Download or read book Essays in Financial Econometrics Asset Pricing and Corporate Finance written by Markus Pelger and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: My dissertation explores how tail risk and systematic risk affects various aspects of risk management and asset pricing. My research contributions are in econometric and statistical theory, in finance theory and empirical data analysis. In Chapter 1 I develop the statistical inferential theory for high-frequency factor modeling. In Chapter 2 I apply these methods in an extensive empirical study. In Chapter 3 I analyze the effect of jumps on asset pricing in arbitrage-free markets. Chapter 4 develops a general structural credit risk model with endogenous default and tail risk and analyzes the incentive effects of contingent capital. Chapter 5 derives various evaluation models for contingent capital with tail risk. Chapter 1 develops a statistical theory to estimate an unknown factor structure based on financial high-frequency data. I derive a new estimator for the number of factors and derive consistent and asymptotically mixed-normal estimators of the loadings and factors under the assumption of a large number of cross-sectional and high-frequency observations. The estimation approach can separate factors for normal "continuous" and rare jump risk. The estimators for the loadings and factors are based on the principal component analysis of the quadratic covariation matrix. The estimator for the number of factors uses a perturbed eigenvalue ratio statistic. The results are obtained under general conditions, that allow for a very rich class of stochastic processes and for serial and cross-sectional correlation in the idiosyncratic components. Chapter 2 is an empirical application of my high-frequency factor estimation techniques. Under a large dimensional approximate factor model for asset returns, I use high-frequency data for the S & P 500 firms to estimate the latent continuous and jump factors. I estimate four very persistent continuous systematic factors for 2007 to 2012 and three from 2003 to 2006. These four continuous factors can be approximated very well by a market, an oil, a finance and an electricity portfolio. The value, size and momentum factors play no significant role in explaining these factors. For the time period 2003 to 2006 the finance factor seems to disappear. There exists only one persistent jump factor, namely a market jump factor. Using implied volatilities from option price data, I analyze the systematic factor structure of the volatilities. There is only one persistent market volatility factor, while during the financial crisis an additional temporary banking volatility factor appears. Based on the estimated factors, I can decompose the leverage effect, i.e. the correlation of the asset return with its volatility, into a systematic and an idiosyncratic component. The negative leverage effect is mainly driven by the systematic component, while it can be non-existent for idiosyncratic risk. In Chapter 3 I analyze the effect of jumps on asset pricing in arbitrage-free markets and I show that jumps have to come as a surprise in an arbitrage-free market. I model asset prices in the most general sensible form as special semimartingales. This approach allows me to also include jumps in the asset price process. I show that the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, which is essentially equivalent to no-arbitrage, implies that the asset prices cannot exhibit predictable jumps. Hence, in arbitrage-free markets the occurrence and the size of any jump of the asset price cannot be known before it happens. In practical applications it is basically not possible to distinguish between predictable and unpredictable discontinuities in the price process. The empirical literature has typically assumed as an identification condition that there are no predictable jumps. My result shows that this identification condition follows from the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, and hence essentially comes for free in arbitrage-free markets. Chapter 4 is joint work with Behzad Nouri, Nan Chen and Paul Glasserman. Contingent capital in the form of debt that converts to equity as a bank approaches financial distress offers a potential solution to the problem of banks that are too big to fail. This chapter studies the design of contingent convertible bonds and their incentive effects in a structural model with endogenous default, debt rollover, and tail risk in the form of downward jumps in asset value. We show that once a firm issues contingent convertibles, the shareholders' optimal bankruptcy boundary can be at one of two levels: a lower level with a lower default risk or a higher level at which default precedes conversion. An increase in the firm's total debt load can move the firm from the first regime to the second, a phenomenon we call debt-induced collapse because it is accompanied by a sharp drop in equity value. We show that setting the contractual trigger for conversion sufficiently high avoids this hazard. With this condition in place, we investigate the effect of contingent capital and debt maturity on capital structure, debt overhang, and asset substitution. We also calibrate the model to past data on the largest U.S. bank holding companies to see what impact contingent convertible debt might have had under the conditions of the financial crisis. Chapter 5 develops and compares different modeling approaches for contingent capital with tail risk, debt rollover and endogenous default. In order to apply contingent convertible capital in practice it is desirable to base the conversion on observable market prices that can constantly adjust to new information in contrast to accounting triggers. I show how to use credit spreads and the risk premium of credit default swaps to construct the conversion trigger and to evaluate the contracts under this specification.

