Download or read book Stochastic Complexity In Statistical Inquiry written by Jorma Rissanen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998-10-07 with total page 191 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes how model selection and statistical inference can be founded on the shortest code length for the observed data, called the stochastic complexity. This generalization of the algorithmic complexity not only offers an objective view of statistics, where no prejudiced assumptions of 'true' data generating distributions are needed, but it also in one stroke leads to calculable expressions in a range of situations of practical interest and links very closely with mainstream statistical theory. The search for the smallest stochastic complexity extends the classical maximum likelihood technique to a new global one, in which models can be compared regardless of their numbers of parameters. The result is a natural and far reaching extension of the traditional theory of estimation, where the Fisher information is replaced by the stochastic complexity and the Cramer-Rao inequality by an extension of the Shannon-Kullback inequality. Ideas are illustrated with applications from parametric and non-parametric regression, density and spectrum estimation, time series, hypothesis testing, contingency tables, and data compression.
Download or read book Stochastic Complexity in Statistical Inquiry written by Jorma Rissanen and published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated. This book was released on 1989-01-01 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Information and Complexity in Statistical Modeling written by Jorma Rissanen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-15 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No statistical model is "true" or "false," "right" or "wrong"; the models just have varying performance, which can be assessed. The main theme in this book is to teach modeling based on the principle that the objective is to extract the information from data that can be learned with suggested classes of probability models. The intuitive and fundamental concepts of complexity, learnable information, and noise are formalized, which provides a firm information theoretic foundation for statistical modeling. Although the prerequisites include only basic probability calculus and statistics, a moderate level of mathematical proficiency would be beneficial.
Download or read book Stochastic Complexity in Statistical Inquiry Theory written by Jorma Rissanen and published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated. This book was released on 1989-08-01 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Complexity and Statistics written by International Business Machines Corporation. Research Division and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Analysis and Data Based Reconstruction of Complex Nonlinear Dynamical Systems written by M. Reza Rahimi Tabar and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-04 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on a central question in the field of complex systems: Given a fluctuating (in time or space), uni- or multi-variant sequentially measured set of experimental data (even noisy data), how should one analyse non-parametrically the data, assess underlying trends, uncover characteristics of the fluctuations (including diffusion and jump contributions), and construct a stochastic evolution equation? Here, the term "non-parametrically" exemplifies that all the functions and parameters of the constructed stochastic evolution equation can be determined directly from the measured data. The book provides an overview of methods that have been developed for the analysis of fluctuating time series and of spatially disordered structures. Thanks to its feasibility and simplicity, it has been successfully applied to fluctuating time series and spatially disordered structures of complex systems studied in scientific fields such as physics, astrophysics, meteorology, earth science, engineering, finance, medicine and the neurosciences, and has led to a number of important results. The book also includes the numerical and analytical approaches to the analyses of complex time series that are most common in the physical and natural sciences. Further, it is self-contained and readily accessible to students, scientists, and researchers who are familiar with traditional methods of mathematics, such as ordinary, and partial differential equations. The codes for analysing continuous time series are available in an R package developed by the research group Turbulence, Wind energy and Stochastic (TWiSt) at the Carl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Joachim Peinke. This package makes it possible to extract the (stochastic) evolution equation underlying a set of data or measurements.
Download or read book Complex Stochastic Systems written by O.E. Barndorff-Nielsen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-08-09 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complex stochastic systems comprises a vast area of research, from modelling specific applications to model fitting, estimation procedures, and computing issues. The exponential growth in computing power over the last two decades has revolutionized statistical analysis and led to rapid developments and great progress in this emerging field. In Complex Stochastic Systems, leading researchers address various statistical aspects of the field, illustrated by some very concrete applications. A Primer on Markov Chain Monte Carlo by Peter J. Green provides a wide-ranging mixture of the mathematical and statistical ideas, enriched with concrete examples and more than 100 references. Causal Inference from Graphical Models by Steffen L. Lauritzen explores causal concepts in connection with modelling complex stochastic systems, with focus on the effect of interventions in a given system. State Space and Hidden Markov Models by Hans R. Künschshows the variety of applications of this concept to time series in engineering, biology, finance, and geophysics. Monte Carlo Methods on Genetic Structures by Elizabeth A. Thompson investigates special complex systems and gives a concise introduction to the relevant biological methodology. Renormalization of Interacting Diffusions by Frank den Hollander presents recent results on the large space-time behavior of infinite systems of interacting diffusions. Stein's Method for Epidemic Processes by Gesine Reinert investigates the mean field behavior of a general stochastic epidemic with explicit bounds. Individually, these articles provide authoritative, tutorial-style exposition and recent results from various subjects related to complex stochastic systems. Collectively, they link these separate areas of study to form the first comprehensive overview of this rapidly developing field.
Download or read book Stochastic Complexity and Model Selection written by T. P. Speed and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Statistical Learning Theory and Stochastic Optimization written by Olivier Catoni and published by Springer. This book was released on 2004-08-30 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical learning theory is aimed at analyzing complex data with necessarily approximate models. This book is intended for an audience with a graduate background in probability theory and statistics. It will be useful to any reader wondering why it may be a good idea, to use as is often done in practice a notoriously "wrong'' (i.e. over-simplified) model to predict, estimate or classify. This point of view takes its roots in three fields: information theory, statistical mechanics, and PAC-Bayesian theorems. Results on the large deviations of trajectories of Markov chains with rare transitions are also included. They are meant to provide a better understanding of stochastic optimization algorithms of common use in computing estimators. The author focuses on non-asymptotic bounds of the statistical risk, allowing one to choose adaptively between rich and structured families of models and corresponding estimators. Two mathematical objects pervade the book: entropy and Gibbs measures. The goal is to show how to turn them into versatile and efficient technical tools, that will stimulate further studies and results.
Download or read book Stochastic complexity and model selection from incomplete data written by M.C. Bueso and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Introductory Statistics and Random Phenomena written by Manfred Denker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1998-11-01 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Integrates traditional statistical data analysis with new computational experimentation capabilities and concepts of algorithmic complexity and chaotic behavior in nonlinear dynamic systems, offering tools for the study of random phenomena occurring in engineering and the natural, life, and social sciences. Each chapter presents experiments, exercises, and projects using the Mathematica Uncertain Virtual Worlds software packages. Large and original real-life data sets are introduced and analyzed as a model for independent study. Includes brief tutorials on using Mathematica programs. Intended as a text for an introductory level statistics course. Prerequisites include calculus and basic computer programming. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Download or read book Statistical Analysis of Stochastic Processes in Time written by J. K. Lindsey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book was first published in 2004. Many observed phenomena, from the changing health of a patient to values on the stock market, are characterised by quantities that vary over time: stochastic processes are designed to study them. This book introduces practical methods of applying stochastic processes to an audience knowledgeable only in basic statistics. It covers almost all aspects of the subject and presents the theory in an easily accessible form that is highlighted by application to many examples. These examples arise from dozens of areas, from sociology through medicine to engineering. Complementing these are exercise sets making the book suited for introductory courses in stochastic processes. Software (available from www.cambridge.org) is provided for the freely available R system for the reader to apply to all the models presented.
Download or read book Interacting Stochastic Systems written by Jean-Dominique Deuschel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-01-12 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Research Network on "Interacting stochastic systems of high complexity" set up by the German Research Foundation aimed at exploring and developing connections between research in infinite-dimensional stochastic analysis, statistical physics, spatial population models from mathematical biology, complex models of financial markets or of stochastic models interacting with other sciences. This book presents a structured collection of papers on the core topics, written at the close of the 6-year programme by the research groups who took part in it. The structure chosen highlights the interweaving of certain themes and certain interconnections discovered through the joint work. This yields a reference work on results and methods that will be useful to all who work between applied probability and the physical, economic, and life sciences.
Download or read book Statistical Mechanics written by James Sethna and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2006-04-07 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In each generation, scientists must redefine their fields: abstracting, simplifying and distilling the previous standard topics to make room for new advances and methods. Sethna's book takes this step for statistical mechanics - a field rooted in physics and chemistry whose ideas and methods are now central to information theory, complexity, and modern biology. Aimed at advanced undergraduates and early graduate students in all of these fields, Sethna limits his main presentation to the topics that future mathematicians and biologists, as well as physicists and chemists, will find fascinating and central to their work. The amazing breadth of the field is reflected in the author's large supply of carefully crafted exercises, each an introduction to a whole field of study: everything from chaos through information theory to life at the end of the universe.
Download or read book Stochastic Transport in Complex Systems written by Andreas Schadschneider and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first part of the book provides a pedagogical introduction to the physics of complex systems driven far from equilibrium. In this part we discuss the basic concepts and theoretical techniques which are commonly used to study classical stochastic transport in systems of interacting driven particles. The analytical techniques include mean-field theories, matrix product ansatz, renormalization group, etc. and the numerical methods are mostly based on computer simulations. In the second part of the book these concepts and techniques are applied not only to vehicular traffic but also to transport and traffic-like phenomena in living systems ranging from collective movements of social insects (for example, ants) on trails to intracellular molecular motor transport. These demonstrate the conceptual unity of the fundamental principles underlying the apparent diversity of the systems and the utility of the theoretical toolbox of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics in interdisciplinary research far beyond the traditional disciplinary boundaries of physics. - Leading industry experts provide a broad overview of the interdisciplinary nature of physics - Presents unified descriptions of intracellular, ant, and vehicular traffic from a physics point of view - Applies theoretical methods in practical everyday situations - Reference and guide for physicists, engineers and graduate students
Download or read book Pattern Theory written by David Mumford and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-08-09 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pattern theory is a distinctive approach to the analysis of all forms of real-world signals. At its core is the design of a large variety of probabilistic models whose samples reproduce the look and feel of the real signals, their patterns, and their variability. Bayesian statistical inference then allows you to apply these models in the analysis o
Download or read book Stochastic Dynamics Of Complex Systems From Glasses To Evolution written by Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2013-02-20 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamical evolution over long time scales is a prominent feature of all the systems we intuitively think of as complex — for example, ecosystems, the brain or the economy. In physics, the term ageing is used for this type of slow change, occurring over time scales much longer than the patience, or indeed the lifetime, of the observer. The main focus of this book is on the stochastic processes which cause ageing, and the surprising fact that the ageing dynamics of systems which are very different at the microscopic level can be treated in similar ways.The first part of this book provides the necessary mathematical and computational tools and the second part describes the intuition needed to deal with these systems. Some of the first few chapters have been covered in several other books, but the emphasis and selection of the topics reflect both the authors' interests and the overall theme of the book. The second part contains an introduction to the scientific literature and deals in some detail with the description of complex phenomena of a physical and biological nature, for example, disordered magnetic materials, superconductors and glasses, models of co-evolution in ecosystems and even of ant behaviour. These heterogeneous topics are all dealt with in detail using similar analytical techniques.This book emphasizes the unity of complex dynamics and provides the tools needed to treat a large number of complex systems of current interest. The ideas and the approach to complex dynamics it presents have not appeared in book form until now./a
