Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to AIDS Epidemiology written by Carlos Castillo-Chavez and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-13 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 18 research articles of this volume discuss the major themes that have emerged from mathematical and statistical research in the epidemiology of HIV. The opening paper reviews important recent contributions. Five sections follow: Statistical Methodology and Forecasting, Infectivity and the HIV, Heterogeneity and HIV Transmission Dynamics, Social Dynamics and AIDS, and The Immune System and The HIV. In each, leading experts in AIDS epidemiology present the recent results. Some address the role of variable infectivity, heterogeneous mixing, and long periods of infectiousness in the dynamics of HIV; others concentrate on parameter estimation and short-term forecasting. The last section looks at the interaction between the HIV and the immune system.

Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to AIDS Epidemiology written by Carlos Castillo-Chavez and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book AIDS Epidemiology written by Ron Brookmeyer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1994-01-06 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: AIDS has appeared in more than 130 countries, and over 100,000 cases of AIDS have been reported in the U.S. alone. More and more, the public will be depending on statisticians to provide answers about the future course of this epidemic. This comprehensive work confronts the problems that are unique to AIDS research and unites them under a single conceptual framework. It focuses on methods for the design and analysis of epidemiologic studies, the natural history of AIDS and the transmission of HIV, methods for tracking and projecting the course of the epidemic, and statistical issues in therapeutic trials. The various methods of monitoring and forecasting this disease receive comprehensive treatment. These methods include back-calculation, which the authors developed; interpretation of survey data on HIV prevalence; mathematical models for HIV transmission; and approaches that combine different types of epidemiological data. Much of this material -- such as a discussion of methods for assessing safety of the blood supply, an evaluation of survey approaches, and methods to project pediatric AIDS incidence -- is not available in any other work.

Download or read book AIDS Epidemiology written by Nicholas P. Jewell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1974, the Societal Institute of the Mathematical Sciences (SIMS) initiated a series of five-day Research Application Conferences (RAC's) at Alta, Utah, for the purpose of probing in depth societal fields in light of their receptivity to mathematical and statistical analysis. The first eleven conferences addressed ecosystems, epidemiology, energy, environmental health, time series and ecological processes, energy and health, energy conversion and fluid mechanics, environmental epidemiology: risk assessment, atomic bomb survival data: utilization and analysis, modem statistical methods in chronic disease epidemiology and scientific issues in quantitative cancer risk assess ment. These Proceedings are a result of the twelfth conference on Statistical Methodology for Study of the AIDS Epidemic which was held in 1991 at the Mathematical Sciences Research Institute, Berkeley, California. For five days, 45 speakers and observers contributed their expertise in the relevant biology and statistics. The presentations were timely and the discussion was both enlightening and at times spirited. Members of the Program Committee for the Conference were Klaus Dietz (University of Tiibingen, Germany), Vernon T. Farewell (University of Waterloo, Ontario), and Nicholas P. Jewell (University of California, Berke ley) (Chair). The Conference was supported by a grant to SIMS from the National Institute of Drug Abuse. D. L. Thomsen, Jr.

Download or read book Quantitative Methods for HIV AIDS Research written by Cliburn Chan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-08-07 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantitative Methods in HIV/AIDS Research provides a comprehensive discussion of modern statistical approaches for the analysis of HIV/AIDS data. The first section focuses on statistical issues in clinical trials and epidemiology that are unique to or particularly challenging in HIV/AIDS research; the second section focuses on the analysis of laboratory data used for immune monitoring, biomarker discovery and vaccine development; the final section focuses on statistical issues in the mathematical modeling of HIV/AIDS pathogenesis, treatment and epidemiology. This book brings together a broad perspective of new quantitative methods in HIV/AIDS research, contributed by statisticians and mathematicians immersed in HIV research, many of whom are current or previous leaders of CFAR quantitative cores. It is the editors’ hope that the work will inspire more statisticians, mathematicians and computer scientists to collaborate and contribute to the interdisciplinary challenges of understanding and addressing the AIDS pandemic.

Download or read book HIV Transmission written by D. M. Basavarajaiah and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-29 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents models describing HIV transmission rates at population level, discussing the main statistical methods and analytical interventions. It also assesses the practical applicability of the various modelling techniques, offering readers insights into what methods are available and, more importantly, when they should be used to address HIV transmission at global level. The book includes realistic simulation models fitted to clarify the rate of HIV mother-to-child transmission (HIV MTCT), and substantiates the conclusions that can be drawn as well as the appropriate time for making global-level clinical decisions concerning people living with HIV/AIDS (PLHIVs). Intended for students, academics and researchers, the book offers more than just an introduction to the topic – it also features in-depth, yet easy-to-understand, descriptions of a new mathematical/statistical HIV mother-to-child transmission model, making it a useful resource for clinicians, public health workers and policymakers involved in implementing HIV-prevention programmes at national /global level.

Download or read book Stochastic Processes in Epidemiology written by Charles J Mode and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2000-06-09 with total page 768 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: AIDS (autoimmune deficiency syndrome) is a devastating human disease caused by HIV, a human immunodeficiency virus, which may be transmitted by either sexual or other contacts in which body fluids are exchanged. Cases of AIDS have been reported in a majority of countries throughout the world, indicating that the HIV/AIDS epidemic is international in scope. This book deals with the mathematical and statistical techniques underlying the models used to understand the population dynamics of not only HIV/AIDS but also other infectious diseases. Attention is given to the development strategies for the prevention and control of the international epidemic within the frameworks of the models. Two distinguishing features of the book are the incorporation of stochastic and deterministic formulations within a unifying conceptual framework and the discussion of issues related to the mathematical designs of models, which are necessary for the rigorous utilization of computer-intensive methods. The book will be of value to applied mathematicians, biomathematicians, biostatisticians, epidemiologists and other scientists interested in applying mathematics and computers to not only the HIV/AIDS epidemic but also other fields of epidemiology. Contents:Biology and Epidemiology of HIV/AIDSModels of Incubation and Infectious PeriodsContinuous Time Markov and Semi-Markov Jump ProcessesSemi-Markov Jump Processes in Discrete TimeModels of HIV Latency Based on a Log-Gaussian ProcessThe Threshold Parameter of One-Type Branching ProcessesA Structural Approach to SIS and SIR ModelsThreshold Parameters for Multi-Type Branching ProcessesComputer Intensive Methods for the Multi-Type CaseNonlinear Stochastic Models in Homosexual PopulationsStochastic Partnership Models in Homosexual PopulationsHeterosexual Population with PartnershipsAge-Dependent Stochastic Models with PartnershipsEpilogue — Future Research Directions Readership: Mathematical & quantitative biologists, epidemiologists, mathematicians, operations research workers, statisticians and biostatisticians. Keywords:Models: Incubation and Infectious Periods;Thresholds;General Branching Process;One Sex Homosexual;Partnerships Two and One Sex;Monte Carlo;Computer Intensive AlgorithmsReviews: “Quantitative epidemiologists and graduate students and researchers in applied mathematics and statistics interested in stochastic epidemic models should find this to be a helpful reference.” Journal of the American Statistical Association “I believe everyone working or wishing to work on epidemic modelling will certainly benefit from this book.” Mathematics Abstracts

Download or read book Stochastic Modeling of AIDS Epidemiology and HIV Pathogenesis written by W. Y. Tan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2000 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses systematically treatment on the development of stochastic, statistical and state space models of the HIV epidemic and of HIV pathogenesis in HIV-infected individuals, and presents the applications of these models. The book is unique in several ways: (1) it uses stochastic difference and differential equations to present the stochastic models of the HIV epidemic and HIV pathogenesis; in this sense, the deterministic models are considered as special cases when the numbers of different type of people or cells are very large (2) it provides, a critical analysis of deterministic and statistical models in the literature; (3) it develops state space models by combining stochastic models and statistical models; and (4) it provides a detailed discussion on the pros and cons of the different modeling approaches. This book is the first to introduce state space models for the HIV epidemic. It is also the first to develop stochastic models and state space models for the HIV pathogenesis in HIV-infected individuals.

Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology written by Gerardo Chowell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-06 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology compiles t- oretical and practical contributions of experts in the analysis of infectious disease epidemics in a single volume. Recent collections have focused in the analyses and simulation of deterministic and stochastic models whose aim is to identify and rank epidemiological and social mechanisms responsible for disease transmission. The contributions in this volume focus on the connections between models and disease data with emphasis on the application of mathematical and statistical approaches that quantify model and data uncertainty. The book is aimed at public health experts, applied mathematicians and sci- tists in the life and social sciences, particularly graduate or advanced undergraduate students, who are interested not only in building and connecting models to data but also in applying and developing methods that quantify uncertainty in the context of infectious diseases. Chowell and Brauer open this volume with an overview of the classical disease transmission models of Kermack-McKendrick including extensions that account for increased levels of epidemiological heterogeneity. Their theoretical tour is followed by the introduction of a simple methodology for the estimation of, the basic reproduction number,R . The use of this methodology 0 is illustrated, using regional data for 1918–1919 and 1968 in uenza pandemics.

Download or read book Deterministic and Stochastic Models of AIDS Epidemics and HIV Infections with Intervention written by Wai-Yuan Tan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2005-07-07 with total page 612 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With contributions from an international team of leading researchers, the book pulls together updated research results in the area of HIV/AIDS modeling to provide readers with the latest information in the field. Topics covered include: AIDS epidemic models; vaccine models; models for HIV/cell dynamics and interactions; cellular kinetics; viral dynamics with antiviral treatments; modeling of drug resistance and quasispecies. Extensive deterministic models, statistical models, stochastic models and state space models on treating AIDS patients with anti-retroviral drugs are provided, as well as an in-depth discussion of these models. The book also contains updated reviews on mathematical models for assessing effects of AIDS vaccines, statistical methods for analyzing clinical trial data on AIDS vaccines, and overviews of models and statistical methods for assessing drug resistance of HIV to anti-retroviral drugs. Some important statistical methods specific to the intervention and prevention of HIV epidemic are also discussed. This will be a useful reference source for graduate students and researchers in biomathematics and biostatistics, as well as for HIV/AIDS epidemiologists and clinical investigators learning quantitative methods to study AIDS epidemics and HIV infection. Contents:Mathematical Models for HIV Transmission Among Injecting Drug Users (V Capasso & D Morale)A Class of Methods for HIV Contact Tracing in Cuba: Implications for Intervention and Treatment (Y-H Hsieh et al.)Dynamical Models for the Course of an HIV Infection (C Kamp)Identifiability of HIV/AIDS Models (A M Jeffrey & X Xia)A Branching Process Model of Drug Resistant HIV (H Zhou & K S Dorman)Design of Population Studies of HIV Dynamics (C Han & K Chaloner)Statistical Estimation, Inference and Hypothesis Testing of Parameters in Ordinary Differential Equations Models of HIV Dynamics (S Holte)and other papers Readership: Upper-level undergraduates, graduate students, biomathematical and biostatistical researchers, HIV/AIDS epidemiologists and researchers, AIDS clinical investigators. Keywords:AIDS Epidemics;AIDS Vaccines;Antiviral Treatments;Cell Kinetics;HIV Dynamics;Viral ResistanceKey Features:Only book that provides deterministic and stochastic models of AIDS vaccines and statistical methods for analyzing clinical trial data on AIDS vaccinesOnly book on extensive, deterministic models, statistical models, stochastic models and state space models and statistical methods for HIV epidemic involving IV drug usage and HIV epidemic in homosexual populationsProvides most recent biological insights into HIV pathogenesis and HIV kinetics at the cellular level, and illustrates how to build up mathematical models based on these biological insightsOnly publication that provides in-depth analysis of HAART treatment protocols and discusses possible improvements to the HAART protocol. The book also provides connection between pharmacokinetics with treatment in HIV-infected individuals

Download or read book Modeling HIV Transmission and AIDS in the United States written by Herbert W. Hethcote and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The disease that came to be called acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was first identified in the summer of 1981. By that time, nearly 100,000 persons in the United States may have been infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). By the time the routes of transmission were clearly identified and HIV was established as the cause of AIDS in 1983, over 300,000 people may have been infected. That number has continued to increase, with approximately 1,000,000 Americans believed to be infected in 1991. The epidemic is of great public health concern because HlV is infectious, causes severe morbidity and death in most if not all of those infected, and often occurs in relatively young persons. In addition, the cost of medical care for a person with HIV disease is high, and the medical care needs of HIV-infected persons place a severe burden on the medical care systems in many areas. Understanding and controlling the HIV epidemic is a particularly difficult challenge. The long and variable period between HIV infection and clinical disease makes it difficult both to forecast the future magnitude of the epidemic, which is important for health care planning, and to estimate the number infected in the last several years, which is important for monitoring the current status of the epidemic.

Download or read book Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology written by Alexander Krämer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-01-23 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hardly a day goes by without news headlines concerning infectious disease threats. Currently the spectre of a pandemic of influenza A|H1N1 is raising its head, and heated debates are taking place about the pro’s and con’s of vaccinating young girls against human papilloma virus. For an evidence-based and responsible communication of infectious disease topics to avoid misunderstandings and overreaction of the public, we need solid scientific knowledge and an understanding of all aspects of infectious diseases and their control. The aim of our book is to present the reader with the general picture and the main ideas of the subject. The book introduces the reader to methodological aspects of epidemiology that are specific for infectious diseases and provides insight into the epidemiology of some classes of infectious diseases characterized by their main modes of transmission. This choice of topics bridges the gap between scientific research on the clinical, biological, mathematical, social and economic aspects of infectious diseases and their applications in public health. The book will help the reader to understand the impact of infectious diseases on modern society and the instruments that policy makers have at their disposal to deal with these challenges. It is written for students of the health sciences, both of curative medicine and public health, and for experts that are active in these and related domains, and it may be of interest for the educated layman since the technical level is kept relatively low.

Download or read book Dynamical Systems and Their Applications in Biology written by Shigui Ruan and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is based on the proceedings of the International Workshop on Dynamical Systems and their Applications in Biology held at the Canadian Coast Guard College on Cape Breton Island (Nova Scotia, Canada). It presents a broad picture of the current research surrounding applications of dynamical systems in biology, particularly in population biology. The book contains 19 papers and includes articles on the qualitative and/or numerical analysis of models involving ordinary, partial, functional, and stochastic differential equations. Applications include epidemiology, population dynamics, and physiology. The material is suitable for graduate students and research mathematicians interested in ordinary differential equations and their applications in biology. Also available by Ruan, Wolkowicz, and Wu is Differential Equations with Applications to Biology, Volume 21 in the AMS series Fields Institute Communications.

Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re emerging Infectious Diseases written by Gerardo Chowell and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributions by epidemic modeling experts describe how mathematical models and statistical forecasting are created to capture the most important aspects of an emerging epidemic.Readers will discover a broad range of approaches to address questions, such as Can we control Ebola via ring vaccination strategies? How quickly should we detect Ebola cases to ensure epidemic control? What is the likelihood that an Ebola epidemic in West Africa leads to secondary outbreaks in other parts of the world? When does it matter to incorporate the role of disease-induced mortality on epidemic models? What is the role of behavior changes on Ebola dynamics? How can we better understand the control of cholera or Ebola using optimal control theory? How should a population be structured in order to mimic the transmission dynamics of diseases such as chlamydia, Ebola, or cholera? How can we objectively determine the end of an epidemic? How can we use metapopulation models to understand the role of movement restrictions and migration patterns on the spread of infectious diseases? How can we capture the impact of household transmission using compartmental epidemic models? How could behavior-dependent vaccination affect the dynamical outcomes of epidemic models? The derivation and analysis of the mathematical models addressing these questions provides a wide-ranging overview of the new approaches being created to better forecast and mitigate emerging epidemics. This book will be of interest to researchers in the field of mathematical epidemiology, as well as public health workers.

Download or read book Mathematical Epidemiology written by Fred Brauer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on lecture notes of two summer schools with a mixed audience from mathematical sciences, epidemiology and public health, this volume offers a comprehensive introduction to basic ideas and techniques in modeling infectious diseases, for the comparison of strategies to plan for an anticipated epidemic or pandemic, and to deal with a disease outbreak in real time. It covers detailed case studies for diseases including pandemic influenza, West Nile virus, and childhood diseases. Models for other diseases including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, fox rabies, and sexually transmitted infections are included as applications. Its chapters are coherent and complementary independent units. In order to accustom students to look at the current literature and to experience different perspectives, no attempt has been made to achieve united writing style or unified notation. Notes on some mathematical background (calculus, matrix algebra, differential equations, and probability) have been prepared and may be downloaded at the web site of the Centre for Disease Modeling (www.cdm.yorku.ca).

Download or read book HIV Epidemiology written by Alfredo Nicolosi and published by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. This book was released on 1994 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book AIDS Epidemiology written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: