Download or read book Mean Reversion in the US Treasury Constant Maturity Rates written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Modelling Long Maturity Forward Rates with Overshooting written by Andrew P. Carverhill and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is natural to assume that interest rates mean-revert, and natural consequence of this is that long forward rates are asymptotically constant. However, from US Treasury STRIPs data, forward rates slope increasingly downwards, and do not attenuate in volatility, as maturity increases beyond about 15 years.We fit an equilibrium model which reconciles this behavior with mean reversion. The key is to extract a latent factor, which the forward rate follows, but overshoots, causing mean reversion on a time scale in terms of weeks. This allows the forward rates to mean revert over the long term in the objective measure but not in the risk neutral measure. We show that this mean reversion can in principle be exploited for profit.Our model falls into the Essentially Affine class. We finally set our analysis in the context of similar models for shorter maturities, and discuss applications to managing positions in long maturity bonds and associated derivatives.
Download or read book Modelling Long Maturity Interest Rates written by Andrew P. Carverhill and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is natural to assume that interest rates mean-revert, and natural consequence of this is that long forward rates are asymptotically constant. However, from US Treasury STRIPs data, forward rates slope increasingly downwards, and do not attenuate in volatility, as maturity increases beyond about 15 years.We fit an equilibrium model which reconciles this behavior with mean reversion. The key is to extract a latent factor, which the forward rate follows, but overshoots, causing mean reversion on a time scale in terms of weeks. This allows the forward rates to mean revert over the long term in the objective measure but not in the risk neutral measure.We show that this mean reversion can in principle be exploited for profit, and argue that it is not present in the risk neutral dynamic. Our model falls into the Essentially Affine class. We finally set our analysis in the context of similar models for shorter maturities, and discuss applications to managing positions in long maturity bonds and associated derivatives.
Download or read book Riding the Yield Curve Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment written by Mr.Ralph Chami and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-03-13 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and therefore consistent with the empirical properties of cashflow valuations identified in the literature. We provide evidence that non-linearities arise from hedging strategies of investors exposed to interest rate risk. Capital losses are amplified when interest rates increase and risk averse investors have taken positions on instruments with longer maturity, expecting instead interest rates to revert back to their historical average.
Download or read book Applied and Industrial Mathematics Venice 2 1998 written by Renato Spigler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this volume, I have collected several papers which were presented at the international conference called "Venice-2/Symposium on Applied and In dustrial Mathematics". Such a conference was held in Venice, Italy, between June 11 and 16,1998, and was intended as the follow-up of the very successful similar event (called "Venice-1/Symposium on Applied and Industrial Math ematics"), that was also organized in Venice in October 1989. The Venice-1 conference ended up with a Kluwer volume like this one. I am grateful to Kluwer for having accepted to publish the present volume, the aim of which is to update somehow the state-of-the-art in the field of Ap plied Mathematics as well as in that of the nowadays rather more developed area of Industrial Mathematics. The most of the invited (key-note) speakers contributed to this volume with a paper related to their talk. There are, in addition·, a few significant contributed papers, selected on the basis of their quality and relevance to the present-time research activities. The topics considered in the conference range from rather general sub jects in applied and numerical analysis, to more specialized subjects such as polymers and disordered media, granular flow, semiconductor mathematics, superconductors, elasticity, tomography and other inverse problems, financial modeling, photographic sciences, etc. The papers collected in this volume provide a selection of them. It is clear from the previous list that some attention has been paid to relatively new and emerging fields.
Download or read book Quantitative Analysis In Financial Markets Collected Papers Of The New York University Mathematical Finance Seminar Vol Ii written by Marco Avellaneda and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2001-01-10 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains lectures delivered at the celebrated Seminar in Mathematical Finance at the Courant Institute. The lecturers and presenters of papers are prominent researchers and practitioners in the field of quantitative financial modeling. Most are faculty members at leading universities or Wall Street practitioners.The lectures deal with the emerging science of pricing and hedging derivative securities and, more generally, managing financial risk. Specific articles concern topics such as option theory, dynamic hedging, interest-rate modeling, portfolio theory, price forecasting using statistical methods, etc.
Download or read book Pricing Metal Futures The Two Regime Pricing Model revisited written by Matthias Lassak and published by Diplomica Verlag. This book was released on 2017-11-01 with total page 101 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Two-Regime-Pricing (TRP) model developed by Bühler, Korn and Schöbel (2004) is an important bridge between two strands of the literature of commodity futures pricing. It incorporates both the notion of a “convenience yield” and the idea of pricing based on the underlying spot price process. This work uses the TRP model and applies the findings to the pricing of industrial metal futures. In detail, the purpose of this study is to price a variety of futures contracts written on the traded industrial metals Aluminium, Aluminium Alloy, Copper, Lead, Nickel, Tin and Zinc using the TRP model and to analyze ist strengths and weaknesses in doing so. Given the spot price specification, a bootstrap maximum likelihood estimation is performed to determine the model parameters. Given the estimation results, the out-of-sample performance of the TRP model is compared to two benchmark models in the literature. In addition, the behavior of the theoretical futures prices is matched to metal futures properties observed in the market. By outlining the statistical challenges in estimation and forecasting in much detail, this work is valuable for researchers and academics in the field of derivatives pricing.
