Download or read book Essays on the ECB Monetary Policy s Impact on Non Financial Firms written by Lior Cohen and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In recent years, one of the main problems the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) has been facing is slow economic growth stemming, in part, from subdued investments despite interest rates falling below the zero-lower bound (ZLB). Summers (2013) brought back the term "secular stagnation" - first coined by Hansen (1939) - to describe the United States' economic environment following the 2008-2009 Great Recession, in which a central bank is unable to reduce interest rates enough to stimulate investment and consumption. In recent years, another term, "liquidity trap", has also gained popularity to characterize an economy where short-term interest rates are at the ZLB, and in effect, rendering conventional monetary policy incapable of stimulating growth. Indeed, this topic has fostered extensive research on ways unconventional monetary policies could stimulate an economy (see, for example, Dominguez et al. (1998), Bernanke et al. (2004), and Eggertsson and Krugman (2012)). The European Central Bank (ECB) has been trying to ameliorate financial conditions and restore confidence in the EMU, especially after the 2011-2012 Euro Debt crisis. On July 26th, 2012 the then President of the ECB, Mario Draghi, stated the most important three words ever uttered by a central banker that he was going to do "whatever it takes" to save the Euro. Since then, the ECB has introduced an array of conventional and unconventional monetary policies to maintain the EMU project. Some of these policies include slashing interest rates below the ZLB, implementing the longer-term refinancing operations (LTRO), and targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO), and introducing quantitative easing (QE). However, were these policies successful in encouraging investment and easing financial conditions? In this thesis, we try to answer this question from the perspective of non-financial firms. The analysis of the ECB's unconventional policies - mainly of QE - has been widely researched, especially their effect on borrowing costs in general and government bond yields in particular (see Albu et al. (2014), De Santis (2020), Jäger and Grigoriadis (2017), and Krishnamurthy et al. (2017), among others). However, the research on corporations has been somewhat limited, although non-financial corporations (NFCs) are a vital sector, particularly for investments. In this thesis, we focus on the ECB's interest rate policy and its QE programmes, especially the public sector purchase programme (PSPP), and the corporate sector purchase programme (CSPP).The PSPP, first introduced on January 22nd, 2015, aimed to lower long-term sovereign bond yields by purchasing sovereign debt at an average pace of 47 billion euros a month from March 2015 to December 2018 . In total, the ECB purchased over 2.2 trillion euros worth of government bonds of EMU countries. This asset purchase programme accounted for 47% of ECB's balance sheet. Another vital purchase programme was the CSPP. Under this program, the ECB purchased NFC debt at a monthly pace of 5.8 billion euros from June 2016 to December 2018 for a total of 178-billion-euro worth of European corporate bonds. This programme's goal was to lower NFCs' borrowing costs and to induce corporate borrowing and investment spending.This thesis consists of three independent chapters, albeit with an overarching theme of investigating the impact of ECB's policies on NFCs. In Chapter 2, titled Has ECB's monetary policy prompted NFCs to invest, or pay dividends?, we take a broad view of the influence of the ECB's conventional and unconventional policies on NFCs' decisions on debt holdings, investments, and dividends. Toward this end, we use a unique dataset comprised of income statements and balance sheets of leading NFCs' operating in the EMU from the four largest economies, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. Chapter 2 contributes to the literature by shedding light on the ECB monetary policies' long-term effect on NFCs' leverage and capital allocation - subjects that, to the best of our knowledge, have yet to be methodically investigated over such an extended period and encompasses the ECB's unconventional policies. The main results in Chapter 2 suggest that the ECB's monetary policies have encouraged firms to raise their debt burden, especially after the global recession of 2008. The ECB's policies, particularly after 2011, also seem to have led NFCs to allocate more resources not only to capital spending but also to shareholder distribution.Chapter 3, titled Examining the effect of ECB monetary policy on non-financial corporations' credit risk premia examines the usefulness of the ECB's policies in ameliorating financial conditions and reducing the risk premia of NFCs. We collected daily credit default swaps (CDSs) prices of publicly-traded European NFCs to analyze the short-term effects of the policy announcements between June 2nd, 2014, and December 30th, 2016. We also test the long-term impact of the ECB's policies on NFCs' CDS prices using monthly data from January 2008 to February 2018. Chapter 3 contributes to the literature by being the first to methodically investigate the mechanism of the ECB's monetary policy's short-term and long-term impact on NFCs' CDS prices. By doing so, we assess the ECB's various policies' transmission mechanism to NFCs' risk premia - a critical factor in NFCs' borrowing costs. The main findings in Chapter 3 are that the ECB's asset purchase programme announcements seem to have an immediate impact on CDS daily prices; these announcements had a stronger effect, especially after the PSPP started in March 2015. From 2008 to 2012 and from 2015 to 2018, the ECB's interest rate policy had statistically and economically significant effects in reducing CDS prices. We also find that some of ECB's asset purchase programmes, such as the PSPP, had a statistically significant long-term impact on CDSs. These findings indicate that some of the ECB's policies were effective in reducing NFCs' risk premia, notably since 2015, as market conditions improved. In Chapter 4, titled Bang for the QE buck: Examining the impact of ECB's corporate bond purchases on firms' credit risk, debt and investment, we focus on the CSPP. This programme, first announced in March 2016 and started by June 2016, aimed to ameliorate corporations' financial conditions and encourage NFCs to borrow and invest. Chapter 4 analyzes the CSPP's short-term and long-term effect on corporate credit risk by utilizing daily (from March to August 2016) and monthly data (June 2016- December 2018) of corporate zero-volatility, and nominal spreads. We also employ NFCs' debt covenants data to assess the pass-through of the CSPP to firms' risk of credit. We examine the CSPP's long-term effect on liquidity risk by using scaled bid-ask spread data. The data include purchased bonds under the CSPP (targeted bonds) and European bonds that were not purchased. We then analyze the CSPP's short-term and long-term impact on capital structure and capital allocation of NFCs whose bonds the ECB purchased (targeted firms) compare to European firms whose bonds were not purchased. Chapter 4 contributes to the literature by shedding light on the CSPP's short-term and long-term effect on corporate bonds' risk premia liquidity costs. Third, to the best of our knowledge, we are also the first to investigate the CSPP's long-term impact on firms' borrowing costs and corporate decisions. In Chapter 4 we find that following the CSPP announcement, targeted corporate bonds' zero-volatility spread, and nominal spread fell by 3.5 basis points (2.6%) and 4.1 basis points (4.2%), respectively. Initially, the programme encouraged firms to borrow more and pay dividends; however, it did not improve investments. Throughout its implementation (June 2016-December 2018), the CSPP only marginally reduced targeted bonds' risk premia and did not lower corporate bonds' liquidity risk. Nonetheless, it reduced targeted firms' cost of debt, improved their debt covenants, and encouraged investments. The findings in Chapter 4 suggest the CSPP did not have a persistent impact in reducing credit risk or liquidity risk in the corporate bond market; however, it had an economically significant lasting effect in lowering corporate debt cost and stimulating investment." -- TDX.

Download or read book Three Essays on the Transmission of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area written by Matthieu Picault and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After September 2008, due to a frozen interbank market, shortage of liquidity, loss of confidence, and collapsing financial institutions, the monetary policy transmission in the euro area was severely impaired. Under thus exceptional circumstances, the European Central Bank (ECB) had to turn to non-standard monetary policy measures. Considering, in the euro area, the constrained range of actions and fragmented financial markets, the objective of this empirical thesis is to assess the transmission channels of ECB standard and non-standard monetary policies and their effects on both financial markets and the economy.As banks' lending behaviors are related to their financing costs, the first essay focuses on bank lending channel. It studies the evolution of lending activities of European financial institutions on the syndicated loan market and its reaction to the ECB standard and non-standard policies. The communication of the central bank is of utmost importance in a monetary union with heterogeneous, in terms of economic situations and cultures, countries. The second and third essays study the signaling channel of monetary policy. The second essay focuses on the communication during monthly press conferences and their effects on the predictability of monetary policy decisions and on financial markets returns and volatility. The last essay concentrates exclusively on the use of \textit{forward guidance} on interest rate, a non-standard central bank communication providing information on future short-term interest rates. It discusses its effectiveness and ability to lower market participants expected interest rates.

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Download or read book The European Central Bank written by D. Howarth and published by Springer. This book was released on 2003-05-14 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: David Howarth and Peter Loedel provide a theoretically inspired account of the creation, design and operation of the European Central Bank. Issues explored include the theoretical approaches to the ECB, the antecedents of European monetary authority, the different national perspectives on central bank independence, the complex organisation of the bank, the issues of accountability and the difficult first years of the ECB in operation.

Download or read book Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing Evidence from Credit Register Data written by Margherita Bottero and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-28 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study negative interest rate policy (NIRP) exploiting ECB's NIRP introduction and administrative data from Italy, severely hit by the Eurozone crisis. NIRP has expansionary effects on credit supply-- -and hence the real economy---through a portfolio rebalancing channel. NIRP affects banks with higher ex-ante net short-term interbank positions or, more broadly, more liquid balance-sheets, not with higher retail deposits. NIRP-affected banks rebalance their portfolios from liquid assets to credit—especially to riskier and smaller firms—and cut loan rates, inducing sizable real effects. By shifting the entire yield curve downwards, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the ZLB.

Download or read book Negative Interest Rate Policy NIRP written by Andreas Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-10 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.

Download or read book Managing the Sovereign Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

Download or read book Background Studies for the ECB s Evaluation of Its Monetary Policy Strategy written by Otmar Issing and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Monetary Policy of the ECB 2004 written by European Central Bank and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Monetary Policy in Times of Crisis written by Massimo Rostagno and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first twenty years of the European Central Bank offer a unique insight into how a central bank can navigate macroeconomic insecurity and crisis. This volume examines the structures and decision-making processes behind the complex measures taken by the ECB to tackle some of the toughest economic challenges in the history of modern Europe.

Download or read book Bank Profitability and Risk Taking written by Natalya Martynova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-11-25 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional theory suggests that more profitable banks should have lower risk-taking incentives. Then why did many profitable banks choose to invest in untested financial instruments before the crisis, realizing significant losses? We attempt to reconcile theory and evidence. In our setup, banks are endowed with a fixed core business. They take risk by levering up to engage in risky ‘side activities’(such as market-based investments) alongside the core business. A more profitable core business allows a bank to borrow more and take side risks on a larger scale, offsetting lower incentives to take risk of given size. Consequently, more profitable banks may have higher risk-taking incentives. The framework is consistent with cross-sectional patterns of bank risk-taking in the run up to the recent financial crisis.

Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Download or read book Macroprudential Policy written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-10-01 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides the most comprehensive empirical study of the effectiveness of macroprudential instruments to date. Using data from 49 countries, the paper evaluates the effectiveness of macroprudential instruments in reducing systemic risk over time and across institutions and markets. The analysis suggests that many of the most frequently used instruments are effective in reducing pro-cyclicality and the effectiveness is sensitive to the type of shock facing the financial sector. Based on these findings, the paper identifies conditions under which macroprudential policy is most likely to be effective, as well as conditions under which it may have little impact.

Download or read book Monetary Policy Strategy written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2009-08-21 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A leading academic authority and policymaker discusses monetary policy strategy from the perspectives of both scholar and practitioner, offering theory, econometric evidence, and extensive case studies. This book by a leading authority on monetary policy offers a unique view of the subject from the perspectives of both scholar and practitioner. Frederic Mishkin is not only an academic expert in the field but also a high-level policymaker. He is especially well positioned to discuss the changes in the conduct of monetary policy in recent years, in particular the turn to inflation targeting. Monetary Policy Strategy describes his work over the last ten years, offering published papers, new introductory material, and a summing up, “Everything You Wanted to Know about Monetary Policy Strategy, But Were Afraid to Ask,” which reflects on what we have learned about monetary policy over the last thirty years. Mishkin blends theory, econometric evidence, and extensive case studies of monetary policy in advanced and emerging market and transition economies. Throughout, his focus is on these key areas: the importance of price stability and a nominal anchor; fiscal and financial preconditions for achieving price stability; central bank independence as an additional precondition; central bank accountability; the rationale for inflation targeting; the optimal inflation target; central bank transparency and communication; and the role of asset prices in monetary policy.

Download or read book Negative Interest Rates written by Luís Brandão Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Download or read book Effects of Bank Capital on Lending written by Joseph M. Berrospide and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effect of bank capital on lending is a critical determinant of the linkage between financial conditions and real activity, and has received especial attention in the recent financial crisis. The authors use panel-regression techniques to study the lending of large bank holding companies (BHCs) and find small effects of capital on lending. They then consider the effect of capital ratios on lending using a variant of Lown and Morgan's VAR model, and again find modest effects of bank capital ratio changes on lending. The authors¿ estimated models are then used to understand recent developments in bank lending and, in particular, to consider the role of TARP-related capital injections in affecting these developments. Illus. A print on demand pub.

Download or read book Central Bank Balances and Reserve Requirements written by Mr.Simon Gray and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-02-01 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most central banks oblige depository institutions to hold minimum reserves against their liabilities, predominantly in the form of balances at the central bank. The role of these reserve requirements has evolved significantly over time. The overlay of changing purposes and practices has the result that it is not always fully clear what the current purpose of reserve requirements is, and this necessarily complicates thinking about how a reserve regime should be structured. This paper describes three main purposes for reserve requirements - prudential, monetary control and liquidity management - and suggests best practice for the structure of a reserves regime. Finally, the paper illustrates current practices using a 2010 IMF survey of 121 central banks.