Download or read book The Analytic Hierarchy Process written by Bruce L. Golden and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Management science is a di scipl ine dedicated to the development of techniques that enable decision makers to cope with the increasing complexity of our world. The early burst of excitement which was spawned by the development and successful applications of linear programming to problems in both the public and private sectors has challenged researchers to develop even more sophisticated methods to deal with the complex nature of decision making. Sophistication, however, does not always trans 1 ate into more complex mathematics. Professor Thomas L. Saaty was working for the U. S. Defense Department and for the U. S. Department of State in the late 1960s and early 1970s. In these positions, Professor Saaty was exposed to some of the most complex decisions facing the world: arms control, the Middle East problem, and the development of a transport system for a Third World country. While having made major contributions to numerous areas of mathematics and the theory of operations research, he soon realized that one did not need complex mathematics to come to grips with these decision problems, just the right mathematics! Thus, Professor Saaty set out to develop a mathematically-based technique for analyzing complex situations which was sophisticated in its simplicity. This technique became known as the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and has become very successful in helping decision makers to structure and analyze a wide range of problems.
Download or read book Management Science written by Mathur and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1994 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Art of Decision Making written by Joseph Bikart and published by Watkins Media Limited. This book was released on 2019-07-09 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing insights from philosophy, psychology, literature, and theology, a longtime executive business coach explores how and why we make the decisions we do What is it that makes some of us better—or worse—than others at committing to a choice? What are the forces that hold us back, and how can we successfully overcome them? Every facet of our lives depends on the decisions we make. Yet, how often do we pause to reflect on our ability to make the best and smartest choices? The key is how we confront and refine the decision-making process. Here, Joseph Bikart explores the intricacies of decision making, challenging us to understand why we make the choices we do. He explores how the true power of decisions, especially the toughest among them, help us to face our fears and may in turn change how we think about ourselves. Breaking his study into four clear parts and short practical essays, Bikart presents a lively and compelling exploration of the process of decision making. He covers: • Indecision, Indecision: What makes us indecisive? What holds us back and why? • Where Art Thou?: How and where we get stuck and the importance of relaxing one's grip. • The Momentum of Decisiveness: Keeping our focus and proactivity. • The Deciding Mind: Making our smartest choices. Drawing from such different fields as philosophy, psychology, neurology, literature, art history and theology, The Art of Decision Making takes us on a journey from the depths of procrastination to the elation of decision making. Presenting a fresh perspective on what to do at the proverbial fork in the road, Bikart's unique philosophy is insightful, thought provoking, and potentially life-changing.
Download or read book The Art and Science of Making Up Your Mind written by Rex V. Brown and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-06-14 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Art and Science of Making Up Your Mind presents basic decision-making principles and tools to help the reader respond efficiently and wisely to everyday dilemmas. Although most decisions are made informally (whether intuitively without deliberate thought, or based on careful reflection), over the centuries people have tried to develop systematic, scientific and structured ways in which to make decisions. Using qualitative counterparts to quantitative models, Rex Brown takes the reader through the basics, like ‘what is a decision’ and then considers a wide variety of real-life decisions, explaining how the best judgments can be made using logical principles. Combining multiple evaluations of the same judgment ("hybrid judgment") and exploring innovative analytical concepts (such as "ideal judgment"), this book explores and analyzes the skills needed to master the basics of non-mathematical decision making, and what should be done, using real world illustrations of decision methods. The book is an ideal companion for students of Thinking, Reasoning and Decision-Making, and also for anyone wanting to understand how to make better judgments in their everyday lives.
Download or read book Decisions Decisions written by David A. Welch and published by Prometheus Books. This book was released on 2009-12-02 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: You''re tempted to accept a promising job offer in another city, but moving would entail considerable sacrifice on the part of your family. What should you do? Your elderly mother can no longer take care of herself but she doesn''t get along with your husband and dreads the prospect of moving into a nursing home. What is the solution? Whether you are faced with decisions momentous or trivial, how you go about resolving everyday dilemmas will definitely affect your level of satisfaction in life. In this engrossing and entertaining guide, David Welch, who has studied the decision-making process at the highest levels, shows how both the science and the art of decision-making are essential to us all. Welch lays out nine steps to effective decision-making and then demonstrates how to apply these steps to real-world situations. He gives readers the intellectual tools to assess their strengths and weaknesses and stresses that self-knowledge is critical for making the right decisions. This enjoyable, clearly written guide will enable decision-makers at every level to find the best possible solution for dilemmas both big and small.
Download or read book Wait written by Frank Partnoy and published by PublicAffairs. This book was released on 2012-06-26 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What do these scenarios have in common: a professional tennis player returning a serve, a woman evaluating a first date across the table, a naval officer assessing a threat to his ship, and a comedian about to reveal a punch line? In this counterintuitive and insightful work, author Frank Partnoy weaves together findings from hundreds of scientific studies and interviews with wide-ranging experts to craft a picture of effective decision-making that runs counter to our brutally fast-paced world. Even as technology exerts new pressures to speed up our lives, it turns out that the choices we make -- unconsciously and consciously, in time frames varying from milliseconds to years -- benefit profoundly from delay. As this winning and provocative book reveals, taking control of time and slowing down our responses yields better results in almost every arena of life -- even when time seems to be of the essence. The procrastinator in all of us will delight in Partnoy's accounts of celebrity "delay specialists," from Warren Buffett to Chris Evert to Steve Kroft, underscoring the myriad ways in which delaying our reactions to everyday choices -- large and small -- can improve the quality of our lives.
Download or read book Smart Decisions written by Thomas N. Martin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-29 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's world is complex and getting more so each day. Huge multinational corporations, international crisis and fast breaking events require most people to make decisions on a daily basis without the tools to understand the long term impact that today's decision might create. Because most people have never really been trained in how to make important complex decisions most people rely on experience, and 'gut reaction' which is okay for many decisions, but not okay for decision that will have meaningful impact on organizations and individual. Decision makers need to develop the art and science of strategic decision making. Here, Professor Thomas Martin explains the need for decision makers to modify their thinking about how they deal with acquiring and analyzing information in each of the decision-making process steps. This approach requiring thinking modification will lengthen the process, make it more complex, and to some more arduous, but the comprehensiveness of the new thinking approach should lead to improved and more effective decision making. In this book, Dr. Martin presents a thinking modification framework that asserts that in the decision-making process, there are three situational states — a current state, future state, and a transitional state that one must deliberate in finding a solution. For each of these situational states, Martin develops an identical five-step process to determine the best decision to make. The steps of this process include: • Change-Needing Situational Analysis • Challenge Framing & Causal Analysis • Generating Solution Ideas • Choosing a Solution Set • Implementation and Aftermath Planning This book will appeal to decision makers, leaders, and students of management who want a specific framework that details the process behind making strategic, well-informed decisions.
Download or read book Negotiation Analysis written by Howard Raiffa and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2007-03-31 with total page 567 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This masterly book substantially extends Howard Raiffa’s earlier classic, The Art and Science of Negotiation. It does so by incorporating three additional supporting strands of inquiry: individual decision analysis, judgmental decision making, and game theory. Each strand is introduced and used in analyzing negotiations. The book starts by considering how analytically minded parties can generate joint gains and distribute them equitably by negotiating with full, open, truthful exchanges. The book then examines models that disengage step by step from that ideal. It also shows how a neutral outsider (intervenor) can help all negotiators by providing joint, neutral analysis of their problem. Although analytical in its approach—building from simple hypothetical examples—the book can be understood by those with only a high school background in mathematics. It therefore will have a broad relevance for both the theory and practice of negotiation analysis as it is applied to disputes that range from those between family members, business partners, and business competitors to those involving labor and management, environmentalists and developers, and nations.
Download or read book The Art and Science of Decision Making written by M. Tainiter and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Tale of Two Minds written by Chong Chen and published by Brain & Life Publishing. This book was released on 2018-04-19 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do you wonder how to make effective decisions in everyday life?Are you fatigued with thousands of choices every day?Have you spent lots of time struggling with whether you should follow your heart or mind? Our brain has two modes of thinking: intuitive and reflective. Intuitive thinking or intuition is fast, emotional, efficient, but error-prone; reflective thinking or reflection is more logical and precise, but slow and effortful. Now, in The Tale of Two Minds: The Art and Science of Decision Making in Everyday Life, Dr. Chong Chen introduces groundbreaking studies that help you achieve a balanced, scientific view of the two minds. Distinguishing when and where each mind is correct and when we can trust them, and when and where they are incorrect and how to avoid the risks is of crucial importance to our daily lives. In this book, Dr. Chong Chen offers practical and enlightening insight into how to become smarter about decision-making, through examples on: Forming first impressions of strangers Deciding your favorite goods Choosing your romantic partner Renting apartments Buying houses and cars Job hunting Deciding what to eat And much more
Download or read book Decisions written by Pankaj Garg and published by Notion Press. This book was released on 2020-01-10 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “We make decisions, but decisions make our life.” All of us need to make decisions that may be major or minor. One good decision can work wonders and dramatically change our lives forever. Similarly, one bad decision can prove disastrous and make life horrible. So ultimately, our life is a sum total of the decisions we make. This highlights the fact that decision making is the most important thing we do throughout our lives. If the decision making process is so vital, then shouldn’t an all-out effort be made to improve this process? Surprisingly and unfortunately, most of us never try to do so! There must be ways and methods to improve the process of decision making. There must be a way to standardize the process of decision making so that the chances of error are minimized. Can we learn this art and teach it to our children? There is very little literature available on this topic. Decisions is a book that is all about mastering the art of decision making by understanding and standardizing its concepts.
Download or read book The Art and Science of Decision making written by Pirkko Walden and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Value Focused Thinking written by Ralph L. KEENEY and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-06-30 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text argues that in decision-making a focus should be placed on the bottom-line objectives that give it its meaning. It states that through recognizing and articulating fundamental values, better decision opportunities can be identified, thereby creating better alternatives.
Download or read book Classification in the Wild written by Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2021-02-02 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rules for building formal models that use fast-and-frugal heuristics, extending the psychological study of classification to the real world of uncertainty. This book focuses on classification--allocating objects into categories--"in the wild," in real-world situations and far from the certainty of the lab. In the wild, unlike in typical psychological experiments, the future is not knowable and uncertainty cannot be meaningfully reduced to probability. Connecting the science of heuristics with machine learning, the book shows how to create formal models using classification rules that are simple, fast, and transparent and that can be as accurate as mathematically sophisticated algorithms developed for machine learning.
Download or read book Art and Science of Decision Making written by Melvin Tainiter and published by . This book was released on 1986-02-01 with total page 115 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Thinking written by John Brockman and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2013-10-29 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlock your mind. From the bestselling authors of Thinking, Fast and Slow; The Black Swan; and Stumbling on Happiness comes a cutting-edge exploration of the mysteries of rational thought, decision-making, intuition, morality, willpower, problem-solving, prediction, forecasting, unconscious behavior, and beyond. Edited by John Brockman, publisher of Edge.org ("The world's smartest website"—The Guardian), Thinking presents original ideas by today's leading psychologists, neuroscientists, and philosophers who are radically expanding our understanding of human thought. Contributors include: Daniel Kahneman on the power (and pitfalls) of human intuition and "unconscious" thinking Daniel Gilbert on desire, prediction, and why getting what we want doesn't always make us happy Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the limitations of statistics in guiding decision-making Vilayanur Ramachandran on the scientific underpinnings of human nature Simon Baron-Cohen on the startling effects of testosterone on the brain Daniel C. Dennett on decoding the architecture of the "normal" human mind Sarah-Jayne Blakemore on mental disorders and the crucial developmental phase of adolescence Jonathan Haidt, Sam Harris, and Roy Baumeister on the science of morality, ethics, and the emerging synthesis of evolutionary and biological thinking Gerd Gigerenzer on rationality and what informs our choices
Download or read book How Doctors Think written by Jerome Groopman and published by HarperCollins. This book was released on 2008-03-12 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On average, a physician will interrupt a patient describing her symptoms within eighteen seconds. In that short time, many doctors decide on the likely diagnosis and best treatment. Often, decisions made this way are correct, but at crucial moments they can also be wrong—with catastrophic consequences. In this myth-shattering book, Jerome Groopman pinpoints the forces and thought processes behind the decisions doctors make. Groopman explores why doctors err and shows when and how they can—with our help—avoid snap judgments, embrace uncertainty, communicate effectively, and deploy other skills that can profoundly impact our health. This book is the first to describe in detail the warning signs of erroneous medical thinking and reveal how new technologies may actually hinder accurate diagnoses. How Doctors Think offers direct, intelligent questions patients can ask their doctors to help them get back on track. Groopman draws on a wealth of research, extensive interviews with some of the country’s best doctors, and his own experiences as a doctor and as a patient. He has learned many of the lessons in this book the hard way, from his own mistakes and from errors his doctors made in treating his own debilitating medical problems. How Doctors Think reveals a profound new view of twenty-first-century medical practice, giving doctors and patients the vital information they need to make better judgments together.
