Download or read book Rational Analysis for a Problematic World Revisited written by John Mingers and published by . This book was released on 2001-11-28 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now, more than ever, planning and managing in the real world is beset by change and uncertainty. Knowledge is incomplete, values are in dispute, decisions of others are often unpredictable. Sheathed in opaque technicalities, inflexible and over-ambitious, the highly mathematical methods of analysing problem situations are no longer considered acceptable. In their place a coherent alternative paradigm has emerged- a range of formal methodologies which aim not to produce 'optimal' solutions but to facilitate an enriched decision-making process. 'Low-tech' transparent and participatory, these methods assist in the formulation and reformulation of problem solving in an uncertain world. This fully revised and updated book brings together contributions from some of the great thinkers on this subject. The authors present the most influential methods (each illustrated with a case study), describe the principles on which the method operates, the step and the stages of analysis, and how these methods relate to the decision making process. The concluding section explores future developments and research issues, as well as links with other relevant domains.
Download or read book Rational Choice Theory And Large Scale Data Analysis written by Hans-peter Blossfeld and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-16 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between rational choice theory and large-scale data analysis has become an important issue for sociologists. Though rational choice theory is well established in both sociology and economics, its influence on quantitative empirical sociology has been surprisingly limited. This book examines why there is hardly a link between the t
Download or read book Rational Techniques in Policy Analysis written by Michael Carley and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Rational Analysis for a Problematic World written by Jonathan Rosenhead and published by Wiley. This book was released on 1989-11-24 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An up-to-date overview of a range of methods for structuring decisions and problems, useful for strategic thinking and management. Presents six problem-structuring methodologies in a way that makes it easy to determine if that method is appropriate for a given situation. Covers strategic options development and analysis, soft systems methodology, robustness analysis, metagame analysis, hypergame analysis, and strategic choice, including the analysis of interconnected decision areas.
Download or read book Rationality In An Uncertain World written by Nick Chater and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together an influential sequence of papers that argue for a radical re-conceptualisation of the psychology of inference, and of cognitive science more generally. The papers demonstrate that the thesis that logic provides the basis of human inference is central to much cognitive science, although the commitment to this view is often implicit. They then note that almost all human inference is uncertain, whereas logic is the calculus of certain inference. This mismatch means that logic is not the appropriate model for human thought. Oaksford and Chater's argument draws on research in computer science, artificial intelligence and philosophy of science, in addition to experimental psychology. The authors propose that probability theory, the calculus of uncertain inference, provides a more appropriate model for human thought. They show how a probabilistic account can provide detailed explanations of experimental data on Wason's selection task, which many have viewed as providing a paradigmatic demonstration of human irrationality. Oaksford and Chater show that people's behaviour appears irrational only from a logical point of view, whereas it is entirely rational from a probabilistic perspective. The shift to a probabilistic framework for human inference has significant implications for the psychology of reasoning, cognitive science more generally, and forour picture of ourselves as rational agents.
Download or read book Risk Return Analysis The Theory and Practice of Rational Investing Volume One written by Harry M. Markowitz and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2013-09-06 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Nobel Prize-winning Father of Modern Portfolio Theory re-introduces his theories for the current world of investing Legendary economist Harry M. Markowitz provides the insight and methods you need to build a portfolio that generates strong returns for the long run In Risk-Return Analysis, Markowitz corrects common misunderstandings about Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) to help advanced financial practitioners dramatically improve their decision making. In this first volume of a groundbreaking four-part series sure to draw the attention of anyone interested in MPT, Markowitz provides the criteria necessary for judging among risk-measures; surveys a half-century of literature (nearly all of which has been ignored by textbooks) on the applicability of MPT; and presents an empirical study of which functions of mean and some risk-measure is best for those who seek to maximize return in the long run. Harry M. Markowitz is a Nobel Laureate and the father of Modern Portfolio Theory.
Download or read book Rational Choice written by Andrew Hindmoor and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-16 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assuming no prior knowledge, this widely-used and critically-acclaimed text provides a clear introduction to, and uniquely fair-minded assessment of, Rational Choice approaches. The substantially revised, updated and extended new edition includes more substantial coverage of game theory, collective action, 'revisionist' public choice, and the use of rational choice in International Relations.
