Download or read book Nominal Exchange Rates and Nominal Interest Rate Differentials written by Mr.Francisco Nadal De Simone and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-10-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reexamines some unsettled theoretical and empirical issues regarding the relationship between nominal exchange rates and interest rate differentials and provides a model for the behavior of exchange rates in the long run, where interest rates are determined in the bond market. The model predicts that an increase in the interest rate differential appreciates the home currency. We test the model for the U.S. dollar against the Deutsche mark, the British pound, the Japanese yen, and the Canadian dollar. The first two pairs of exchange rates—for which purchasing power parity seems to hold—display a strong relationship with interest rate differentials.

Download or read book Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Rate Differential written by Kunal Khairnar and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Long term determinants of the movements in exchange rate have been an active interest area for both theoretical and empirical research. In this paper, we consider the long run relationship between exchange rates, inflation and interest rates. We find evidence that the Purchasing Power Parity does not hold for the USD/INR exchange rate, which is consistent with previous research. We examine the relationship between real exchange rate and real interest rate differential between India and US. We find weak evidence of cointegration between USD/INR real exchange rate, US real interest rate and Indian real interest, and no cointegration between USD/INR real exchange rate and real interest rate differential using standard cointegration tests. To make our analysis robust, we identify important structural breaks in exchange rate and interest rates and introduce structural breaks in our analysis to test the cointegration between real exchange rate and real interest rates. After introducing structural breaks, we find new evidence of a long term equilibrium relationship between real exchange rate and real interest rate differential. The results of our study underscore the significance of monetary factors in predicting exchange rates in the long run as well as the role of structural shifts in long run time series analysis.

Download or read book The Long Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials written by Mr.Jun Nagayasu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-03-01 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically examines the long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials over the recent floating exchange rate period, using a panel cointegration method, with data for a set of industrialized countries. The paper finds evidence of statistically significant long-run relationships and plausible point estimates, which contrasts with much existing evidence. The failure of others to establish such relationships may reflect the estimation method they use rather than any inherent deficiency of the fundamentals-based models.

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials An Empirical Investigation written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the validity of the real exchange rate-real interest rate differential (RERI) relationship for a sample of twenty-three developing and developed countries. The results based on the Johansen cointegration analysis suggest the validity of the long-run RERI relationship only for a small number of countries including Canada, Italy, Switzerland, Belgium, Chile, Israel and Norway. Real interest rate differentials are found to be positively associated with real exchange rates in the long-run for every country except Israel. The results of the weak exogeneity tests suggest that real exchange rates are the adjusting variables for Italy, Switzerland, Belgium and Israel. Consistent with an endogenous response of domestic interest rates to a real exchange rate shock policy rule, real interest rate differentials are found to be endogenous for the parameters of the cointegration vector for Canada, Chile and Norway.

Download or read book Predicting Real Exchange Rates from Real Interest Rate Differentials and Net Foreign Asset Stocks written by Carsten-Patrick Meier and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book What Determines Real Exchange Rates The Long and Short of it written by Mr.Ronald MacDonald and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-02-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a reduced-form model of the real exchange rate. Using multilateral cointegration methods, the model is implemented for the real effective exchange rates of the dollar, the mark, and the yen, over the period 1974-1993. In contrast to much other research using real exchange rates, there is evidence of significant and sensible long-run relationships for a simplified version as well as for the full version of the model. The estimated long-run relationships are used to produce dynamic equations, which outperform a random walk and produce sensible dynamic patterns in the context of an impulse response analysis.

Download or read book The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China written by Mr.Zhongxia Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in China. Taking into account institutional changes, the empirical study shows that significant and usually non-monotonic interactions exist between these three variables. The paper discusses theoretical and policy implications of the empirical result.

Download or read book Alternative Approaches to Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rates written by Hali J. Edison and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials written by Mathias Hoffmann and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Japanese Effective Exchange Rates and Determinants written by Mr.Jun Nagayasu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-06-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically analyzes Japanese long-run exchange rates from several perspectives. Several exchange rate models are considered, including the purchasing power parity, the real interest differential model, and the hybrid models à la Hooper and Morton (1982). A notable feature of the latter models is that the current accounts are introduced as determinants of the exchange rates; one type of hybrid model uses the actual current account, and the other the optimal current account, which is calculated using the present value model suggested by Campbell and Shiller (1988). The paper finds that the long-run specification is sensitive to the specification of the model.

