Download or read book On a Multinomial Logistic Mixture Autoregressive Processes written by Musen Wen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a brand new class of time series model and analyze its statistical properties and estimation method. We demonstrated that the model is able to successfully model and forecast the high frequency stock prices.
Download or read book Multinomial Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models written by Yuji Tomita and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Learning Dependence from Large scale Data written by Lili Zheng and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Large-scale and dependent data arise frequently from modern data science applications, where the underlying dependence structure can cast light on scientific questions and facilitate accurate predictions for unobserved data. However, estimating the dependence structure from large-scale data exhibits various statistical and optimization challenges. This thesis addresses these challenges and proposes novel statistical methodology and theory for the following two topics: (i) statistical inference for high-dimensional autoregressive models and (ii) convergence analysis for minibatch SGD applied to Gaussian processes. Chapter 2 and Chapter 3 consider the estimation and testing for high-dimensional autoregressive processes, where the autoregressive parameter of interest encodes important network structures in a number of applications. Chapter 2 presents a hypothesis testing method for high-dimensional linear autoregressive models with sub-Gaussian noise, extending existed statistical theory for high-dimensional inference with independent samples to the dependent case. In particular, we establishconvergence in distribution results for the test statistic, based on a novel concentration result for quadratic forms of dependent sub-Gaussian random variables. The proposed testing method is validated by simulations and a real data experiment on a Chicago crime dataset. Although the linear autoregressive model can capture how past events associated with one node influence the likelihood of its neighbors' future events, e.g., activities on social media, in Chapter 3, we consider a more nuanced problem of estimating a high-dimensional context-dependent network. That is, we assume the influences among nodes are modulated by features associated with the events, such as the content of a social media post. We propose a multinomial autoregressive model for categorical features and a logistic-normal autoregressive model for compositional features (mixed membership in multiple categories). Meanwhile, corresponding estimators and theoretical guarantees are provided for these two models. Furthermore, we use one synthetic and two real data experiments to compare our two methods, which also inspires us to develop a mixture approach that combines the advantages of both our multinomial and logistic-normal methods. In Chapter 4, we focus on Gaussian processes (GPs) and provide convergence analysis for minibatch SGD when applied to the GP setting. SGD has the potential to significantly improve the computational efficiency for GPs, while it is lack of theoretical understandings when samples are dependent: the stochastic gradients are biased w.r.t. the full gradients in this case. We tackle this challenge and provide convergence guarantees for minibatch SGD when it is used to estimate hyperparameters in GPs, provided that the kernel function enjoys exponential or polynomial eigendecay. Our numerical results also demonstrate the computational and generalization advantages of minibatch SGD compared to state-of-the-art GP methods.
Download or read book Methods and Applications of Longitudinal Data Analysis written by Xian Liu and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2015-09-01 with total page 531 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Methods and Applications of Longitudinal Data Analysis describes methods for the analysis of longitudinal data in the medical, biological and behavioral sciences. It introduces basic concepts and functions including a variety of regression models, and their practical applications across many areas of research. Statistical procedures featured within the text include: descriptive methods for delineating trends over time linear mixed regression models with both fixed and random effects covariance pattern models on correlated errors generalized estimating equations nonlinear regression models for categorical repeated measurements techniques for analyzing longitudinal data with non-ignorable missing observations Emphasis is given to applications of these methods, using substantial empirical illustrations, designed to help users of statistics better analyze and understand longitudinal data. Methods and Applications of Longitudinal Data Analysis equips both graduate students and professionals to confidently apply longitudinal data analysis to their particular discipline. It also provides a valuable reference source for applied statisticians, demographers and other quantitative methodologists. From novice to professional: this book starts with the introduction of basic models and ends with the description of some of the most advanced models in longitudinal data analysis Enables students to select the correct statistical methods to apply to their longitudinal data and avoid the pitfalls associated with incorrect selection Identifies the limitations of classical repeated measures models and describes newly developed techniques, along with real-world examples.
Download or read book Handbook of Advanced Multilevel Analysis written by Joop Hox and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2011-01-11 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new handbook is the definitive resource on advanced topics related to multilevel analysis. The editors assembled the top minds in the field to address the latest applications of multilevel modeling as well as the specific difficulties and methodological problems that are becoming more common as more complicated models are developed. Each chapter features examples that use actual datasets. These datasets, as well as the code to run the models, are available on the book’s website http://www.hlm-online.com . Each chapter includes an introduction that sets the stage for the material to come and a conclusion. Divided into five sections, the first provides a broad introduction to the field that serves as a framework for understanding the latter chapters. Part 2 focuses on multilevel latent variable modeling including item response theory and mixture modeling. Section 3 addresses models used for longitudinal data including growth curve and structural equation modeling. Special estimation problems are examined in section 4 including the difficulties involved in estimating survival analysis, Bayesian estimation, bootstrapping, multiple imputation, and complicated models, including generalized linear models, optimal design in multilevel models, and more. The book’s concluding section focuses on statistical design issues encountered when doing multilevel modeling including nested designs, analyzing cross-classified models, and dyadic data analysis. Intended for methodologists, statisticians, and researchers in a variety of fields including psychology, education, and the social and health sciences, this handbook also serves as an excellent text for graduate and PhD level courses in multilevel modeling. A basic knowledge of multilevel modeling is assumed.
Download or read book Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation written by Kenneth Train and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-07-06 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.
Download or read book Econometric Analysis of Count Data written by Rainer Winkelmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph deals with econometric models for the analysis of event counts. The interest of econometricians in this class of models has started in the mid-eighties. After more than one decade of intensive research, the litera ture has reached a level of maturity that calls for a systematic and accessible exposition of the main results and methods. Such an exposition is the aim of the book. Count data models have found their way into the curricula of micro-econometric classes and are available on standard computer software. The basic methods have been used in countless applications in fields such as labor economics, health economics, insurance economics, urban economics, and economic demography, to name but a few. Other, more recent, methods are poised to become standard tools soon. While the book is oriented towards the empirical economists and applied econometrician, it should be useful to statisticians and biometricians as well. A first edition of this book was published in 1994 under the title "Count Data Models - Econometric Theory and an Application to Labor Mobility" . While this edition keeps the character and broad organization of this first edition, and its emphasis on combining a summary of the existing literature with several new results and methods, it is substantially revised and enlarged. Many parts have been completely rewritten and several new sections have New sections include: count data models for dependent processes; been added.
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 842 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods written by Peter D. Congdon and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-05-19 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for estimating hierarchical models involves complex data structures and is often described as a revolutionary development. An intermediate-level treatment of Bayesian hierarchical models and their applications, Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods demonstrates the advantages of a Bayesian approach
Download or read book Cure Models written by Yingwei Peng and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-03-22 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cure Models: Methods, Applications and Implementation is the first book in the last 25 years that provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to the basics of modern cure models, including estimation, inference, and software. This book is useful for statistical researchers and graduate students, and practitioners in other disciplines to have a thorough review of modern cure model methodology and to seek appropriate cure models in applications. The prerequisites of this book include some basic knowledge of statistical modeling, survival models, and R and SAS for data analysis. The book features real-world examples from clinical trials and population-based studies and a detailed introduction to R packages, SAS macros, and WinBUGS programs to fit some cure models. The main topics covered include the foundation of statistical estimation and inference of cure models for independent and right-censored survival data, cure modeling for multivariate, recurrent-event, and competing-risks survival data, and joint modeling with longitudinal data, statistical testing for the existence and difference of cure rates and sufficient follow-up, new developments in Bayesian cure models, applications of cure models in public health research and clinical trials.
Download or read book Orthonormal Series Estimators written by Odile Pons and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-01-22 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The approximation and the estimation of nonparametric functions by projections on an orthonormal basis of functions are useful in data analysis. This book presents series estimators defined by projections on bases of functions, they extend the estimators of densities to mixture models, deconvolution and inverse problems, to semi-parametric and nonparametric models for regressions, hazard functions and diffusions. They are estimated in the Hilbert spaces with respect to the distribution function of the regressors and their optimal rates of convergence are proved. Their mean square errors depend on the size of the basis which is consistently estimated by cross-validation. Wavelets estimators are defined and studied in the same models.The choice of the basis, with suitable parametrizations, and their estimation improve the existing methods and leads to applications to a wide class of models. The rates of convergence of the series estimators are the best among all nonparametric estimators with a great improvement in multidimensional models. Original methods are developed for the estimation in deconvolution and inverse problems. The asymptotic properties of test statistics based on the estimators are also established.
Download or read book Finite Mixture Models written by Geoffrey McLachlan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-03-22 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An up-to-date, comprehensive account of major issues in finitemixture modeling This volume provides an up-to-date account of the theory andapplications of modeling via finite mixture distributions. With anemphasis on the applications of mixture models in both mainstreamanalysis and other areas such as unsupervised pattern recognition,speech recognition, and medical imaging, the book describes theformulations of the finite mixture approach, details itsmethodology, discusses aspects of its implementation, andillustrates its application in many common statisticalcontexts. Major issues discussed in this book include identifiabilityproblems, actual fitting of finite mixtures through use of the EMalgorithm, properties of the maximum likelihood estimators soobtained, assessment of the number of components to be used in themixture, and the applicability of asymptotic theory in providing abasis for the solutions to some of these problems. The author alsoconsiders how the EM algorithm can be scaled to handle the fittingof mixture models to very large databases, as in data miningapplications. This comprehensive, practical guide: * Provides more than 800 references-40% published since 1995 * Includes an appendix listing available mixture software * Links statistical literature with machine learning and patternrecognition literature * Contains more than 100 helpful graphs, charts, and tables Finite Mixture Models is an important resource for both applied andtheoretical statisticians as well as for researchers in the manyareas in which finite mixture models can be used to analyze data.
