Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.
Download or read book Learned Optimism written by Martin E.P. Seligman and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2011-08-10 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NATIONAL BESTSELLER • The father of positive psychology draws on more than twenty years of clinical research to show you how to overcome depression, boost your immune system, and make yourself happier. "Vaulted me out of my funk.... So, fellow moderate pessimists, go buy this book." —The New York Times Book Review Offering many simple techniques anyone can practice, Dr. Seligman explains how to break an “I–give–up” habit, develop a more constructive explanatory style for interpreting your behavior, and experience the benefits of a more positive interior dialogue. With generous additional advice on how to encourage optimistic behavior at school, at work and in children, Learned Optimism is both profound and practical—and valuable for every phase of life.
Download or read book Ever the Optimist written by Joe Jennings and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2009-05-16 with total page 191 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Ever the Optimist" is a heart warming tale of Joe Jennings' love affair with his football club, which shows no sign of wilting despite the heartaches they have presented him over the years.The book is an epic adventure, a plethora of events that have been cherry picked to signify the resurrection of one of English football's great bastions; which after years of decline is finally emerging from the depths to cement itself back among the elite. They are by no means there, but the author has seen enough to suggest that the tide is turning, and as he steers you through the waters of hope, with the enthusiasm and optimism that underlines his every sentence, it starts to rub off on you and you are willing them to succeed as much as he. It is feeling that you rarely get from a football book and it is arguably the first that has been able to capture the spirit and emotion that has been missing from books of this genre since Nick Hornby's 'Fever Pitch'.
Download or read book The Optimist written by Jason Chimonides and published by Dramatists Play Service Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: THE STORY: Over the course of one tumultuous weekend, Noel returns to his hometown to confront the sudden death of his best friend, the wedding of his philandering father, and the reemergence of his one true love, Nicole. A hilarious, poignant jour
Download or read book Deliberate Optimism written by Debbie Silver and published by Corwin Press. This book was released on 2014-08-21 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Beat burnout and bring joy back to teaching—and learning! Recharge the optimism that made you an educator in the first place! Choosing optimism—even in the face of tough challenges—helps restore the healthy interactions and positive relationships necessary for enacting real school change. Filled with research-based strategies, practical examples, and thought-provoking scenarios, this inspiring, humorous book gets you ready to Rediscover motivation Take a positive view of events beyond your control Build an optimistic classroom where students flourish Partner with other stakeholders to create an optimistic learning environment
Download or read book Learn to Be an Optimist written by Lucy MacDonald and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2003-12 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research has revealed that an optimistic approach to life leads to concrete mental, emotional, and physical results, including a longer life span, reduced stress, and a better chance of recovering from serious illness. Author MacDonald teaches readers to develop the confidence, resilience, and peace of mind that unlock this positive change.
Download or read book The Optimism Bias written by Tali Sharot and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2011-06-14 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Psychologists have long been aware that most people maintain an irrationally positive outlook on life—but why? Turns out, we might be hardwired that way. In this absorbing exploration, Tali Sharot—one of the most innovative neuroscientists at work today—demonstrates that optimism may be crucial to human existence. The Optimism Bias explores how the brain generates hope and what happens when it fails; how the brains of optimists and pessimists differ; why we are terrible at predicting what will make us happy; how emotions strengthen our ability to recollect; how anticipation and dread affect us; how our optimistic illusions affect our financial, professional, and emotional decisions; and more. Drawing on cutting-edge science, The Optimism Bias provides us with startling new insight into the workings of the brain and the major role that optimism plays in determining how we live our lives.
Download or read book The Optimist written by Laurence Shorter and published by Anchor Canada. This book was released on 2009-12-29 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When it comes to bad news, we’ve never had it so good. Laurence Shorter is feeling anxious. Every time he opens a newspaper or turns on the radio he finds another reason to be tearful. It’s time to make a change. It’s time to be optimistic! His plan is simple: 1. Learn how to jump out of bed in the morning. 2. Secure personal happiness. 3. Save the world. The Optimist charts Shorter’s ambitious, year-long, international quest to seek out the world’s most positive thinkers, including Archbishop Desmond Tutu, Jung Chang, Matthieu Ricard, California’s renowned Surfing Rabbi, and Bill Clinton. But optimism doesn’t come easy, and Shorter’s resolve is tested at every corner: by a flagging career, a troubled love affair, and his ever-pessimistic dad. The Optimist is a hilarious and ultimately life-affirming stand against the grind of everyday strife, packed with reasons to be cheerful.
Download or read book Optimist Racing written by Steve Irish and published by Fernhurst Books Limited. This book was released on 2019-09-03 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Optimist is the most popular junior sailing class worldwide, with thousands of young people actively racing them and hundreds attending the major events in the class. It has been the nursery for most of the top racing sailors in the world including all the Team GBR gold medallists at the last 2 Olympics (Sir Ben Ainslie, Hannah Mills, Saskia Clark and Giles Scott) – the same will be true for most other countries. Optimist Racing is written for those sailors, parents and coaches who are looking for success in this competitive class. In it you will learn what it takes to win, including how to achieve blistering boatspeed through technique and tuning, perfect boat handling and tactics as well as covering the mental and physical requirements for success. There is also a section for parents and coaches describing how they can best support their young sailors. Originally written by Ben Ainslie's Optimist coach, Phil Slater, this new edition has been completely updated by top international racing coach, Steve Irish, who can be found coaching Optimist and other sailors worldwide. This book is the up-to-date handbook for sailing an Optimist fast.
Download or read book The Pragmatic Optimist written by Dr. Daniel Monehin and published by Seventy9 West Books. This book was released on 2022-08-31 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: About the Book Based on extensive multi-year empirical research, The Pragmatic Optimist addresses what it takes to be a leading light in the darkest hours of a business or economic crisis. Using real-world case studies, you will discover how to avoid the common cognitive and behavioral traps to which all leaders are most susceptible in the heat of a crisis. Finally, you will acquire the necessary insights to develop pragmatic optimism—a winning hybrid mindset—and practice its six results-oriented strategies for success even under extreme conditions. Praises for The Pragmatic Optimist “Dr. Daniel Monehin has produced a remarkably timely masterpiece. I have studied crisis leadership for over thirty years, yet Dr. Monehin’s The Pragmatic Optimist took my understanding of leading in a crisis to a new level—I am a huge fan of this book.” - Dr. Thomas A. Kolditz, Ph.D., Brigadier General, US Army (ret), Professor Emeritus at the US Military Academy, West Point, and author, In Extremis Leadership: Leading as if Your Life Depended on It “The Pragmatic Optimist brings together factual information and the process to develop your own leadership style. I love when I find a good easy-to-apply book that I could use in my work.” - Dr. Wendy Borlabi, Psy. D., Director of Performance & Mental Health, Chicago Bulls “Dr. Daniel Monehin’s breadth of experience and depth as a global leader combined with his ability to lead through transformational change has catapulted this book to my shortlist of recommended reading to any leader.” - Ron Garrow, Executive Partner, Chief Human Resources Officer Advisory Practice at Gartner Inc. “There are many books on leadership, but few that actually give specific and actionable insights on what leaders must do in a crisis. Dr. Monehin's The Pragmatic Optimist stands tall above others—If you read only one book on leadership, it should be this one.” - Efosa Ojomo, Director of Global Prosperity at the Clayton Christensen Institute for Disruptive Innovation “Dr. Monehin draws on decades within multinationals, rigorous academic study, and importantly, his own life experience to produce this important work at this crucial time.” - Christine Elliott, Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, Moody’s Corporation “Having worked with Dr. Daniel Monehin for many years, I have seen him lead businesses successfully through turbulent environments. Who better than Daniel to lead us through the best of crisis management.” - Ann Cairns, Executive Vice Chair, Mastercard Inc. “Dr. Monehin, clearly and concisely, develops an essential framework for leaders to successfully overcome perilous situations. This book is an excellent manual for leaders from all spheres of influence and should be read before the next crisis!” - Femi Cadmus, Law Librarian and Professor of Law, Yale University “Between a global pandemic, social injustice and a racial reckoning, and a challenging economic climate, leaders have been tested in unprecedented ways. The Pragmatic Optimist provides an excellent roadmap for executives to successfully navigate times of adversity by keeping their vision and values in focus.” - Marisa Grimes Galiber, Chief Diversity & Inclusion Officer, U.S. Tennis Association (USTA)
Download or read book Unbroken Optimist written by Kofi Douhadji and published by Flying Wings LLC. This book was released on 2021-11-28 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Readers have described Unbroken Optimist as a life-changing experience filled with courage, persistence, and a philosophy that inspires lasting change. Many raved about this memoir, calling it a timeless classic and a blueprint for living a fulfilled life. It's a captivating narrative that not only motivates but also invites you to see yourself within its pages. Kofi's message of optimism and love will illuminate your path, making "Unbroken Optimist" a must-read for anyone seeking to live their best life. Join the countless readers who couldn't put this book down and experience a transformation in their perspective. "Unbroken Optimist" is not just a story; it's an invitation to embrace hope, perseverance, and the limitless potential within you. Grab your copy now!
Download or read book On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over Optimism written by Paul Beaudry and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-30 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is over-optimism about a country's future growth perspective good for an economy, or does over-optimism also come with costs? In this paper we provide evidence that recessions, fiscal problems, as well as Balance of Payment-difficulties are more likely to arise in countries where past growth expectations have been overly optimistic. To examine this question, we look at the medium-run effects of instances of over-optimism or caution in IMF forecasts. To isolate the causal effect of over-optimism we take an instrumental variables approach, where we exploit variation provided by the allocation of IMF Mission Chiefs across countries. As a necessary first step, we document that IMF Mission Chiefs tend to systematically differ in their individual degrees of forecast-optimism or caution. The mechanism that transforms over-optimism into a later recession seems to run through higher debt accumulation, both public and private. Our findings illustrate the potency of unjustified optimism and underline the importance of basing economic forecasts upon realistic medium-term prospects.
Download or read book The Optimist written by Dwight Estava and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2012-03-08 with total page 469 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Callum Eden is a hotshot financial executive who in time becomes an insatiable womaniser, with a scorn for commitment and happy living life at the top of his game. But, one day, having already woken up in a bad mood, he is greeted by some bad news. His life rapidly falls apart, and he struggles to make sense of it all. He is perplexed as to why hes experiencing such a dramatic contrast to his life. He had everything going for him, particularly in his career, but he has to learn very quickly that there is no such thing as a perfect life. Callum now faces a torrent of emotions that he struggles to cope with and feelings he is unable to express. The accident, the change to his fortune, and his new allies sets him on a journey of mental and emotional self-discovery. In Callums opinion, his own lack of concerns added to his fallen angel syndrome. He redeems himself by learning to rely on action rather than imagination to steer himself out of his crisis. However, his interpretation is problematic because they cause a chain reaction. His only comfort is his subconscious reality; a place where he finds some form of sanity until actual reality resumes once again. Thus, he must try to establish a link between the two realities to find comfort and confidence in what he is experiencing. His life changes and veers off course, with compelling complexities and brutal and seemingly honest decisions. Some of which are rewarded with quick fixes, but results are above the pleasures of deeper self-discovery. Others are extremely deceptive with scenes of betrayal and corruption. His biggest critic comes from an unusual source, with whom he agrees in time may bring him closure. But, just when he thinks everything is fine, the unexpected occurs. An option arises that could give the impression of remoteness, a distant hope, but will it be to his advantage?
Download or read book The Optimist written by Ulf T. Sandstrom and published by TrineDay. This book was released on 2023-11-27 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By reading this book, you will embark upon a historic journey of change.Each day when you awake, you face two choices: positive, uplifting thoughts, or negative, destructive thoughts. The choice is yours. It is within your power to select successful or failed thoughts. You can take control of your destiny one moment, one hour, and one day at a time.This book condenses volumes of self-help information into a subtle, powerful message that can renew your sense of purpose and enhance your pursuit of a positive, happy life. Happiness can be forged by a willed desire to learn and improve. If you are receptive to positive thinking, and reflect upon its optimistic message, this book will transform your life. Now... relax... and enjoy this life-transforming story.
Download or read book The Darkest Dark written by Chris Hadfield and published by Little, Brown Books for Young Readers. This book was released on 2016-10-11 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Encouraging readers to dream the impossible, The Darkest Dark follows a young boy intrigued by space, but afraid of the dark, inspired by the childhood of real-life astronaut Chris Hadfield and brought to life by Terry and Eric Fan's lush, evocative illustrations. Chris loves rockets and planets and pretending he's a brave astronaut, exploring the universe. Only one problem. At night, Chris doesn't feel so brave. He's afraid of the dark. When he watches the groundbreaking moon landing on TV, Chris learns that space is the darkest dark there is, and through that lesson discovers that the dark isn't just scary, but beautiful and exciting—especially when you have big dreams to keep you company.
Download or read book The Optimist written by Susan Taber and published by . This book was released on 1917 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Complexity of Noise written by Amit Hagar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-31 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In quantum computing, where algorithms exist that can solve computational problems more efficiently than any known classical algorithms, the elimination of errors that result from external disturbances or from imperfect gates has become the "holy grail", and a worldwide quest for a large scale fault-tolerant, and computationally superior, quantum computer is currently taking place. Optimists rely on the premise that, under a certain threshold of errors, an arbitrary long fault-tolerant quantum computation can be achieved with only moderate (i.e., at most polynomial) overhead in computational cost. Pessimists, on the other hand, object that there are in principle (as opposed to merely technological) reasons why such machines are still inexistent, and that no matter what gadgets are used, large scale quantum computers will never be computationally superior to classical ones. Lacking a complete empirical characterization of quantum noise, the debate on the physical possibility of such machines invites philosophical scrutiny. Making this debate more precise by suggesting a novel statistical mechanical perspective thereof is the goal of this project. Table of Contents: Introduction / The Curse of the Open System / To Balance a Pencil on Its Tip / Universality at All Cost / Coda
