Download or read book Testing the Bivariate Distribution of Daily Equity Returns Using Copulas written by Oriol Roch and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Continuous Bivariate Distributions written by N. Balakrishnan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-31 with total page 714 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Along with a review of general developments relating to bivariate distributions, this volume also covers copulas, a subject which has grown immensely in recent years. In addition, it examines conditionally specified distributions and skewed distributions.
Download or read book Fitting Bivariate Cumulative Returns with Copulas written by Werner Hürlimann and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A copula based statistical method for fitting joint cumulative returns between a market index and a single stock to daily data is proposed. Modifying the method of inference functions for margins (IFM method), one performs two separate maximum likelihood estimations of the univariate marginal distributions, assumed to be normal inverse gamma mixtures with kurtosis parameter equal to 6, followed by a minimization of the bivariate chi-square statistic associated to an adequate bivariate version of the usual Pearson goodness-of-fit test. The copula fitting results for daily cumulative returns between the Swiss Market Index and a stock in the index family for an approximate one-year period are quite satisfactory. The best overall fits are obtained for the new linear Spearman copula, as well as for the Frank and Gumbel-Hougaard copulas. Finally, a significant application to covariance estimation for the linear Spearman copula is discussed.
Download or read book Quantitative Methods for Economics and Finance written by J.E. Trinidad-Segovia and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of papers for the Special Issue “Quantitative Methods for Economics and Finance” of the journal Mathematics. This Special Issue reflects on the latest developments in different fields of economics and finance where mathematics plays a significant role. The book gathers 19 papers on topics such as volatility clusters and volatility dynamic, forecasting, stocks, indexes, cryptocurrencies and commodities, trade agreements, the relationship between volume and price, trading strategies, efficiency, regression, utility models, fraud prediction, or intertemporal choice.
Download or read book Asset Return Correlation and Non Normality written by Michael Tschan and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The non-normal behaviour of stock returns of the S&P 500 index as well as of a vast majority of its components - as shown based on several statistical normality tests - entails the risk of shrinking Pearson correlation bounds. By means of maximum likelihood estimations (MLE), we identified a superior fit of the normal-inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution compared to other distributions for most cases of univariate daily, weekly and monthly stock returns. Using the parameters for the marginal distributions estimated by MLE and applying Monte Carlo methods to model the Fréchet-Hoeffding bounds, we found in case of monthly - but not for daily - stock returns evidence for shrinking correlation intervals. In particular, a group of seven stocks indicated in a majority of simulations the anomaly of diminished attainable correlation ranges, caused by - a few - extreme historical return realisations. An analysis of the bivariate copulas using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) determined with the t-copula a representative of the elliptical copula family as the most appropriate instrument to describe the dependence structure between two stock returns. In 87% percent of the analysed stock combinations, the AIC affirms a better relative goodness of fit for this specific copula with MLE estimated parameters compared to 39 other copula families. Furthermore, two goodness of fit tests - albeit for a smaller subsample - provide evidence that assuming Gaussian copulas to describe the dependence structures between stock returns is much less problematic than the normality assumption for the marginal distributions. While we conclude that shrinking correlation bounds are of rather minor importance for stock returns, a simulation of distributions with higher skewness and kurtosis indicates the existence of this risk in other multivariate distributions, in particular in cases with marginal distributions which are only supported on semi-infinite in.
Download or read book Big Data and Differential Privacy written by Nii O. Attoh-Okine and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-05-12 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to the theory and practice of contemporary data science analysis for railway track engineering Featuring a practical introduction to state-of-the-art data analysis for railway track engineering, Big Data and Differential Privacy: Analysis Strategies for Railway Track Engineering addresses common issues with the implementation of big data applications while exploring the limitations, advantages, and disadvantages of more conventional methods. In addition, the book provides a unifying approach to analyzing large volumes of data in railway track engineering using an array of proven methods and software technologies. Dr. Attoh-Okine considers some of today’s most notable applications and implementations and highlights when a particular method or algorithm is most appropriate. Throughout, the book presents numerous real-world examples to illustrate the latest railway engineering big data applications of predictive analytics, such as the Union Pacific Railroad’s use of big data to reduce train derailments, increase the velocity of shipments, and reduce emissions. In addition to providing an overview of the latest software tools used to analyze the large amount of data obtained by railways, Big Data and Differential Privacy: Analysis Strategies for Railway Track Engineering: • Features a unified framework for handling large volumes of data in railway track engineering using predictive analytics, machine learning, and data mining • Explores issues of big data and differential privacy and discusses the various advantages and disadvantages of more conventional data analysis techniques • Implements big data applications while addressing common issues in railway track maintenance • Explores the advantages and pitfalls of data analysis software such as R and Spark, as well as the ApacheTM Hadoop® data collection database and its popular implementation MapReduce Big Data and Differential Privacy is a valuable resource for researchers and professionals in transportation science, railway track engineering, design engineering, operations research, and railway planning and management. The book is also appropriate for graduate courses on data analysis and data mining, transportation science, operations research, and infrastructure management. NII ATTOH-OKINE, PhD, PE is Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of Delaware. The author of over 70 journal articles, his main areas of research include big data and data science; computational intelligence; graphical models and belief functions; civil infrastructure systems; image and signal processing; resilience engineering; and railway track analysis. Dr. Attoh-Okine has edited five books in the areas of computational intelligence, infrastructure systems and has served as an Associate Editor of various ASCE and IEEE journals.
Download or read book Economic Time Series written by William R. Bell and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-11-14 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s
Download or read book Safety and Risk Modeling and Its Applications written by Hoang Pham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-09-08 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Safety and Risk Modeling presents the latest theories and methods of safety and risk with an emphasis on safety and risk in modeling. It covers applications in several areas including transportations and security risk assessments, as well as applications related to current topics in safety and risk. Safety and Risk Modeling is a valuable resource for understanding the latest developments in both qualitative and quantitative methods of safety and risk analysis and their applications in operating environments. Each chapter has been written by active researchers or experienced practitioners to bridge the gap between theory and practice and to trigger new research challenges in safety and risk. Topics include: safety engineering, system maintenance, safety in design, failure analysis, and risk concept and modelling. Postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners in many fields of engineering, operations research, management, and statistics will find Safety and Risk Modeling a state-of-the-art survey of reliability and quality in design and practice.
Download or read book Copulae and Multivariate Probability Distributions in Finance written by Alexandra Dias and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-08-21 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portfolio theory and much of asset pricing, as well as many empirical applications, depend on the use of multivariate probability distributions to describe asset returns. Traditionally, this has meant the multivariate normal (or Gaussian) distribution. More recently, theoretical and empirical work in financial economics has employed the multivariate Student (and other) distributions which are members of the elliptically symmetric class. There is also a growing body of work which is based on skew-elliptical distributions. These probability models all exhibit the property that the marginal distributions differ only by location and scale parameters or are restrictive in other respects. Very often, such models are not supported by the empirical evidence that the marginal distributions of asset returns can differ markedly. Copula theory is a branch of statistics which provides powerful methods to overcome these shortcomings. This book provides a synthesis of the latest research in the area of copulae as applied to finance and related subjects such as insurance. Multivariate non-Gaussian dependence is a fact of life for many problems in financial econometrics. This book describes the state of the art in tools required to deal with these observed features of financial data. This book was originally published as a special issue of the European Journal of Finance.
Download or read book Simple Time Varying Copula Estimation written by Wolfgang Aussenegg and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article examines the ability of time-varying Gaussian and Student t copulas to accurately predict the probability of joint extreme co-movements in stock index returns. Using a sample of more than 20 years of daily return observations of the Eurostoxx50 and Dow Jones Industrial stock indices, Gaussian and Student t copulas are calibrated daily on a rolling window of the 250 most recent observations. We do not make assumptions on the functional form of the marginal distributions. Thus, the focus remains on the examination of the appropriateness of the two types of copulas. One of our findings is that there are time periods when the assumption of a Gaussian copula seems to be accurate and when the hypothesis of a Gaussian copula cannot be rejected in favor of a Student t copula. In other time periods, the hypothesis of a Gaussian copula can be rejected, as it underestimates the probability of joint extreme co-movements. This time periods of joint extreme co-movements are typically associated with a higher volatility environment and higher correlations between stock index returns. In applying a hit test to examine the ability of both copulas to predict the probability of joint strongly negative returns of both indices, we reject the null hypothesis of a Gaussian copula while the null hypothesis of a Student t copula cannot be rejected.
