Download or read book Residual Income Valuation Models and Inflation written by David J. Ashton and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Existing empirical evidence suggests that residual income valuation models based on historical cost accounting considerably underestimate equity values. One possible explanation is the use of historical cost accounting under inflationary conditions. In this paper, we use a residual income framework to explore theoretically how historical cost accounting numbers need to be adjusted for inflation in forecasting and valuation.We demonstrate that even in a simple setting where inflation is running at a relatively low level, residual income models are likely to produce severe under-valuations if inflation is not properly taken into account. We use simulated data to reinforce our theoretical findings and to illustrate the difficulties that empirical investigators face working within the confines imposed by real data.

Download or read book Residual Income Valuation written by John O'Hanlon and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Residual income-based valuation is conventionally carried out using forecasts of residual incomes that are derived from historical cost accounting numbers and discounted at the nominal cost of equity. A recent study by Ritter and Warr (2002) argues that this practice can lead to undervaluation of firms, and recommends that residual income-based valuation should instead be carried out using inflation-adjusted residual income forecasts discounted at the real cost of equity. Ritter and Warr (2002) go on to propose what they claim is a 'theoretically correct residual income model' that adjusts for inflation-induced distortions. The present paper separately identifies the three types of inflation adjustment contained within the Ritter-Warr model, and shows that none of these adjustments has any effect on the theoretical value estimate obtained from the residual income-based valuation procedure. It finds no theoretical basis for the argument that residual income valuation needs to be carried out on the basis of inflation-adjusted residual incomes.

Download or read book Three Residual Income Valuation Methods and Discounted Cash Flow Valuation written by Pablo Fernandez and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I show that the three residual Income models for equity valuation always yield the same value as the Discounted Cash Flow Valuation models.lt;brgt;lt;brgt;I use three residual income measures: Economic Profit (EP), Economic Value Added (EVA) and Cash Value Added (CVA). I first show that the present value of the EP discounted at the required return to equity plus the equity book value equals the value of equity (the present value of the Equity cash flow discounted at the required return to equity).lt;brgt;lt;brgt;Then, I show that the present value of the EVA discounted at the WACC plus the enterprise book value (equity plus debt) equals is the enterprise market value ( the present value of the Free cash flow discounted at the WACC).lt;brgt;lt;brgt;Then, I show that the present value of the CVA discounted at the WACC plus the enterprise book value (equity plus debt) is also equal to the enterprise market value.

Download or read book Extended Dividend Cash Flow and Residual Income Valuation Models written by and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Standard equity valuation approaches (i.e., DDM, RIM, and DCF model) are derived under the assumption of ideal conditions, such as infinite payoffs and clean surplus accounting. Because these conditions are hardly ever met, we extend the standard approaches, based on the fundamental principle of financial statement articulation. The extended models are then tested empirically by employing two sets of forecasts: (1) analyst forecasts provided by Value Line and (2) forecasts generated by cross-sectional regression models. The main result is that our extended models yield considerably smaller valuation errors. Moreover, by construction, identical value estimates are obtained across the extended models. By reestablishing empirical equivalence under non-ideal conditions, our approach provides a benchmark that enables us to quantify the errors resulting from individual deviations from ideal conditions, and thus, to analyze the robustness of the standard approaches. Finally, by providing a level playing field for the different valuation approaches, our findings have implications for other empirical settings, for example, estimating the implied cost of capital. -- Dirty Surplus ; Terminal Value ; Steady-State ; Valuation Error

Download or read book Residual Income Versus Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Models written by Ali Atilla Perek and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation plays a central role in the financing, investing and operating decisions of companies and many methods are employed to approximate the true value of a company. Although these techniques are based on similar theory, they may generate different results in application. This study incorporates an empirical approach to compare the outcomes of two different methods: residual income and discounted cash flow valuation models. The aim of this study is to test whether these methods result in different values and to contribute to the understanding of why these two valuation techniques, although similar in theory, may generate different results when applied to real life companies. There are a number of studies that compare these two methods theoretically. Some studies claim the superiority of one method over the other and some argue that these two methods should yield the same results when applied properly. In this study, the residual income and discounted cash flow models are applied to nine Turkish companies and the results are compared. We have obtained the data for the study with site visits to the companies and with the help of the managements of the companies.

Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Residual Income Valuation Model written by Patricia M. Dechow and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an empirical assessment of the residual income valuation model presented in Ohlson (1995). We demonstrate that existing empirical research using Ohlson2s model is remarkably similar to past empirical workbased on the standard version of the dividend discounting model. We establish that the key unexploited empirical implications of Ohlson2s model derive from its assumption concerning the time-series properties of residual income. We show that this assumption is more empirically descriptive than the assumptions embedded in popular accounting-based valuation models. We find that a simple empirical version of the residual income valuation model provides modest improvements over the popular models in predicting and explaining future (abnormal) earnings, current stock prices and current stock returns. We also show that the residual income valuation model is the best predictor of future stock returns, and that this result is, at least in part, due to its ability to identify systematic errors inanalysts2 earnings forecasts.

Download or read book Equity Asset Valuation written by Jerald E. Pinto and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-11-02 with total page 624 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Navigate equity investments and asset valuation with confidence Equity Asset Valuation, Third Edition blends theory and practice to paint an accurate, informative picture of the equity asset world. The most comprehensive resource on the market, this text supplements your studies for the third step in the three-level CFA certification program by integrating both accounting and finance concepts to explore a collection of valuation models and challenge you to determine which models are most appropriate for certain companies and circumstances. Detailed learning outcome statements help you navigate your way through the content, which covers a wide range of topics, including how an analyst approaches the equity valuation process, the basic DDM, the derivation of the required rate of return within the context of Markowitz and Sharpe's modern portfolio theory, and more. Equity investments encompass the buying and holding of shares of stock in the anticipation of collecting income from dividends and capital gains. Determining which shares will be profitable is key, and an array of valuation techniques is applied on today's market to decide which stocks are ripe for investment and which are best left out of your portfolio. Access the most comprehensive equity asset valuation text on the market Leverage detailed learning outcome statements that focus your attention on key concepts, and guide you in applying the material accurately and effectively Explore a wide range of essential topics, such as the free cash flow approach, valuation using Graham and Dodd type concepts of earning power, associated market multiples, and residual income models Improve your study efforts by leveraging the text during your CFA certification program prep Equity Asset Valuation, Third Edition is a comprehensive, updated text that guides you through the information you need to know to fully understand the general analysis of equity investments.

Download or read book Residual Income Based Equity Valuation written by Young-Soo Choi and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2010-09 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following the seminal theoretical work of Ohlson (1995), many researchers have tried to investigate the linear information dynamics (LID) model's validity empirically. However, empirical applications of the LID approach to residual income (RI)-based equity valuation have produced estimates of firm value that are substantially lower on average than corresponding observed market values. This book augments the Ohlson model by incorporating residual income and 'other information' intercepts into the original linear information dynamics, in order to capture the impact of the intercept terms on the residual income forecasts and firm values. I argue that the large negative bias in LID-based value estimates might be attributable to failure to deal fully with the effects of conservative accounting in projecting residual income. The main objective of the book is thus to examine whether the 'intercept-inclusive' LID model produces more reliable value estimates than the extant RI-based valuation models. I also address a potentially important issue of the different applicability under different conditions of different RI-based valuation models.

Download or read book On Comparing Residual Income and Discounted Cash Flow Models of Equity Valuation written by Russell J. Lundholm and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Summer 2001 issue of Contemporary Accounting Research we published a paper arguing that, given a full set of forecasted financial statements, the value estimates from a residual income model and a discounted cash flow model should yield identical results. The reason prior empirical studies (Penman and Sougiannis 1998 and Francis, Olsson and Oswald 2000) found differences between the models is because of subtle errors in the implementation of the models. Penman (2001) understandably takes issue with our paper, claiming that we are wrong on three points. We feel quite confident in our original paper and will rebut each of Penman's claims. Penman repeatedly states that he is interested in practical issues surrounding valuation. We share this interest; in fact, we were motivated to write our paper because of the common question raised by students and faculty: quot;why do I get a different answer from my discounted cash flow valuation than from my residual income valuation?quot; We still maintain that, if carefully done, there will be no difference in the valuations from these theoretically equivalent models. Our paper shows exactly how to do this and illustrates commonly made mistakes.

Download or read book Implementing Residual Income Valuation with Linear Information Dynamics written by James N. Myers and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Residual income (RI) valuation is a method of estimating firm value based on expected future accounting numbers. This study documents the necessity of using linear information models (LIMs) of the time series of accounting numbers in valuation. I find that recent studies that make ad hoc modifications to the LIMs contain internal inconsistencies and violate the no arbitrage assumption. I outline a method for modifying the LIMs while preserving internal consistency. I also find that when estimated as a time series, the LIMs of Ohlson (1995) and Feltham and Ohlson (1995) provide value estimates no better than book value alone. By comparing the implied price coefficients to coefficients from a price level regression, I find that the models imply inefficient weightings on the accounting numbers. Furthermore, the median conservatism parameter of Feltham and Ohlson (1995) is significantly negative, contrary to the model's prediction, for even the most conservative firms. To explain these failures, I estimate a LIM from a more carefully modeled accounting system that provides two parameters of conservatism (the income parameter and the book value parameter). However, this model also fails to capture the true stochastic relationship among accounting variables. More complex models tend to provide noisier estimates of firm value than more parsimonious models.

