Download or read book Impact of Macroeconomic News on Foreign Exchange Volatility written by Tseke Maserumule and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Impact of Macroeconomic News on Exchange Rate Volatility written by Helinä Laakkonen and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tiivistelmä: Makrouutisten vaikutus valuuttakurssin volatiliteettiin.
Download or read book Macroeconomic News Surprises and Volatility Spillover in the Foreign Exchange Markets written by Walid Ben Omrane and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the central open issue in exchange rate economics: the link between exchange rate volatility and economic fundamentals. In the framework of a multivariate volatility model that allows for volatility spillover, we develop a new impulse response analysis to estimate and decompose the simultaneous effect of macroeconomic news surprises on the foreign exchange volatility. We show that news announcement effects include two components; a direct and an indirect effect induced by volatility spillover. We show that more than 50% of the total accumulated news effect on the Pound and the Yen are due to volatility transmission from the two major currencies and mainly from the Euro.
Download or read book Handbook Of Global Financial Markets Transformations Dependence And Risk Spillovers written by Sabri Boubaker and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 828 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.
Download or read book Macroeconomic Impact of Foreign Exchange Intervention Some Cross country Empirical Findings written by Mr. Zhongxia Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on nominal exchange rate flexibility may induce adjustments to the real exchange rate through domestic prices. We find that countries that intervene more heavily in response to external shocks experience greater general and asset price volatility, which is not conducive to countering the impact of external shocks. We show that China’s macroeconomic responses to external shocks are broadly consistent with international experiences among intervening countries. The simple methodological framework adopted in this paper is meant to examine a broad set of macroeconomic variables and bears limitations; our findings serve to motivate more structural analysis on FXI’s macroeconomic impacts going forward.
Download or read book The Impact of Macroeconomic Announcements on Real Time Foreign Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets written by Fang Cai and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper utilizes a unique high-frequency database to measure how exchange rates in nine emerging markets react to macroeconomic news in the U.S. and domestic economies from 2000 to 2006. We find that major U.S. macroeconomic news have a strong impact on the returns and volatilities of emerging market exchange rates, but many domestic news do not. Emerging market currencies have become more sensitive to U.S. news in recent years. We also find that market sentiment could sway the impact of news on these currencies systematically, as good (bad) news seems to matter more when optimism (pessimism) prevails. Market uncertainty also interacts with macroeconomic news in a statistically significant way, but its role varies across currencies and news"--Federal Reserve Board web site.
Download or read book Micro Effects of Macro Announcements written by Torben Gustav Andersen and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a new dataset consisting of six years of real-time exchange rate quotations, macroeconomic expectations, and macroeconomic realizations (announcements), we characterize the conditional means of U.S. dollar spot exchange rates versus German Mark, British Pound, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and the Euro. In particular, we find that announcement surprises (that is, divergences between expectations and realizations, or 'news') produce conditional mean jumps; hence high-frequency exchange rate dynamics are linked to fundamentals. The details of the linkage are intriguing and include announcement timing and sign effects. The sign effect refers to the fact that the market reacts to news in an asymmetric fashion: bad news has greater impact than good news, which we relate to recent theoretical work on information processing and price discovery.
Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Foreign Exchange Market written by C. Goodhart and published by Palgrave Macmillan. This book was released on 2000-08-10 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a number of research studies, all of which examine the behaviour of foreign exchange rates. The main focus of the collection is on empirical characterisation of high-frequency exchange rate data. The pioneering studies demonstrate and explain, amongst other things, the regular patterns in intra-day foreign exchange rate activity, the effects of macroeconomic news of rates and analyse the profitability of technical trading rules in these markets. The collection will be of use to students, academics and practitioners who are interested in exchange rate dynamics.
Download or read book Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that (i) technical trading best characterizes about 30% of traders, with this proportion rising from five years ago; (ii) news about macroeconomic variables is rapidly incorporated into exchange rates; (iii) the importance of individual macroeconomic variables shifts over time, although interest rates always appear to be important, and; (iv) economic fundamentals are perceived to be more important at longer horizons. The short run deviations of exchange rates from their fundamentals are attributed to excess speculation and institutional customer/hedge fund manipulation. Speculation is generally viewed positively, as enhancing market efficiency and liquidity, even though it exacerbates volatility. Central bank intervention does not appear to have a substantial effect, although there is general agreement that it increases volatility. Finally, traders do not view purchasing power parity as a useful concept, even though a significant proportion (40%) believe that it affects exchange rates at horizons of over six months.
Download or read book Macroeconomic News and LOB in Foreign Exchange ECN Market written by Tao Yusi and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Impact of Macroeconomic Surprises on Carry Trade Activity written by Michael M. Hutchison and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Can official news and policy announcements affect foreign exchange speculation? This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic surprises on risk perceptions of carry traders and the size of their overall positions. Unlike much of the previous literature, we are able to identify a significant impact of macroeconomic surprises on foreign exchange volatility of JPY/USD even at low (daily) frequency. We use information gleaned from risk reversal contracts (tails of the implied returns distribution) during the period when concerns about sharp yen appreciation were particularly high, hence more likely to show up in the price of risk. We also consider a broader set of U.S. and Japanese news than previous work, focusing on the announcements with particularly large surprise components to them. Overall, we find that macroeconomic news is an important determinant of risk reversals during periods of heavy carry trade volume, particularly when the cost of hedging against large yen appreciation is increasing. The results are more supportive of the trade-balance flow channel over portfolio-balance or monetary channel of exchange rate determination during the sample period. Specifically, Japan (U.S.) macro news that worsen (improve) the trade balance generally are associated with less perceived risk of sharp yen appreciation, as reflected in the value of risk reversals. Moreover, there is a close link between risk reversals and non-commercial futures positions. We calculate a substantial effect of macroeconomic news on carry trade activity, with risk reversals (the cost of hedging) as the transmission mechanism.
Download or read book The Impact of Macro News and Central Bank Communication on Emerging European Forex Markets written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book How is Macro News Transmitted to Exchange Rates written by Martin D. D. Evans and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests whether macroeconomic news is transmitted to exchange rates via the transactions process and if so, what share occurs via transactions versus the traditional direct channel. We identify the link between order flow and macro news using a heteroskedasticity-based approach, a la Rigobon and Sack (2002). In both daily and intra-daily data, order flow varies considerably with macro news flow. At least half of the effect of macro news on exchange rates is transmitted via order flow.
Download or read book The High frequency Effects of U S Macroeconomic Data Releases on Prices and Trading Activity in the Global Interdealer Foreign Exchange Market written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "We introduce a new high-frequency foreign exchange dataset from EBS (Electronic Broking Service) that includes trading volume in the global interdealer spot market, data not previously available to researchers. The data also gives live transactable quotes, rather than the indicative quotes that have been used in most previous high frequency foreign exchange analysis. We describe intraday volume and volatility patterns in euro-dollar and dollar-yen trading. We study the effects of scheduled U.S. macroeconomic data releases, first confirming the finding of recent literature that the conditional mean of the exchange rate responds very quickly to the unexpected component of data releases. We next study the effects of data releases on trading volumes. News releases cause volume to rise, and to remain elevated for a longer period. However, in contrast to the result for the level of the exchange rate, even if the data release is entirely in line with expectations, we find that there is still typically a large pickup in trading volume"--Federal Reserve Board web site.
Download or read book Macroeconomic News Announcements and the Role of Expectations written by Suk-Joong Kim and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the impact of scheduled government announcements relating to six different macroeconomic variables on the risk and return of three major US financial markets. Our results suggest that these markets do not respond in any meaningful way, to the act of releasing information by the government. Rather, it is the news content of these announcements which cause the market to react. For the three markets tested, unexpected balance of trade news was found to have the greatest impact on the mean return in the foreign exchange market. In the bond market, news related to the internal economy was found to be important. For the US stock market, consumer and producer price information was found to be important. Finally, financial market volatility was found to have increased in response to some classes of announcement and fallen for others. In part, this result can be explained by differential policy feedback effects.
Download or read book The Sign Switch Effect of Macroeconomic News in Foreign Exchange Markets written by Walid Ben Omrane and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine an unusual episode in the behavior of the euro, pound and yen exchange rate markets when the dollar appreciated (depreciated) against the three major currencies, in response to unfavorable (favorable) US growth news during the global financial crisis. Contrary to the previous findings, we show that, for each currency pair, only a small subset (about a third) of the most significant macro news effects reversed sign, primarily announcements regarding consumption, credit, labor and housing markets. Our results reveal that announcement chronology within a month matters, in that specifically the earliest releases within an indicator category exhibit sign asymmetry. We explore possible sources of the switch in the exchange rate reaction during this period and find that fluctuations in market risk and carry trade returns explain most of the variation in the news response coefficient signs.