Download or read book Uses and Limitations of the AHP Method written by Nolberto Munier and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-02-05 with total page 143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method, its varied uses, as well as its limitations for solving real-world scenarios. While the simplicity of the method compels users to find shortcuts to a real-world problem, it also leads to obtaining wrong results that do not represent reality. By alerting practitioners about the core necessities of a new scenario, this book helps solve this problem, as well as contribute to the field of Multicriteria Decision Making Method (MDCM). The authors use a demonstrative, rather than a theoretical approach, and examine 30 subjects that displays the shortcomings and drawbacks of the AHP. Each one is examined in-depth, discussed, debated and reasoned, using examples, some of them numeric. The book highlights the rationality and common sense of the subjects, and in most cases, validates the criticism by showing through numerical examples, the impossibility of the AHP method to address, let alone solve real-world projects. At the conclusion of each subject, a table is built comparing the similarities and differences between the opinions of the authors and other experts, along with the respective pros and cons.
Download or read book Bayesian Rationality written by Mike Oaksford and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2007-02-22 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For almost 2,500 years, the Western concept of what is to be human has been dominated by the idea that the mind is the seat of reason - humans are, almost by definition, the rational animal. In this text a more radical suggestion for explaining these puzzling aspects of human reasoning is put forward.
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy written by Thierry Balzacq and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-09-13 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A clearly articulated, well-defined, and relatively stable grand strategy is supposed to allow the ship of state to steer a steady course through the roiling seas of global politics. However, the obstacles to formulating and implementing grand strategy are, by all accounts, imposing. The Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy addresses the conceptual and historical foundations, production, evolution, and future of grand strategy from a wide range of standpoints. The seven constituent sections present and critically examine the history of grand strategy, including beyond the West; six distinct theoretical approaches to the subject; the sources of grand strategy, ranging from geography and technology to domestic politics to individual psychology and culture; the instruments of grand strategy's implementation, from military to economic to covert action; political actors', including non-state actors', grand strategic choices; the debatable merits of grand strategy, relative to alternatives; and the future of grand strategy, in light of challenges ranging from political polarization to technological change to aging populations. The result is a field-defining, interdisciplinary, and comparative text that will be a key resource for years to come.
Download or read book Consumer Behavior Analysis written by Donald A. Hantula and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-01-21 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consumption is the primary economic activity in our post-industrial society. We are consumers, not producers. Consumer behavior analysis is leading heterodox marketing scholarship and innovative applied behavioral work, with much to offer both constituencies. This volume shows how consumer behavior analysis fits within a larger-scale approach to marketing, consumer psychology, behavior analysis and organizational behavior management. Describing both theoretical analyses and empirical studies including laboratory experiments in e-commerce, in-store experiments in grocery shopping, and an analysis of the counterfeit goods market, this book is a working example of translational research. It contains tools and studies to help understand contemporary consumer behavior, particularly for those in marketing. Scholars will appreciate the theory and real-world applications evident in each chapter when considering their own research direction. All students of marketing theory, behavior analysis and consumer choice will find this collection a thought-provoking tool for further understanding of a new behavioral approach to marketing strategy, consumer decisions and marketing firms. This book comprises articles originally published in the Journal of Organizational Behavior Management.
Download or read book Rational Decisions in Organisations written by Frédéric Adam and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-30 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managers in organisations must make rational decisions. Rational decision making is the opposite of intuitive decision making. It is a strict procedure utilising objective knowledge and logic. It involves identifying the problem to solve, gathering facts, identifying options and outcomes, analysing them, considering all the relationships and selecting the decision. Rational decision making requires support: methods and software tools. The identification of the problem to solve needs methods that would measure and evaluate the current situation. Identification and evaluation of options and analysis of the available possibilities involves analysis and optimisation methods. Incorporating intuition into rational decision making needs adequate methods that would translate ideas or observed behaviours into hard data. Communication, observation and opinions recording is hardly possible today without adequate software. Information and data that form the input, intermediate variables and the output must be stored, managed and made accessible in a user-friendly manner. Rational Decisions in Organisations: Theoretical and Practical Aspects presents selected recent developments in the support of the widely understood rational decision making in organisations, illustrated through case studies. The book shows not only the variety of perspectives involved in decision making, but also the variety of domains where rational decision support systems are needed. The case studies present decision making by medical doctors, students and managers of various universities, IT project teams, construction companies, banks and small and large manufacturing companies. Covering the richness of relationships in which the decisions should and must be taken, the book illustrates how modern organisations operate in chains and networks; they have multiple responsibilities, including social, legal, business and ethical duties. Nowadays, managers in organisations can make transparent decisions and consider a multitude of stakeholders and their diverse features, incorporating diverse criteria, using multiple types and drivers of information and decision-making patterns, and referring to numerous lessons learned. As the book makes clear, the marriage of theoretical ideas with the possibilities offered by technology can make the decisions in organisations more rational and, at the same time, more human.
Download or read book Karl Barth s Moral Thought written by Gerald McKenny and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does theological ethics articulate moral norms with the assistance of moral philosophy? Or does it leave that task to moral philosophy alone while it describes a distinctively Christian way of acting or form of life? These questions lie at the very heart of theological ethics as a discipline. Karl Barth's theological ethics makes a strong case for the first alternative. Karl Barth's Moral Thought follows Barth's efforts to present God's grace as a moral norm in his treatments of divine commands, moral reasoning, responsibility, and agency. It shows how Barth's conviction that grace is the norm of human action generates problems for his ethics at nearly every turn, as it involves a moral good that confronts human beings from outside rather than perfecting them as the kind of creature they are. Yet it defends Barth's insistence on the right of theology to articulate moral norms, and it shows how Barth may lead theological ethics to exercise that right in a more compelling way than he did.
Download or read book Cognitive Therapy Techniques for Children and Adolescents written by Robert D. Friedberg and published by Guilford Publications. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Providing a wealth of practical interventions and activities - all organized within a state-of-the-art modular framework - this invaluable book helps child clinicians expand their intervention toolkits. Building on the bestselling Clinical Practice of Cognitive Therapy with Children and Adolescents, which addresses the basics of treatment, Friedberg et. al., in their latest volume, provide additional effective ways for engaging hard-to-reach clients, addressing challenging problems, and targeting particular cognitive and behavioral skills. Fun and productive games, crafts, and other activities are described in step-by-step detail. Special features include over 30 reproducible forms and handouts, which bookbuyers can also download and print from Guilford's website in a convenient full-page size."--Pub. desc.
Download or read book Clays Their Occurrence Properties and Uses written by Heinrich Ries and published by Рипол Классик. This book was released on 1927 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First edition (First thousand).
Download or read book HR ANALYTICS written by GUPTA, DEEPA and published by PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.. This book was released on 2024-03-08 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive overview of various aspects of HR analytics. It delves into important definitions, the significance of HR analytics, methods of data collection and management, as well as specific areas such as recruitment analytics, performance management analytics, employee engagement analytics, and diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) analytics. The book also explores ethical considerations, implementation strategies, and the role of HR analytics in workforce planning, succession planning, and employee wellness. Additionally, it discusses monitoring the impact of interventions and offers insights into the future of HR analytics. Besides, it offers a range of practical tools and templates for various applications. KEY FEATURES • Comprehensive coverage: Covers a wide range of topics related to HR analytics from the basics to more specialized areas. • Diverse tools and techniques: Includes discussions on various data analysis techniques, such as predictive analytics, machine learning, and statistical modelling. • Practical templates and forms: Inclusion of templates and forms, such as employee attitude surveys and KPI dashboards, make this book more hands-on and practical. • Ethical and legal considerations: Focusses on ethics and compliance/legal considerations for the evolving landscape of HR analytics. • Future-oriented content: Discusses on the future of HR analytics and emerging trends is a dimension of forward-looking. • Agile HR analytics: Includes Agile HR Analytics as an emerging trend. • Staying updated: Acknowledges the importance of staying updated on HR analytics trends. • Clarity and accessibility: Presents a clear, accessible, and engaging text making the book reader-friendly. • The book primarily intended to the students of business schools is equally valuable to the professionals in the field. For instructor’s resources, visit https://www.phindia.com/HR_ analytics_deepa_mukul_partha TARGET AUDIENCE • MBA — HR • Data Analytics and HR Professionals
