Download or read book Foundations of the Prediction Process written by Frank B. Knight and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a unified treatment of the prediction process approach to continuous time stochastic processes. The underling idea is that there are two kinds of time: stationary physical time and the moving observer's time. By developing this theme, the author develops a theory of stochastic processes whereby two processes are considered which coexist on the same probability space. In this way, the observer' process is strongly Markovian. Consequently, any measurable stochastic process of a real parameter may be regarded as a homogeneous strong Markov process in an appropriate setting. This leads to a unifying principle for the representation of general processes in terms of martingales which facilitates the prediction of their properties. While the ideas are advanced, the methods are reasonable elementary and should be accessible to readers with basic knowledge of measure theory, functional analysis, stochastic integration, and probability on the level of the convergence theorem for positive super-martingales.
Download or read book Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory written by Mohsen Pourahmadi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2001-06-01 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foundations of time series for researchers and students This volume provides a mathematical foundation for time seriesanalysis and prediction theory using the idea of regression and thegeometry of Hilbert spaces. It presents an overview of the tools oftime series data analysis, a detailed structural analysis ofstationary processes through various reparameterizations employingtechniques from prediction theory, digital signal processing, andlinear algebra. The author emphasizes the foundation and structureof time series and backs up this coverage with theory andapplication. End-of-chapter exercises provide reinforcement for self-study andappendices covering multivariate distributions and Bayesianforecasting add useful reference material. Further coveragefeatures: * Similarities between time series analysis and longitudinal dataanalysis * Parsimonious modeling of covariance matrices through ARMA-likemodels * Fundamental roles of the Wold decomposition andorthogonalization * Applications in digital signal processing and Kalmanfiltering * Review of functional and harmonic analysis and predictiontheory Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory guidesreaders from the very applied principles of time series analysisthrough the most theoretical underpinnings of prediction theory. Itprovides a firm foundation for a widely applicable subject forstudents, researchers, and professionals in diverse scientificfields.
Download or read book Patterns Predictions and Actions Foundations of Machine Learning written by Moritz Hardt and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-08-23 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative, up-to-date graduate textbook on machine learning that highlights its historical context and societal impacts Patterns, Predictions, and Actions introduces graduate students to the essentials of machine learning while offering invaluable perspective on its history and social implications. Beginning with the foundations of decision making, Moritz Hardt and Benjamin Recht explain how representation, optimization, and generalization are the constituents of supervised learning. They go on to provide self-contained discussions of causality, the practice of causal inference, sequential decision making, and reinforcement learning, equipping readers with the concepts and tools they need to assess the consequences that may arise from acting on statistical decisions. Provides a modern introduction to machine learning, showing how data patterns support predictions and consequential actions Pays special attention to societal impacts and fairness in decision making Traces the development of machine learning from its origins to today Features a novel chapter on machine learning benchmarks and datasets Invites readers from all backgrounds, requiring some experience with probability, calculus, and linear algebra An essential textbook for students and a guide for researchers
Download or read book Foundations of Data Science written by Avrim Blum and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-01-23 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the mathematical and algorithmic foundations of data science, including machine learning, high-dimensional geometry, and analysis of large networks. Topics include the counterintuitive nature of data in high dimensions, important linear algebraic techniques such as singular value decomposition, the theory of random walks and Markov chains, the fundamentals of and important algorithms for machine learning, algorithms and analysis for clustering, probabilistic models for large networks, representation learning including topic modelling and non-negative matrix factorization, wavelets and compressed sensing. Important probabilistic techniques are developed including the law of large numbers, tail inequalities, analysis of random projections, generalization guarantees in machine learning, and moment methods for analysis of phase transitions in large random graphs. Additionally, important structural and complexity measures are discussed such as matrix norms and VC-dimension. This book is suitable for both undergraduate and graduate courses in the design and analysis of algorithms for data.
Download or read book Experience and Prediction written by Hans Reichenbach and published by . This book was released on 1938 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1949 expressly to introduce logical positivism to English speakers. Reichenbach, with Rudolph Carnap, founded logical positivism, a form of epistemofogy that privileged scientific over metaphysical truths.
Download or read book Prediction Learning and Games written by Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-03-13 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important text and reference for researchers and students in machine learning, game theory, statistics and information theory offers a comprehensive treatment of the problem of predicting individual sequences. Unlike standard statistical approaches to forecasting, prediction of individual sequences does not impose any probabilistic assumption on the data-generating mechanism. Yet, prediction algorithms can be constructed that work well for all possible sequences, in the sense that their performance is always nearly as good as the best forecasting strategy in a given reference class. The central theme is the model of prediction using expert advice, a general framework within which many related problems can be cast and discussed. Repeated game playing, adaptive data compression, sequential investment in the stock market, sequential pattern analysis, and several other problems are viewed as instances of the experts' framework and analyzed from a common nonstochastic standpoint that often reveals new and intriguing connections.
Download or read book Foundations of Machine Learning second edition written by Mehryar Mohri and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-12-25 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new edition of a graduate-level machine learning textbook that focuses on the analysis and theory of algorithms. This book is a general introduction to machine learning that can serve as a textbook for graduate students and a reference for researchers. It covers fundamental modern topics in machine learning while providing the theoretical basis and conceptual tools needed for the discussion and justification of algorithms. It also describes several key aspects of the application of these algorithms. The authors aim to present novel theoretical tools and concepts while giving concise proofs even for relatively advanced topics. Foundations of Machine Learning is unique in its focus on the analysis and theory of algorithms. The first four chapters lay the theoretical foundation for what follows; subsequent chapters are mostly self-contained. Topics covered include the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning framework; generalization bounds based on Rademacher complexity and VC-dimension; Support Vector Machines (SVMs); kernel methods; boosting; on-line learning; multi-class classification; ranking; regression; algorithmic stability; dimensionality reduction; learning automata and languages; and reinforcement learning. Each chapter ends with a set of exercises. Appendixes provide additional material including concise probability review. This second edition offers three new chapters, on model selection, maximum entropy models, and conditional entropy models. New material in the appendixes includes a major section on Fenchel duality, expanded coverage of concentration inequalities, and an entirely new entry on information theory. More than half of the exercises are new to this edition.
Download or read book Evaluation of Laboratory Suction Tests for Prediction of Heave in Foundation Soils written by Lawrence D. Johnson and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Applied Predictive Modeling written by Max Kuhn and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-05-17 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.
Download or read book Metrics for Process Models written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-08-29 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Business process modeling plays an important role in the management of business processes. As valuable design artifacts, business process models are subject to quality considerations. The absence of formal errors such as deadlocks is of paramount importance for the subsequent implementation of the process. In his book Jan Mendling develops a framework for the detection of formal errors in business process models and the prediction of error probability based on quality attributes of these models (metrics). He presents a precise description of Event-driven Process Chains (EPCs), their control-flow semantics and a suitable correctness criterion called EPC soundness.
Download or read book Statistical Foundations of Data Science written by Jianqing Fan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-09-21 with total page 942 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Foundations of Data Science gives a thorough introduction to commonly used statistical models, contemporary statistical machine learning techniques and algorithms, along with their mathematical insights and statistical theories. It aims to serve as a graduate-level textbook and a research monograph on high-dimensional statistics, sparsity and covariance learning, machine learning, and statistical inference. It includes ample exercises that involve both theoretical studies as well as empirical applications. The book begins with an introduction to the stylized features of big data and their impacts on statistical analysis. It then introduces multiple linear regression and expands the techniques of model building via nonparametric regression and kernel tricks. It provides a comprehensive account on sparsity explorations and model selections for multiple regression, generalized linear models, quantile regression, robust regression, hazards regression, among others. High-dimensional inference is also thoroughly addressed and so is feature screening. The book also provides a comprehensive account on high-dimensional covariance estimation, learning latent factors and hidden structures, as well as their applications to statistical estimation, inference, prediction and machine learning problems. It also introduces thoroughly statistical machine learning theory and methods for classification, clustering, and prediction. These include CART, random forests, boosting, support vector machines, clustering algorithms, sparse PCA, and deep learning.
Download or read book Predicting Structured Data written by Neural Information Processing Systems Foundation and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State-of-the-art algorithms and theory in a novel domain of machine learning, prediction when the output has structure.
Download or read book Practical Guide to Applied Conformal Prediction in Python written by Valery Manokhin and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2023-12-20 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Elevate your machine learning skills using the Conformal Prediction framework for uncertainty quantification. Dive into unique strategies, overcome real-world challenges, and become confident and precise with forecasting. Key Features Master Conformal Prediction, a fast-growing ML framework, with Python applications Explore cutting-edge methods to measure and manage uncertainty in industry applications Understand how Conformal Prediction differs from traditional machine learning Book DescriptionIn the rapidly evolving landscape of machine learning, the ability to accurately quantify uncertainty is pivotal. The book addresses this need by offering an in-depth exploration of Conformal Prediction, a cutting-edge framework to manage uncertainty in various ML applications. Learn how Conformal Prediction excels in calibrating classification models, produces well-calibrated prediction intervals for regression, and resolves challenges in time series forecasting and imbalanced data. Discover specialised applications of conformal prediction in cutting-edge domains like computer vision and NLP. Each chapter delves into specific aspects, offering hands-on insights and best practices for enhancing prediction reliability. The book concludes with a focus on multi-class classification nuances, providing expert-level proficiency to seamlessly integrate Conformal Prediction into diverse industries. With practical examples in Python using real-world datasets, expert insights, and open-source library applications, you will gain a solid understanding of this modern framework for uncertainty quantification. By the end of this book, you will be able to master Conformal Prediction in Python with a blend of theory and practical application, enabling you to confidently apply this powerful framework to quantify uncertainty in diverse fields.What you will learn The fundamental concepts and principles of conformal prediction Learn how conformal prediction differs from traditional ML methods Apply real-world examples to your own industry applications Explore advanced topics - imbalanced data and multi-class CP Dive into the details of the conformal prediction framework Boost your career as a data scientist, ML engineer, or researcher Learn to apply conformal prediction to forecasting and NLP Who this book is for Ideal for readers with a basic understanding of machine learning concepts and Python programming, this book caters to data scientists, ML engineers, academics, and anyone keen on advancing their skills in uncertainty quantification in ML.
Download or read book A Study of the Resistance Hammer Method of Predicting Foundation Characteristics written by Leroy William Empey and published by . This book was released on 1939 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Metrics for Process Models written by Jan Mendling and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-10-20 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Business process modeling plays an important role in the management of business processes. As valuable design artifacts, business process models are subject to quality considerations. The absence of formal errors such as deadlocks is of paramount importance for the subsequent implementation of the process. In his book Jan Mendling develops a framework for the detection of formal errors in business process models and the prediction of error probability based on quality attributes of these models (metrics). He presents a precise description of Event-driven Process Chains (EPCs), their control-flow semantics and a suitable correctness criterion called EPC soundness.
Download or read book Clinical Prediction Models written by Ewout W. Steyerberg and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-22 with total page 558 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of this volume provides insight and practical illustrations on how modern statistical concepts and regression methods can be applied in medical prediction problems, including diagnostic and prognostic outcomes. Many advances have been made in statistical approaches towards outcome prediction, but a sensible strategy is needed for model development, validation, and updating, such that prediction models can better support medical practice. There is an increasing need for personalized evidence-based medicine that uses an individualized approach to medical decision-making. In this Big Data era, there is expanded access to large volumes of routinely collected data and an increased number of applications for prediction models, such as targeted early detection of disease and individualized approaches to diagnostic testing and treatment. Clinical Prediction Models presents a practical checklist that needs to be considered for development of a valid prediction model. Steps include preliminary considerations such as dealing with missing values; coding of predictors; selection of main effects and interactions for a multivariable model; estimation of model parameters with shrinkage methods and incorporation of external data; evaluation of performance and usefulness; internal validation; and presentation formatting. The text also addresses common issues that make prediction models suboptimal, such as small sample sizes, exaggerated claims, and poor generalizability. The text is primarily intended for clinical epidemiologists and biostatisticians. Including many case studies and publicly available R code and data sets, the book is also appropriate as a textbook for a graduate course on predictive modeling in diagnosis and prognosis. While practical in nature, the book also provides a philosophical perspective on data analysis in medicine that goes beyond predictive modeling. Updates to this new and expanded edition include: • A discussion of Big Data and its implications for the design of prediction models • Machine learning issues • More simulations with missing ‘y’ values • Extended discussion on between-cohort heterogeneity • Description of ShinyApp • Updated LASSO illustration • New case studies
Download or read book Cloud Computing for Optimization Foundations Applications and Challenges written by Bhabani Shankar Prasad Mishra and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-02-26 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses harnessing the real power of cloud computing in optimization problems, presenting state-of-the-art computing paradigms, advances in applications, and challenges concerning both the theories and applications of cloud computing in optimization with a focus on diverse fields like the Internet of Things, fog-assisted cloud computing, and big data. In real life, many problems – ranging from social science to engineering sciences – can be identified as complex optimization problems. Very often these are intractable, and as a result researchers from industry as well as the academic community are concentrating their efforts on developing methods of addressing them. Further, the cloud computing paradigm plays a vital role in many areas of interest, like resource allocation, scheduling, energy management, virtualization, and security, and these areas are intertwined with many optimization problems. Using illustrations and figures, this book offers students and researchers a clear overview of the concepts and practices of cloud computing and its use in numerous complex optimization problems.
