Download or read book Global Imbalances Exchange Rates and Oil Exporting Countries written by Christian M. Oberpriller and published by LIT Verlag Münster. This book was released on 2009 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the phenomenon of the unprecedentedly high U.S. current account deficit and its counterpart surpluses in the rest of the world. The book develops a four-region model focusing on the U.S., Europe, Asia and the oil-exporting countries in order to compute the real exchange rate changes which might accompany a reduction in the world's current account imbalances. In addition to the economics of a purely demand-side-driven world, the impact of a flexible supply side on the behavior of the relevant economic variables is modeled and analyzed.

Download or read book Global Imbalances and Petrodollars written by Rabah Arezki and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oil exporters have run large current account surpluses. We explore oil exporters' role in the global imbalances debate. Current account dynamics are estimated for oil-exporting countries and the rest of the world. We find that fiscal policy has a much stronger effect on the current account of oil exporters than on current accounts of other countries. The current account adjustment of oil-exporting countries is also faster. Fiscal policy of oil exporters can have a significant and speedy impact on global imbalances. The impact via the adjustment of exchange rates might not be effective.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Assessments written by Mr.Irineu E. de Carvalho Filho and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are the current account fluctuations in oil-exporting countries "excessive"? How should their real exchange rate respond to the evolution of external (and domestic) fundamentals? This paper proposes methodologies tailored to the specific features of oil-exporting countries that help address these questions. Price-based methodologies (based on the time series of real effective exchange rates) identify a strong link between the real exchange rate and the terms of trade, but have relatively limited explanatory power. On the other hand, an empirical model of the current account, which fits oil exporting countries' data well, and an intertemporal model that takes into account the stock of oil reserves provide useful benchmarks for oil exporters' external balances.

Download or read book Global Imbalances and External Adjustment after the Crisis written by Mr.Philip R. Lane and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-12 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper has two objectives. First, it reviews the recent dynamics of global imbalances (both “flow” and “stock” imbalances), with a special focus on the shifting position of Latin America in the global distribution. Second, it examines the cross-country variation in external adjustment over 2008-2012. In particular, it shows how pre-crisis external imbalances have strong predictive power for post-crisis macroeconomic outcomes, allowing for variation across different exchange rate regimes. We emphasize that the bulk of external adjustment has taken the form of “expenditure reduction”, with “expenditure switching” only playing a limited role.

Download or read book Petrodollars and Global Imbalances written by Thomas McCown and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the world economy recovered and grew, the price of oil rose markedly, peaking at almost $70 per barrel in 2005 before ending the year at $61 per barrel. Today, the price continues to hover at around $65. This sustained rise in prices has generated hundreds of billions of dollars of extra revenue for oil exporting countries (e.g. the Bank of International Settlements estimates $1.3 trillion to OPEC since end-1998). This Occasional Paper examines the major sources and uses of this windfall and its impact on global imbalances. The paper is not intended to be a comprehensive assessment of the petrodollar phenomenon, but rather to identify issues that warrant further examination. Key findings of our analysis suggest that: From 2002 to 2005, oil exporters appear to be spending proceeds from the oil windfall relatively evenly on increased imports and reserve accumulation, but import spending and the percentage spent on imports will likely rise over time. Some oil exporters are responding to the windfall by increasing reserves, retiring debt, and setting aside money for future generations, measures which should help insulate them from oil price volatility. Many countries are also channeling financing to productive investments intended to support growth, in contrast to the last oil boom. However in some cases, domestic spending increases have included hefty public sector wage hikes. The complexity and integration of financial markets make it difficult to assess fully where the oil windfall is being invested, though it is clear that domestic equity markets, and, to a lesser extent, real estate markets in the Gulf, are benefiting. Oil producers' current account surpluses have increased already large global imbalances. While inflation remains broadly contained in oil-exporting countries with pegged exchange rates, more flexible exchange rates would allow better control over domestic monetary conditions and promote efficient external adjustment.

Download or read book Europe and Global Imbalances written by Philip R. Lane and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-06 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although Europe in the aggregate is a not a major contributor to global current account imbalances, its trade and financial linkages with the rest of the world mean that it will still be affected by a shift in the current configuration of external deficits and surpluses. We assess the macroeconomic impact on Europe of global current account adjustment under alternative scenarios, emphasizing both trade and financial channels. Finally, we consider heterogeneous exposure across individual European economies to external adjustment shocks.

Download or read book An Empirical Study of Current Account Balances in Oil exporting Countries written by Fathi Alwerfalli and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three chapters dealing with the current account balances of oil exporting countries.The second chapter examines the role of exchange rate regimes in adjusting the current account imbalances of oil-exporting countries. Exchange rate adjustment is crucial for maintaining a country's macroeconomic and financial stability. The objective of this chapter is to investigate the determinants of the current account in oil-exporting countries and to find out whether current account persistent depends on the exchange rate regime. To this end, we include these determinants separately for fixed, intermediate and flexible exchange rate regimes. .Surges in world oil prices and trade imbalances have raised serious concerns among policymakers because of their hostile effects on the economies of oil-exporting and oil-importing countries. Therefore, oil exporters urgently need to improve the response of their trade balances and avoid the macroeconomic consequences of oil price changes. In the third chapter of the study, we examine the impact of oil prices on Libya's trade balance and its oil and non-oil components, and whether these trade balance sub-components make the necessary adjustments to adjust to changes in oil prices. This chapter aims to analyse the relationship between global crude oil prices and a set of macroeconomic indicators and the balance of trade.

Download or read book Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis written by Steven Vincent Dunaway and published by Council on Foreign Relations. This book was released on 2009 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Crafting stimulus packages and financial bailouts to address immediate problems has for many reasons been a priority for policymakers. In this Council Special Report, however, Steven Dunaway argues that policymakers must go beyond these steps and tackle one of the root causes of today's crisis: imbalances between savings and investment in major countries. The report analyzes the nature of these imbalances, which occur when some countries, such as the United States, run large current account (essentially trade) deficits while others, such as China, maintain large surpluses. Dunaway identifies three features of the international financial system that have allowed the imbalances to persist, features that involve both floating and managed exchange rates as well as the issuance of reserve assets. In particular, he notes that the United States' status as an issuer of such assets has enabled it to finance a current account deficit. The report then prescribes a variety of steps to address global imbalances. Beyond stimulus packages around the world, it urges measures to raise savings (principally government savings) in the United States, reform labor and product markets in Europe and Japan to increase competition and flexibility, and boost domestic consumption in China. Finally, the report advocates improving International Monetary Fund (IMF) surveillance of member states' economic policies by reducing the role of the Fund's executive board and depoliticizing the selection of its senior management.

Download or read book Global Imbalances and the Collapse of Globalised Finance written by Anton Brender and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world economy is just starting to recover from the most disastrous episode in the history of financial globalisation. Understanding what happened is essential. Anton Brender and Florence Pisani, both economists with Dexia Asset Management and teaching at Paris-Dauphine University, argue in this book that the main problems were deeply rooted and are to be found in two tightly linked developments that for many years were left largely uncontrolled: the increase in the intensity of international transfers of savings - the so-called 'global imbalances' - and a wave of innovations - globalised finance - that have changed the way savings and the risks associated with their investment can be transferred. Globalised finance allowed continuously increasing amounts of emerging countries' savings, invested in 'risk-free' assets, to finance loans that were far from being risk-free. The risks attendant on those loans did not vanish of course: they were carried by the risk-takers of the globalised financial system. Hedge-funds, investment banks, off-balance-sheet vehicles, etc. functioned here as parts of a genuine alternative banking system, taking on the bulk of the liquidity, interest-rate and credit risks generated by the mismatch between the assets that emerging regions' savers were ready to - or could - invest in and the liabilities developed countries' borrowers issued. Unfortunately, no one was in charge of keeping in check either the quantity of risk being accumulated in this way or the quality of the loans generating those risks. The consequence was terrible: the only force that could finally rein in the continuous deepening of the global imbalances was the collapse of globalised finance.

Download or read book Are Global Imbalances Sustainable written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Global Development Finance 2007 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global Development Finance (GDF), is the World Bank's annual review of recent trends in and prospects for financial flows to developing countries. It is an indispensable resource for governments, economists, investors, financial consultants, academics, bankers, and the entire development community. Vol I: Analysis and Outlook reviews recent trends in financial flows to developing countries. Vol II. Summary and Country Tables* includes comprehensive data for 138 countries, as well as summary data for regions and income groups. Also available on CD-ROM, with more than 200 historical time series from 1970 to 2005, and country group estimates for 2006. * Vol II. Summary and Country Tables

Download or read book Global Development Finance written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global Development Finance (GDF), is the World Bank's annual review of recent trends in and prospects for financial flows to developing countries. It is an indispensable resource for governments, economists, investors, financial consultants, academics, bankers, and the entire development community. Vol I: Analysis and Outlook reviews recent trends in financial flows to developing countries. Also available as a two volume set, Vol II. Summary and Country Tables* includes comprehensive data for 138 countries, as well as summary data for regions and income groups.

Download or read book Global Imbalances and Financial Capitalism written by Jacques Mazier and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-05-07 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past few decades have witnessed the emergence of economic imbalances at the world level and within the euro zone. The failure of mainstream economics to accurately predict financial crises, or model the effects of finance-led growth, highlights the need for alternative frameworks. A key text, Global Imbalances and Financial Capitalism: Stock-Flow-Consistent Modelling demonstrates that Stock-Flow-Consistent models are well adapted to study this growth regime due to their ability to analyse the real and financial sides of the economy in an integrated way. This approach is combined with an analysis of exchange rate misalignments using the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate (FEER) methodology, which serves to give a synthetic view of international imbalances. Together, these models describe how global and regional imbalances are created, as well as suggest appropriate tools through which they may be reduced. The book also considers alternative economic policies in the euro zone (international risk sharing, fiscal federalism, eurobonds, European investments, a multispeed euro zone) alongside alternative monetary policies. In particular, it examines the possibilities of using SDR (Special Drawing Rights) as a reserve asset to be issued to fight a global recession, to support the development of low-income countries, or as an anchor to improve global monetary stability. This text will be of interest to students, scholars, and researchers of economic theory and international monetary economics. It will also appeal to professional organisations who supervise international relations.

Download or read book The Macroeconomics of Global Imbalances written by Marc Uzan and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2008-10-27 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the result of a workshop on the effects of globalization on Asian and European countries, organized by Marc Uzan and the Austrian Ministry of Finance in April 2006. Bringing together key academics, policy makers and private market participants, these chapters cover the current debate of global imbalances and the way to resolve the disequilibrium in the international monetary system and understand the need for international cooperation among the different monetary areas of the world. Various important points come out of the book; firstly there is an emphasis on the difficulties for Europeans and Asians to find common positions vis-à-vis global imbalances due to different exchange rate regimes throughout Asia preventing similar responses. The role of the US dollar as a world currency is also discussed, as well as EU regional monetary cooperation and an analysis of the Euro. The implementation of economic policy to redress global imbalances is also considered, as is the emergence of China on the world stage and its industrial development projects. These questions and the way the international financial community will resolve them, will have a huge impact in the functioning of the international monetary system. The current unwinding of the global imbalances that we are facing with the global market disruptions since August 2007, demonstrate that a new geography of international finance is emerging between Europe and Asia. The book addresses also the way that a dialog in the field in monetary arena needs to be structured between Europe and Asia.

Download or read book Global Imbalances Exchange Rates and Stabilization Policy written by A. Makin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-07-23 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes key international monetary issues from a macro-foundations perspective. It proposes novel frameworks to interpret macroeconomic and financial linkages for globally integrated economies, examining global imbalances, exchange rates, interest rates, international capital flows, inflation, foreign and public debt.

Download or read book External Adjustment written by Maurice Obstfeld and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Gross stocks of foreign assets have increased rapidly relative to national outputs since 1990, and the short-run capital gains and losses on those assets can amount to significant fractions of GDP. These fluctuations in asset values render the national income and product account measure of the current account balance increasingly inadequate as a summary of the change in a country's net foreign assets. Nonetheless, unusually large current account imbalances, especially deficits, should remain high on policymakers' list of concerns, even for the richer and less credit-constrained countries. Extreme imbalances signal the need for large and perhaps abrupt real exchange rate changes in the future, changes that might have undesired political and financial consequences given the incompleteness of domestic and international asset markets. Furthermore, of the two sources of the change in net foreign assets -- the current account and the capital gain on the net foreign asset position -- the former is better understood and more amenable to policy influence. Systematic government attempts to manipulate international asset values in order to change the net foreign asset position could have a destabilizing effect on market expectations"--NBER website

Download or read book The External Balance Assessment EBA Methodology written by Mr.Steven Phillips and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-01-13 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has been developed by the IMF’s Research Department as a successor to the CGER methodology for assessing current accounts and exchange rates in a multilaterally consistent manner. Compared to other approaches, EBA emphasizes distinguishing between the positive empirical analysis and the normative assessment of current accounts and exchange rates, and highlights the roles of policies and policy distortions. This paper provides a comprehensive description and discussion of the 2013 version (“2.0”) of the EBA methodology, including areas for its further development.