Download or read book Questions about the Long term Future written by Robert L. Heilbroner and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Crucial Questions about the Future written by Allen M. Tough and published by University Press of America. This book was released on 1991 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Crucial Questions About the Future presents readers concerned about the long-range future and their place in it with a series of tough but necessary questions and, refreshingly, offers no pat answers. Instead, what is offered is a structured and reason-bound exploration of the complexities of modern life with which the reader, or the future-studies inclined academic, can provide his own answers to these eternal and critical questions. Contents: The Future of Human Civilization; What Is Most Important of All?; Why Do We Act In Ways That Hurt Our Future?; What Will Our Actual Future Turn Out To Be?; How Can We Achieve a Satisfactory Future?; Preventing the Worst Catastrophes; Intelligent Life in the Universe: What Role Will It Play In Our Future?; From Which Aspects of Reality Can We Gain Meaning and Purpose?; How Can Each Person Contribute?

Download or read book Shaping the Next One Hundred Years written by Robert J. Lempert and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2003-07-18 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.

Download or read book Moral Uncertainty written by William MacAskill and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2020 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: About the bookToby Ord try to fill this gap. They argue that there are distinctive norms that govern how one ought to make decisions and defend an information-sensitive account of how to make such decisions. They do so by developing an analogy between moral uncertainty and social choice, noting that different moral views provide different amounts of information regarding our reasons for action, and arguing that the correct account of decision-making under moral uncertainty must be sensitive to that. Moral Uncertainty also tackles the problem of how to make intertheoretic comparisons, and addresses the implications of their view for metaethics and practical ethics. Very often we are uncertain about what we ought, morally, to do. We do not know how to weigh the interests of animals against humans, how strong our duties are to improve the lives of distant strangers, or how to think about the ethics of bringing new people into existence. But we still need to act. So how should we make decisions in the face of such uncertainty? Though economists and philosophers have extensively studied the issue of decision-making in the face of uncertainty about matters of fact, the question of decision-making given fundamental moral uncertainty has been neglected. In Moral Uncertainty, philosophers William MacAskill, Krister Bykvist, and Toby Ord try to fill this gap. They argue that there are distinctive norms that govern how one ought to make decisions and defend an information-sensitive account of how to make such decisions. They do so by developing an analogy between moral uncertainty and social choice, noting that different moral views provide different amounts of information regarding our reasons for action, and arguing that the correct account of decision-making under moral uncertainty must be sensitive to that. Moral Uncertainty also tackles the problem of how to make intertheoretic comparisons, and addresses the implications of their view for metaethics and practical ethics.

Download or read book Crucial Questions about the Future written by Allen Tough and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Crucial Questions About the Future presents readers concerned about the long-range future and their place in it with a series of tough but necessary questions and, refreshingly, offers no pat answers. Instead, what is offered is a structured and reason-bound exploration of the complexities of modern life with which the reader, or the future-studies inclined academic, can provide his own answers to these eternal and critical questions.

Download or read book Shaping the Next One Hundred Years written by Robert J. Lempert and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2003 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.

Download or read book Array 2781 written by Janet Edwards and published by Wallam-Crane Press. This book was released on with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Array 2781 is the third part of the 2781 sequence featuring Drago Tell Dramis as a newly qualified fighter pilot, and best read after Hera 2781 (A Drago short story) and Hestia 2781 (A Drago novel) Drago has now learned the secret that his Betan clan has been hiding for almost a decade. He's currently alternating between moods of pitying his second cousin and fighter team leader, Jaxon, and wanting to strangle him. They both have to put their feelings aside though, and concentrate on using lumbering solar array transport ships to help with the repairs of the five Earth solar arrays, because Earth is critically short of power. Fortunately, repairing solar arrays is perfectly routine work, so Drago definitely can't get into trouble. Cover depicts the solar array transport ship, Antares.

Download or read book Long Term Care written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Ways and Means. Subcommittee on Health and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Goyal s ISC Home Science Specimen Question Paper with Model Test Papers for Class 12 Semester 2 Examination 2022 written by Anju Khosla and published by Goyal Brothers Prakashan. This book was released on 2022-01-01 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Goyal's ISC Home Science Specimen Question Paper with Model Test Papers for Class 12 Semester 2 Examination 2022 CISCE’s Modified Assessment Plan for Academic Year 2021-22 Reduced and Bifurcated Syllabus for Semester-2 Examination Solved Specimen Question Paper for Semester-2 Examination released by CISCE 15 Model Test Papers (Solved) and 10 Model Test Papers (Unsolved) based on the Specimen Question Paper (released by CISCE) for Semester-2 Examination to be held in March-April, 2022 Goyal Brothers Prakashan

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Download or read book Sustainable Development and the Governance of Long Term Decisions written by Jan in 't Veld and published by RMNO. This book was released on 2009 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Thinking and Deciding written by Jonathan Baron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2023-07-31 with total page 549 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The fifth edition of the classic text Thinking and Deciding updates the broad overview of the field of judgments and decisions offered in previous editions. It covers the normative standards used to evaluate conclusions, such as logic, probability, and various forms of utility theory. It explains descriptive accounts of departures from these standards, largely in terms of principles of cognitive psychology, emphasizing the distinction between search processes and inferences. Chapters cover decisions under risk, decision analysis, moral decisions and social dilemmas, and decisions about the future. Although the book assumes no particular prerequisites beyond introductory high-school algebra, it is most suited to advanced undergraduates, early graduate students, and active researchers in related fields, such as business, politics, law, medicine, economics, and philosophy.

Download or read book Handbook of Infrastructures and Cities written by Olivier Coutard and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-04-12 with total page 483 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contributing towards a thriving research area, this comprehensive Handbook presents a broad discussion of infrastructure as social phenomena. It compiles diverse perspectives to delineate the current ‘infrastructural turn’ and assess policy and research challenges relating to contemporary forms of infrastructural development.

Download or read book Affordability of Long term Care written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The History Manifesto written by Jo Guldi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-10-02 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should historians speak truth to power – and why does it matter? Why is five hundred years better than five months or five years as a planning horizon? And why is history – especially long-term history – so essential to understanding the multiple pasts which gave rise to our conflicted present? The History Manifesto is a call to arms to historians and everyone interested in the role of history in contemporary society. Leading historians Jo Guldi and David Armitage identify a recent shift back to longer-term narratives, following many decades of increasing specialisation, which they argue is vital for the future of historical scholarship and how it is communicated. This provocative and thoughtful book makes an important intervention in the debate about the role of history and the humanities in a digital age. It will provoke discussion among policymakers, activists and entrepreneurs as well as ordinary listeners, viewers, readers, students and teachers. This title is also available as Open Access.

Download or read book Practical M A Execution and Integration written by Michael R. McGrath and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-20 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Few business activities can match Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) in terms of the potential for reward and for danger. A successful merger or acquisition can allow a mid-tier company to leap into the top tier, bringing rich rewards to that company, and its employees and shareholders. The failure of a merger can, on the other hand, have a devastating impact, resulting a loss of credibility, destruction of value and in some cases bringing the parties to ruin. Depending on how you measure it, between 50% and 80% of M&A deals fail to attain their objectives, before or even after the deal is done. Practical M&A Execution and Integration is all about maximising your chances of success. Merging, de-merging, acquiring or acquired, if your organisation is involved, or likely to be involved, you will need to manage the process, and following this Handbook will give you a clear, simple framework to get the job done and help your organisation move on and attain the benefits and promise of the deal. The book covers the following core topics: Fundamentals of M&A; the reasons for M&A, types of M&A deals and the challenges they present M&A Regulation Successful M&A, covering M&A power and providing a detailed look at the processes and people involved Delivering M&A The unique issues of Banking M&A, which differs significantly from other types of M&A deals. The final section consists of document templates and suggested tables of contents which are designed to be used alongside the advice in the book, thus making Practical M&A Execution and Integration the complete guide to constructing a successful M&A deal.

Download or read book Oswaal Karnataka SSLC Chapterwise Topicwise Question Bank Class 10 Science Book For Board Exams 2025 written by Oswaal Editorial Board and published by Oswaal Books. This book was released on 2024-06-04 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Description of the Product •Latest Board Examination Paper-2024 with Board Model Answer •Strictly as per the Revised Textbook, syllabus, blueprint & design of the question paper •Latest Board-specified typologies of questions for exam success •Perfect answers with Board Scheme of Valuation •Handwritten Topper’s Answers for exam-oriented preparation •KTBS Textbook Questions fully solved •Crisp revision with Revision notes and Mind maps •Hybrid learning with best in class videos •2 Model Papers (solved) for Examination Practice •3 Online Model Papers