Download or read book Inflation Growth and External Debt written by Thorvaldur Gylfason and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Inflation External Debt and Financial Sector Reform written by Sweder van Wijnbergen and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new model can be used to derive the financeable fiscal deficit, given inflation targets, or to derive an equilibrium inflation rate for which no fiscal adjustment would be necessary. Here it is used to analyze inflation, external debt, and financial sector reform in Turkey.
Download or read book Inflation Stabilization And Debt written by Manuel Pastor and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-04-24 with total page 191 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the Peruvian and Bolivian macroeconomic experiments. It contrasts the logic of orthodox and heterodox policy, offers an account of the dynamics of hyperinflation and stabilization, explores the explicit and implicit class character, and suggests some lessons for future policy .
Download or read book Debt Is Not Free written by Ms.Marialuz Moreno Badia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-03 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With public debt soaring across the world, a growing concern is whether current debt levels are a harbinger of fiscal crises, thereby restricting the policy space in a downturn. The empirical evidence to date is however inconclusive, and the true cost of debt may be overstated if interest rates remain low. To shed light into this debate, this paper re-examines the importance of public debt as a leading indicator of fiscal crises using machine learning techniques to account for complex interactions previously ignored in the literature. We find that public debt is the most important predictor of crises, showing strong non-linearities. Moreover, beyond certain debt levels, the likelihood of crises increases sharply regardless of the interest-growth differential. Our analysis also reveals that the interactions of public debt with inflation and external imbalances can be as important as debt levels. These results, while not necessarily implying causality, show governments should be wary of high public debt even when borrowing costs seem low.
Download or read book Theoretical and Policy Oriented Aspects of the External Debt Economics written by Chris Czerkawski and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past approach to the international debt crisis has been traditionally based on conventional banking principle in which debt had to be paid back in fuH and in time. International lending was a function of the perceived credit standing of debtor country and the return on investment (ROI). If debtor country run into difficulties and had problems with service payments - it was generally assumed that the debt-related expenditures were mismanaged. With economic stability and firm financial rules - the debt crisis was supposed to disappear after application of appropriate adjustment measures. However in the world of inconsistent lending criteria greater uncertainty and increased volatility of expectations - the problem has continued to get worse. At the beginning of the 1990s a number of countries are more indebted than at any other time in the past. Until mid 1980s extern al debt economics has been rather a disembodied concept for most economists and business leaders. The main reason for this neglect of one of the most important macroeconomic categories was difficulty of distinguishing terminologically and methodologically the domestic determinants of national expenditures from the external ones. Then there were conceptual problems in distinguishing the functional determinants of macroeconomic liquidity from external and domestic determinants of macro-economic solvency. Moreover many studies of the debt crisis were one-sided. Usually debt was seen as a 'white-black' phenomenon with debtor countries accusing creditor countries for causing the crisis and vice versa.
Download or read book Transnational Banks and the Dynamics of the Peruvian Foreign Debt and Inflation written by J. Manuel Uriarte and published by Greenwood. This book was released on 1986 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Inflation Stabilization in Turkey written by Luc Everaert and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1992 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Adding estimated behavioral equations to the standard RMSM- X model allows it to simulate the short- run consequences of inflation stabilization.
Download or read book Growth in a time of debt written by Carmen M. Reinhart and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. Our analysis is based on new data on forty-four countries spanning about two hundred years. The dataset incorporates over 3,700 annual observations covering a wide range of political systems, institutions, exchange rate arrangements, and historic circumstances. Our main findings are: First, the relationship between government debt and real GDP growth is weak for debt/GDP ratios below a threshold of 90 percent of GDP. Above 90 percent, median growth rates fall by one percent, and average growth falls considerably more. We find that the threshold for public debt is similar in advanced and emerging economies. Second, emerging markets face lower thresholds for external debt (public and private)--which is usually denominated in a foreign currency. When external debt reaches 60 percent of GDP, annual growth declines by about two percent; for higher levels, growth rates are roughly cut in half. Third, there is no apparent contemporaneous link between inflation and public debt levels for the advanced countries as a group (some countries, such as the United States, have experienced higher inflation when debt/GDP is high.) The story is entirely different for emerging markets, where inflation rises sharply as debt increases.
Download or read book This Time Is Different written by Carmen M. Reinhart and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-07 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.
Download or read book Fiscal Policy Stabilization and Growth in Developing Countries written by Mr.Mario I. Bléjer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1989-06-15 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Mario I. Blejer and Ke-young Chu, this book investigates linkages among components of the public sector, as well as between macro and micro aspects of fiscal policy, in developing countries. It presents 13 papers prepared by economists of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department.
Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Download or read book Public Debt and Growth written by Jaejoon Woo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality and endogeneity. In addition, threshold effects, nonlinearities, and differences between advanced and emerging market economies are examined. The empirical results suggest an inverse relationship between initial debt and subsequent growth, controlling for other determinants of growth: on average, a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with a slowdown in annual real per capita GDP growth of around 0.2 percentage points per year, with the impact being somewhat smaller in advanced economies. There is some evidence of nonlinearity with higher levels of initial debt having a proportionately larger negative effect on subsequent growth. Analysis of the components of growth suggests that the adverse effect largely reflects a slowdown in labor productivity growth mainly due to reduced investment and slower growth of capital stock.
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Christian Ebeke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-28 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the effects of the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on the choice of exchange rate regime in emerging markets (EMs), conditional on certain macroeconomic conditions. Using a large sample of EMs and after controlling for the selection bias associated with the adoption of IT, we find that IT countries on average have a relatively more flexible exchange rate regime than other EMs. However, the flexibility of the exchange rate regime shows strong heterogeneity among IT countries depending on their degree of openness and exposure to FX risks. Moreover, we find that the marginal effect of IT adoption on the exchange rate flexibility increases with the duration of the IT regime in place, and with the propensity scores to adopt it.
Download or read book Inflation Uncertainty and Growth in Colombia written by Henry Ma and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-11 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Between 1955 and 1972, inflation in Colombia was relatively low. Since 1973, however, Colombia has experienced inflation averaging 18-22 percent (see Figure 1), making it the moderate-inflation country par excellence (Dornbusch and Fischer, 1993).2 Yet, Colombia has also been known for its prudent macroeconomic policies, to which have been attributed its record of sustained economic growth and manageable external debt, in contrast to the experience of other Latin American countries. Fiscal deficits were kept low (before widening somewhat in the 1990s), while monetary authorities have kept an eye toward an alarm signal of 30 percent inflation: When inflation exceeds that level (as in 1977 and 1990), monetary policy counteracts it (Echeverry, 1996).
Download or read book Debt Deficits and Inflation written by Willem H. Buiter and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper studies the solvency of the Indian public sector and the eventual monetization and inflation implied by stabilization of the debt-GNP ratio without any changes in the primary deficit. The nonstationarity of the discounted public debt suggests that indefinite continuation of the pattern of behavior reflected in the historical discounted debt process is inconsistent with the maintenance of solvency. This message is reinforced by the recent behavior of the debt-GNP ratio and the ratio of primary surplus plus seigniorage to GNP. Our estimates of the base money demand function suggest that even maximal use of seigniorage will not be sufficient to restore solvency.
Download or read book Foreign Debt and Latin American Economic Development written by Antonio Jorge and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-05-17 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign Debt and Latin American Economic Development focuses on the constructive discussion of views held by investigators and experts on the dynamic interaction between economic growth and external debt in Latin America. The selection first offers information on a background paper on the external debt and development in Latin America and a perspective on the external debt of Latin America. The text then elaborates on external financing and debt of the Latin American countries and Latin American external debt and economic growth. Topics include debt rescheduling, external debt and development, and flow of external financial resources. The manuscript takes a look at the economic growth and external debt of Jamaica and Commonwealth Caribbean. Discussions focus on external debt and economic growth, trends in external debt, structure and functioning of the Jamaican economy, and debt policy in the 1970’s and 1980’s. The book also ponders on the external debt and economic growth of Mexico, external debt situation of Haiti, Venezuela’s foreign public debt, and foreign debt and economic development of Costa Rica. The selection is a dependable source of data for readers interested in the interaction between economic progress and external debt in Latin America.
Download or read book IMF Staff papers Volume 45 No 4 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the issue of corruption around the world. The paper surveys and discusses issues related to the causes, consequences, and scope of corruption, and possible corrective actions. It emphasizes the costs of corruption in terms of economic growth. It also emphasizes that the fight against corruption may not be cheap and cannot be independent from the reform of the state. If certain reforms are not made, corruption is likely to continue to be a problem regardless of actions directly aimed at curtailing it.
