Download or read book Refining Value at Risk Estimates written by Marius Galabe Sampid and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk written by Pietro Penza and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2001 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book, Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk by Vipul Bansal and Pietro Penza, has three advantages over earlier works on the subject. First, it takes a decidedly global approach-an essential ingredient for any comprehensive work on market risk. Second, it ties the scientifically grounded, yet intuitively appealing, VaR measure to earlier, more idiosyncratic measures of market risk that are used in specific market environs (e.g., duration in fixed income). Finally, it encompasses all of the accepted approaches to calculating a VaR measure and presents them in a clearly explained fashion with supporting illustrations and completely worked-out examples." -from the Foreword by John F. Marshall, PhD, Principal, Marshall, Tucker & Associates, LLC "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk offers a much-needed intellectual bridge, a translation from the esoteric realm of mathematical finance to the domain of financial managers who seek guidance in applying developments from this important field of research as well as that of MBA-level graduate instruction. I believe the authors have done a commendable job of providing a carefully crafted, highly readable, and most useful work, and intend to recommend it to all those involved in business risk management applications." -Anthony F. Herbst, PhD, Professor of Finance and C.R. and D.S. Carter Chair, The University of Texas, El Paso and Founding editor of The Journal of Financial Engineering (1991-1998) "Finally there's a book that strikes a balance between rigor and application in the area of risk management in the banking industry. This innovative book is a MUST for both novices and professionals alike." -Robert P. Yuyuenyongwatana, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Cameron University "Measuring Market Risk with Value at Risk is one of the most complete discussions of this emerging topic in finance that I have seen. The authors develop a logical and rigorous framework for using VaR models, providing both historical references and analytical applications." -Kevin Wynne, PhD, Associate Professor of Finance, Lubin School of Business, Pace University

Download or read book Mastering Value at Risk written by Cormac Butler and published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1999 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Value at Risk (VAR) is rapidly emerging as the dominant methodology for estimating precisely how much money is at risk each day in the financial markets. This book provides an objective view of VAR, analyzing its pitfalls and benefits.

Download or read book Implementing Value at Risk written by Philip Best and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-11-21 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Implementing Value at Risk Philip Best Value at Risk (VAR) is an estimate of the potential loss on a trading or investment portfolio. Its use has swept the banking world and is now accepted as an essential tool in any risk manager's briefcase. Perhaps the greatest strength of VAR is that it can cope with virtually all financial products, from simple securities through to complex exotic derivatives. This allows the risk taken, across diverse trading activities, to be compared. This said, VAR is no panacea. It is as critical to understand when the use of VAR is inappropriate as it is to understand the value VAR can add to a bank's understanding and control of its risks. This book aims to explain how VAR can be used as an integral part of a risk and business management framework, rather than as a stand-alone tool. The objectives of this book are to explain: What VAR is - and isn't! How to calculate VAR - the three main methods Why stress testing is needed to complement VAR How to make stress testing effective How to use VAR and stress testing to manage risk How to use VAR to improve a bank's performance VAR as a regulatory measure of risk and capital Risk management practitioners, general bank managers, consultants and students of finance and risk management will find this book, and the software package included, an invaluable addition to their library. Finance/Investment

Download or read book Market Risk Analysis Value at Risk Models written by Carol Alexander and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by leading market risk academic, Professor Carol Alexander, Value-at-Risk Models forms part four of the Market Risk Analysis four volume set. Building on the three previous volumes this book provides by far the most comprehensive, rigorous and detailed treatment of market VaR models. It rests on the basic knowledge of financial mathematics and statistics gained from Volume I, of factor models, principal component analysis, statistical models of volatility and correlation and copulas from Volume II and, from Volume III, knowledge of pricing and hedging financial instruments and of mapping portfolios of similar instruments to risk factors. A unifying characteristic of the series is the pedagogical approach to practical examples that are relevant to market risk analysis in practice. All together, the Market Risk Analysis four volume set illustrates virtually every concept or formula with a practical, numerical example or a longer, empirical case study. Across all four volumes there are approximately 300 numerical and empirical examples, 400 graphs and figures and 30 case studies many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets available from the the accompanying CD-ROM . Empirical examples and case studies specific to this volume include: Parametric linear value at risk (VaR)models: normal, Student t and normal mixture and their expected tail loss (ETL); New formulae for VaR based on autocorrelated returns; Historical simulation VaR models: how to scale historical VaR and volatility adjusted historical VaR; Monte Carlo simulation VaR models based on multivariate normal and Student t distributions, and based on copulas; Examples and case studies of numerous applications to interest rate sensitive, equity, commodity and international portfolios; Decomposition of systematic VaR of large portfolios into standard alone and marginal VaR components; Backtesting and the assessment of risk model risk; Hypothetical factor push and historical stress tests, and stress testing based on VaR and ETL.

Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 776 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.

Download or read book Improving Value at risk Estimates by Combining Kernal Estimation with Historical Simulation written by John Scott Butler and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Measuring Market Risk written by Kevin Dowd and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-02-28 with total page 395 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most up-to-date resource on market risk methodologies Financial professionals in both the front and back office require an understanding of market risk and how to manage it. Measuring Market Risk provides this understanding with an overview of the most recent innovations in Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Tail Loss (ETL) estimation. This book is filled with clear and accessible explanations of complex issues that arise in risk measuring-from parametric versus nonparametric estimation to incre-mental and component risks. Measuring Market Risk also includes accompanying software written in Matlab—allowing the reader to simulate and run the examples in the book.

Download or read book Incorporating Higher Moments Into Value at Risk Estimation written by Arnold Polanski and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting generally relies on a parametric density function of portfolio returns that ignores higher moments or assumes them constant. In this paper, we propose a new simple approach to estimation of a portfolio VaR. We employ the Gram-Charlier expansion (GCE) augmenting the standard normal distribution with time-varying higher moments. We allow the first four moments of the GCE to depend on past information, which leads to a more accurate approximation of the tails of the distribution. The results unambiguously show that our GCE-based VaR forecasts provide accurate and robust estimates of the realised VaR, outperforming those generated by the constant-higher-moments models.

Download or read book Mandan Hidatsa and Arikara Nation s Proposed Clean Fuels Refinery Projects written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 624 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Risk Evaluation and Financial Crises written by Vadim Tsudikman and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The classification, measurement, and management of risk are central problems in the investment process. Over the past 25 years, Value at Risk (VaR) became the common universal standard in risk measurement. However, the financial crisis of 2007/2009 clearly demonstrated great discrepancies in risk estimates based on this indicator. In this report, three of the field’s leading experts objectively consider each key criticism of VaR in recent professional literature, including VaR’s underestimation of the magnitude and frequency of extreme outcomes, the difficulty of obtaining reliable VaR estimates for complex portfolios, the limited value of historical data, imperfections in the effective market hypothesis that underlies VaR, and several more. Next, the authors carefully review refinements and alternatives that have been proposed as potential replacements or complements, including Conditional VaR (Expected Shortfall), Shock VaR, modifications in the handling of parameters uncertainty, liquidity adjustment, higher moments, and more. They conclude by discussing why a sound risk management system continues to require deep understanding of complex adaptive and often irrational market mechanisms and still cannot be reduced to a mere combination of indicators, no matter how sophisticated they are.

Download or read book What are the Chances written by Tom Kendrick and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project risk assessment relies on estimates of both risk impact (consequences) and risk probability (likelihood). Estimating probabilities tends to be the more difficult of these two, for a number of reasons. Because probability estimates are often so underestimated, many significant risks may be overlooked. Estimating risk probabilities more realistically results in improved risk management, lower overall stress, and more successful projects (to say nothing of earlier intervention to adjust or abandon project concepts that are prone to failure). This paper explores barriers to probability estimation and describes a process for determining and refining estimates. It also discusses how to use better probability estimates to assess overall project risk, and how to use ideas such as ROI simulation and "value at risk" (VaR) to validate project financial assumptions. The paper examines the key challenges to risk probability estimating. It then identifies a process for more accurate probability estimating. In addition, the paper discusses the importance of refining the estimates. It discusses integrating the overall risk analysis. The paper delves further into VaR and identifies reasons it can fail. The paper builds on concepts outlined in Kendrick's Identifying and Managing Project Risk, Second Edition (AMACOM, 2009, recipient of the 2010 PMI Cleland Literature Award).

Download or read book An Introduction to Market Risk Measurement written by Kevin Dowd and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-03-14 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes a CD-ROM that contains Excel workbooks and a Matlab manual and software. Covers the subject without advanced or exotic material.

Download or read book The VaR Modeling Handbook Practical Applications in Alternative Investing Banking Insurance and Portfolio Management written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2010-02-22 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a powerful tool for assessing market risk in real time—a critical insight when making trading and hedging decisions. The VaR Modeling Handbook is the most complete, up-to-date reference on the subject for today’s savvy investors, traders, portfolio managers, and other asset and risk managers. Unlike market risk metrics such as the Greeks, or beta, which are applicable to only certain asset categories and sources of market risk, VaR is applicable to all liquid assets, making it a reliable indicator of total market risk. For this reason, among many others, VaR has become the dominant method for estimating precisely how much money is at risk each day in the financial markets. The VaR Modeling Handbook is a profound volume that delivers practical information on measuring and modeling risk specifically focused on alternative investments, banking, and the insurance sector. The perfect primer to The VaR Implementation Handbook (McGraw- Hill), this foundational resource features The experience of 40 internationally recognized experts Useful perspectives from a wide range of practitioners, researchers, and academics Coverage on applying VaR to hedge fund strategies, microcredit loan portfolios, and economic capital management approaches for insurance companies Each illuminating chapter in The VaR Modeling Handbook presents a specific topic, complete with an abstract and conclusion for quick reference, as well as numerous illustrations that exemplify covered material. Practitioners can gain in-depth, cornerstone knowledge of VaR by reading the handbook cover to cover or take advantage of its user-friendly format by using it as a go-to resource in the real world. Financial success in the markets requires confident decision making, and The VaR Modeling Handbook gives you the knowledge you need to use this state-of-the-art modeling method to successfully manage financial risk.

Download or read book The origin and establishment process of gut microbiota in early life written by Huixia Yang and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2023-07-20 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Methods for Evaluating Value at Risk Estimates written by Jose A. Lopez and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As implemented in the United States, the market risk amendment to the Basle Capital Accord requires that commercial banks with significant trading activity provide their regulators with VaR estimates from their own internal models. The VaR estimates will be used to determine the banks' market risk capital requirements. This development clearly indicates the importance of evaluating the accuracy of VaR estimates from a regulatory perspective.

Download or read book The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance written by Gautam Mitra and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance is a landmarkpublication bringing together the latest models and applications ofNews Analytics for asset pricing, portfolio construction, tradingand risk control. The content of the Hand Book is organised to provide arapid yet comprehensive understanding of this topic. Chapter 1 setsout an overview of News Analytics (NA) with an explanation of thetechnology and applications. The rest of the chapters are presentedin four parts. Part 1 contains an explanation of methods and modelswhich are used to measure and quantify news sentiment. In Part 2the relationship between news events and discovery of abnormalreturns (the elusive alpha) is discussed in detail by the leadingresearchers and industry experts. The material in this part alsocovers potential application of NA to trading and fund management.Part 3 covers the use of quantified news for the purpose ofmonitoring, early diagnostics and risk control. Part 4 is entirelyindustry focused; it contains insights of experts from leadingtechnology (content) vendors. It also contains a discussion oftechnologies and finally a compact directory of content vendor andfinancial analytics companies in the marketplace of NA. Thebook draws equally upon the expertise of academics andpractitioners who have developed these models and is supported bytwo major content vendors - RavenPack and Thomson Reuters - leadingproviders of news analytics software and machine readablenews. The book will appeal to decision makers in the banking, finance andinsurance services industry. In particular: asset managers;quantitative fund managers; hedge fund managers; algorithmictraders; proprietary (program) trading desks; sell-side firms;brokerage houses; risk managers and research departments willbenefit from the unique insights into this new and pertinent areaof financial modelling.