Download or read book Essays on the effects of fiscal and monetary policy written by Jesper Lindé and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 139 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays on the Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy written by Matthias Burgert and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays in Fiscal and Monetary Policy written by Michael J. Artis and published by Oxford ; New York : Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1981 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Compilation of essays on design, measurement and effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy in the UK - using econometric models, analyses short term and long term effects in a closed economy, on an open economy under alternative exchange rates, and the assumptions concerning capital flow. Bibliography pp. 186 to 193, graphs, references and statistical tables.

Download or read book Essays on the State Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy written by Cheng Zhou and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation analyzes the effects of monetary policy and fiscal policy from a state-dependent perspective. The first chapter is on the dynamic effect of monetary policy on asset price. Employing a two-state threshold local projection method, we find that when the Fed increases the Federal Funds rate, the stock price decreases in normal times, but increases during bubbly episodes. We allow time-varying risk premium and show that this result is driven by both the asymmetric effects on fundamentals and the existence of bubbles. Moreover, the paper captures the effect of an exogenous tightening monetary shock on stock prices as an increasing function of the size of bubbles, using a flexible semiparametric varying-coefficient model specification. The state-dependent evidence is more informative in measuring monetary policy effects than linear or time-varying methods, and is also robust to different identification schemes and various definitions of bubbles. This paper points out two important transmission channels of monetary policy on asset price: risk premium and asset bubbles, which are often ignored in theoretical models. On the policy side, our empirical analysis suggests that central banks should be cautious about adopting "leaning against bubble" monetary policies when the bubble size is relatively large. Another contribution is that we propose a novel empirical framework to study generalized state-dependent impulse response functions, a methodology which should have many applications in macroeconomics. The second chapter uses more than one hundred years of US historical data to examine the fiscal multiplier and how it may differ during different economic conditions. Using the flexible semiparametric varying coefficient method in the framework of local projections, we directly model the fiscal multiplier as a function of various state variables. The paper shows that the U.S. fiscal multiplier is slightly below one and approximately the same, during periods of slack as compared to normal times. Our results suggest that fiscal policy was not necessarily a more powerful tool to stimulate aggregate demand during the "Great Recession". The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/155721

Download or read book Essays in Monetary Economics Collected Works of Harry Johnson written by Harry Johnson and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reprinting the second edition (which included a new introduction explaining developments which had emerged since first publication) this book discusses explorations in the fundamental theory of a monetary economy, a theoretical critique of the ‘Phillips Curve’ approach to the theory of inflation and the theory of the term structure of interest rates in terms of the theory of forward markets pioneered by David Meiselman.

Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomic Policy written by Miranda S. Goeltom and published by Gramedia Pustaka Utama. This book was released on 2007 with total page 624 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in Small Open Economies written by Thitima Chucherd and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis addresses interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in a theoretical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of a small open economy and in an empirical model under a structural vector error correction model (SVECM). The thesis consists of three essays. The contribution is both theoretical and empirical that enables a better understanding of the complexity of interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in small open economies. The first essay examines the equilibrium determinacy under monetary and fiscal rules. The goal is to investigate how monetary and fiscal policy interactions ensure a unique and non-explosive (determinate) equilibrium for a small open economy. The study focuses when policy makers implement a set of policy mixes to address domestic output price inflation control for monetary policy, debt stabilization for fiscal policy, and joint output stabilization tasks. The result indicates that two policy schemes facilitate a determinate equilibrium. First, monetary policy actively controls inflation when fiscal policy sets a sufficient feedback on debt. Second, monetary policy becomes passive against inflation when fiscal policy is insolvent. Adding output stabilization to each rule simply causes variants of this fundamental. An interest rate rule with output stabilization can be more passive against inflation while providing a stronger response to the output gap. Fiscal policy is required to set higher feedback on debt along with its stronger counter-cyclical policy. The second essay links between the equilibrium determinacy and policy optimization. This essay provides insights into the design of policy mixes and compares determinacy outcomes between two theoretical models of a small open economy: with and without an explicit exchange rate role. This study shows that policy interactions in a small open economy with an endogenous exchange rate is quite sophisticated, especially when a monetary rule is added with an output stabilization task and/or targeted to Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Additional concern for monetary policy in an open economy causes a partial offset to its reaction on domestic output price inflation that weakens its effect on the real debt burden. To minimize economic fluctuations, policy makers should mute the role of output stabilization for monetary policy, and set minimum feedback on debt that is compatible with the degree of counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Substantially active response to inflation is satisfactory for monetary policy with CPI inflation targeting. The third essay empirically presents monetary and fiscal policy interactions in Thailand's SVECM suggested by a theoretical DSGE model developed from the previous essays. This essay shows that the DSGE-SVECM model can be supported by Thai data. A shock to monetary policy is effective with a lag. Government spending policy is also effective with a lag and some crowding-out effects on output. An adverse shock in tax policy unexpectedly stimulates the economy, indicating room for enhancing economic growth by relaxing revenue constraint. Monetary policy is mainly implemented to correct a consequence of a fiscal shock on inflation (and also the domestic and foreign shocks), while fiscal policy appears to counter a consequence of the monetary policy shock on output.

Download or read book Three Essays in Macroeconomics of Fiscal and Monetary Policies written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Three Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy written by Ruoyun Mao and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dissertation consists of three essays studying the effects of monetary and fiscal policy. The first chapter, ''Policy Uncertainty and Government Spending Effects'' (joint with Shu-Chun Yang), studies government spending multipliers in a low nominal interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, this chapter shows government spending multipliers can decrease when 1) the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is higher, 2) the tax rate is higher, 3) debt maturity is longer, and 4) monetary policy is more responsive to inflation. When monetary and fiscal policy regimes can switch, policy uncertainty also reduces spending multipliers. If higher inflation induces a rising probability of switching to a regime where monetary policy actively controls inflation and fiscal policy raises future taxes to stabilize government debt, the multipliers can fall much below unity.The second chapter is a joint work with Zhao Han and Xiaohan Ma and studies how dispersed information impacts inflation, inflation expectations, and the Phillips curve by analytically solving a price-setting problem with nominal rigidity and informational frictions. The analytical representations enable us to recover the underlying parameters with data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) and quantify the effects of dispersed information. The estimation results show dispersed information plays an important role in generating persistent inflation forecast errors and non-zero nowcast errors, as observed in the SPF data, but the effects of higher-order expectations on the Phillips curve are quantitatively small.The last chapter derives the optimal monetary policy when firms only have limited capacity to process information. The result shows marginal cost of attention is the key to determining the trade-off between the central bank's dual mandates. When the marginal cost is low, monetary policy aiming at stabilizing the output gap attracts attention from the private sector and generates inefficient price dispersion; Increasing the marginal cost of attention can eliminate the trade-off. A comparison between a rule-based policy and a discretionary policy confirms welfare gain from commitment. Firms pay extra attention to the policy signal when it is discretionary, which generates more price dispersion and harms welfare.

Download or read book Further Essays in Monetary Economics Collected Works of Harry Johnson written by Harry G. Johnson and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sequel to Essays in Monetary Economics, this book develops the ideas on domestic and international monetary issues, with reference to specific events and crises of the 1960s and 70s. These essays are distinguished by the author’s expert grasp of the analytical techniques and contemporaneous policy problems of both domestic and international monetary economics.

Download or read book Essays on Economics of Leviathan Monetary and Fiscal Policies written by Parag J. Waknis and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Public Finance and Stabilization Policy written by Richard Abel Musgrave and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Monetarism Inflation and the Federal Reserve written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy written by Choongryul Yang and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: My dissertation investigates the transmission of monetary and fiscal policy using both empirical and theoretical frameworks. Chapter 1 examines how the number of products sold by a firm affect its decisions regarding price setting and information acquisition. Using a firm-level survey from New Zealand, I show that firms that produce more goods have both better information about aggregate inflation and more frequent but smaller price changes. To characterize the implications of these empirical findings for the ability of monetary policy to stimulate the economy, I develop a new dynamic general equilibrium model with rationally inattentive multi-product firms that pay a menu cost to reset their prices. I show that the interaction of the menu cost and rational inattention frictions leads firms to adopt a wait-and-see policy and gives rise to a new selection effect: firms have time-varying inaction bands widened by their subjective uncertainty about the economy such that price adjusters choose to be better informed than non-adjusters. This selection effect endogenously generates a distribution of desired price changes with a majority near zero and some very far from zero, which acts as a strong force to amplify monetary non-neutrality. I calibrate the model to be consistent with the micro-evidence on both prices and inattention and find two main quantitative results. First, the new selection effect, coupled with imperfect information of price setters, leads to real effects of monetary policy shocks in the one-good version of the model that are nearly as large as those in the Calvo model. Second, in the two-good version of the model, as firms optimally choose to have better information about monetary shocks, the real effects of monetary policy shocks decline by 20%. In Chapter 2, joint with Hassan Afrouzi, we develop a general equilibrium flexible price model with dynamic rational inattention in which the slope of the Phillips curve is endogenous to systematic aspects of monetary policy. This Phillips curve is flatter when the monetary policy is more hawkish: rationally inattentive firms find it optimal to ignore monetary policy shocks when the monetary authority commits to stabilize nominal variables. Moreover, an unexpectedly more dovish monetary policy leads to a completely flat Phillips curve in the short-run and a steeper Phillips curve in the long-run. We also develop a tractable method for solving general dynamic rational inattention models in linear quadratic Gaussian setups. Chapter 3 asks whether the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus policy depends on the degree of economic income inequality. Many previous works about state-dependence of fiscal multiplier have focused on the degree of slack in the economy. In a surge of concerns about rising inequality of the U.S., I use rich historical state-level data on military procurement and inequality to find the relationship between the degree of income inequality and the local government spending multipliers. I show that the effects of government spending shocks on output are larger in low-inequality states than in high-inequality states. In contrast, I find no evidence that employment multipliers differ by the extent of income inequality. These results are robust to various specifications and other sources of inequality data. I also estimate aggregate output multipliers using historical military spending and income inequality data. I find the evidence that aggregate output multipliers are high when the income inequality is low. Thus, both local and aggregate multipliers are significantly affected by the degree of income inequality of an economy. I consider a variety of potential theoretical explanations for the results, including heterogeneous within-sector inequality and distributional effects of government spending shock, but find that none can adequately explain this finding

Download or read book Essays in Fiscal and Monetary Policy written by Geeta Garg and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three essays concerning the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty about future path of fiscal and monetary policy.The first chapter provides a quantitative assessment of the impact of anticipated tax changes in Japan using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) framework. For this paper, I utilize a new dataset that documents all the legislated federal and local government taxes in Japan which have been classified as exogenous based on the narrative evidence. The time period between the announcement and the implementation dates allows me to capture the anticipation effects of tax changes. The constructed series of (exogenous) tax shocks is incorporated directly in a VAR. I find that the anticipation effects of tax policy are important and have effects that are different from the unanticipated changes in tax policy. An unanticipated tax cut is expansionary and leads to an increase in output, investment and consumption. An anticipated tax cut however generates a slowdown in the quarters before its implementation and leads to a decline in all three variables. Once the anticipated tax cut is implemented, consumption recovers but investment and output continue to stay below their long-run trend. Lastly, I show that tax shocks are an important driver of certain business cycle episodes in Japan.The second paper studies the effects of fiscal uncertainty in Japan that arises due to the repeated failure of fiscal authorities in achieving the announced promises of fiscal consolidation in the future. In a New-Keynesian DSGE model with rational expectations, I examine the extent to which the uncertainty due to these repeated promises explain the slowdown experienced by the Japanese economy. I assume Markov-switching tax rules such that the response of taxes to debt vary with the fiscal stance of the government. I document that these promises generate time-variation in both the expected value and volatility of tax rates. Even in the regime in which taxes do not stabilize debt, the rising level of debt create expectations of higher future taxes causing economic contraction in the current period. These expectations lead to a decline in consumption, investment, labor hours, output and an increase in the level of debt which is also evident in the Japanese data since the 1990s.The third chapter examines the effects of uncertainty about the future path of monetary policy which is embedded in the news about who will be the future chairman of the Federal Reserve. To the extent the appointments of the Federal Reserve chairmen convey new information about future monetary policy, the financial markets respond to them as a result of revision in their expectations of the future path of interest rates or inflation. For this purpose, I construct a new dataset based on the daily counts of news articles that discuss these appointments. The underlying assumption is that the number of such news articles published on any day roughly measures the \ew information" about the direction of monetary policy. I find that the financial markets reacted adversely (Yen appreciated against USD, bond yields increased and stock returns slightly declined) in response to Volcker's departure or Greenspan's (first) appointment. However there was a muted response of financial markets to the appointments/departures that occurred afterwards.

Download or read book Essays on Fiscal and Monetary Policy written by Alfredo Mier y Teran and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The three chapters of this dissertation investigate how micro level phenomena affect aggregate outcomes and challenge basic fiscal and monetary principles. In particular, I analyze how these phenomena affect the transmission mechanisms and outcomes of specific fiscal and monetary policies in emerging markets. In Chapter 1, I investigate the transmission of monetary policy to retail interest rates using a novel transaction-level data set that includes all corporate loans of every commercial bank in Mexico from 2005 to 2010. In particular, I analyze the speed and completeness of the pass-through of the monetary policy rate to bank lending rates, and provide evidence on the importance of bank competition to explain heterogeneity in the way banks react to monetary policy impulses along the business cycle. For this purpose, I develop a simple model of the banking firm and test its implications using dynamic panel data methods. I find that: (1) interest rate pass-through is sluggish and incomplete; (2) the degree of bank competition is positively correlated with the completeness of the interest rate pass-through; and (3) interest rate pass-through is asymmetric: lending rates adjust less in the case of monetary policy easing than in the case of tightening. Chapter 2 draws from a district-level database to investigate the local impact on socioeconomic outcomes of mining-related revenue windfalls in Peru, which have grown almost twentyfold in the last two decades. I find evidence that improvements in average living standards are related to the mining activity but independent from fiscal revenue windfalls at the district level, where inefficiencies in the use of public funds may be accounting for the disconnect between fiscal revenues and socioeconomic outcomes. In Chapter 3, I investigate how the fiscal institutional framework has given rise to deficit and procyclical biases in the case of Mexico, and evaluate how the use of alternative fiscal rules may affect these biases. For the latter, I conduct a series of simulations using an unrestricted VAR model that allows me to evaluate the effect on fiscal outcomes of a constellation of shocks calibrated to match Mexican historical macro-data. I find that Mexico's fiscal framework allows the conduct of a countercyclical fiscal policy during economic recessions; however, it does not contemplate a mechanism to generate buffers during economic expansions. Thus, fiscal policy is oftentimes procyclical and has a built-in deficit bias. Moreover, I find that a budget balance rule with an expenditure cap is able to mimic the results of a rule based on a cyclically adjusted balance in terms of reducing the procyclical and deficit biases, with the advantage of not having to rely on an autonomous fiscal agency, which is usually absent under weak institutional frameworks.

Download or read book Taking Money Seriously and Other Essays written by David E. W. Laidler and published by Cambridge, Mass. : MIT Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Putting the matters back into money matters is David Laidler's intent in this collection of ten essays on the role of monetary institutions in the development of monetary theory and the implications of these ideas for policy. Together, the essays provide a coherent and accessible introduction to the power and range of thinking by one of the world's leading monetary economists. In Taking Money Seriously Laidler seeks to develop and sustain monetarist ideas of the 1960s in relationship to the new classical economics and to argue their continued policy relevance. Money matters, he points out, because monetary exchange rather than the Walrasian market coordinates economic activity in the real world. Laidler's discussion of the costs of inflation points up the importance of money's means-of-exchange role and is followed by an extended critique of new classical economics. He devotes several chapters to policy issues, in which he asserts that the monetary system is a public good whose organization and control present inherently political problems. David Laidler is Professor of Economics at the University of Western Ontario.