Download or read book The Term Structure of Interest Rates written by David Meiselman and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Perspectives on Interest Rate Risk Management for Money Managers and Traders written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-02-15 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Interest rate volatility can wreak havoc with the balance sheets of institutional investors, traders, and corporations. In this important book, leading experts in the field discuss methods for measuring and hedging interest rate risk. The book covers basic techniques, as well as state-of-the-art applications. Specific topics include portfolio risk management, value-at-risk, yield curve risk, interest rate models, advanced risk measurements, interest rate swaps, and measuring and forecasting interest rate volatility.
Download or read book Building and Using Dynamic Interest Rate Models written by Ken O. Kortanek and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2001-11-28 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a new approach to interest rate and modeling term structure by using models based on optimization of dynamical systems, rather than the traditional stochastic differential equation models. The authors use dynamic models to estimate the term structure of interest rates and show the reader how to build their own numerical simulations. It includes software that will enable readers to simulate the various models covered in the book.
Download or read book Handbook of Fixed Income Securities written by Pietro Veronesi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-04-04 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive guide to the current theories and methodologies intrinsic to fixed-income securities Written by well-known experts from a cross section of academia and finance, Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities features a compilation of the most up-to-date fixed-income securities techniques and methods. The book presents crucial topics of fixed income in an accessible and logical format. Emphasizing empirical research and real-life applications, the book explores a wide range of topics from the risk and return of fixed-income investments, to the impact of monetary policy on interest rates, to the post-crisis new regulatory landscape. Well organized to cover critical topics in fixed income, Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities is divided into eight main sections that feature: • An introduction to fixed-income markets such as Treasury bonds, inflation-protected securities, money markets, mortgage-backed securities, and the basic analytics that characterize them • Monetary policy and fixed-income markets, which highlight the recent empirical evidence on the central banks’ influence on interest rates, including the recent quantitative easing experiments • Interest rate risk measurement and management with a special focus on the most recent techniques and methodologies for asset-liability management under regulatory constraints • The predictability of bond returns with a critical discussion of the empirical evidence on time-varying bond risk premia, both in the United States and abroad, and their sources, such as liquidity and volatility • Advanced topics, with a focus on the most recent research on term structure models and econometrics, the dynamics of bond illiquidity, and the puzzling dynamics of stocks and bonds • Derivatives markets, including a detailed discussion of the new regulatory landscape after the financial crisis and an introduction to no-arbitrage derivatives pricing • Further topics on derivatives pricing that cover modern valuation techniques, such as Monte Carlo simulations, volatility surfaces, and no-arbitrage pricing with regulatory constraints • Corporate and sovereign bonds with a detailed discussion of the tools required to analyze default risk, the relevant empirical evidence, and a special focus on the recent sovereign crises A complete reference for practitioners in the fields of finance, business, applied statistics, econometrics, and engineering, Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities is also a useful supplementary textbook for graduate and MBA-level courses on fixed-income securities, risk management, volatility, bonds, derivatives, and financial markets. Pietro Veronesi, PhD, is Roman Family Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, where he teaches Masters and PhD-level courses in fixed income, risk management, and asset pricing. Published in leading academic journals and honored by numerous awards, his research focuses on stock and bond valuation, return predictability, bubbles and crashes, and the relation between asset prices and government policies.
Download or read book Advances in Fixed Income Valuation Modeling and Risk Management written by Frank J. Fabozzi, CFA and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-01-15 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Fixed Income Valuation Modeling and Risk Management provides in-depth examinations by thirty-one expert research and opinion leaders on topics such as: problems encountered in valuing interest rate derivatives, tax effects in U.S. government bond markets, portfolio risk management, valuation of treasury bond futures contract's embedded options, and risk analysis of international bonds.
Download or read book Positive Alpha Generation written by Claude Diderich and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-02-18 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diderich describes tools and techniques, which can be used to develop quantitative models for actively managing investment products, and focuses on how theoretical models can and should be used in practice. He describes the interaction between different elements of an investment process's value chain in a single and consistent framework. A key focus is placed on illustrating the theory with real world examples. At the end of the book the reader will be capable of designing or enhancing an investment process for an investment or portfolio managers products from start to finish. * Increased pressure to add value through investments makes this a hot topic in the investment world * Combined theoretical and practical approach makes this book appealing to a wide audience of quants and investors * The only book to show how to design and implement quantitative models for gaining positive alpha
Download or read book The Valuation of Interest Rate Derivative Securities written by Jeroen F. J. De Munnik and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005-10-18 with total page 163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increased volatility of interest rates during recent years and the corresponding introduction of a variety of interest rate derivative securities like bond options, futures and embedded options in mortgages, underlines the need for a comprehensive financial theory to determine values of fixed income instruments and derivative securities consistently. This book provides: * a detailed overview and classification of the different approaches to value interest rate dependent securities * a comparison of the numerical approaches to value complex securities * an empirical examination for the Dutch Fixed Income Market of some well-known interest rate models which demonstrates recent improvements to describe interest rate movements in relation to contingent claim valuation.
Download or read book Bond Portfolio Optimization written by Michael Puhle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-01-08 with total page 143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book analyzes how modern portfolio theory and dynamic term structure models can be applied to government bond portfolio optimization problems. The author studies the necessary adjustments, examines the models with regard to the plausibility of their results and compares the outcomes to portfolio selection techniques used by practitioners. Both single-period and continuous-time bond portfolio optimization problems are considered.
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Download or read book What Determines U S Swap Spreads written by Ádám Kóbor and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: References p. 45-47.