Download or read book Essays on Asset Pricing and Financial Econometrics written by Qiang Kang and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Three Essays In Cross border Finance written by Moon Sub Choi and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Ph.D. dissertation investigates various areas in financial economics: market microstructure, corporate finance, asset pricing, and financial econometrics. The three comprising essays have a common ground: cross-border finance. Chapter One documents the impact of differential private information on relative asset pricing across borders by studying the probability of informed trading (PIN) for Canadian shares traded on exchanges separated by Niagara Falls. Relative to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) has more informed trades and accounts for a larger information share, indicating that informed traders contribute to cross-border price discovery. The information imbalance across the two markets is associated with small but positive price premiums for New York trades. The dynamics of these premiums depends on trade informedness. Lastly, the PIN of a TSX -listed share typically rises upon cross-listing on the NYSE, which is consistent with negative abnormal returns of the original listing. The theory of corporate governance suggests that managers of poorly governed firms are more likely to make poor investment decisions, and the evidence on high antitakeover provision (ATP) firms is consistent. In Chapter Two, I study the effect of domestic and foreign takeovers by U.S. firms and find that high-ATP bidders tend to pay relatively high premiums for either targets. While this suggests that these firms make poor decisions, high-ATP bidders also experience relatively high event study returns at times of foreign takeover news. This contradicts the findings of Masulis et al. (2007) for domestic takeovers. Finally, Chapter Three explores the convergence between the prices of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) listed by Asia-Pacific firms and their original shares listed on home exchanges. Instead of relying on conventional parametric approaches that carry embedded model-specification errors, I contribute to the literature by introducing a nonparametric technique to estimate the convergence speed parameter. I present the time-varying characteristics of both firm and country-level convergence speed parameters. Furthermore, I empirically verify and visually corroborate the comparative dynamics of convergence with respect to short sales restrictions, trading time differences, and market-tier measures proxied by the Morgan Stanley Capital International indices. I conclude that enhancement in market efficiency accelerates the reversion to the parity of ADR -pairs.

Download or read book Essays in Asset Pricing and Financial Econometrics written by Georgios Skoulakis and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays in Asset Pricing and Financial Econometrics written by Yannick Dillschneider and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays in Asset Pricing and Corporate Finance written by Yu Wang and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays in Asset Pricing and Financial Econometrics written by Dongmeng Ren and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first chapter, we compare the finite sample power of short and long-horizon tests in nonlinear predictive regression models of regime switching between bull and bear markets, allowing for time varying transition probabilities. As a point of reference, we also provide a similar comparison in a linear predictive regression model without regime switching. Overall, our results do not support the contention of higher power in longer horizon tests in either the linear or nonlinear regime switching models. Nonetheless, it is possible that other plausible nonlinear models provide stronger justification for long-horizon tests. Using finite sample simulation methods, we assess the power of long-horizon predictive tests and compare them to their short-run counterparts, when the true underlying model contains financial asset bubbles. Our results indicate that long-run predictive test using valuation predictors -- specifically the dividend price ratio-- do pick up the return predictability inherent in the asset bubbles. However, after size-adjustment, the long-run predictive framework has a small advantage over its short-run counterpart when the predictor is highly persistent and provides a larger, yet still modest power improvement when the predictor is moderately persistent. The third chapter proposes a simple Bayesian learning framework to assess leverage ratios in the presence of parameter uncertainty about mean log cash flow. In particular it can explain why firm's leverage ratios have been observed to increase with firm age. Market values are increasing in uncertainty about mean cash flow and leverage ratios are decreasing with market values. Over the life period of firm, the managers and investors rationally learn from realized cash flows. Due to the convex relationship between cash flow and firm value, ceteris paribus, this results in a decrease in market value and an increase in the leverage ratio. Firm level panel data provides empirical evidence consistent with the model predictions after correcting for the endogeneity of the book to market and profitability control variates. The empirical results suggest that the firm leverage ratio increases over firm age due to learning.

