Download or read book Exploring the Health State of a Population by Dynamic Modeling Methods written by Christos H. Skiadas and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-10 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces and applies the stochastic modeling techniques and the first exit time theory in demography through describing the theory related to the health state of a population and the introduced health state function. The book provides the derivation and classification of the human development stages. The data fitting techniques and related programs are also presented. Many new and old terms are explored and quantitatively estimated, especially the health state or “vitality” of a population, the deterioration and related functions, as well as healthy life expectancy. The book provides the appropriate comparative applications and statistics as connecting tools accompanied by the existing literature, and as such it will be a valuable source to demographers, health scientists, statisticians, economists and sociologists.
Download or read book How Modeling Can Inform Strategies to Improve Population Health written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-06-08 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In April 2015, the Institute of Medicine convened a workshop to explore the potential uses of simulation and other types of modeling for the purpose of selecting and refining potential strategies, ranging from interventions to investments, to improve the health of communities and the nation's health. Participants worked to identify how modeling could inform population health decision making based on lessons learned from models that have been, or have not been, used successfully, opportunities and barriers to incorporating models into decision making, and data needs and opportunities to leverage existing data and to collect new data for modeling. This report summarizes the presentations and discussions from this workshop.
Download or read book The Health State Function of a Population written by Christos H. Skiadas and published by ISAST. This book was released on 2013-03-04 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Health State Function of a Population This book will inspire colleagues in applying, developing and expanding the theoretical and practical issues related to the health state of the population and to improve forecasts related to the life expectancy and the healthy life span. The Second Edition of the book includes four more chapters presenting very important theoretical and applied work. The book deals with the theory related to the health state of a population and the introduced health state function. The book presents and applies the stochastic modeling techniques and the first exit time theory in demography along with the healthy life expectancy estimates and a derivation and classification of the human development stages. The data fitting techniques and the related programs are also presented. Many new and old terms are explored and quantitatively estimated especially the health state or the “vitality” of a population, the Deterioration and the related function and the Healthy Life Expectancy. A method for estimating the total loss of healthy life years with applications and comparisons for the healthy life expectancy in UK, Scotland, Sweden, and in the US States is added. A new Quantitative Method for Estimating the Human Development Stages based on the Health State Function Theory and the Resulting Deterioration Process is also included. The book is addressed to demographers, actuaries, statisticians, applied mathematicians, sociologists, psychologists, economists, health scientists, biologists, policy makers and scientists and practitioners of very many fields. Attention was given to prepare the material for readers from multidisciplinary fields thus including the appropriate formulas and mathematical typos along with many applications from computer programs in Excel. Read this book and share with us a fascinating exploration on life table data and the underlying information on human health state.
Download or read book Population Health written by T. Kue Young M.D. and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2004-09-23 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Population health encompasses traditional public health and preventive medicine but emphasizes the full range of health determinants affecting the entire population rather than only ill or high-risk individuals. The population health approach integrates the social and biological, the quantitative and qualitative, recognizing the importance of social and cultural factors in practice and research. This text is organized around the logical sequence of studying and attempting to improve the health of populations; measuring health status and disease burden, identifying and modeling health determinants, assessing health risks and inferring causation, designing research studies, planning interventions, and evaluating health programs. The second edition incorporates many new topics that reflect changes in contemporary public health concerns and our response to them; as well as shifts in research directions. These include lifecourse approaches to health, gene-environment interactions, emergent infections, and bioterrorism. Among the specific changes are new or expanded discussions of confidence intervals for commonly used rates, the impact of population aging on mortality trends, health survey questionnaires, summary measures of population health, the new International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health, migrant studies, race and ethinicity, psychoneuroendocrine pathways, social epidemiology, risk perception, communicating the SARS epidemic, ecologic studies, the odds radio, paticipatory research, suicide, evidence-based community interventions, evaluation methods and health economics, the Cochrane Collaboration, and systemic reviews. The many positive features of the first edition have been retained, such as the extensive use of boxes, case studies, and exercises; the selection of examples representing a variety of health problems, geographic regions, and historical periods; and a multidisciplinary orientation bridging the quantitative and qualitative, the social and biomedical sciences. The book aims to spark a new kind of broad-based training for researchers and practitioners of population health.