Download or read book Risk Management written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-01-10 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of derivative products in risk management has spread from commodities, stocks and fixed income items, to such virtual commodities as energy, weather and bandwidth. All this can give rise to so-called volatility and there has been a consequent development in formal risk management techniques to cover all types of risk: market, credit, liquidity, etc. One of these techniques, Value at Risk, was developed specifically to help manage market risk over short periods. Its success led, somewhat controversially, to its take up and extension to credit risk over longer time-scales. This extension, ultimately not successful, led to the collapse of a number of institutions. The present book, which was originally published in 2002, by some of the leading figures in risk management, examines the complex issues that concern the stability of the global financial system by presenting a mix of theory and practice.
Download or read book Copula Methods in Finance written by Umberto Cherubini and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-10-22 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Copula Methods in Finance is the first book to address the mathematics of copula functions illustrated with finance applications. It explains copulas by means of applications to major topics in derivative pricing and credit risk analysis. Examples include pricing of the main exotic derivatives (barrier, basket, rainbow options) as well as risk management issues. Particular focus is given to the pricing of asset-backed securities and basket credit derivative products and the evaluation of counterparty risk in derivative transactions.
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Time Series written by Torben Gustav Andersen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-21 with total page 1045 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view. There are many fine contributions, and a preamble by Nobel Prize winner Robert F. Engle.
Download or read book Heavy Tails and Copulas written by Rustam Ibragimov and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book offers a unified approach to the study of crises, large fluctuations, dependence and contagion effects in economics and finance. It covers important topics in statistical modeling and estimation, which combine the notions of copulas and heavy tails — two particularly valuable tools of today's research in economics, finance, econometrics and other fields — in order to provide a new way of thinking about such vital problems as diversification of risk and propagation of crises through financial markets due to contagion phenomena, among others. The aim is to arm today's economists with a toolbox suited for analyzing multivariate data with many outliers and with arbitrary dependence patterns. The methods and topics discussed and used in the book include, in particular, majorization theory, heavy-tailed distributions and copula functions — all applied to study robustness of economic, financial and statistical models, and estimation methods to heavy tails and dependence."--Publisher's website.
Download or read book R In Finance And Economics A Beginner s Guide written by Abhay Kumar Singh and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2016-12-14 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the statistical software R and its application with an empirical approach in finance and economics. It is specifically targeted towards undergraduate and graduate students. It provides beginner-level introduction to R using RStudio and reproducible research examples. It will enable students to use R for data cleaning, data visualization and quantitative model building using statistical methods like linear regression, econometrics (GARCH etc), Copulas, etc. Moreover, the book demonstrates latest research methods with applications featuring linear regression, quantile regression, panel regression, econometrics, dependence modelling, etc. using a range of data sets and examples.
Download or read book Elements of Copula Modeling with R written by Marius Hofert and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-01-09 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the main theoretical findings related to copulas and shows how statistical modeling of multivariate continuous distributions using copulas can be carried out in the R statistical environment with the package copula (among others). Copulas are multivariate distribution functions with standard uniform univariate margins. They are increasingly applied to modeling dependence among random variables in fields such as risk management, actuarial science, insurance, finance, engineering, hydrology, climatology, and meteorology, to name a few. In the spirit of the Use R! series, each chapter combines key theoretical definitions or results with illustrations in R. Aimed at statisticians, actuaries, risk managers, engineers and environmental scientists wanting to learn about the theory and practice of copula modeling using R without an overwhelming amount of mathematics, the book can also be used for teaching a course on copula modeling.
Download or read book Copula Theory and Its Applications written by Piotr Jaworski and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-16 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence offer great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. Since their introduction in the early 50's, copulas have gained considerable popularity in several fields of applied mathematics, such as finance, insurance and reliability theory. Today, they represent a well-recognized tool for market and credit models, aggregation of risks, portfolio selection, etc. This book is divided into two main parts: Part I - "Surveys" contains 11 chapters that provide an up-to-date account of essential aspects of copula models. Part II - "Contributions" collects the extended versions of 6 talks selected from papers presented at the workshop in Warsaw.