Download or read book Essays in Financial Econometrics and Asset Pricing written by Kokouvi Tewou and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis is organized in three chapters. In the first chapter (which is co-authored with Ilze Kalnina), we propose a statistical test to assess the adequacy of the most popular measure of idiosyncratic risk, which is the idiosyncratic volatility. Our test statistic exploits the idea that a "good" measure of the idiosyncratic risk should be uncorrelated in the cross-section. Using in-fill asymptotics, we study the theoretical properties of the test and find that it has a non-standard behaviour due to various biases induced by the latency of the idiosyncratic volatility. Moreover, we propose a regression model that can be used to reduce if not eliminate the cross-sectional dependences in assets idiosyncratic volatilities. The second chapter of my thesis is the fruit of a colaboration with Christian Dorion and Pierre Chaigneau. In this chapter, we study the relevance of higher-order risk aversion in asset pricing. The evidence in Kraus and Litzenberger (1976) and Harvey and Siddique (2000a) has spurred the literature on the estimation of the risk premiums attached to skewness and kurtosis risk in addition to the standard variance risk. However, most of these studies focus on the estimation of unconditional premiums or average premiums. In this chapter, we propose a methodology that allows to accurately estimate the time-varying higher-order risk aversions using options prices. Our study complements the literature as we also study the higher-order risks beyond the kurtosis such as hyperskewness and hyperkurtosis risks which are valued by a CRRA investor. . In my third chapter, I study the term-structure of price of co-skewness risk. Co-Skewness risk captures the portion of the stock returns asymmetry that arises as a result of market returns asymmetry. I propose a general methodology that allows to study the multi-horizon pricing of this risk in contrast to many existing studies.

Download or read book Essays in Asset Pricing and Corporate Finance written by Raffaele Corvino and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Paradox of Asset Pricing written by Peter Bossaerts and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-12-03 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset pricing theory abounds with elegant mathematical models. The logic is so compelling that the models are widely used in policy, from banking, investments, and corporate finance to government. To what extent, however, can these models predict what actually happens in financial markets? In The Paradox of Asset Pricing, a leading financial researcher argues forcefully that the empirical record is weak at best. Peter Bossaerts undertakes the most thorough, technically sound investigation in many years into the scientific character of the pricing of financial assets. He probes this conundrum by modeling a decidedly volatile phenomenon that, he says, the world of finance has forgotten in its enthusiasm for the efficient markets hypothesis--speculation. Bossaerts writes that the existing empirical evidence may be tainted by the assumptions needed to make sense of historical field data or by reanalysis of the same data. To address the first problem, he demonstrates that one central assumption--that markets are efficient processors of information, that risk is a knowable quantity, and so on--can be relaxed substantially while retaining core elements of the existing methodology. The new approach brings novel insights to old data. As for the second problem, he proposes that asset pricing theory be studied through experiments in which subjects trade purposely designed assets for real money. This book will be welcomed by finance scholars and all those math--and statistics-minded readers interested in knowing whether there is science beyond the mathematics of finance. This book provided the foundation for subsequent journal articles that won two prestigious awards: the 2003 Journal of Financial Markets Best Paper Award and the 2004 Goldman Sachs Asset Management Best Research Paper for the Review of Finance.