Download or read book Systems Science and Population Health written by Abdulrahman M. El-Sayed and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017-02-01 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Population health is complex and multileveled, encompassing dynamic interactions between cells, societies, and everything in between. Our typical approach to studying population health, however, remains oriented around a reductionist approach to conceptualizing, empirically analyzing, and intervening to improve population health. The trouble is that interventions founded on simplifying a complex world often do not work, sometimes yielding failure or, even worse, harm. The difficult truth is that "silver bullet" health science often fails, and understanding these failures can help us improve our approach to health science, and, ultimately, population health. SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND POPULATION HEALTH employs principles from across a range of sciences to refine the way we understand population health. By augmenting traditional analytic approaches with new tools like machine learning, microsimulation, and social network analysis, population health can be studied as a dynamic and complex system. This allows us to understand population health as a complex whole, offering new insights and perspectives that stand to improve the health of the public. This text offers the first educational and practical guide to this forward-thinking approach. Comprising 17 chapters from the vanguard of population health, epidemiology, computer science, and medicine, this book offers a three-part introduction to the subject: · An intellectual and conceptual history of systems science as it intersects with population health · Concise, introductory overviews of important and emerging methodological tools in systems science, including systems dynamics, agent-based modeling, microsimulation, social network analysis, and machine-learning-all with relevant examples drawn from population health literature · An exploration of future implications for systems science and its applications to our understanding of population health issues For researchers, students, and practitioners, SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND POPULATION HEALTH redefines many of the foundational elements of how we understand population health. It should not be missed.
Download or read book Complex Systems and Population Health written by Yorghos Apostolopoulos and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020-06-22 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complex Systems and Computation in Public Health Sciences is the first comprehensive book in population health science that meaningfully integrates complex systems theory, methodology, modeling, computational simulation, and real-world applications while incorporating current population health perspectives.
Download or read book Exploration of Population Classification for Managed Healthcare Within a State based Modeling Framework written by Douglas Neal Fuller and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Dynamic Modeling in the Health Sciences written by James L. Hargrove and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-01-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book and CD-ROM package integrates the use of STELLA software into the teaching of health, nutrition and physiology, and may be used on its own in nutrition and physiology courses, or can serve as a supplement to introduce the role that simulation modelling can play. The author presents key subjects ranging from the theory of metabolic control, through weight regulation to bone metabolism, and gives readers the tools to simulate these using the STELLA software. Topics include methods for simulation of gene expression, a multi-stage model of tumour development, theories of ageing, circadian rhythms and physiological time, as well as a model for managing weight loss and preventing obesity.
Download or read book Examining Population Health Across U S States Using Secondary Data Logistic Regression and Graphics written by Jennifer Karas Montez and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why is a person's education level one of the strongest predictors of how long and healthy they will live? Part of the explanation is that individuals with more years of schooling tend to have better economic circumstances, engage in healthy lifestyles, and have supportive social ties. However, a good part of the explanation remains unknown. This case study illustrates the process and challenges that our team experienced when conducting a research project to explore the association between education and health. It illustrates how we used theories from multiple disciplines to develop our research question. It describes how we collaborated and set clear expectations for the role of each researcher on the project. It highlights some of the challenges that we encountered when trying to find an appropriate secondary dataset to conduct the analysis and the criterion that we used to determine which dataset to use. The case study also emphasizes a critically important but often underappreciated aspect of research: effectively communicating the results using clear and compelling graphics. Finally, it explains some common criticisms of this type of research, including "reverse causation" and "selection," and the value of what researchers call "sensitivity analyses" to address those criticisms.
Download or read book New Horizons in Modeling and Simulation for Social Epidemiology and Public Health written by Daniel Kim and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-01-28 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to state-of-the-art modeling and simulation approaches for social and economic determinants of population health New Horizons in Modeling and Simulation for Social Epidemiology and Public Health offers a comprehensive introduction to modeling and simulation that addresses the many complex research questions in social epidemiology and public health. This book highlights a variety of practical applications and illustrative examples with a focus on modeling and simulation approaches for the social and economic determinants of population health. The book contains classic case examples in agent-based modeling (ABM) as well as essential information on ABM applications to public health including for infectious disease modeling, obesity, and tobacco control. This book also surveys applications of microsimulation (MSM) including of tax-benefit policies to project impacts of the social determinants of health. Specifically, this book: Provides an overview of the social determinants of health and the public health significance of addressing the social determinants of health Gives a conceptual foundation for the application of ABM and MSM to study the social determinants of health Offers methodological introductions to both ABM and MSM approaches with illustrative examples Includes cutting-edge systematic reviews of empirical applications of ABM and MSM in the social sciences, social epidemiology, and public health Discusses future directions for empirical research using ABM and MSM, including integrating aspects of both ABM and MSM and implications for public health policies Written for a broad audience of policy analysts, public planners, and researchers and practitioners in public health and public policy including social epidemiologists, New Horizons in Modeling and Simulation for Social Epidemiology and Public Health offers a fundamental guide to the social determinants of health and state-of-the-art applications of ABM and MSM to studying the social and economic determinants of population health.
Download or read book Modeling Behavior in Complex Public Health Systems written by Christopher Keane, MPH, ScD and published by Springer Publishing Company. This book was released on 2013-09-27 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This graduate text is the first to present methods for modeling health behavior dynamics, using numerous online interactive simulations, downloadable programs, and examples of applications to planning interventions. The book examines behaviors that range from simple individual health protective actions to complex cooperative public health actions. It provides a user-friendly and effective method for teaching systems thinking, a core competency now required by the Association of Schools of Public Health. The text presents evolutionary and ecological models of health behavior, which readers first explore using interactive online simulations. The fundamental principles of these models are explained through the book's narrative and demonstrated through the use of simple board games. The text then shows how to translate these board games into computational models using Netlogo, a free, user-friendly software. Thus no computer programming background is required. Readers will learn the basics of agent-based modeling of individual behavior, social network behavior, organizational behavior, spread of disease, and a variety of public health interventions. Applying these methods to public health systems, sample models introduce the dynamics of networks of organizations and how they can interact to protect health. A unifying theme throughout is how complex individual and collective health behavior develop from simple individual health decisions or behavior repeated over time. The book also includes a student's models at successive stages of learning, including her early-stage incorrect program, which readers can themselves try to correct. Students will learn to create their own models, use them to conduct simulated experiments, and apply these methods to planning and evaluating behavior change interventions. Each chapter provides online interactive models and downloadable sample programs. Key Features: Uses interactive simulation for modeling health behavior dynamics for complex public health systems Demonstrates agent-based modeling of individual health behavior, network behavior, public health intervention effects, and the spread of disease Teaches readers to create models that can improve their local needs assessments, program logic modeling, and program planning and evaluation Includes numerous interactive online simulations, downloadable programs, and examples of applications to planning interventions Facilitates "systems thinking," a required core competency
Download or read book Supplement written by Christos H.. Skiadas and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Modeling Social Determinants of Health written by Peter Hovmand and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2021-06-02 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a critical approach to building and simulating computer models of social determinants of health and draws primarily on system dynamics due to the availability of rich examples of system dynamics models that have been developed around the world using participatory models. Also, the diverse set of case studies feature examples from around the world in both less developed and more developed countries, discuss rural and urban health issues, and are inclusive of a broad range of participants (from villagers in India t residents in St, Louis, MO to policy makers engaged in statewide mental health reform). Using a system dynamics approach to represent and explore impacts of complex interrelationships, this book discusses the social construction of categories of thought that shape how a system is defined and its various relationships. Participatory modeling offers a cricial point of leverage in increasingly complex stakeholder sets that affect and are affected by governmental and community policies and services. As such, this book illuminates how the method of participatory modeling reveals the socially constructed nature of social determinants and its potential for revealing alternative ways of framing and perserving problems. Chapter coverage includes: social determinants of health; system dynamics and participatory model building; social determinants as community characteristics; social determinants as feedback structures; social determinants as category structures; social determinants as model boundaries; social determinants as system behavior; and limitations and extensions to other system approaches such as agent based modeling, social network analysis, geographic information systems, and hybrid methods.