Download or read book Simulating Data with SAS written by Rick Wicklin and published by SAS Institute. This book was released on 2013 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data simulation is a fundamental technique in statistical programming and research. Rick Wicklin's Simulating Data with SAS brings together the most useful algorithms and the best programming techniques for efficient data simulation in an accessible how-to book for practicing statisticians and statistical programmers. This book discusses in detail how to simulate data from common univariate and multivariate distributions, and how to use simulation to evaluate statistical techniques. It also covers simulating correlated data, data for regression models, spatial data, and data with given moments. It provides tips and techniques for beginning programmers, and offers libraries of functions for advanced practitioners. As the first book devoted to simulating data across a range of statistical applications, Simulating Data with SAS is an essential tool for programmers, analysts, researchers, and students who use SAS software. This book is part of the SAS Press program.
Download or read book Encyclopedia of Agriculture and Food Systems written by Neal K. Van Alfen and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-07-29 with total page 2745 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Encyclopedia of Agriculture and Food Systems, Second Edition, Five Volume Set addresses important issues by examining topics of global agriculture and food systems that are key to understanding the challenges we face. Questions it addresses include: Will we be able to produce enough food to meet the increasing dietary needs and wants of the additional two billion people expected to inhabit our planet by 2050? Will we be able to meet the need for so much more food while simultaneously reducing adverse environmental effects of today’s agriculture practices? Will we be able to produce the additional food using less land and water than we use now? These are among the most important challenges that face our planet in the coming decades. The broad themes of food systems and people, agriculture and the environment, the science of agriculture, agricultural products, and agricultural production systems are covered in more than 200 separate chapters of this work. The book provides information that serves as the foundation for discussion of the food and environment challenges of the world. An international group of highly respected authors addresses these issues from a global perspective and provides the background, references, and linkages for further exploration of each of topics of this comprehensive work. Addresses important challenges of sustainability and efficiency from a global perspective. Takes a detailed look at the important issues affecting the agricultural and food industries today. Full colour throughout.
Download or read book Handbook of Mixture Analysis written by Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-01-04 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mixture models have been around for over 150 years, and they are found in many branches of statistical modelling, as a versatile and multifaceted tool. They can be applied to a wide range of data: univariate or multivariate, continuous or categorical, cross-sectional, time series, networks, and much more. Mixture analysis is a very active research topic in statistics and machine learning, with new developments in methodology and applications taking place all the time. The Handbook of Mixture Analysis is a very timely publication, presenting a broad overview of the methods and applications of this important field of research. It covers a wide array of topics, including the EM algorithm, Bayesian mixture models, model-based clustering, high-dimensional data, hidden Markov models, and applications in finance, genomics, and astronomy. Features: Provides a comprehensive overview of the methods and applications of mixture modelling and analysis Divided into three parts: Foundations and Methods; Mixture Modelling and Extensions; and Selected Applications Contains many worked examples using real data, together with computational implementation, to illustrate the methods described Includes contributions from the leading researchers in the field The Handbook of Mixture Analysis is targeted at graduate students and young researchers new to the field. It will also be an important reference for anyone working in this field, whether they are developing new methodology, or applying the models to real scientific problems.
Download or read book Bayesian Hierarchical Models written by Peter D. Congdon and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-09-16 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An intermediate-level treatment of Bayesian hierarchical models and their applications, this book demonstrates the advantages of a Bayesian approach to data sets involving inferences for collections of related units or variables, and in methods where parameters can be treated as random collections. Through illustrative data analysis and attention to statistical computing, this book facilitates practical implementation of Bayesian hierarchical methods. The new edition is a revision of the book Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods. It maintains a focus on applied modelling and data analysis, but now using entirely R-based Bayesian computing options. It has been updated with a new chapter on regression for causal effects, and one on computing options and strategies. This latter chapter is particularly important, due to recent advances in Bayesian computing and estimation, including the development of rjags and rstan. It also features updates throughout with new examples. The examples exploit and illustrate the broader advantages of the R computing environment, while allowing readers to explore alternative likelihood assumptions, regression structures, and assumptions on prior densities. Features: Provides a comprehensive and accessible overview of applied Bayesian hierarchical modelling Includes many real data examples to illustrate different modelling topics R code (based on rjags, jagsUI, R2OpenBUGS, and rstan) is integrated into the book, emphasizing implementation Software options and coding principles are introduced in new chapter on computing Programs and data sets available on the book’s website
Download or read book Theoretical Statistics written by D.R. Cox and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1979-09-06 with total page 525 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A text that stresses the general concepts of the theory of statistics Theoretical Statistics provides a systematic statement of the theory of statistics, emphasizing general concepts rather than mathematical rigor. Chapters 1 through 3 provide an overview of statistics and discuss some of the basic philosophical ideas and problems behind statistica