Download or read book Essays in Econometrics of Financial Asset Pricing Models written by Mustafa Arif Karaman and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Theory and Econometrics of Financial Asset Pricing written by Kian Guan Lim and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2022-08-22 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book will provide a firm foundation in the understanding of financial economics applied to asset pricing. It carries the real world perspective of how the market works, including behavioral biases, and also wraps that understanding in the context of a rigorous economics framework of investors’ risk preferences, underlying price dynamics, rational choice in the large, and market equilibrium other than inexplicable irrational bubbles. It concentrates on analyses of stock, credit, and option pricing. Existing highly cited finance models in pricing of these assets are covered in detail, and theory is accompanied by rigorous applications of econometrics. Econometrics contain elucidations of both the statistical theory as well as the practice of data analyses. Linear regression methods and some nonlinear methods are also covered. The contribution of this book, and at the same time, its novelty, is in employing materials in probability theory, economics optimization, econometrics, and data analyses together to provide a rigorous and sharp intellect for investment and financial decision-making. Mistakes are often made with far too often sweeping pragmatism without deeply knowing the underpinnings of how the market economics works. This book is written at a level that is both academically rigorous for university courses in investment, derivatives, risk management, as well as not too mathematically deep so that finance and banking graduate professionals can have a real journey into the frontier financial economics thinking and rigorous data analytical findings.

Download or read book Essays on Asset Pricing and Corporate Finance written by Marco Menner and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays in Financial Economics written by Olexandr Gorbenko and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays that apply game theory, theory and structural econometrics of auctions, and dynamic programming to study problems in two areas of corporate finance and market design: Dynamic theory of the firm and financial auctions. In the first essay (co-authored with Ilya A. Strebulaev), we investigate corporate financial policies in the presence of both temporary and permanent shocks to firms' cash flows. In our framework cash flows can be negative and are imperfectly correlated with firm value, and earnings volatility differs from asset volatility. These results are consistent with empirical stylized facts. They are also contrary to the implications of existing dynamic capital structure models that allow only for permanent shocks to cash flows. Temporary shocks increase the importance of financial flexibility and may provide an intuitively simple and realistic explanation of empirically observed financial conservatism and low leverage phenomena. The theoretical framework developed in this paper is general enough to be used in various corporate finance applications. In the second essay (co-authored with Andrey MalenkoSPAN class=skype_name_highlight_online title=amalenko height="12px" width="15px" SPAN class=skype_name_mark begin_of_the_skype_highlighting SPAN class=skype_name_mark end_of_the_skype_highlighting ), we study simultaneous security-bid second-price auctions with competition among sellers for potential bidders. The sellers compete by designing ordered sets of securities that the bidders can offer as payment for the assets. Upon observing auction designs, potential bidders decide which auctions to enter. We characterize all symmetric equilibria and show that there always exist equilibria in standard securities or their combinations. In large markets the unique equilibrium is auctions in pure cash. We extend the model for competition in reserve prices and show that binding reserve prices never constitute equilibrium as long as equilibrium security designs are not call options. To study how the market for takeovers operates, it is critical to understand how different potential acquirers shape their valuations, or maximum willingness to pay, for targets. In the third essay (co-authored with Andrey Malenko), we propose a structural model of a takeover auction that allows for asymmetries between strategic and financial bidders. Using a hand-collected data on the number of competing bidders, their types and bids, we estimate the model to recover valuations of participating strategic and financial bidders. Our approach helps overcome the sample selection problem that arises if takeover premia are simply interpreted as average bidder valuations. The results suggest that there are substantial differences between strategic and financial bidders along many dimensions. In particular, strategic and financial bidders value targets with different observable characteristics, and strategic bidders are considerably more heterogeneous than financial bidders. While average valuations of strategic bidders are higher than those of financial bidders, the higher takeover premiums that they pay are mainly driven by their greater heterogeneity. We extend the model to incorporate endogenous participation decisions, and show that strategic bidders appear to have considerably higher average participation costs than financial bidders, especially so if the target is highly valued by them or operates in a hi-tech industry.

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-04-04 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Download or read book Essays in Asset Pricing and Corporate Finance written by Ivan Petzev and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Selected Essays in Empirical Asset Pricing written by Christian Funke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-09-15 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Christian Funke aims at developing a better understanding of a central asset pricing issue: the stock price discovery process in capital markets. Using U.S. capital market data, he investigates the importance of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) for stock prices and examines economic links between customer and supplier firms. The empirical investigations document return predictability and show that capital markets are not perfectly efficient.