Download or read book Longevity Risk written by Emma McWilliam and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book New Models for Managing Longevity Risk written by Olivia S. Mitchell and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licence. It is free to read at Oxford Scholarship Online and offered as a free PDF download from OUP and selected open access locations. Notwithstanding the terrible price the world has paid in the coronavirus pandemic, the fact remains that longevity at older ages is likely to continue to rise in the medium and longer term. This volume explores how the private and public sectors can collaborate via public-private partnerships (PPPs) to develop new mechanisms to reduce older people's risk of outliving their assets in later life. As this volume shows, PPPs typically involve shared government financing alongside private sector partner expertise, management responsibility, and accountability. In addition to offering empirical evidence on examples where this is working well, contributors provide case studies, discuss survey results, and examine a variety of different financial and insurance products to better meet the needs of the aging population. This volume will be informative to researchers, plan sponsors, students, and policymakers seeking to enhance retirement plan offerings.
Download or read book Longevity Risk and Retirement Income Planning written by Patrick J. Collins and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2015-12-28 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past 50 years have seen an abundance of research on retirement planning and longevity risk. Reviewed here is the academic side of the research and its varied viewpoints and nuances. The evolution of retirement risk models, retirement portfolio problems and solutions, and annuities are some of the many topics covered.
Download or read book Mortality Assumptions and Longevity Risk Implications for pension funds and annuity providers written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2014-12-08 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The publication assess how pension funds, annuity providers such as life insurance companies, and the regulatory framework incorporate future improvements in mortality and life expectancy.
Download or read book Longevity Risk from a Pension Fund Perspective written by Lasse Erdweg and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2015-11-24 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2015 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.7, University of Frankfurt (Main) (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration), language: English, abstract: Assurance companies face two main risk factors in the process of pricing annuity products namely the interest risk and the longevity risk. There are numerous products and possibilities for the insurers to hedge their interest risk using interest derivatives and long bonds. Hedging products against the longevity risk is uncommon but insurers have to take it into account when they are pricing their annuity products. There are two types of longevity risks. On the one hand the idiosyncratic longevity risk and on the other hand the systematic longevity risk. With regards to the idiosyncratic longevity risk, individuals are faced with the issue that they need to invest in assets for their retirement in spite of an uncertain span of lifetime and thus an uncertain investment horizon. Pricing of life annuities could be done according to corresponding mortality tables. If the clients of an insurer die on average according to mortality rates provided by such tables, the revenues of the insurer should be sufficient to ensure the payments for the clients who are still alive. The issue out of a pension fund perspective is that longevity has been improving over time and clients could live longer than anticipated. These improvements occurred in an unpredictable way, especially at higher ages according to Cairns et al. (2006). Insurers therefore made false calculations of the insurance premium and suffered losses due to pensioners living longer than anticipated. The systematic longevity risk is based on the stochastic variation of mortality. The future development of life expectancy will be highly unpredictable due to medical improvements or discoveries in genetic research. For that reason insurers need stochastic models to quantify the systematic mortality changes over time and to make a prediction about future mortality in order to prevent losses caused by longevity risk. This paper will firstly discuss the literature regarding the Lee and Carter one factor model and the relevance of longevity risk for annuity pricing. Second this paper aims to estimate the stochastic two-factor model by Cairns, Blake and Dowd (2006) (CBD) for U.S. males from 1933 to 2010 by running a simulation to predict average mortality for the year 2030. In the further course will this stated prediction be used to price an annuity product followed by a brief conclusion and summary of results.
Download or read book Longevity Risk written by Frederik Weber and published by VVW GmbH. This book was released on 2010 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Die Dissertation von Dr. Frederik Weber erscheint in englischer Sprache. Der demographische Wandel und die steigende Lebenserwartung haben in jüngster Zeit verstärkte Diskussionen in der Öffentlichkeit angeregt. Zusätzlich sinkende Rentenleistungen erfordern ein effizienteres Management der privaten Altersvorsorge. Gleichzeitig ergibt sich aus dieser Tatsache ein erhöhtes Risiko für Rentenanbieter aus der Unsicherheit über die zukünftige Sterblichkeitsentwicklung. Die vorliegende Arbeit beleuchtet dazu zunächst die zugrundeliegende demographische Entwicklung und unterschiedliche Ausprägungen des Langlebigkeitsrisikos. Mögliche Probleme bei der Versicherbarkeit dieses Risikos bieten Anknüpfungspunkte für die optimierte Gestaltung von Versicherungsverträgen. Neben Kohorteneffekten in der Sterblichkeitsentwicklung, für die geeignete Maßzahlen und Kriterien zur Identifikation sogenannter "Select Cohorts" diskutiert werden, steht eine Abschätzung des potenziellen Ausmaßes des Langlebigkeitsrisikos im Mittelpunkt des ersten Teils. In einer Simulation wird die Wechselbeziehung von Langlebigkeits- und Investmentrisiko in Rentenportfolios erörtert. Sie verdeutlicht die Unterschiede beider Risikoarten, zeigt jedoch für das Langlebigkeitsrisiko feinere Muster, die aufgrund fehlender Kapitalmarktinstrumente nicht vollständig abgesichert werden können. Typische Risikomanagement-Optionen erweisen sich in Bezug auf das Langlebigkeitsrisiko überwiegend als wenig hilfreich oder sinnvoll. Einzig ein verändertes aktuarielles Produktdesign in Form einer mortalitätsindexierten Leibrente (Mortality-Indexed Annuity) verspricht eine signifikante Reduktion des Risikos für Versicherer. Dieser Vorteil bestätigt sich in einer weiteren Simulation auch aus Kundenperspektive, so dass diese Produktidee dazu beitragen könnte, Angebot und Nachfrage in einem unterentwickelten Markt für private Rentenversicherungen zu stärken. The demographic transition and increasing life expectancies have increasingly been discussed also in the general public. As a consequence, reduced social security pensions increasingly challenge individuals’ retirement funding to adequately manage the individual longevity risk. In addition, pension providers face the uncertainty regarding future mortality development. The present work sketches the underlying demographic development and distinguishes different forms of longevity risk. Potential drawbacks with respect to its insurability represent natural starting points for a discussion of adequate insurance contract design. Besides cohort effects in mortality reduction, for which suitable measures and criteria to identify so called "select cohorts" are discussed, an appraisal of the potential financial impact of longevity risk is a key objective here. Further insight into its relationship to and interaction with investment risk in life annuity portfolios are the main objective of a simulation study. Although capital market risks exert a stronger direct influence on an insurer’s technical result, longevity risk turns out to be of a more subtle nature. However, this risk cannot yet be hedged with the existing capital market instruments and thus appears worthwhile to be further analyzed. Typical risk management tools prove to be less apt upon closer inspection. Solely, a modified actuarial product design in the form of a life annuity with mortality-indexed benefits shows promise for reducing insurers’ exposure. The advantageousness of such a product concept can also be confirmed from a policyholder’s perspective by means of a further simulation study so that it might contribute to stimulate supply and demand in the underdeveloped market for life annuities.
Download or read book Longevity Risk written by Emma McWilliam and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Life Settlements and Longevity Structures written by Geoff Chaplin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-08-03 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent turbulence in the financial markets has highlighted the need for diversified portfolios with lower correlations between the different investments. Life settlements meet this need, offering investors the prospect of high, stable returns, uncorrelated with the broader financial markets. This book provides readers of all levels of experience with essential information on the process surrounding the acquisition and management of a portfolio of life settlements; the assessment, modelling and mitigation of the associated longevity, interest rate and credit risks; and practical approaches to financing and risk management structures. It begins with the history of life insurance and looks at how the need for new financing sources has led to the growth of the life settlements market in the United States. The authors provide a detailed exploration of the mathematical formulae surrounding the generation of mortality curves, drawing a parallel between the tools deployed in the credit derivatives market and those available to model longevity risk. Structured products and securitisation techniques are introduced and explained, starting with simple vanilla products and models before illustrating some of the investment structures associated with life settlements. Capital market mechanisms available to assist the investor in limiting the risks associated with life settlement portfolios are outlined, as are opportunities to use life settlement portfolios to mitigate the risks of traditional capital markets. The last section of the book covers derivative products, either available now or under consideration, that will reduce or potentially eliminate longevity risks within life settlement portfolios. It then reviews hedging and risk management strategies and considers how to measure the effectiveness of risk mitigation.
Download or read book Explaining Divergent Levels of Longevity in High Income Countries written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-06-27 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the last 25 years, life expectancy at age 50 in the United States has been rising, but at a slower pace than in many other high-income countries, such as Japan and Australia. This difference is particularly notable given that the United States spends more on health care than any other nation. Concerned about this divergence, the National Institute on Aging asked the National Research Council to examine evidence on its possible causes. According to Explaining Divergent Levels of Longevity in High-Income Countries, the nation's history of heavy smoking is a major reason why lifespans in the United States fall short of those in many other high-income nations. Evidence suggests that current obesity levels play a substantial part as well. The book reports that lack of universal access to health care in the U.S. also has increased mortality and reduced life expectancy, though this is a less significant factor for those over age 65 because of Medicare access. For the main causes of death at older ages-cancer and cardiovascular disease-available indicators do not suggest that the U.S. health care system is failing to prevent deaths that would be averted elsewhere. In fact, cancer detection and survival appear to be better in the U.S. than in most other high-income nations, and survival rates following a heart attack also are favorable. Explaining Divergent Levels of Longevity in High-Income Countries identifies many gaps in research. For instance, while lung cancer deaths are a reliable marker of the damage from smoking, no clear-cut marker exists for obesity, physical inactivity, social integration, or other risks considered in this book. Moreover, evaluation of these risk factors is based on observational studies, which-unlike randomized controlled trials-are subject to many biases.
Download or read book New Models for Managing Longevity Risk written by Olivia S. Mitchell and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Notwithstanding the terrible price the world has paid in the Coronavirus pandemic, the fact remains that longevity at older ages is likely to continue to rise in the medium and longer term. This volume explores how the private and public sectors can collaborate via public-private partnerships (PPPs) to develop new mechanisms to reduce older people’s risk of outliving their assets in later life. As we show in this volume, PPPs typically involve shared government financing alongside private-sector partner expertise, management responsibility, and accountability. In addition to offering empirical evidence on examples where this is working well, our contributors provide case studies, discuss survey results, and examine a variety of different financial and insurance products to better meet the needs of the aging population. The volume will be informative to researchers, plan sponsors, students, and policymakers seeking to enhance retirement plan offerings"--Publisher's description.
Download or read book Modelling Longevity Dynamics for Pensions and Annuity Business written by Ermanno Pitacco and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2009-01-29 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mortality improvements, uncertainty in future mortality trends and the relevant impact on life annuities and pension plans constitute important topics in the field of actuarial mathematics and life insurance techniques. In particular, actuarial calculations concerning pensions, life annuities and other living benefits (provided, for example, by long-term care insurance products and whole life sickness covers) are based on survival probabilities which necessarily extend over a long time horizon. In order to avoid underestimation of the related liabilities, the insurance company (or the pension plan) must adopt an appropriate forecast of future mortality. Great attention is currently being devoted to the management of life annuity portfolios, both from a theoretical and a practical point of view, because of the growing importance of annuity benefits paid by private pension schemes. In particular, the progressive shift from defined benefit to defined contribution pension schemes has increased the interest in life annuities with a guaranteed annual amount. This book provides a comprehensive and detailed description of methods for projecting mortality, and an extensive introduction to some important issues concerning longevity risk in the area of life annuities and pension benefits. It relies on research work carried out by the authors, as well as on a wide teaching experience and in CPD (Continuing Professional Development) initiatives. The following topics are dealt with: life annuities in the framework of post-retirement income strategies; the basic mortality model; recent mortality trends that have been experienced; general features of projection models; discussion of stochastic projection models, with numerical illustrations; measuring and managing longevity risk.
Download or read book Life Markets written by Vishaal B. Bhuyan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-07-23 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to longevity finance As the Baby Boomer population continues to age and the need for the securitization of life insurance policies increases, more financial institutions are looking towards longevity trading as a solution. Consequently, there is now a need for innovative financial products and strategies that have the ability to hedge longevity exposure for pension funds, reinsurance companies, and governments. These products and strategies are currently being developed with the use of life settlements. Here, author Vishaal Bhuyan provides a complete guide to this burgeoning sector. In Life Markets, Bhuyan and a team of expert contributors from leading firms offer an extensive look at how to trade life settlements. Provides practical guidance to the growing field of longevity finance Outlines the innovative financial products that are populating this field Highlights a safe haven for investors seeking returns in troubled times Covering everything from the history of life settlements to making a transaction-pricing, service providers, exchanges, and more-this book contains extensive coverage of the many issues surrounding longevity finance.
Download or read book How Should We Insure Longevity Risk in Pensions and Social Security written by Jeffrey Robert Brown and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Managing Longevity Risk The Case for Longevity Indexed Variable Expiration LIVE Bonds written by Arun Muralidhar and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is an annuity puzzle in that despite the welfare gains to individuals and society from consumers purchasing annuities, the actual allocation to these instruments by individuals is very low. Many explanations have been provided including adverse selection, complexity and inflexibility of the annuity contract, bequest motive etc. Insurance companies have tried to address these issues by changing their products, but take up has still been low. Some have argued that governments should create and issue longevity bonds that attempt to hedge overall economy-wide mortality risk to improve insurance companies' ability to hedge their annuity offering, thereby lowering costs. But these longevity bonds have some challenges and while an “improving social-welfare” case can be made for why governments should issue such bonds, these proponents have not shown how governments have a natural hedge. Instead, we suggest governments should create Longevity-Indexed Variable Expiration (LIVE) bonds. These bonds, targeted to individuals (and institutions) would pay income-only, and start paying only after the average life-expectancy of the economy (having addressed retirement income through life expectancy with a complementary BFFS/SeLFIES bond). Each bond will be cohort specific and based on tax collections of that cohort. In this fashion, the government is fully hedged (because the bond will be a form of a collateralized debt obligation), and hence a natural issuer, with low credit risk. Since BFFS/SeLFIES cover the life-expectancy of those living less than the average, only those individuals who live beyond the average (usually richer portions of the population) and with limited resources need purchase LIVE bonds. The paper also briefly discusses the portfolio strategies of those living beyond average life expectancy (which raises one challenge with this bond) and also how governments can ensure that they have sufficient funds to bear this risk. It concludes with the challenges to this approach as there are only three levers in addressing this issue through a bond (coupon payments, bonds outstanding and maturity) and allowing maturity to be flexible requires the first two to decline over time and hence in LIVE we focus on just the coupon declining.
Download or read book The Longevity Economy written by Joseph F. Coughlin and published by PublicAffairs. This book was released on 2017-11-07 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oldness: a social construct at odds with reality that constrains how we live after middle age and stifles business thinking on how to best serve a group of consumers, workers, and innovators that is growing larger and wealthier with every passing day. Over the past two decades, Joseph F. Coughlin has been busting myths about aging with groundbreaking multidisciplinary research into what older people actually want -- not what conventional wisdom suggests they need. In The Longevity Economy, Coughlin provides the framing and insight business leaders need to serve the growing older market: a vast, diverse group of consumers representing every possible level of health and wealth, worth about $8 trillion in the United States alone and climbing. Coughlin provides deep insight into a population that consistently defies expectations: people who, through their continued personal and professional ambition, desire for experience, and quest for self-actualization, are building a striking, unheralded vision of longer life that very few in business fully understand. His focus on women -- they outnumber men, control household spending and finances, and are leading the charge toward tomorrow's creative new narrative of later life -- is especially illuminating. Coughlin pinpoints the gap between myth and reality and then shows businesses how to bridge it. As the demographics of global aging transform and accelerate, it is now critical to build a new understanding of the shifting physiological, cognitive, social, family, and psychological realities of the longevity economy.
Download or read book The Religious Roots of Longevity Risk Sharing written by Moshe A. Milevsky and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Individual Post Retirement Longevity Risk Management Under Systematic Mortality Risk written by Katja Hanewald and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes an individual's post retirement longevity risk management strategy allowing for systematic longevity risk, recent product innovations, and product loadings. A complete-markets discrete state model and multi-period simulations of portfolio strategies are used to assess individual longevity insurance product portfolios with differing levels of systematic and idiosyncratic longevity risk. Portfolios include: fixed life annuities, deferred annuities, inflation-indexed annuities, phased withdrawals and recently proposed group self-annuitization (GSA) plans. GSA plans are found to replace even inflation-indexed annuity products when there are loadings on guaranteed life annuity products. With a bequest motive and loadings, coinsurance portfolio strategies with phased withdrawals and GSA's dominate portfolios with life annuities or deferred annuities.
