Download or read book Public Information Releases Private Information Arrival and Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market written by Ramon P. DeGennaro and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates the impact of market activity and news on the volatility of returns in the exchange market for Japanese Yen and US dollars. We examine the effects of news on volatility before, during and after news arrival, using three categories of news. Market activity is proxied by quote arrival, separated into a predictable seasonal component and an unexpected component. Results indicate that both components of market activity, as well as news releases, affect volatility levels. We conclude that both private information and news effects are important determinants of exchange rate volatility. Our finding that unexpected quote arrival positively impacts foreign exchange rate volatility is consistent with the interpretation that unexpected quote arrival serves as a measure of informed trading. Corroborating this interpretation is regression analysis, which indicates that spreads increase in the surprise component of the quote arrival rate, but not in the expected component. The estimated impact of a unit increase in unexpected quote arrival and the range of values observed for this variable imply an important volatility conditioning role for informed trading.

Download or read book Public Information Arrival Exchange Rate Volatility and Quote Frequency written by Michael Melvin and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The mixture of distributions model motivates the role of public information arrival in foreign exchange market dynamics. Public information arrival is measured using Reuters Money-Market Headline News. The exchange rates are high-frequency mark/dollar and yen/dollar quotes. Estimation results suggest that higher than normal public information brings more than the normal quoting activity and volatility. The results have implications for the debate over regulation of the foreign exchange market. Foreign exchange activity is not largely self-generating. Trading is likely providing the function it is meant to provide-adjusting prices and quantities to achieve an efficient allocation of resources.

Download or read book Information Volatility and the Cost of Capital written by Tanguy de Launois and published by Presses univ. de Louvain. This book was released on 2009 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We all have in mind a couple of dramatic examples of how information released by some economical or political entity resulted in tremendous consequences for a private company or, worst, for the whole financial market. This is the purpose of this dissertation to investigate the relations between information,stock volatility and the cost of capital. After the extension of the standard CAPM model to a more realistic world where some investors are “constrained” and deviate from their optimal CAPM quantities, we confront our theoretical model to the empirical reality by investigating the so-called “index effect”. Thanks to econometric specifications robust to endogeneity, we test different hypotheses proposed by the literature to explain this well known value premium of firms belonging to large indices. In a next step, we investigate how the quality and quantity of micro and macro public signals impact the main determinants of our pricing equation initially developed. We show that in a world of constrained investors, firms benefiting from a high deviation have less incentive to communicate than others. Finally, we study the link between public information and conditional volatility thanks to an original sample of several tens of thousands of Reuters and Dow Jones news releases on both the French and US markets. Thanks to various econometric specifications like GARCH models and Markov Switching Regressions, we conclude that a larger daily number of news releases increases the probability to be in the high probability regime and that the impact ofinformation is strongly dependent on the topic and the timing of the release of this information.

Download or read book The Economics of Exchange Rates written by Lucio Sarno and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-01-09 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last few decades exchange rate economics has seen a number of developments, with substantial contributions to both the theory and empirics of exchange rate determination. Important developments in econometrics and the increasingly large availability of high-quality data have also been responsible for stimulating the large amount of empirical work on exchange rates in this period. Nonetheless, while our understanding of exchange rates has significantly improved, a number of challenges and open questions remain in the exchange rate debate, enhanced by events including the launch of the Euro and the large number of recent currency crises. This volume provides a selective coverage of the literature on exchange rates, focusing on developments from within the last fifteen years. Clear explanations of theories are offered, alongside an appraisal of the literature and suggestions for further research and analysis.

Download or read book The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance written by Gautam Mitra and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of News Analytics in Finance is a landmarkpublication bringing together the latest models and applications ofNews Analytics for asset pricing, portfolio construction, tradingand risk control. The content of the Hand Book is organised to provide arapid yet comprehensive understanding of this topic. Chapter 1 setsout an overview of News Analytics (NA) with an explanation of thetechnology and applications. The rest of the chapters are presentedin four parts. Part 1 contains an explanation of methods and modelswhich are used to measure and quantify news sentiment. In Part 2the relationship between news events and discovery of abnormalreturns (the elusive alpha) is discussed in detail by the leadingresearchers and industry experts. The material in this part alsocovers potential application of NA to trading and fund management.Part 3 covers the use of quantified news for the purpose ofmonitoring, early diagnostics and risk control. Part 4 is entirelyindustry focused; it contains insights of experts from leadingtechnology (content) vendors. It also contains a discussion oftechnologies and finally a compact directory of content vendor andfinancial analytics companies in the marketplace of NA. Thebook draws equally upon the expertise of academics andpractitioners who have developed these models and is supported bytwo major content vendors - RavenPack and Thomson Reuters - leadingproviders of news analytics software and machine readablenews. The book will appeal to decision makers in the banking, finance andinsurance services industry. In particular: asset managers;quantitative fund managers; hedge fund managers; algorithmictraders; proprietary (program) trading desks; sell-side firms;brokerage houses; risk managers and research departments willbenefit from the unique insights into this new and pertinent areaof financial modelling.

Download or read book Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance written by Adrian R. Bell and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2013-01-01 with total page 494 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This impressive Handbook presents the quantitative techniques that are commonly employed in empirical finance research together with real-world, state-of-the-art research examples. Written by international experts in their field, the unique approach describes a question or issue in finance and then demonstrates the methodologies that may be used to solve it. All of the techniques described are used to address real problems rather than being presented for their own sake, and the areas of application have been carefully selected so that a broad range of methodological approaches can be covered. The Handbook is aimed primarily at doctoral researchers and academics who are engaged in conducting original empirical research in finance. In addition, the book will be useful to researchers in the financial markets and also advanced Masters-level students who are writing dissertations.

Download or read book High Frequency Financial Econometrics written by Luc Bauwens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-31 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shedding light on some of the most pressing open questions in the analysis of high frequency data, this volume presents cutting-edge developments in high frequency financial econometrics. Coverage spans a diverse range of topics, including market microstructure, tick-by-tick data, bond and foreign exchange markets, and large dimensional volatility modeling. The volume is of interest to graduate students, researchers, and industry professionals.

Download or read book Portfolios and Investments written by Michael Frömmel and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2013-09-27 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is concerned with the theory of portfolios, as well as with investing in assets and securities and offers a general introduction, rather than a toolbox for making money. It will help its readers to better understand investing. The book is structured in two parts. Part I introduces the student into fundamental principles of portfolio theory and investment analysis, such as the Markowitz portfolio selection approach, factor models, basic evaluation techniques and portfolio management. Part II extends the material to more advanced topics and focuses on inefficient markets, including topics including technical analysis and momentum effects, behavioural finance, bubbles and herding, portfolio management in inefficient markets and market microstructure. followed by an appendix consisting of primers to some econometric approaches.

Download or read book Studies on Financial Markets in East Asia written by Masayuki Susai and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book will be an important addition to the limited number of books that discuss finance and accounting issues in East Asian countries. While presenting recent empirical studies on finance and accounting in East Asian economies, it also reveals the underlying reasons for remarkable economic growth and emerging performance of the financial markets in the East Asian countries. It introduces newly developed financial products, institutions, governance mechanism, banking policy changes and their implications in the East Asian economies, and discusses the way forward for these economies with recommendations for policy implications. It also contains suggestions for other developing countries trying to achieve rapid growth.

Download or read book Public Information Arrival and the Foreign Exchange Market written by Yin, Xixi and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Studies in Foreign Exchange Economics written by Martin D D Evans and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2017-06-28 with total page 791 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects my scholarly research on the behavior of foreign exchange rates conducted over the past twenty-five years. The collection includes papers that study the behavior of exchange rates from the traditional macroeconomic and newer microstructure perspectives. The former perspective considers the linkages between the macro economy and currency prices in an effort to understand the behavior of exchange rates over quarters, years and decades. By contrast, the microstructure perspective considers how the details of currency trading affect how macroeconomic information becomes embedded in currency prices, a process which drives exchange-rates over intraday horizons. The book also contains papers with a hybrid perspective that consider the details of currency trading and macroeconomic linkages in an effort to understand exchange-rate dynamics across all horizons.

Download or read book Asset Price Dynamics Volatility and Prediction written by Stephen J. Taylor and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-02-11 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.

Download or read book Affective Computing and Sentiment Analysis written by Khurshid Ahmad and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume maps the watershed areas between two 'holy grails' of computer science: the identification and interpretation of affect – including sentiment and mood. The expression of sentiment and mood involves the use of metaphors, especially in emotive situations. Affect computing is rooted in hermeneutics, philosophy, political science and sociology, and is now a key area of research in computer science. The 24/7 news sites and blogs facilitate the expression and shaping of opinion locally and globally. Sentiment analysis, based on text and data mining, is being used in the looking at news and blogs for purposes as diverse as: brand management, film reviews, financial market analysis and prediction, homeland security. There are systems that learn how sentiments are articulated. This work draws on, and informs, research in fields as varied as artificial intelligence, especially reasoning and machine learning, corpus-based information extraction, linguistics, and psychology.

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Markets written by Richard James Sweeney and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents a selection of finance and economics articles on key topics in the behavior of exchange rates and the analysis of foreign exchange markets.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Martin D. D. Evans and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-03-14 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and in-depth look at exchange-rate dynamics Variations in the foreign exchange market influence all aspects of the world economy, and understanding these dynamics is one of the great challenges of international economics. This book provides a new, comprehensive, and in-depth examination of the standard theories and latest research in exchange-rate economics. Covering a vast swath of theoretical and empirical work, the book explores established theories of exchange-rate determination using macroeconomic fundamentals, and presents unique microbased approaches that combine the insights of microstructure models with the macroeconomic forces driving currency trading. Macroeconomic models have long assumed that agents—households, firms, financial institutions, and central banks—all have the same information about the structure of the economy and therefore hold the same expectations and uncertainties regarding foreign currency returns. Microbased models, however, look at how heterogeneous information influences the trading decisions of agents and becomes embedded in exchange rates. Replicating key features of actual currency markets, these microbased models generate a rich array of empirical predictions concerning trading patterns and exchange-rate dynamics that are strongly supported by data. The models also show how changing macroeconomic conditions exert an influence on short-term exchange-rate dynamics via their impact on currency trading. Designed for graduate courses in international macroeconomics, international finance, and finance, and as a go-to reference for researchers in international economics, Exchange-Rate Dynamics guides readers through a range of literature on exchange-rate determination, offering fresh insights for further reading and research. Comprehensive and in-depth examination of the latest research in exchange-rate economics Outlines theoretical and empirical research across the spectrum of modeling approaches Presents new results on the importance of currency trading in exchange-rate determination Provides new perspectives on long-standing puzzles in exchange-rate economics End-of-chapter questions cement key ideas

Download or read book Finance 2 Asset Allocation and Market Efficiency written by Michael Frömmel and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2023-03-22 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This books builds on 'Finance 1: Portfolio Theory and Management'. Both volumes are linked through the asset allocation process. While Finance 1 focuses on portfolio theory and strategic asset allocation, Finance 2 deals with tactical asset allocation and market efficiency. We start by reviewing the asset allocation process, market timing and the approach by Black and Litterman. Section 2 deals with the predictability of prices, including technical analysis and momentum. Turning to factors that may cause the predictability - if there is any - we discuss models from behavioural finance. The subsequent section deals with bubbles and herd behaviour, before we cover market microstructure and its implications. The book's last section deals with price manipulation as a cause for inefficiencies.

Download or read book Private Information Excessive Volatility and Intraday Empirical Regularities in the Spot Foreign Exchange Market written by Frank McGroarty and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: