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Book Exploring the History of Statistical Inference in Economics

Download or read book Exploring the History of Statistical Inference in Economics written by Jeff E. Biddle and published by . This book was released on 2021-12-10 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contributors to this special supplement explore the history of statistical inference, led by two motivations. One was the belief that John Maynard Keynes's distinction between the descriptive and the inductive function of statistical research provided a fruitful framework for understanding empirical research practices. The other was an aim to fill a gap in the history of economics by exploring an important part of the story left out of existing histories of empirical analysis in economics--namely "sinful" research practices that did not meet or point towards currently reigning standards of scientific research.

Book Introductory Statistical Inference

Download or read book Introductory Statistical Inference written by Nitis Mukhopadhyay and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-02-07 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introductory Statistical Inference develops the concepts and intricacies of statistical inference. With a review of probability concepts, this book discusses topics such as sufficiency, ancillarity, point estimation, minimum variance estimation, confidence intervals, multiple comparisons, and large-sample inference. It introduces techniques of two-stage sampling, fitting a straight line to data, tests of hypotheses, nonparametric methods, and the bootstrap method. It also features worked examples of statistical principles as well as exercises with hints. This text is suited for courses in probability and statistical inference at the upper-level undergraduate and graduate levels.

Book Naked Statistics  Stripping the Dread from the Data

Download or read book Naked Statistics Stripping the Dread from the Data written by Charles Wheelan and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2013-01-07 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A New York Times bestseller "Brilliant, funny…the best math teacher you never had." —San Francisco Chronicle Once considered tedious, the field of statistics is rapidly evolving into a discipline Hal Varian, chief economist at Google, has actually called "sexy." From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real-world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps and bounds. How can we catch schools that cheat on standardized tests? How does Netflix know which movies you’ll like? What is causing the rising incidence of autism? As best-selling author Charles Wheelan shows us in Naked Statistics, the right data and a few well-chosen statistical tools can help us answer these questions and more. For those who slept through Stats 101, this book is a lifesaver. Wheelan strips away the arcane and technical details and focuses on the underlying intuition that drives statistical analysis. He clarifies key concepts such as inference, correlation, and regression analysis, reveals how biased or careless parties can manipulate or misrepresent data, and shows us how brilliant and creative researchers are exploiting the valuable data from natural experiments to tackle thorny questions. And in Wheelan’s trademark style, there’s not a dull page in sight. You’ll encounter clever Schlitz Beer marketers leveraging basic probability, an International Sausage Festival illuminating the tenets of the central limit theorem, and a head-scratching choice from the famous game show Let’s Make a Deal—and you’ll come away with insights each time. With the wit, accessibility, and sheer fun that turned Naked Economics into a bestseller, Wheelan defies the odds yet again by bringing another essential, formerly unglamorous discipline to life.

Book Districts of Kamrup  Darrang  Nowgong  Sibsagar  and Lakhimpum

Download or read book Districts of Kamrup Darrang Nowgong Sibsagar and Lakhimpum written by David V. Huntsberger and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 507 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Probability Theory and Statistical Inference

Download or read book Probability Theory and Statistical Inference written by Aris Spanos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 787 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This empirical research methods course enables informed implementation of statistical procedures, giving rise to trustworthy evidence.

Book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing

Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Book The Will to Predict

    Book Details:
  • Author : Eglė Rindzevičiūtė
  • Publisher : Cornell University Press
  • Release : 2023-05-15
  • ISBN : 1501769790
  • Pages : 188 pages

Download or read book The Will to Predict written by Eglė Rindzevičiūtė and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2023-05-15 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The Will to Predict, Eglė Rindzevičiūtė demonstrates how the logic of scientific expertise cannot be properly understood without knowing the conceptual and institutional history of scientific prediction. She notes that predictions of future population, economic growth, environmental change, and scientific and technological innovation have shaped much of twentieth and twenty-first-century politics and social life, as well as government policies. Today, such predictions are more necessary than ever as the world undergoes dramatic environmental, political, and technological change. But, she asks, what does it mean to predict scientifically? What are the limits of scientific prediction and what are its effects on governance, institutions, and society? Her intellectual and political history of scientific prediction takes as its example twentieth-century USSR. By outlining the role of prediction in a range of governmental contexts, from economic and social planning to military strategy, she shows that the history of scientific prediction is a transnational one, part of the history of modern science and technology as well as governance. Going beyond the Soviet case, Rindzevičiūtė argues that scientific predictions are central for organizing uncertainty through the orchestration of knowledge and action. Bridging the fields of political sociology, organization studies, and history, The Will to Predict considers what makes knowledge scientific and how such knowledge has impacted late modern governance.

Book Pricing the Priceless

Download or read book Pricing the Priceless written by H. Spencer Banzhaf and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2023-11-02 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book tells how economics shifted from developing resources to valuing and incentivizing the preservation of natural environments.

Book Leading Personalities in Statistical Sciences

Download or read book Leading Personalities in Statistical Sciences written by Norman L. Johnson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-26 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fascinating chronicle of the lives and achievements of the menand women who helped shapethe science of statistics This handsomely illustrated volume will make enthralling readingfor scientists, mathematicians, and science history buffs alike.Spanning nearly four centuries, it chronicles the lives andachievements of more than 110 of the most prominent names intheoretical and applied statistics and probability. From Bernoullito Markov, Poisson to Wiener, you will find intimate profiles ofwomen and men whose work led to significant advances in the areasof statistical inference and theory, probability theory, governmentand economic statistics, medical and agricultural statistics, andscience and engineering. To help readers arrive at a fullerappreciation of the contributions these pioneers made, the authorsvividly re-create the times in which they lived while exploring themajor intellectual currents that shaped their thinking andpropelled their discoveries. Lavishly illustrated with more than 40 authentic photographs andwoodcuts * Includes a comprehensive timetable of statistics from theseventeenth century to the present * Features edited chapters written by 75 experts from around theglobe * Designed for easy reference, features a unique numbering schemethat matches the subject profiled with his or her particular fieldof interest

Book Economic Modeling and Inference

Download or read book Economic Modeling and Inference written by Bent Jesper Christensen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-13 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Modeling and Inference takes econometrics to a new level by demonstrating how to combine modern economic theory with the latest statistical inference methods to get the most out of economic data. This graduate-level textbook draws applications from both microeconomics and macroeconomics, paying special attention to financial and labor economics, with an emphasis throughout on what observations can tell us about stochastic dynamic models of rational optimizing behavior and equilibrium. Bent Jesper Christensen and Nicholas Kiefer show how parameters often thought estimable in applications are not identified even in simple dynamic programming models, and they investigate the roles of extensions, including measurement error, imperfect control, and random utility shocks for inference. When all implications of optimization and equilibrium are imposed in the empirical procedures, the resulting estimation problems are often nonstandard, with the estimators exhibiting nonregular asymptotic behavior such as short-ranked covariance, superconsistency, and non-Gaussianity. Christensen and Kiefer explore these properties in detail, covering areas including job search models of the labor market, asset pricing, option pricing, marketing, and retirement planning. Ideal for researchers and practitioners as well as students, Economic Modeling and Inference uses real-world data to illustrate how to derive the best results using a combination of theory and cutting-edge econometric techniques. Covers identification and estimation of dynamic programming models Treats sources of error--measurement error, random utility, and imperfect control Features financial applications including asset pricing, option pricing, and optimal hedging Describes labor applications including job search, equilibrium search, and retirement Illustrates the wide applicability of the approach using micro, macro, and marketing examples

Book Sense and Nonsense of Statistical Inference

Download or read book Sense and Nonsense of Statistical Inference written by Charmont Wang and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1992-12-16 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume focuses on the abuse of statistical inference in scientific and statistical literature, as well as in a variety of other sources, presenting examples of misused statistics to show that many scientists and statisticians are unaware of, or unwilling to challenge the chaotic state of statistical practices.;The book: provides examples of ubiquitous statistical tests taken from the biomedical and behavioural sciences, economics and the statistical literature; discusses conflicting views of randomization, emphasizing certain aspects of induction and epistemology; reveals fallacious practices in statistical causal inference, stressing the misuse of regression models and time-series analysis as instant formulas to draw causal relationships; treats constructive uses of statistics, such as a modern version of Fisher's puzzle, Bayesian analysis, Shewhart control chart, descriptive statistics, chi-square test, nonlinear modeling, spectral estimation and Markov processes in quality control.

Book Introduction to Linear Models and Statistical Inference

Download or read book Introduction to Linear Models and Statistical Inference written by Steven J. Janke and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-09-15 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A multidisciplinary approach that emphasizes learning by analyzing real-world data sets This book is the result of the authors' hands-on classroom experience and is tailored to reflect how students best learn to analyze linear relationships. The text begins with the introduction of four simple examples of actual data sets. These examples are developed and analyzed throughout the text, and more complicated examples of data sets are introduced along the way. Taking a multidisciplinary approach, the book traces the conclusion of the analyses of data sets taken from geology, biology, economics, psychology, education, sociology, and environmental science. As students learn to analyze the data sets, they master increasingly sophisticated linear modeling techniques, including: * Simple linear models * Multivariate models * Model building * Analysis of variance (ANOVA) * Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) * Logistic regression * Total least squares The basics of statistical analysis are developed and emphasized, particularly in testing the assumptions and drawing inferences from linear models. Exercises are included at the end of each chapter to test students' skills before moving on to more advanced techniques and models. These exercises are marked to indicate whether calculus, linear algebra, or computer skills are needed. Unlike other texts in the field, the mathematics underlying the models is carefully explained and accessible to students who may not have any background in calculus or linear algebra. Most chapters include an optional final section on linear algebra for students interested in developing a deeper understanding. The many data sets that appear in the text are available on the book's Web site. The MINITAB(r) software program is used to illustrate many of the examples. For students unfamiliar with MINITAB(r), an appendix introduces the key features needed to study linear models. With its multidisciplinary approach and use of real-world data sets that bring the subject alive, this is an excellent introduction to linear models for students in any of the natural or social sciences.

Book Probability and Statistical Inference

Download or read book Probability and Statistical Inference written by Miltiadis C. Mavrakakis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-03-28 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Statistical Inference: From Basic Principles to Advanced Models covers aspects of probability, distribution theory, and inference that are fundamental to a proper understanding of data analysis and statistical modelling. It presents these topics in an accessible manner without sacrificing mathematical rigour, bridging the gap between the many excellent introductory books and the more advanced, graduate-level texts. The book introduces and explores techniques that are relevant to modern practitioners, while being respectful to the history of statistical inference. It seeks to provide a thorough grounding in both the theory and application of statistics, with even the more abstract parts placed in the context of a practical setting. Features: •Complete introduction to mathematical probability, random variables, and distribution theory. •Concise but broad account of statistical modelling, covering topics such as generalised linear models, survival analysis, time series, and random processes. •Extensive discussion of the key concepts in classical statistics (point estimation, interval estimation, hypothesis testing) and the main techniques in likelihood-based inference. •Detailed introduction to Bayesian statistics and associated topics. •Practical illustration of some of the main computational methods used in modern statistical inference (simulation, boostrap, MCMC). This book is for students who have already completed a first course in probability and statistics, and now wish to deepen and broaden their understanding of the subject. It can serve as a foundation for advanced undergraduate or postgraduate courses. Our aim is to challenge and excite the more mathematically able students, while providing explanations of statistical concepts that are more detailed and approachable than those in advanced texts. This book is also useful for data scientists, researchers, and other applied practitioners who want to understand the theory behind the statistical methods used in their fields.

Book Statistical Visions in Time

Download or read book Statistical Visions in Time written by Judy L. Klein and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1997-10-28 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This work documents the history of techniques that statisticians use to manipulate economic, meteorological, biological, and physical data taken from observations recorded over time. The decomposition tools include index numbers, moving averages, relative time frameworks, and the use of differences (i.e., subtracting one observation from the previous value in the series). This history is accessible to students with a basic knowledge of statistics, as well as financial analysts, statisticians, and historians of economic thought and science."--BOOK JACKET.

Book Discernible Periods in the Historical Development of Statistical Inference

Download or read book Discernible Periods in the Historical Development of Statistical Inference written by Richard Wayne Gober and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this study is to trace the historical development of that part of modern statistical procedures known as statistical inference. Although the application of statistical methods is concerned more than ever with the study of great masses of data, percentages, and columns of figures, statistics has moved far beyond the descriptive stage. Using concepts from mathematics, logic, economics, and psychology, modern statistics has developed into a designed "way of thinking" about conclusions or decisions to help a person choose a reasonable course of action under uncertainty. The general theory and methodology is called statistical inference.

Book The History of Econometric Ideas

Download or read book The History of Econometric Ideas written by Mary S. Morgan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book illustrates how economists first learnt to harness statistical methods to measure and test the 'laws' of economics.

Book Probability and Statistics for Economists

Download or read book Probability and Statistics for Economists written by Bruce Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-06-28 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and up-to-date introduction to the mathematics that all economics students need to know Probability theory is the quantitative language used to handle uncertainty and is the foundation of modern statistics. Probability and Statistics for Economists provides graduate and PhD students with an essential introduction to mathematical probability and statistical theory, which are the basis of the methods used in econometrics. This incisive textbook teaches fundamental concepts, emphasizes modern, real-world applications, and gives students an intuitive understanding of the mathematics that every economist needs to know. Covers probability and statistics with mathematical rigor while emphasizing intuitive explanations that are accessible to economics students of all backgrounds Discusses random variables, parametric and multivariate distributions, sampling, the law of large numbers, central limit theory, maximum likelihood estimation, numerical optimization, hypothesis testing, and more Features hundreds of exercises that enable students to learn by doing Includes an in-depth appendix summarizing important mathematical results as well as a wealth of real-world examples Can serve as a core textbook for a first-semester PhD course in econometrics and as a companion book to Bruce E. Hansen’s Econometrics Also an invaluable reference for researchers and practitioners