Download or read book Equity Valuation written by Peter O. Christensen and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review and critically examine the standard approach to equity valuation using a constant risk-adjusted cost of capital, and we develop a new valuation approach discounting risk-adjusted fundamentals, such as expected free cash flows and residual operating income, using nominal zero-coupon interest rates. We show that standard estimates of the cost of capital, based on historical stock returns, are likely to be a significantly biased measure of the firm's cost of capital, but also that the bias is almost impossible to quantify empirically. The new approach recognizes that, in practice, interest rates, expected equity returns, and inflation rates are all stochastic. We explicitly characterize the risk-adjustments to the fundamentals in an equilibrium setting. We show how the term structure of risk-adjustments depends on both the time-series properties of the free cash flows and the accounting policy. Growth, persistence, and mean reversion of residual operating income created by competition in the product markets or by the accounting policy are key determinants of the term structure of risk-adjustments.

Download or read book Analysis of the Residual Income Valuation and Abnormal Earnings Growth Models written by Jose Elias Feres de Almeida and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper revisits two valuation models based on accounting figures: the Residual Income Valuation (RIV) and Abnormal Earnings Growth (AEG). Our research design has two approaches: i) we demonstrate theoretical integration of both models; and ii) we show in a practical manner that models converge to the same results based on real data of analysts forecast consensus. We apply statistical tests on empirical data from analyst's forecasts available on Thomson One Analytics database. We use information of 45 firms listed on the IBovespa segment from BMF&BOVESPA in 2008 with historical data from 2003 to 2007 and analysts' projections from 2003 to 2010. Our results do not show a significant mean difference of the valuations, but those from the RIV model are more dispersed than those produced by the AEG model. Furthermore, our results are consistent with international evidences and present additional evidences of application of valuation models based on accounting information in Brazil. Our findings support the use of valuation models based on accounting figures by analysts, investors, rating agencies and regulators to provide additional analyses of firm's future prospects.

Download or read book Relationships Between Stock Prices and Accounting Information written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book On the Consistent Inference of the Economic Relation of the Residual Income Valuation Model written by Jian Kang and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Residual Earnings (RE) model has informed the capital market research over the last twenty years. To employ it in an empirical setting researchers commonly make extra assumptions about how future RE are related to and predicted by today's observed numbers. In this article, we show that the RE valuation relation can be estimated without a priori assumptions on exactly how observable data projects future earnings. The linkage between informative current values and expectations of future abnormal earnings is consistently inferred directly from the data. By letting the data speak we eliminate the risk of misspecifying the mechanism of expectation formation through unfitting assumptions.

Download or read book Clean Surplus Residual Income and Earnings Based Valuation Models written by John O'Hanlon and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the fact that residual income based models of the link between the value of equity capital and the outputs of accrual accounting recently appearing in the literature have been based on particular assumed classes of residual income time series process, this paper presents a general residual income based expression for the value of equity capital which allows for clean surplus residual income to be generated by any class of ARIMA time series process. It shows that other models appearing in the literature are re-arrangements of special cases of this general expression. Further, motivated by the possibility that unscaled residual income data might plausibly exhibit explosive characteristics which would make it inappropriate to attempt to fit ARIMA models, a general expression for the value of equity is presented in terms of residual income scaled by book value. Re-arrangements of a number of simple special cases of this expression are explored. It is shown that, depending upon the time series properties of the scaled residual income measure, various combinations of the mean Accounting Rate of Return, the current level of Accounting Rate of Return, the current first difference of Accounting Rate of Return and a lagged Market to Book term can appear in accounting based models of the value of equity.

Download or read book Residual Income Valuation written by James A. Ohlson and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper identifies problems related to RIV in an equity valuation context. Three problems are discussed. First, on a per share basis clean surplus will not generally hold if there are expected changes in shares outstanding; this aspect eliminates a necessary condition for the RIV-formula to be valid. Second, an all equity approach does not work if the firm plans to bring in quot;newquot; shareholders who derive a net benefit from their capital contributions. Third, GAAP violates clean surplus because some capital contributions are not accounted for in market value terms. As an alternative to RIV, the paper shows that it makes more economic/accounting sense to focus on expected eps, adjusted for dps, as a valuation attribute instead of current book value and expected residual earnings.

Download or read book Essays on the Residual Income Valuation Model written by Qiang Cheng and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: