Download or read book Indian Stock Returns and Macroeconomics written by Shivi Suhag and published by . This book was released on 2023-07-06 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Indian stock returns refer to the performance or profitability of the Indian stock market over a certain period. It is a measure of the gains or losses an investor realizes from investing in Indian stocks. Stock returns can be calculated by comparing the current price of a stock with its purchase price, including any dividends received during the holding period.Macroeconomics, on the other hand, is a branch of economics that deals with the overall performance and behavior of the economy as a whole. It focuses on studying aggregates such as GDP (Gross Domestic Product), inflation, unemployment, interest rates, and other macroeconomic indicators to understand the functioning of the economy and make policy recommendations.The relationship between stock returns and macroeconomics is complex and intertwined. Macroeconomic factors play a significant role in influencing stock market performance. Here are some key macroeconomic variables that impact Indian stock returns: 1. GDP Growth: High GDP growth is generally associated with increased corporate profits and positive investor sentiment, leading to higher stock returns. Conversely, low or negative GDP growth can dampen investor confidence and result in lower stock returns.2. Inflation: Inflation refers to the general increase in prices of goods and services over time. Moderate inflation can be conducive to stock market performance as it indicates a growing economy. However, high inflation can erode purchasing power and negatively impact corporate profitability, leading to lower stock returns.3. Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates have a direct impact on the cost of borrowing and the attractiveness of different investment options. Lower interest rates generally favor stock market investments as they make equities more attractive relative to fixed-income securities. Conversely, higher interest rates may reduce stock market returns as investors shift towards safer fixed-income investments.4. Monetary Policy: The policies implemented by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), such as adjustments to the repo rate or cash reserve ratio, can influence liquidity and credit conditions in the economy. Accommodative monetary policy measures can stimulate economic growth and boost stock returns, while tight monetary policy can have the opposite effect.5. Fiscal Policy: Government spending, taxation, and fiscal deficit also impact the stock market. Expansionary fiscal policies, such as increased government spending, can stimulate economic activity and have a positive effect on stock returns. Conversely, contractionary fiscal policies may dampen investor sentiment and lead to lower stock returns.It's important to note that stock market returns are also influenced by company-specific factors, market sentiment, investor behavior, and other variables apart from macroeconomic factors. Therefore, analyzing Indian stock returns requires considering a wide range of factors, including both macroeconomic indicators and specific market dynamics.

Download or read book Do Macroeconomic Variables Impact the Indian Stock Market written by Khalid Ul Islam and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is intended to study the impact of various macroeconomic variables on Indian stock market. Based on the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) propounded by Ross in 1976 and various other studies, a number of macroeconomic variables including, inflation, industrial production, exchange rate, money supply, interest rate, and oil price have been identified to have a significant impact on the stock market. We have applied the multivariate extension of the classical linear regression model computed on Ordinary Least Squares method and Granger Causality test to re-establish the relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock returns over a period of 10 years from 2005 to 2015 using monthly observations. The results of this study show that only exchange rate has a significant negative impact on stock returns. The other macroeconomic variables are not significantly affecting stock returns; however, their impact is in accordance with the economic theory. The Granger Causality test reveals absence of any causal relationship between stock returns and macroeconomic variables, except in case of oil prices, where we find a unidirectional causal relationship running from stock returns to oil prices. However, the Granger Causality results should not be taken in the conventional meaning of causality, but results merely identifying precedence.

Download or read book Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market in India written by Sanjay Kumar Das and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2021-01-25 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock market returns depend on the changes in the stock market index. In India, S&P BSE Sensex is considered as the pulse of the stock market. S&P BSE Sensex is the sensitive index of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), which is a value- weighted index, composed of 30 largest and most actively traded stocks. There have been limited studies on the linkage between the macro economy and stock prices in India. The purpose of this study is to investigate this linkage between macroeconomic variables and stock market returns with reference to S&P BSE Sensex as well as the linkage between macroeconomic variables and S&P BSE sectoral indices. The study also investigates the linkage between exchange rate and volatility of S&P BSE Sensex Returns.

Download or read book Effect of Select Macro Economic Variables on Stock Returns in India written by P. Sireesha and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to investigate the impact of select macroeconomic factors upon the movements of the Indian stock market index, Nifty along with gold and silver prices by using linear regression technique. The behavior of nominal and real returns at various levels of inflation, GDP, IIP and Money Supply is studied. The interdependence of the returns on stock, gold and silver is also identified.

Download or read book Macroeconomic Variables and Security Prices in India during the Liberalized Period written by Tarak Nath Sahu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-01 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The liberalization and globalization of the Indian economy has made India more vulnerable to macro issues. This book provides a comprehensive analysis of the dynamic relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock prices in India. The research findings and policy implications discussed here may also be relevant for other emerging economies.

Download or read book Equity Markets in India written by Shveta Singh and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-06 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book presents a comprehensive view of the Indian equity markets over the past two decades (1994-2014). Equity markets constitute the most important segment of stock exchanges; in fact, the status of equity returns is, by and large, considered as a barometer of the state of a country’s economy. Returns earned by the equity investors on their funds invested in equity markets have become a decisive factor in the growth of such markets. In this context, the book discusses all the major aspects of equity returns and also conducts a dis-aggregative analysis based on underlying factors like age, size, ownership structure, industry affiliation/sector, among others, to explain the factors affecting returns and risk. While on the one hand the study ascertains the market rates of return (earned) on equities from the investors’ perspective (by including both the capital gains and the dividend income), it also shows how to compute the rates of returns on equities from the corporate perspective (that is, rate of return earned on equity funds). It further assesses the required/expected rate of return and examines the volatility in stock returns, with a focus on its behaviour during the period of the study. It deepens investors’ understanding of equity investment, helping them to make more-informed investments. While of interest to the investor community, this book also contributes significantly to the existing literature on market returns and is a valuable reference resource for academics, researchers and market participants, financial institutions and other intermediaries, regulators and policy makers.

Download or read book Macro Economic Variables and Stock Prices in India written by Mubasher Hassan and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2014-10-31 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The government's conduct of macroeconomic policy plays a unique and pivotal role in managing economic stability at the national level.As macroeconomic policies that are properly crafted and implemented help overcome many constraints like information asymmetry and coordination failures amongst regulatory institutions and markets, besides; a stable macroeconomic environment enables financial intermediaries to employ savings in productive activities thereby offering handsome returns to investors. Owing to the growth and development of financial markets across emerging economies, particularly India with its domestic saving on the rise, the policy makers, financial markets professionals, research scholars and academia are faced with unprecedented challenges when it comes to understanding volatility in stock market returns, in this direction this book focuses on the influence of select macroeconomic variables on stock market returns in India and will be helpful for business and economics graduates in understanding interaction between various macroeconomic fundamentals and can also serve as first step for research scholars in the field of financial economics.

Download or read book Macroeconomic Variables and the Performance of the Indian Stock Market written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we analyze relationships among selected macroeconomic variables and the Indian stock market. By employing a vector error correction model, we find that three long-term equilibrium relationships exist among these variables. Our results suggest that domestic inflation is the most severe deterrent to Indian stock market performance, and domestic output growth is its predominant driving force. After accounting for macroeconomic factors, the Indian market still appears to be drawn downward by a residual negative trend. We attribute this to economic mismanagement, since the size of the downward pull mitigates after 1990, coinciding with the beginning of Indian economic reforms.

Download or read book Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe written by Jürgen von Hagen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary union has dawned in Europe. Now that the common currency is a reality, questions concerning the practical conduct of monetary policy in the European Monetary Union (EMU) are moving to the forefront of the policy debate. Among these, one of the most critical is how the new monetary union will cope with the large heterogeneity of its member economies. Given the large differences in economic and financial structures among the EMU member states, monetary policy is likely to affect different member economies in different ways. Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe collects the proceedings of an international conference held at the Center for European Integration Studies of the University of Bonn, dedicated to this issue. The contributions to this conference fall into two parts. The first part consists of empirical and theoretical studies of the regional effects of monetary policy in heterogeneous monetary unions. The second part consists of papers analyzing the political economy of monetary policy in a monetary union of heterogeneous regions or member states. The papers all support the conclusion that regional differences in the responses to a common monetary policy will make European monetary policy especially difficult in the years to come. Such differences arise from a variety of sources, and they cannot be expected to be mere teething troubles that will disappear after a while. Even if they were ignored in the run-up to the EMU, Europe's central bankers and economic policy makers will have to learn how to cope with such differences in the future.

Download or read book Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Indian Economy written by Raktim Ghosh and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2023-01-30 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As businesses, consumers, and investors make key financial decisions amid Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), there is the danger that many might freeze investment projects and hiring, leading to contractions of the economy. This book examines this and makes important recommendations.

Download or read book Trade Investment and Economic Growth written by Pooja Lakhanpal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book contributes to the growing literature pertaining to empirical and policy issues in international trade, foreign capital flows and issues in finance, implications for India and emerging economies related to trade and development interface, and analysis of sector level growth and development in India. Further, the focus is on the policy aspects of these themes and their role in fostering economic development in the context of India and other emerging market economies. The discourse focuses mainly on empirical work and econometric details. The relevant issues are investigated using state of the art techniques such as gravity models, panel co-integration, generalized hyperbolic distributions, SEM, FMOLS and Probit models. In addition, detailed literature survey, discussions on data availability, issues related to statistical estimation techniques and a theoretical background, ensure that each chapter significantly contributes to the ever-growing literature on international trade and capital flows. The readers shall find an engaging dialogue on the crucial role played by policy and the trade-capital flows-growth experience of emerging economies. The book is relevant for those who are interested in contemporary issues in trade, growth and finance as well as for students of advanced econometrics who may benefit from the analytical and econometric exposition. The empirical evidences provided here could serve as ready reference for academicians, researchers and policy makers, particularly in emerging economies facing similar challenges.

Download or read book Momentum Trading on the Indian Stock Market written by Gagari Chakrabarti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-27 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study is an exploration of the Indian stock market, focusing on the possible presence of momentum trading. One thing, however, should be noted. While it is true that momentum trading, which tends to generate speculative bubbles, may result in a financial market crash, its nature in contrast might depend on the nature of the economy itself. The study, while exploring the presence and nature of momentum trading on the Indian stock market in recent years, seeks to relate it to significant structural breaks in the Indian or global economy. To be precise, it outlines a potential correlation between the instability in the stock market and the speculative trading on the market, exploring the question of whether it is human psychology that drives financial markets. In the process, the choice of a significant structural break has been obvious: the global financial meltdown of 2007-2008 – a crisis that has often been referred to as the worst ever since the crash of 1929. While analyzing the nature of momentum trading on the Indian stock market with regard to the financial crisis of 2007-08, the study takes into account two major representatives of the market, the BSE (Bombay Stock Index) and NSE (National Stock Index), for the period 2005 to 2012. This study seeks to answer a few important questions. First of all, it tries to unveil the underlying structure of the market. In doing so, it examines the following issues: (i) What was the latent structure of the Indian stock market leading up to the crisis of 2007-08? Does the structure offer insights into designing profitable trading strategies? (ii) Is it possible to construct a profitable portfolio on the Indian stock market? (iii) Is there any profitable trading strategy on the Indian stock market? While exploring these issues, the study delves deeper, breaking the whole period down into two sub-periods, before the crisis of 2008 and after the crisis. The purpose of this division is to determine whether there has been any discernible change in the market structure since the shock.

Download or read book The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Returns in National Stock Exchange of India written by S. S. Ranasinghe and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 101 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Exploring What Drives Indian Stock Market During Covid 19 written by Indrani Chakraborty and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-01 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyses the dynamics of Indian stock market with a special emphasis during the period following emergence of Covid-19. Coming from the instability in stock market following Covid-19, it delves deeper into the dynamics and unfolds the causal relationship between various economic fundamentals and the stock prices. Observing short-term herding in the stock market following Covid-19, the book's finding suggests that investors in the Indian stock market made investment choices irrationally during Covid-19 crisis periods. It also showcases how the stock market became inefficient following the emergence of pandemic and did not follow the fundamentals. Interestingly, the findings suggest no relationship between stock returns and real economic activities in India. The format of presentation makes the book well suited not only for students, academics, policy makers and investors in the stock markets, but also people engaged or interested in business and finance. The book would thus be of interest to both specialists and the laity. Analysis contained in this book will help different readership groups in different ways. Researchers from economics and finance disciplines will be able to learn about frontiers in the theoretical paradigms discussed in the book; advanced econometric techniques applied in the book will also be useful for their own research. The macroeconomic insights, and insights from behavioural economics, can expand the knowledge of corporate sector, useful in making real life decisions. Finally, it will help policy makers, like SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India), to formulate appropriate regulatory policies so as to minimize possibility of speculative bubbles as experienced during the pandemic period in the Indian stock markets.

Download or read book Impact of Macro Economic Variables of India and USA on Indian Stock Market written by Priyanka Aggarwal and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The key objective of the present study is to investigate the impact of changes in selected macroeconomic variables on Indian stock market (Nifty 50 index). To estimate the relationship, multivariate regression model computed on standard ordinary linear square method have been used. The time period examined is 2001-2016 and all the tests are conducted based on monthly data. Based on estimated regression coefficients and t-statistics, it is found that nifty 50 index is significantly affected by US gross domestic product, S and P index, gold prices, Indian whole sale price index, its fiscal deficit, IPI and exchange rate.

Download or read book The Impact of Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Prices Revised written by Gurmeet Singh and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study investigates the relationships between the Indian stock market index (BSE Sensex) and five macroeconomic variables, namely, industrial production index, wholesale price index, money supply, treasury bills rates and exchange rates over the period January 2007 to March 2014. Johansen's co-integration and vector error correction model have been applied to explore the long-run equilibrium relationship between stock market index and macroeconomic variables. The analysis reveals that macroeconomic variables and the stock market index are co-integrated and, hence, a long-run equilibrium relationship exists between them. It is observed that the stock prices positively relate to the wholesale price index, money supply and interest rate but negatively relate to index of industrial production and exchange rate. The index of industrial production and the exchange rate are found to be insignificant in determining stock prices. In the Granger causality sense, there is bi-directional causality between exchange rate and stock market index and interest rate and stock market index. Interest rate causes stock market index in both long run and short-run. The findings show the evidence of causality from stock price index to wholesale price index in both long-run and short run but not other way around. Furthermore, it is observed from the findings that money supply causes stock prices only in the long-run but not in short run.

Download or read book STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE MACRO ECONOMIC VARIABLES AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF STOCK MARKET written by Arnav V and published by Arnav. This book was released on 2022-12-23 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Owing to the ever-increasing importance of the financial markets, particularly the stock markets, in the economic development, especially of capital seeking developing nations, a plethora of studies have been conducted to examine the factors determining and influencing the stock market variables such as stock returns, market capitalisation, and turnover, amongst others. The present study examines the impact and role of macroeconomic variables on the stock market performance of an important developing country, viz., India. This relationship is examined from the framework of three main research objectives of investigating the relationship between macroeconomic variables and Indian stock market performance; modelling the crash of Indian stock market during the global financial crisis of 2007 - 2009 using the domestic and international macroeconomic variables, and predicting the movements in stock market variables using macroeconomic variables.