Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation and Market Timing written by Thorsten Hens and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We apply the recurrent reinforcement learning method of Moody et al. (1998) in the context of the strategic asset allocation computed for sample data from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany. It is found that the optimal asset allocation deviates substantially from the fixed-mix rule. The investor actively times the market and he is able to outperform it consistently with respect to risk adjusted returns over the almost two decades we analyze.
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by Clarendon Lectures in Economic. This book was released on 2002 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides a scientific foundation for the advice offered by financial planners to long-term investors. Based upon statistics on asset return behavior and assumed investor objectives, the authors derive optimal portfolio rules that investors can compare with existing rules of thumb.
Download or read book Strategic versus tactical asset allocation in markets with high uncertainty written by Daniel Hosp and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-02-05 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, University of Innsbruck, course: Sales Management in Banking and Finance, language: English, abstract: Asset allocation strategies are a frequently discussed topic with increasing importance in times of crisis. Such strategies should prevent us from price deterioration in bad times and ensure high return potentials in good times. More and more tactical asset allocation funds emerge and promise better returns than simple strategy funds. They always try to be on the right market side, in up as well as in down phases. This seminar paper deals with some basic question about what strategic and tactical asset allocation is, when should it be used and if these strategies are appropriate in a highly uncertain environment like the current. It should give the reader a broad overview about the topic by referring to different accepted theories and studies. First the development of asset allocation methods will be described resulting in strategic and tactical asset allocation and an evaluation of them. Furthermore a link toward uncertain market conditions will be compounded.
Download or read book Market Timing written by Wim Antoons and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset allocation decisions, particularly those involving market timing, create both opportunities and pitfalls for investors. In the aftermath of the crash of October 1987, many investors sought protection of capital through market timing or tactical asset allocation strategies. Since then, the popularity of tactical asset allocation has increased both for professional investment managers and individual investors alike.In this paper, I explore opportunities for enhancing returns using tactical asset allocation and market timing, as well as the challenges posed by market timing, including higher costs and the risk of missing the best-performing days of the market. I examine whether investors can succeed using tactical asset allocation and market timing strategies and look to behavioral finance concepts to explain why investors continue to embrace market timing in their investment process.I find that strategic asset allocation was the most important driver of long-term investment success. This is because most market timers typically fail to accurately predict important equity market swings. The long-term odds are not in favor of market timing strategies.
Download or read book Finance 2 Asset Allocation and Market Efficiency written by Michael Frömmel and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2023-03-22 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This books builds on 'Finance 1: Portfolio Theory and Management'. Both volumes are linked through the asset allocation process. While Finance 1 focuses on portfolio theory and strategic asset allocation, Finance 2 deals with tactical asset allocation and market efficiency. We start by reviewing the asset allocation process, market timing and the approach by Black and Litterman. Section 2 deals with the predictability of prices, including technical analysis and momentum. Turning to factors that may cause the predictability - if there is any - we discuss models from behavioural finance. The subsequent section deals with bubbles and herd behaviour, before we cover market microstructure and its implications. The book's last section deals with price manipulation as a cause for inefficiencies.
Download or read book Market Timing and Moving Averages written by P. Glabadanidis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-07-15 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a prevailing view among researchers and practitioners that abnormal risk-adjusted returns are an anomaly of financial market inefficiency. This outlook is misleading, since such returns only shed light on the imperfect models commonly used to measure and benchmark investment performance. In particular, using static asset pricing models to judge the performance of a dynamic investment strategy leads to flawed inferences when predicting market indicators. Market Timing and Moving Averages investigates the performance of moving average price indicators as a tactical asset allocation strategy. Glabadanidis provides a rationale for analyzing and testing the market timing and predictive power of any indicator based on past average prices and trading volume. He argues that certain trading strategies are best implemented as a dynamic asset allocation without selling short, in turn achieving the effect of an imperfect at-the-money protective put option. This work contains an empirical analysis of the performance of various versions of trading strategies based on simple moving averages.
Download or read book Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation written by Henrik Lumholdt and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-21 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers each step in the asset allocation process, addressing as many of the relevant questions as possible along the way. How can we formulate expectations about long-term returns? How relevant are valuations? What are the challenges to optimizing the portfolio? Can factor investing add value and, if so, how can it be implemented? Which are the key performance drivers for each asset class, and what determines how they are correlated? How can we apply insights about the business cycle to tactical asset allocation? The book is aimed at finance professionals and others looking for a coherent framework for decision-making in asset allocation, both at the strategic and tactical level. It stresses analysis rather than pre-conceived ideas about investments, and it draws on both empirical research and practical experience to give the reader as strong a background as possible.
