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Book TAIL RISK HEDGING  Creating Robust Portfolios for Volatile Markets

Download or read book TAIL RISK HEDGING Creating Robust Portfolios for Volatile Markets written by Vineer Bhansali and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-12-27 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "TAIL RISKS" originate from the failure of mean reversion and the idealized bell curve of asset returns, which assumes that highly probable outcomes occur near the center of the curve and that unlikely occurrences, good and bad, happen rarely, if at all, at either "tail" of the curve. Ever since the global financial crisis, protecting investments against these severe tail events has become a priority for investors and money managers, but it is something Vineer Bhansali and his team at PIMCO have been doing for over a decade. In one of the first comprehensive and rigorous books ever written on tail risk hedging, he lays out a systematic approach to protecting portfolios from, and potentially benefiting from, rare yet severe market outcomes. Tail Risk Hedging is built on the author's practical experience applying macroeconomic forecasting and quantitative modeling techniques across asset markets. Using empirical data and charts, he explains the consequences of diversification failure in tail events and how to manage portfolios when this happens. He provides an easy-to-use, yet rigorous framework for protecting investment portfolios against tail risk and using tail hedging to play offense. Tail Risk Hedging explores how to: Generate profits from volatility and illiquidity during tail-risk events in equity and credit markets Buy attractively priced tail hedges that add value to a portfolio and quantify basis risk Interpret the psychology of investors in option pricing and portfolio construction Customize explicit hedges for retirement investments Hedge risk factors such as duration risk and inflation risk Managing tail risk is today's most significant development in risk management, and this thorough guide helps you access every aspect of it. With the time-tested and mathematically rigorous strategies described here, including pieces of computer code, you get access to insights to help mitigate portfolio losses in significant downturns, create explosive liquidity while unhedged participants are forced to sell, and create more aggressive yet tail-risk-focused portfolios. The book also gives you a unique, higher level view of how tail risk is related to investing in alternatives, and of derivatives such as zerocost collars and variance swaps. Volatility and tail risks are here to stay, and so should your clients' wealth when you use Tail Risk Hedging for managing portfolios. PRAISE FOR TAIL RISK HEDGING: "Managing, mitigating, and even exploiting the risk of bad times are the most important concerns in investments. Bhansali puts tail risk hedging and tail risk management under a microscope--pricing, implementation, and showing how we can fine-tune our risk exposures, which are all crucial ways in how we can better weather our bad times." -- ANDREW ANG, Ann F. Kaplan Professor of Business at Columbia University "This book is critical and accessible reading for fiduciaries, financial consultants and investors interested in both theoretical foundations and practical considerations for how to frame hedging downside risk in portfolios. It is a tremendous resource for anyone involved in asset allocation today." -- CHRISTOPHER C. GECZY, Ph.D., Academic Director, Wharton Wealth Management Initiative and Adj. Associate Professor of Finance, The Wharton School "Bhansali's book demonstrates how tail risk hedging can work, be concretely implemented, and lead to higher returns so that it is possible to have your cake and eat it too! A must read for the savvy investor." -- DIDIER SORNETTE, Professor on the Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks, ETH Zurich

