than the other way around. Impulse response functions and variance decompositions analysis further confirm the dominance of the VXF. Lastly, we show that the causality from the VXF to the VIX has been increasing over our sample period, whereas the reverse causality has been decreasing. This finding suggests that the VIX futures have become increasingly more important in the pricing of volatility. We further document that the VIX futures dominate the VIX more on days with negative returns, and on days with high values of the VIX, suggesting that on those days investors use VIX futures to hedge their positions rather than trading in the S&P 500 index options.
Download or read book The Information Content of Intraday VIX and Its Expected Correlation on the S P 500 written by Oren Tapiero and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scope of this paper is two-fold. First, to study the significance of the VIX index at intraday (five minutes) time resolution. Second, to emphasize the expected (intraday) conditional correlation between the S&P 500 and VIX log-returns. A weighted likelihood ratio test Amisano and Giacomini (2007), performed on intraday S&P 500 log-returns, suggests that the VIX index bears significant linear, asymmetric and nonlinear predictive information for the one-step ahead S&P 500 log-returns forecast density. In addition, it provides significant evidence to nonlinear and asymmetric impact of the expected (intraday) conditional correlation between market and volatility indices.
Download or read book Long Term Causality in VIX Markets written by Michail Anthropelos and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the dynamic relationship between the CBOE VIX index spot and futures returns by applying multi-period, non-parametric, Granger non-causality tests and measurements on conditional distributions. In contrast to the related empirical studies, it is found that VIX futures returns are strong causal for VIX spot returns, not only in the short run, but also at higher time horizons. The predictive content of the VIX futures varies widely with the prediction horizon and maturity. In particular, the returns of VIX futures with low maturities have intense predictive ability for VIX spot returns in the short run, while the causal effects from VIX futures with longer maturities are found to last longer. Evidence of bidirectional causation at multiple time horizons is also documented between VIX spot returns and the returns of futures with medium and long-term maturities. An out-of-sample forecasting exercise also supports our main findings.
Download or read book Long Short Market Dynamics written by Clive M. Corcoran and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-02-06 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hedge funds are now the largest volume players in the capital markets. They follow a wide assortment of strategies but their activities have replaced and overshadowed the traditional model of the long only portfolio manager. Many of the traditional technical indicators and commonly accepted trading strategies have become obsolete or ineffective. The focus throughout the book is to describe the principal innovations that have been made within the equity markets over the last several years and that have changed the ground rules for trading activities. By understanding these changes the active trader is far better equipped to profit in today’s more complex and risky markets. Long/Short Market Dynamics includes: A completely new technique, Comparative Quantiles Analysis, for identifying market turning points is introduced. It is based on statistical techniques that can be used to recognize money flow and price/momentum divergences that can provide substantial profit opportunities. Power laws, regime shifts, self-organized criticality, phase transitions, network dynamics, econophysics, algorithmic trading and other ideas from the science of complexity are examined. All are described as concretely as possible and avoiding unnecessary mathematics and formalism. Alpha generation, portfolio construction, hedge ratios, and beta neutral portfolios are illustrated with case studies and worked examples. Episodes of financial contagion are illustrated with a proposed explanation of their origins within underlying market dynamics
Download or read book The Dynamics of S P 500 Index and S P 500 Futures Intraday Price Volatilities written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Time Varying Relationship of News Sentiment Implied Volatility and Stock Returns written by Lee A. Smales and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I examine the relationship between aggregate news sentiment, S&P 500 Index returns, and changes in the implied volatility index (VIX). I find a significant negative contemporaneous relationship between changes in VIX and both news sentiment and stock returns. This relationship is asymmetric whereby changes in VIX are larger following negative news and/or stock market declines. VAR analysis of the dynamics and cross-dependencies between variables reveals a strong positive relationship between previous and current period changes in implied volatility and stock returns, while current period and lagged news sentiment has a significant positive (negative) relationship with stock returns (changes in VIX). I develop a simple trading strategy whereby high (low) levels of implied volatility signal attractive opportunities to take long (short) positions in the underlying index, while extremely negative (positive) news sentiment signals opportunities to enter short (long) index positions.