Download or read book Asset Allocation Techniques and Financial Market Timing written by Carroll D. Aby and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1995-07-17 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A highly readable, logically presented, unique guide to asset allocation strategies and technical analysis, this work covers numerous investment alternatives including mutual funds and fixed income securities. Aby and Vaughn provide a comprehensive examination of point and figure charting and vertical bar analysis, combined with an approach that both improves timing and emphasizes the minimization of errors in data interpretation and investment decision making. The authors discuss ways to estimate price targets and provide unique forecasting methods for fixed-income and aggregate equity markets, using an intermarket perspective. This is an important and useful resource for professionals and other knowledgeable investors. Throughout the book, Aby and Vaughn challenge conventional and acceptable academic thinking. Through emphasis on smaller, more obscure capitalization issues, they reduce complex concepts to a highly readable framework pervaded by comprehensive coverages of a large number of investment options. Major topics featured include the illustration and application of critical concepts underlying vertical bar chart analysis; extensive coverage on contemporary strategies that improve timing and challenge past criticisms of point and figure charting; a unique approach utilizing the point and figure charts to reveal how mutual fund selection can be improved; and intermarket technical analysis, a method through which movements in bond prices and yields are predicted.
Download or read book Asset Allocation 5E PB written by Roger C. Gibson and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-05-24 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Definitive Guide to Strategic Asset Allocation Uniting theory and practice--the art and science of asset allocation Investors long to beat the market, and money managers accept that as their mandate. The sad reality is that most money managers underperform the market, and individual investors do even worse. Investors also face emotional challenges. The irrational exuberance of the 1990s, for instance, can as easily derail a sensible investment strategy as the market panic accompanying the Global Financial Crisis. Since Roger Gibson wrote the first edition of this book over 25 years ago, his multiple-asset class investment approach has given investors a disciplined strategy for mitigating risks and realizing their financial goals through widely varying market environments. Grounded in the principles of modern portfolio theory, this fifth edition of his investing classic explains how and why asset allocation works. Gibson demonstrates how adding new asset classes to a portfolio improves its risk-adjusted returns and how strategic asset allocation uses, rather than fights, the forces of the capital markets to achieve financial success. New topics in this edition include: The success of multiple-asset-class investing during the stock market's "lost decade" Methods for forecasting long-term asset class returns and the limitations of prediction The dangers of market timing and the challenges involved in tactical asset allocation strategies--with insights from the field of behavioral finance Observations from the Global SIDONI Financial Crisis of 2008 and what it means for the multiple-asset-class investor With more than three decades of experience managing clients' portfolios and expectations, Gibson underscores the importance of identifying and working through the emotional and psychological traps that impede investment success. Join the quarter-century trend of Asset Allocation providing investors with a sound approach to financial well-being.
Download or read book Adaptive Asset Allocation written by Adam Butler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-02 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build an agile, responsive portfolio with a new approach to global asset allocation Adaptive Asset Allocation is a no-nonsense how-to guide for dynamic portfolio management. Written by the team behind Gestaltu.com, this book walks you through a uniquely objective and unbiased investment philosophy and provides clear guidelines for execution. From foundational concepts and timing to forecasting and portfolio optimization, this book shares insightful perspective on portfolio adaptation that can improve any investment strategy. Accessible explanations of both classical and contemporary research support the methodologies presented, bolstered by the authors' own capstone case study showing the direct impact of this approach on the individual investor. Financial advisors are competing in an increasingly commoditized environment, with the added burden of two substantial bear markets in the last 15 years. This book presents a framework that addresses the major challenges both advisors and investors face, emphasizing the importance of an agile, globally-diversified portfolio. Drill down to the most important concepts in wealth management Optimize portfolio performance with careful timing of savings and withdrawals Forecast returns 80% more accurately than assuming long-term averages Adopt an investment framework for stability, growth, and maximum income An optimized portfolio must be structured in a way that allows quick response to changes in asset class risks and relationships, and the flexibility to continually adapt to market changes. To execute such an ambitious strategy, it is essential to have a strong grasp of foundational wealth management concepts, a reliable system of forecasting, and a clear understanding of the merits of individual investment methods. Adaptive Asset Allocation provides critical background information alongside a streamlined framework for improving portfolio performance.
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation and International Capm written by Philipp Kowollik and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2012-03 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2004 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,3, European Business School - International University Schlo Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, 28 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: The decision as to which Assets should be included in a portfolio is first addressed in a Strategic Asset Allocation policy. The determination of the Strategic Asset Allocation is one of the most important factors that influences a portfolio's performance. The process of defining a policy within the Strategic Asset Allocation should be done by both the portfolio manager and the potential investor. Together with the International Capital Asset Pricing Model the Strategic Asset Allocation tries to find an optimal portfolio which maximizes return and, at the same time, tries to minimize the possible risk. Due to currency and inflation risk, hedging should be considered as crucial point during the Strategic Asset Allocation. 1 2 Strategic Asset Allocation under consideration of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model decides to which asset classes a portfolio should be divided. Factors which determine the decision are expected returns, variances and covariances as well as the degree of risk aversion. The analysis of mean-variance which was mostly developed by Harry Markowitz gave portfolio advice until the early eighties concerning the optimal asset allocation. The aims of this approach were to minimize risk while receiving the highest possible return. Over the years the method was critized several times because of a lack of decisive factors. Markowitz only assumed a one period model and permanent income, currency and inflation risk were also ignored.3 Strategic Asset Allocation is much more than investing short- term. Investors care about inflation and currency risk. Hedging is particularly needed.
Download or read book Asset Allocation 4th Ed written by Roger C. Gibson and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2008-01-10 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive guidebook for successful long-term investing The third edition of Roger C. Gibson's Asset Allocation: Balancing Financial Risk was released in 2000 on the heels of the biggest bull market in a century and amidst talk of a new economy. The bear market that followed was the worst since 1973-1974 and resulted in the destruction of roughly half of the stock market's value. Through it all, Roger Gibson's advice to investors remained the same. Gibson once again offers techniques to design all-weather portfolios that improve long-term performance, while mitigating overall risks through widely varying market environments. Grounded in the principles of modern portfolio theory, this fourth edition of his investing classic explains how and why asset allocation works. Gibson demonstrates how adding new asset classes to a portfolio improves its risk-adjusted returns and how strategic asset allocation uses, rather than fights, the forces of capital markets to achieve investment success. Gibson also addresses the practical side of investing, advocating an approach based on a disciplined execution of the fundamentals--the most important things that investment professionals and lay investors need to focus on to achieve their financial goals. With more than two decades of experience managing clients' portfolios and expectations, he underscores the importance of identifying and working through the emotional and psychological traps that can impede investment success. In this new edition, Gibson offers his proven guidance on multiple-asset-class investing with updated exhibits and research. New topics include: A review of the 2000-2002 stock bear market in the context of bull and bear markets over the last 100 years An expanded discussion of the dangers of market timing Non-traditional asset classes such as real estate securities, commodity-linked securities, and TIPS in a diversified portfolio The challenges of “frame-of-reference” risk--the most significant danger confronting the multiple-asset-class investor The role of Monte Carlo simulation in retirement planning
Download or read book Tensile Trading written by Gatis N. Roze and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-04-25 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A detailed 10-stage roadmap for investors to achieve stock market mastery with their own consistently profitable, high-probability investment system Tensile Trading provides a complete, step-by-step roadmap for investors of all levels, and coaches them on how best to organize the routines and strategies necessary to identify the market's strongest trading opportunities. History is proof that true mastery of the market begins with basic money management protocols, asset protection policies, and organized analysis techniques. With these crucial foundations in place, you can embrace a proven investment methodology, execute an effective trading plan, and develop a reliable system for profitable investing. Consistent, long-run investing success is a result of well-defined goals, carefully-constructed routines and an accurate understanding of the psychological challenges that all investors face. Set yourself up for success by implementing prudent money management and asset protection strategies Build a personalized Asset Allocation Profile—your own personalized investment methodology Construct a properly diversified portfolio using tools and techniques tailored for the modern market Learn to take control of your "Investor Self," limiting the impact of mental hurdles and emotional baggage Supercharge your financial analysis by employing proven routines and strategies A clear and proven approach easily tailored to fit your specific investing style, Tensile Trading distills the vastness of the financial markets into ten essential stages. It is designed to provide a comprehensive structure to your financial management efforts—helping you make smarter investment decisions, trade more efficiently, and consistently earn greater returns.
Download or read book All About Market Timing written by Leslie N. Masonson and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2003-10-22 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shell-shocked investors have lost patience with the traditional buy-and-hold approach to investing. All About Market Timing arms investors with simple, easy-to-use timing techniques that they can use to enter rising markets, exit (or go short) falling markets, and make consistent profits in both market environments while protecting against catastrophic losses. Compelling arguments demonstrate the superiority of basic timing over buy-and-hold, while step-by-step instructions show how uncomplicated timing can be. Specific investment vehicles are recommended that fit well into most timing strategies. Investors who want to time the market using their own strategies are provided with information on available software and Web sites. And those investors who are looking for advisors to help them are provided with unbiased rating services to help them select the advisor that is best for them.
Download or read book The Art of Asset Allocation written by David M. Darst and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2003 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written in a manner that is accessible to both the individual investor and the financial advisor, this text presents the tools of asset allocation, a comprehensive understanding of the process and the specifics of asset class characteristics.
Download or read book Dual Momentum Investing An Innovative Strategy for Higher Returns with Lower Risk written by Gary Antonacci and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2014-11-21 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The investing strategy that famously generates higher returns with substantially reduced risk--presented by the investor who invented it "A treasure of well researched momentum-driven investing processes." Gregory L. Morris, Chief Technical Analyst and Chairman, Investment Committee of Stadion Money Management, LLC, and author of Investing with the Trend Dual Momentum Investing details the author’s own momentum investing method that combines U.S. stock, world stock, and aggregate bond indices--a formula proven to dramatically increase profits while lowering risk. Antonacci reveals how momentum investors could have achieved long-run returns nearly twice as high as the stock market over the past 40 years, while avoiding or minimizing bear market losses--and he provides the information and insight investors need to achieve such success going forward. His methodology is designed to pick up on major changes in relative strength and market trend. Gary Antonacci has over 30 years experience as an investment professional focusing on under exploited investment opportunities. In 1990, he founded Portfolio Management Consultants, which advises private and institutional investors on asset allocation, portfolio optimization, and advanced momentum strategies. He writes and runs the popular blog and website optimalmomentum.com. Antonacci earned his MBA at Harvard.