Book Tail Risk Killers  How Math  Indeterminacy  and Hubris Distort Markets

Download or read book Tail Risk Killers How Math Indeterminacy and Hubris Distort Markets written by Jeffrey McGinn and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2012-01-06 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reshape your investing strategy for an increasingly uncertain world “An engrossing, fast-paced, terrific read for anyone interested in the financial imbalances due to too much reliance on math and too little respect for indeterminacy.” —Tyler Durden, ZeroHedge.com The world does not unfold according to a fixed set of rules. It is a dynamical system whose evolution looks like a bell curve with fat “tails.” The same is true of financial markets. However, every day we rely on the certainty and precision of mathematical strategies that assume the contrary to control and grow wealth in markets. Tail Risk Killers shows you how the rigidity of model-based thinking has led to the fragility of today’s global financial marketplace, and it explains how to use adaptive trading strategies to mitigate risk in impending market conditions. Risk management veteran Jeff McGinn pokes holes in prevalent assumptions about how financial markets act that tend to underestimate the likelihood of occurrence of extreme events. Through clear, conversational writing, real-world anecdotes, and easy-tofollow formulas, he provides a glimpse into the way tomorrow’s successful traders are viewing financial markets—with an eye for probability distributions. While illustrating how to protect your assets from tail risk, he shows you how to: Implement the six axioms for risk management Prepare for the unintended consequences of central banks suppressing tail risk Identify and avoid the dark risks hidden in today’s derivative-laden financial system Anticipate the fate of credit default swaps that may not face extinction McGinn argues that the intervention of central banks has robbed global markets of their opportunities to adapt, but this highly relevant book shows you that it is not too late to adapt your portfolio to survive the extreme events that happen more often than popular financial models suggest. Tail Risk Killers helps you discover useful information and processes beyond the focus of industry standards, helps you connect the dots of evolving trading strategies and time your next trade for maximum profitability.

Book Tail Risk Hedging

Download or read book Tail Risk Hedging written by Andrew Rozanov and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Fat Tailed and Skewed Asset Return Distributions

Download or read book Fat Tailed and Skewed Asset Return Distributions written by Svetlozar T. Rachev and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-09-15 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While mainstream financial theories and applications assume that asset returns are normally distributed, overwhelming empirical evidence shows otherwise. Yet many professionals don’t appreciate the highly statistical models that take this empirical evidence into consideration. Fat-Tailed and Skewed Asset Return Distributions examines this dilemma and offers readers a less technical look at how portfolio selection, risk management, and option pricing modeling should and can be undertaken when the assumption of a non-normal distribution for asset returns is violated. Topics covered in this comprehensive book include an extensive discussion of probability distributions, estimating probability distributions, portfolio selection, alternative risk measures, and much more. Fat-Tailed and Skewed Asset Return Distributions provides a bridge between the highly technical theory of statistical distributional analysis, stochastic processes, and econometrics of financial returns and real-world risk management and investments.

Book Tail Risk Management

    Book Details:
  • Author : Frank Benham
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 2013
  • ISBN :
  • Pages : 18 pages

Download or read book Tail Risk Management written by Frank Benham and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the height of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, institutional investors have spent considerable time investigating ways to limit the downside risk in their portfolios. The term “Black Swan” has been used extensively to classify hard-to-identify, but impactful, events that cause “tail risks” in investors' portfolios. Investor timeframes and constraints differ and, thus, the decision of whether and how to hedge these risks will vary for investors. In this paper, we discuss the nature of tail risks and evaluate at a high level the options available to institutional investors. We determine that managing tail risk can be done strategically or tactically, primarily through asset allocation, derivative overlay strategies, or through tail risk hedge funds. Importantly, each approach will have an associated cost, either explicit or implicit, and we discuss the trade-offs for each approach.

Book How the Risk Measures Play Important Roles for Tail Risk Management and Diversification

Download or read book How the Risk Measures Play Important Roles for Tail Risk Management and Diversification written by Takuo Higashide and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the world of investment, the subject of building a portfolio concerning tail risk is still one of the frequently discussed subjects and unquestionably vital for investors. This paper seeks to examine how the risk measures, lower tail-dependence based on the copulas approach and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), affect the portfolio strategies and play important roles for tail risk management and diversify the portfolio. By using these two risk measures mentioned above, two different types of risk-based portfolios are proposed that consider for the tail risks: 1) Minimum-lower tail-dependence portfolio (RMTP) and 2) Risk Parity Portfolio based on Conditional Value-at-Risk (CRPP). The simulation results showed how those two risk-based portfolios, RMTP and CRPP, work effectively in multi-asset allocation framework with 6 assets: stocks and sovereign bonds of Japan, United States and Germany, based on the monthly rebalance rule, using 2004-2018 sample period. One of the key findings were that both RMTP and CRPP strategies delivered better performances compared with the traditional portfolio strategies in terms of sharp ratio: 1) RMTP yielded 0.92 and 2) CRPP yielded 0.99 (by adding an appropriate risk reduction to this portfolio, the sharp ratio went up to 1.76). In addition, both of these two strategies also worked effectively in terms of the average of maximum monthly drawdown related to the effect of the tail risk: 1) RMTP by 1.80% and 2) CRPP by 1.74% (by adding an appropriate risk reduction to this portfolio, maximum drawdown decreased to 0.78%). Furthermore, this paper also studies an enhancement strategy based on Risk Parity Portfolios (RPP) focusing on and using co-integration relationship (co-integration approach). According to the simulation result, this proposed enhancement strategy has a potential to yield roughly 4.5% return. Finally, this paper presents the explicit derivation of lower tail-dependence and co-integration approach.

Book Bond Portfolio Investing and Risk Management

Download or read book Bond Portfolio Investing and Risk Management written by Vineer Bhansali and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2010-09-17 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn the fine art of risk measurement and control—from a senior member of PIMCO! Bond Portfolio Investing and Risk Management is designed for one purpose—to help you do the most important part of your job. A top player in the upper echelon of PIMCO, Vineer Bhansali understands the nuances and complexities of managing risk in fixed-income investing better than anyone. In this highly practical guide, he puts his years of experience and the latest research to work in order to help you contend with such issues as: Liquidity and stress risks Asset allocation Market anomalies Cross-market relationships Tail-risk measurement Cyclical returns Macroeconomic data Bond Portfolio Investing and Risk Management details the tools used to offset risk, including their advantages and drawbacks, and explains when to use each one. Bhansali provides practical investment techniques to give you a firm handle on the value and risk of a fixed-income instrument.

Book Strategic Risk Management

Download or read book Strategic Risk Management written by Campbell R. Harvey and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: STRATEGIC RISK MANAGEMENT Having just experienced a global pandemic that sent equity markets into a tailspin in March 2020, risk management is a more relevant topic than ever. It remains, however, an often poorly understood afterthought. Many portfolios are designed without any thought given to risk management before they are handed off to a dedicated—but separate—risk management team. In Strategic Risk Management: Designing Portfolios and Managing Risk, Campbell R. Harvey, Sandy Rattray, and Otto Van Hemert deliver a reimagining of the risk management process. The book envisions a marriage between the investment and risk processes, an approach that has proven successful at the world’s largest publicly listed hedge fund, Man Group. The authors provide readers with a new framework for portfolio design that includes defensive strategies, drawdown risk controls, volatility targeting, and actively timing rebalancing trades. You will learn about how the book’s new approach to risk management fared during the recent market drawdown at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. You will also discover why the traditional risk weighting approach only works on certain classes of assets. The book shows you how to accurately evaluate the costs of defensive strategies and which ones offer the best and most cost-effective protection against market downturns. Finally, you will learn how to obtain a more balanced return stream by targeting volatility rather than a constant notional exposure and gain a deeper understanding of concepts like portfolio rebalancing. Perfect for people working in the asset management industry and financial policy makers, Strategic Risk Management: Designing Portfolios and Managing Risk will also earn a place in the libraries of economics and finance scholars, as well as casual readers who take an active approach to investing in their savings or pension assets. PRAISE FOR STRATEGIC RISK MANAGEMENT “Strategic Risk Management shows how to fully embed risk management into the portfolio management process as an equal partner to alpha. This should clearly be best practice for all asset managers.” —Jase Auby, Chief Investment Officer, the Teacher Retirement System of Texas “This book shows the power of integrating risk and investment management, rather than applying risk management as an afterthought to satisfy set limits. I was pleased to shepherd some of the key ideas in this book through the publication process at The Journal of Portfolio Management.” —Frank J. Fabozzi, Editor, The Journal of Portfolio Management “Financial markets today are quite different from those of the last century. Understanding leverage, correlations, tails, and other risk parameters of a portfolio is at least as important as work on signals and alpha. In that sense, bringing risk management from ‘control’ to ‘front office’ should be a priority for asset managers. This book explains how to do it.” —Marko Kolanovic, Chief Global Market Strategist, J.P. Morgan A powerful new approach to risk management in volatile and uncertain markets While the COVID-19 pandemic threw the importance of effective risk management into sharp relief, many investment firms hang on to a traditional and outdated model of risk management. Using siloed and independent portfolio management and risk monitoring teams, these firms miss out on the opportunities presented by integrated risk management. Strategic Risk Management: Designing Portfolios and Managing Risk delivers a fresh approach to risk management in difficult market conditions. The accomplished author team advocates for the amalgamation of portfolio design and risk monitoring teams, incorporating risk management into every aspect of portfolio design. The book provides a roadmap for the crucial aspects of portfolio design, including defensive strategies, drawdown risk controls, volatility targeting, and actively timing rebalancing trades. You will discover how these techniques helped the authors achieve remarkable results during the market drawdown in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic and how they can help you protect your assets against unpredictable—but inevitable—future bear markets. Ideal for professionals in the asset management industry, Strategic Risk Management: Designing Portfolios and Managing Risk is a valuable resource for financial policy makers, economics and finance scholars, and anyone with even a passing interest in taking an active role in investing for their future.

Book The Fat Tail

    Book Details:
  • Author : Ian Bremmer
  • Publisher : Oxford University Press
  • Release : 2010-05-13
  • ISBN : 0199752885
  • Pages : 274 pages

Download or read book The Fat Tail written by Ian Bremmer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-05-13 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat reveal in this innovative book, volatile political events such as the 2008 Georgia-Russia confrontation--and their catastrophic effects on business--happen much more frequently than investors imagine. On the curve that charts both the frequency of these events and the power of their impact, the "tail" of extreme political instability is not reassuringly thin but dangerously fat. Featuring a new Foreward that accounts for the cataclysmic effects of the 2008 financial crisis, The Fat Tail is the first book to both identify the wide range of political risks that global firms face and show investors how to effectively manage them. Written by two of the world's leading figures in political risk management, it reveals that while the world remains exceedingly risky for businesses, it is by no means incomprehensible. Political risk is unpredictable, but it is easier to analyze and manage than most people think. Applying the lessons of world history, Bremmer and Keat survey a vast range of contemporary risky situations, from stable markets like the United States or Japan, where politically driven regulation can still dramatically effect business, to more precarious places like Iran, China, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, and Nigeria, where private property is less secure and energy politics sparks constant volatility. The book sheds light on a wide array of political risks--risks that stem from great power rivalries, terrorist groups, government takeover of private property, weak leaders and internal strife, and even the "black swans" that defy prediction. But more importantly, the authors provide a wealth of unique methods, tools, and concepts to help corporations, money managers, and policy makers understand political risk, showing when and how political risk analysis works--and when it does not. "The Fat Tail delivers practical wisdom on the impact of political risk on firms of every description and valuable advice on how to use it. Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat offer innovative thinking and useful insight that will help business decision-makers find fresh answers to questions they may not yet know they have." --Fareed Zakaria, best-selling author of The Post-American World "Political risk has become increasingly complex, and The Fat Tail provides a truly new way to quantitatively assess it in established and emerging markets. It is essential reading for any CEO with multinational interests." --Randall Stephenson, Chairman, CEO and President, AT&T Inc. "Should be essential reading for anyone involved in international business even--perhaps especially--in places that seem politically stable." --Bill Emmott, former editor-in-chief of The Economist

Book Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails

Download or read book Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat tailed distributions and looks for remedies, when possible. Switching from thin tailed to fat tailed distributions requires more than "changing the color of the dress." Traditional asymptotics deal mainly with either n=1 or n=∞, and the real world is in between, under the "laws of the medium numbers"-which vary widely across specific distributions. Both the law of large numbers and the generalized central limit mechanisms operate in highly idiosyncratic ways outside the standard Gaussian or Levy-Stable basins of convergence. A few examples: - The sample mean is rarely in line with the population mean, with effect on "naïve empiricism," but can be sometimes be estimated via parametric methods. - The "empirical distribution" is rarely empirical. - Parameter uncertainty has compounding effects on statistical metrics. - Dimension reduction (principal components) fails. - Inequality estimators (Gini or quantile contributions) are not additive and produce wrong results. - Many "biases" found in psychology become entirely rational under more sophisticated probability distributions. - Most of the failures of financial economics, econometrics, and behavioral economics can be attributed to using the wrong distributions. This book, the first volume of the Technical Incerto, weaves a narrative around published journal articles.

Book Credit Risk Management

Download or read book Credit Risk Management written by Joetta Colquitt and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2007-05-11 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Risk Management is a comprehensive textbook that looks at the total integrated process for managing credit risk, ranging from the risk assessment of a single obligor to the risk measurement of an entire portfolio. This expert learning tool introduces the principle concepts of credit risk analysis...explains the techniques used for improving the effectiveness of balance sheet management in financial institutions...and shows how to manage credit risks under competitive and realistic conditions. Credit Risk Management presents step-by-step coverage of: The Credit Process_discussing the operational practices and structural processes to implement and create a sound credit environment The Lending Objectives_explaining the credit selection process that is used to evaluate new business, and describing how transaction risk exposure becomes incorporated into portfolio selection risk Company Funding Strategies_presenting an overview of the funding strategies on some of the more commonly used financial products in the extension of business credit Company Specific Risk Evaluation_outlining some fundamental credit analysis applications that can be used to assess transactions through the framework of a risk evaluation guide Qualitative Specific Risk Evaluation_offering additional approaches to risk evaluate a borrower's industry and management Credit Risk Measurement_defining the role of credit risk measurement, presenting a basic framework to measure credit risk, and discussing some of the standard measurement applications to quantify the economic loss on a transaction's credit exposure Credit Portfolio Management_exploring the basic concepts behind credit portfolio management, and highlighting the distinctive factors that drive the management of a portfolio of credit assets compared to a single asset Credit Rating Systems_analyzing the pivotal role that credit rating systems have come to play in managing credit risk for lenders The Economics of Credit_showing how the modern credit risk approach has changed the economics of credit in order to achieve more profitable earnings and maintain global stability in the financial markets Filled with a wide range of study aids, Credit Risk Management is today's best guide to the concepts and practices of modern credit risk management, offering practitioners a detailed roadmap for avoiding lending mishaps and maximizing profits.

Book Managing Extreme Financial Risk

Download or read book Managing Extreme Financial Risk written by Karamjeet Paul and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-09-16 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing Extreme Financial Risk addresses the need for better management strategies in light of increased market risk and volatility in financial institutions' revenue models. Top officials from the financial and regulatory industries point to real corporate issues, showing how institutions react to financial crises. From first-hand experiences, they explain how effective sustainability management does not just prevent being blindsided; it also leads to proactive solutions that enhance an institution's strength to weather a sudden financial crisis, add significant shareholder value, and reduce systemic risk. Readable, coherent, and logical, Managing Extreme Financial Risk shows how extreme risk needs to be handled when the cost of being wrong means the difference between life and death of the institution. - Based on the firsthand experiences and perspectives of senior-level executives - Concentrates on extreme risk, when the cost of being wrong is not the loss of profits, but the death of the institution - Written to be easily understood without algorithms, models, and quants

Book Risk Management for IT Projects

Download or read book Risk Management for IT Projects written by Bennet Lientz and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2006-08-14 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rate of failure of IT projects has remained little changed in survey after survey over the past 15-20 years—over 40-50%. This has happened in spite of new technology, innovative methods and tools, and different management methods. Why does this happen? Why can’t the situation be better? One reason is that many think of each IT effort as unique. In reality many IT projects are very similar at a high, strategic level. Where they differ is in the people and exact events—the detail. If you read the literature or have been in information systems or IT for some time, you have seen the same reasons for failure and the same problems and issues recur again and again. In this book IT Management experts Ben Lientz and Lee Larssen show you how to identify and track the recurring issues leading to failure in IT projects and provide a proven, modern method for addressing them. By following the recommendations in this books readers can significantly reduce the risk of IT failures and increase the rate of success. Benefits of using this approach: • Issues are identified earlier—giving more time for solution and action. • Issues are resolved more consistently since the approach tracks on their repetition. • You get an early warning of problems in IT work—before the budget or schedule fall apart. • Management tends to have more realistic expectations with an awareness of issues. • Users and managers have greater confidence in IT due to the improved handling of issues. • Since the number of issues tends to stabilize in an organization, the IT organization and management get better at detecting, preventing, and dealing with issues over time—cumulative improvement. • Giving attention to issues make users more realistic in their requests and acts to deter requirement changes and scope creep.