Download or read book Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Existing models fail to explain the large fluctuations in the real exchange rates of most currencies over the past twenty years. The Natural Real Exchange Rate approach (NATREX) taken here offers an alternative paradigm to those which focus on short-run movements of nominal eschange rates, purchasing power parity of the representative agent intertemporal optimization models. Yet it is also neo-classical in its stress upon the accepted fundamentals driving a real economy. It concentrates on the real exchange rate, and explains medium- tolong-run movements in equilibrium real exchange rates in terms of fundamental variables: the productivity of capital and social (public plus private) thrift at home and abroad. The NATREX approach is a family of growth models, each tailored to the characteristics of the countries considered. The authors explain the real international value of the US dollar relativ to the G10 countries, and the US current account. These are two large economies. The model is also applied to small economies, where it explains the real value of the Australian dollar and the Latin American currencies relative to the US dollar. The model is relevant for developing countries where the foreign debt is a concern. Finally, it is applied to two medium-sized economies to explain the bilateral exchange rate between the French franc and the Deutsche Mark. The authors demonstrate both the promise of the NATREX model and its applicability to economies large and small. Alongside the analysis, econometrics, and technical details of these case studies, the introductory chapter explains in accessible terms the rationale behind the approach. The mix of theory and empirical evidence makes this book relevant to academics and advanced graduate students, and to central banks, ministries of finance, and those concerned with the foreign debt of developing countries.

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Real Long term Interest rate Differentials written by David T. Coe and published by Paris, France : OECD. This book was released on 1985 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Targeting the Real Exchange Rate written by Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-02 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of policies aimed at setting a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate. An intertemporal optimizing model suggests that, in the absence of changes in fiscal policy, a more depreciated level of the real exchange can only be attained temporarily. This can be achieved by means of higher inflation and/or higher real interest rates, depending on the degree of capital mobility. Evidence for Brazil, Chile, and Colombia supports the model’s prediction that undervalued real exchange rates are associated with higher inflation.

Download or read book PPP and the Real Exchange Rate Real Interest Rate Differential Puzzle Revisited written by Georgios E. Chortareas and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the evidence for two of the relationships that underpin (explicitly or implicitly) much of international macroeconomics. The first is purchasing power parity (PPP), or the hypothesis that there exists a constant long-run equilibrium real exchange rate. The second establishes a relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials. The tests are conducted on a panel of 18 OECD economies using the United States as a numeraire for the post-Bretton Woods era. The results are obtained using new non-stationary panel estimation techniques, which significantly increase the power of the tests. All the tests suggest that there is little evidence supporting PPP when it is tested directly. This contrasts with earlier panel data studies, which tended to find that the real exchange rate was stationary. The results supporting a long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials appear to be more positive. This again provides a contrast with earlier results, which tended to find no evidence of cointegration. Such studies concentrated on G7 economies. To investigate this further the panel was split into two groups: the G7 and eleven small open economies. For the panel of small open economies strong evidence in favour of cointegration is found. In contrast, there is no evidence of cointegration in a panel that consists purely of the G7 economies.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Determination and Real Interest Rate Differentials Under Uncertainty written by Harvey Lapan and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Long Run Relationship between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials written by Ronald MacDonald and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically examines the long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials over the recent floating exchange rate period, using a panel cointegration method, with data for a set of industrialized countries. The paper finds evidence of statistically significant long-run relationships and plausible point estimates, which contrasts with much existing evidence. The failure of others to establish such relationships may reflect the estimation method they use rather than any inherent deficiency of the fundamentals-based models.

Download or read book Long Run Relationship between Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Rate Differentials written by Nilanjan Patra and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the centrality of the theoretical relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates differential in open economy macroeconomics, its empirical evidence, particularly when cointegration methods are used, is rather mixed. The study uses IFS, IMF data for India and US for the period of 1993:M04 to 2003:M09. It employs both Engle-Granger and Johansen tests for presence of cointegration. However, it could not found empirical support in favour of the above relationship. The result is robust for different measures of real interest rate differentials.