Download or read book Demography and Population Health written by Benjamin Joseph Seligman and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of populations can be seen as taking on two forms: a top-down perspective and a bottomup perspective. The former has been the traditional perspective of demographers, working with aggregate population data to understand trends and age-patterns in birth, death, and migration. In a sense, this is viewing people as particles that ebb and flow. The latter has typically been the perspective used by epidemiologists and sociologists, who have delved into the particulars of individuals that keep us from actually being particles. These perspectives each have strengths. For the top-down view, the advantage has been in wellspecified dynamic models, enabling population forecasting. For the bottom-up view, it has been in identifying risks for particular events, such as the identification of hypertension, high cholesterol, and tobacco use as raising risk of cardiovascular disease. They also have costs, in richness of detail and in reliance upon statistical, rather than more clearly mechanistic, models respectively. The subsequent chapters explore how these two perspectives inform our understanding of populations. The first three chapters consider the top-down view. In chapter one, I consider how the the state-of-the-art model for mortality forecasting - the Lee-Carter Model - has performed since its development and how this relates (or does not) to the model's assumptions. In the second chapter, I study the male-female gap in life expectancy and how causes of death contributed differentially over specific ages to the narrowing sex difference in life span. In the third, I break apart trends in life expectancy and in life span variance - a measure of life span inequality - by cause of death and reveal how the two measures have been driven by different causes. Finally, I consider the bottom-up view. Using a variety of machine learning methods, widely used in biomedical research, I explore how they do and do not inform our understanding of the social determinants of health.
Download or read book Demography of Population Health Aging and Health Expenditures written by Christos H. Skiadas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-24 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides theoretical and applied material for estimating vital parts of demography and health issues including the healthy aging process along with calculating the healthy life years lost to disability. It further includes the appropriate methodology for the optimum health expenditure allocation. Through providing data analysis, statistical and stochastic methodology, probability approach and important applications, the book explores topics such as aging and mortality, birth-death processes, self-perceived age, life-time and survival as well as pension and labor-force. By providing a methodological approach to health problems in demography and society including and quantifying important parameters, this book is a valuable guide for researchers, theoreticians and practitioners from various disciplines.
Download or read book Demography and Health Issues written by Christos H. Skiadas and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-05-16 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides new theories, applications and quantitative methods in demography, population studies and statistics. It presents and applies data analysis, statistics and stochastic modeling techniques focusing on demography, population aging, mortality and health sciences. The book describes diverse stochastic processes as well as Markov and semi-Markov models in demography and population studies, along with chapters on statistical models and methods in biostatistics and epidemiology. As such the book will be a valuable source to demographers, health scientists, statisticians, economists and sociologists.
Download or read book Quantitative Demography and Health Estimates written by Christos H Skiadas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-09-17 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides new theoretic and applied material with focus on quantitative methods and data analysis techniques applied in demography, population studies, health issues and statistics. It discusses the quantitative techniques to estimate the healthy life expectancy by expanding the classical life tables to include the proportion with disability calculated from life tables, along with the Sullivan method. The provided templates apply immediately to the life tables from WHO, HMD, Eurostat and other life table providers. Furthermore, the book explores the possibility of creating new health indicators along with Covid-19 pandemic management, factors associated to loneliness and an alcohol indicator. Part of the book is devoted to mortality, epidemic models, and the supercentenarians age estimation. Data analysis and artificial intelligence methods are included to apply in demographic and socio-economic cases. By providing a methodology to cope with health problems in demography and society by quantifying important health parameters, this book is a valuable guide for researchers, theoreticians, and practitioners from various disciplines and especially health scientists, statisticians, economists, and sociologists.