Book A SMART Approach to Portfolio Management

Download or read book A SMART Approach to Portfolio Management written by Arun Muralidhar and published by . This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The year 2008 was a watershed year as dramatic market movements exposed the flaws in the theory and practice of pension fund management. Solvency declined dramatically, hedge funds did not deliver, rebalancing policies detracted value and liquidity dried up tainting the allure of "alternative" investments. Static policies for dynamic markets are undoubtedly flawed and have to be changed with the support of appropriate liquid, transparent and low cost benchmarks; implicit bets need to be made explicit and managed; naive performance measures have to be improved; and the CAPM needs to be revamped dramatically. But this process can only start with investors taking the time to understand how various market factors influence assets or managers and then develop a set of rules so that as the factors evolve over time, the optimal portfolio evolves simultaneously. SMART (Systematic Management of Assets using a Rules-based Technique) management of assets and liabilities leads to improved solvency and a lowering of ALM risks. SMART is about introducing good process namely, only measured and monitored risks can be managed. This book presents a new design for pension fund management that allows CIOs to be smart about managing assets relative to liabilities and, at the same time, allows them to access alpha flexibly (and compensate managers only when they demonstrate skill), thereby improving solvency.

Book Tail Risk Management

    Book Details:
  • Author : Pascal vander Straeten
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 2017-08-13
  • ISBN : 9780692927472
  • Pages : 226 pages

Download or read book Tail Risk Management written by Pascal vander Straeten and published by . This book was released on 2017-08-13 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This the COLORED version of the book. Although quantitative methods are used most often in risk assessment, their usefulness wanes in the realm of tail risk management. To effectively mitigate extreme risks and preserve a firm's survivability, the focus must be on building a resilient business model.Over the last ten years, large and well-respected financial institutions have experienced failure in the face of tail risks, revealing the inadequate protection provided by current practice. More than just capital management, tail risk management takes a qualitative approach that involves business strategy.In Tail Risk Management, author Pascal M. vander Straeten, a twenty-five-year financial services veteran and founder of consulting firm Value4Risk, pulls best practices from across industries to provide a new risk management framework. These principles will guide a business toward necessary changes in modern management practices, regulations, and cultures that can be applied on an enterprise-wide basis, addressing extreme risks at any stage in their development.In the face of a systemic crisis, a resilient business model will provide strong lines of defense against failure. Unquantifiable uncertainties will always exist, and traditional risk management approaches are not adequate. Using this extensive guide, learn what needs to change and why-and how to implement a potentially business-saving strategy.

Book The Black Swan

    Book Details:
  • Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
  • Release : 2009-10-13
  • ISBN : 0812979184
  • Pages : 388 pages

Download or read book The Black Swan written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Digital, Inc.. This book was released on 2009-10-13 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.

Book Safe Haven

    Book Details:
  • Author : Mark Spitznagel
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 2023-10-10
  • ISBN : 1394214855
  • Pages : 247 pages

Download or read book Safe Haven written by Mark Spitznagel and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2023-10-10 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is a safe haven? What role should they play in an investment portfolio? Do we use them only to seek shelter until the passing of financial storms? Or are they something more? Contrary to everything we know from modern financial theory, can higher returns actually come as a result of lowering risk? In Safe Haven, hedge fund manager Mark Spitznagel—one of the top practitioners of safe haven investing and portfolio risk mitigation in the world—answers these questions and more. Investors who heed the message in this book will never look at risk mitigation the same way again.