Download or read book Essays on the Collapse of a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime written by Shawn M. Welch and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Collapse of Exchange Rate Regimes written by George S. Tavlas and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ical) and to self-fulfilling currency crisis, respectively. Research stressing the former approach was pioneered by Krugman (1979) and Flood and Garber (1984). According to this line of research, the failure of governments to adopt domestic monetary and fiscal policies consistent with their stated exchange rate targets leads to a gradual diminution of reserves and eventually a stock adjustment that depletes reserves suddenly in one attack (Sachs, Tornell, and Velasco, 1996, page 47). The result is either a devaluation of the exchange rate or a switch to floating. Subsequent work of this genre has specified a number of other channels, in addition to that involving inconsistent and unsustainable monetary and fiscal policies, that can precipitate an attack: 1. Inconsistency between external and internal objectives. The stances of monetary and fiscal policies may be consistent with the authorities' exchange rate target, but domestic economic indicators (such as the unemployment rate) may be inconsistent with internal balance, resulting in pressures on the authorities to relax macroeconomic policies. Private agents, aware of this inconsistency, perceive an opportunity for profits from a currency devaluation and precipitate an attack. 2. Contagion effects. Prior to an attack on another currency (say that of country B), the market may view a country's (say, country A's) exchange rate as consistent with economic fundamentals and, thus, sustainable.
Download or read book Shadows of History written by Douglas L. Campbell and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is comprised of one essay focusing on the measurement of real exchange rate indexes, three chapters on the various impacts of real exchange rate movements on the economy, two essays on the impact of fixed exchange rate regimes on trade, one essay on the long-run impact of trade shocks, and a final chapter on the diffusion of technology along geographic lines. The common theme is that these essays collectively paint a picture of the world in which history casts surprisingly long shadows, as current economic relationships -- trade, employment, productivity, and output -- are the product of history. In the first essay, coauthored with Ju Hyun Pyun, we propose several new methods of computing real exchange rate indices which fix a subtle, but important, index numbers problem apparent in widely-used series created by the Federal Reserve and the IMF, and also control for productivity. Extending one of these indexes historically for the US back to 1820, we uncover a new empirical fact -- that in 2002, the US price level had been higher relative to trading partners than at any time since the worst year of the Great Depression. The next three chapters essay address the issue of the economic impact of RER movements. To identify a causal impact of RER movements on manufacturing, I compare the US experience in the early 2000s to the 1980s, when large US fiscal deficits led to a sharp appreciation in the dollar, and to Canada's experience in mid-2000s, when high oil prices and a falling US dollar led to an equally sharp appreciation of the Canadian dollar. I use disaggregated sectoral data and a difference-in-difference methodology, finding that an appreciation in relative unit labor costs for the lead to disproportionate declines in employment, productivity and output for both the US and Canada. In addition, I find that the impact of a temporary shock to real exchange rates is surprisingly long-lived. In the second of these chapters, I find scant evidence for an impact of adverse trade shocks on inquality in manufacturing, and in the third, I speculate that the collapse in manufacturing caused by tectonic shifts in relative prices are a likely cause of the "secular stagnation'' experienced in the US since 2000. In the fifth and sixth chapters I challenge previous literature which found that currency unions lead to dramatically larger trade flows. I found that this previous literature did not control for the fact that current trade relationships are the product of historical forces -- in this case, that countries with former colonial relationships experienced only a gradual decay of trade ties over time since independence. Adding in a dynamic control for country-pair specific trends in trade patterns, and omitting currency union changes brought on by major geopolitical events such as communist takeovers and ethnic cleansing episodes severely weakened the previous findings in the literature. In the seventh chapter, I look at the long-run impacts of temporary shocks to trade patterns from the world wars. I find, for example, that while UK manufacturers dominated world export markets before WWI, during the war US exporters rose to prominence, but that after the war the UK could then not regain the market share it had previously, even given the relative reduction of UK GDP. In the final chapter, with coauthor Ju Hyun Pyun, we challenge a previous seminal finding in the development literature which found that a country's ``genetic distance'' to the US predicts its per capita GDP, even while controlling for a whole host of other variables. We find, by contrast, that the apparent impact of genetic distance was not robust to the inclusion of two standard geographic controls -- distance from the equator and a dummy for sub-Saharan Africa.
Download or read book Money Capital Mobility and Trade written by Guillermo A. Calvo and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essays by leading economists and scholars reflecting on Mundell's broad influence on modern open-economy macroeconomics.
Download or read book Essays in International Macroeconomics written by Antonio Doblas Madrid and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Collapsing Exchange Rate Regimes written by Linda S. Goldberg and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Patterns in domestic credit creation stemming from inconsistent fiscal policies have received widespread attention for aggravating speculative attacks on central bank foreign exchange reserves and contributing to the collapse of exchange rate regimes. This paper acknowledges the importance of monetary and fiscal discipline, but also emphasizes the importance of other random shocks to the domestic money market, most notably shocks from external credit supplies and relative prices. Policies of the domestic fiscal authorities are only partial catalysts for speculative attacks on a currency. Expansion of domestic credit stemming from the monetization of fiscal imbalances may be dominated by involuntary domestic credit expansions necessitated by surprise shortages in supplies of external capital. Further, the unexpected availability of external capital translates into a lower net critical reserve floor, making the depletion of central bank reserves by a speculative attack more difficult to accomplish. Also of considerable importance are relative price shocks which directly influence the probability of collapse by randomizing the demand for nominal money balances. Empirical studies of exchange rate crises that neglect these considerations will produce biased estimates of both expected collapse probabilities and anticipated post-collapse exchange rates.
Download or read book Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Mr.Kenneth Rogoff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.
Download or read book The Collapse of the Fixed Exchange Rate Regime with Sticky Wages and Imperfect Substitutability Between Domestic and Foreign Bonds written by Alpo Willman and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Post Keynesian Essays from Down Under Volume II Essays on Policy and Applied Economics written by G. Harcourt and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-03-21 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Joseph Halevi, G. C. Harcourt, Peter Kriesler and J. W. Nevile bring together a collection of their most influential papers on post-Keynesian thought. Their work stresses the importance of the underlying institutional framework, of the economy as a historical process and, therefore, of path determinacy. In addition, their essays suggest the ultimate goal of economics is as a tool to inform policy and make the world a better place, with better being defined by an overriding concern with social justice. Volume II assess application and policies.
Download or read book Currency Politics written by Jeffry A. Frieden and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-12-28 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The politics surrounding exchange rate policies in the global economy The exchange rate is the most important price in any economy, since it affects all other prices. Exchange rates are set, either directly or indirectly, by government policy. Exchange rates are also central to the global economy, for they profoundly influence all international economic activity. Despite the critical role of exchange rate policy, there are few definitive explanations of why governments choose the currency policies they do. Filled with in-depth cases and examples, Currency Politics presents a comprehensive analysis of the politics surrounding exchange rates. Identifying the motivations for currency policy preferences on the part of industries seeking to influence politicians, Jeffry Frieden shows how each industry's characteristics—including its exposure to currency risk and the price effects of exchange rate movements—determine those preferences. Frieden evaluates the accuracy of his theoretical arguments in a variety of historical and geographical settings: he looks at the politics of the gold standard, particularly in the United States, and he examines the political economy of European monetary integration. He also analyzes the politics of Latin American currency policy over the past forty years, and focuses on the daunting currency crises that have frequently debilitated Latin American nations, including Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. With an ambitious mix of narrative and statistical investigation, Currency Politics clarifies the political and economic determinants of exchange rate policies.
Download or read book A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the close of the Second World War, when industrialized nations faced serious trade and financial imbalances, delegates from forty-four countries met in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, in order to reconstruct the international monetary system. In this volume, three generations of scholars and policy makers, some of whom participated in the 1944 conference, consider how the Bretton Woods System contributed to unprecedented economic stability and rapid growth for 25 years and discuss the problems that plagued the system and led to its eventual collapse in 1971. The contributors explore adjustment, liquidity, and transmission under the System; the way it affected developing countries; and the role of the International Monetary Fund in maintaining a stable rate. The authors examine the reasons for the System's success and eventual collapse, compare it to subsequent monetary regimes, such as the European Monetary System, and address the possibility of a new fixed exchange rate for today's world.
Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.
Download or read book An Introduction to International Economics written by Kenneth A. Reinert and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-08-27 with total page 579 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ideal for a one-semester course in international economics, this book is accessible to those within and outside of economics programs.
Download or read book Essays in Managed Exchange Rates written by Giuseppe De Arcangelis and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Further Essays in Monetary Economics Collected Works of Harry Johnson written by Harry Johnson and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sequel to Essays in Monetary Economics, this book develops the ideas on domestic and international monetary issues, with reference to specific events and crises of the 1960s and 70s. These essays are distinguished by the author’s expert grasp of the analytical techniques and contemporaneous policy problems of both domestic and international monetary economics.
Download or read book Essays on Exchange Rate Dynamics and Currency Crises in Asia written by Sweta Chaman Saxena and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Floating Exchange Rates and the Need for Surveillance written by Jacques R. Artus and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
