Download or read book The Analysis of Sports Forecasting written by William S. Mallios and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non-random walk through financial and sports gambling markets, parallels are drawn between modeling short term currency movements and modeling outcomes of athletic encounters. The forecasting concepts and methodologies are identical; only the variables change names. If, in fact, these markets are driven by mechanisms of non-random walk, there must be some explanation for the negative forecasting results. The Analysis of Sports Forecasting: Modeling Parallels Between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets examines this issue.
Download or read book SPORTS METRIC FORECASTING written by William Mallios and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2014-07-29 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Outcomes of major league games—winning/losing margins and total points scored relative to the odds makers’ lines in baseball, basketball and football—are graphed in terms of sports metric candlestick charts and then forecast in terms of adaptive drift modeling. The charts are constructed to reveal ad hoc forecasting patterns that may contribute to effective forecasting. These patterns are then included with variables contained in major sports data bases. The augmented data bases then provide input variables in the drift modeling forecasts.
Download or read book Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets written by William S. Mallios and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-29 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.
Download or read book Sports Metric Forecasting written by William Mallios and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2014-11-17 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Outcomes of major league games—winning/losing margins and total points scored relative to the odds makers’ lines in baseball, basketball and football—are graphed in terms of sports metric candlestick charts and then forecast in terms of adaptive drift modeling. The charts are constructed to reveal ad hoc forecasting patterns that may contribute to effective forecasting. These patterns are then included with variables contained in major sports data bases. The augmented data bases then provide input variables in the drift modeling forecasts.
Download or read book Biorhythm Sports Forecasting written by Bernard Gittelson and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Analysis of Sports Forecasting written by William S. Mallios and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Fixed Odds Sports Betting written by Joseph Buchdahl and published by No Exit Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Few people manage to make money from gambling, and fewer still make a living from it. Written for hardened and novice betters alike, Joseph Buchdahl's essential guide examines, through various numerical techniques, how fixed odds punters may learn to beat the bookmaker, protect profits through a sensible approach to risk management, and turn high-risk gambling into a form of low-risk investment.
Download or read book Forecasting Methods in Sports and Recreation written by Antoine Zalatan and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Good decision-making can be better or worse, depending on the quality of the forecasts that underlie the decision-making process. Forecasting Methods in Sports and Recreation discusses and evaluates forecasting methods so as to allow practitioners to compare, choose and utilize the method most suited to their purpose. It surveys the range of forecasting techniques available and guides the user to making the best choice of technique.
Download or read book Sports Analytics written by A. Mansurali and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Computer Science in Sport written by Daniel Memmert and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Prediction Markets written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2011-06-16 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How does one effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access the ‘wisdom of the crowd’? Prediction markets, which are essentially speculative markets created for the purpose of aggregating information and making predictions, offer the answer to this question. The effective use of these markets has the potential not only to help forecast future events on a national and international level, but also to assist companies, for example, in providing improved estimates of the potential market size for a new product idea or the launch date of new products and services. The markets have already been used to forecast uncertain outcomes ranging from influenza to the spread of infectious diseases, to the demand for hospital services, to the box office success of movies, climate change, vote shares and election outcomes, to the probability of meeting project deadlines. The insights gained also have many potentially valuable applications for public policy more generally. These markets offer substantial promise as a tool of information aggregation as well as forecasting, whether alone or as a supplement to other mechanisms like opinion surveys, group deliberations, panels of experts and focus groups. Moreover, they can be applied at a macroeconomic and microeconomic level to yield information that is valuable for government and commercial policy-makers and which can be used for a number of social purposes. This volume of original readings, contributed by many of the leading experts in the field, marks a significant addition to the base of knowledge about this fascinating subject area. The book should be of interest to anyone looking at monetary economics, economic forecasting and microeconomics.
Download or read book Handbook of Statistical Methods and Analyses in Sports written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-02-03 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook will provide both overviews of statistical methods in sports and in-depth treatment of critical problems and challenges confronting statistical research in sports. The material in the handbook will be organized by major sport (baseball, football, hockey, basketball, and soccer) followed by a section on other sports and general statistical design and analysis issues that are common to all sports. This handbook has the potential to become the standard reference for obtaining the necessary background to conduct serious statistical analyses for sports applications and to appreciate scholarly work in this expanding area.
Download or read book Statistical Thinking in Sports written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2007-07-12 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the first athletic events found a fan base, sports and statistics have always maintained a tight and at times mythical relationship. As a way to relay the telling of a game's drama and attest to the prodigious powers of the heroes involved, those reporting on the games tallied up the numbers that they believe best described the action and bes
Download or read book Prediction Markets written by Stefan Luckner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-04 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.
Download or read book 13th World Congress of Performance Analysis of Sport and 13th International Symposium on Computer Science in Sport written by Arnold Baca and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-07-12 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discovers the latest research and insights in sports performance analysis and computer science in sports with the 13th World Congress of Performance Analysis of Sport and 13th International Symposium on Computer Science in Sport joint conference proceedings. This comprehensive book features over 40 peer-reviewed scientific works, showcasing the latest developments in these areas. The book covers a wide range of topics, including data analytics in sports, performance tracking and monitoring, artificial intelligence and machine learning in sports, virtual and augmented reality in sports, sensor technology, sports biomechanics, and motor control. By reading this book, you'll gain a deeper understanding of how applied and research-based problems can, together, transform the world of sports, and how you can stay ahead of the curve in this rapidly evolving field. This means that whether you're a researcher, coach, athlete, or sports enthusiast, there is something for everyone in this book.
Download or read book Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics written by Ulf Brefeld and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-06 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed post-conference proceedings of the 5th International Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics, MLSA 2018, colocated with ECML/PKDD 2018, in Dublin, Ireland, in September 2018. The 12 full papers presented together with 4 challenge papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 24 submissions. The papers present a variety of topics, covering the team sports American football, basketball, ice hockey, and soccer, as well as the individual sports cycling and martial arts. In addition, four challenge papers are included, reporting on how to predict pass receivers in soccer.
Download or read book An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Robert Alan Yaffee and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2000-05-12 with total page 555 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques. Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology Math level pitched to general social science usage Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels
