Download or read book Affective Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Donald J. Brown and published by Springer. This book was released on 2021-01-19 with total page 81 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an exploration of the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty. It presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans (Taleb 2010), which argues for a distinction between unprecedented events in our past and unpredictable events in our future. The defining property of Black Swan random events is that they are unpredictable, i.e., highly unlikely random events. In this text, Mandelbrot’s (1972) operational definition of risky random unpredictable events is extended to Black Swan assets – assets for which the cumulative probability distribution or conditional probability distribution of random future asset returns is a power distribution. Ambiguous assets are assets for which the uncertainties of future returns are not risks. Consequently, there are two disjoint classes of Black Swan assets: Risky Black Swan assets and Ambiguous Black Swan assets, a new class of ambiguous assets with unpredictable random future outcomes. The text is divided into two parts, the first of which focuses on affective moods, introduces affective utility functions and discusses the ambiguity of Black Swans. The second part, which shifts the spotlight to affective equilibrium in asset markets, features chapters on affective portfolio analysis and Walrasian and Gorman Polar Form Equilibrium Inequalities. In order to gain the most from the book, readers should have completed the standard introductory graduate courses on microeconomics, behavioral finance, and convex optimization. The book is intended for advanced undergraduates, graduate students and post docs specializing in economic theory, experimental economics, finance, mathematics, computer science or data analysis.
Download or read book Key Demographics in Retirement Risk Management written by Leroy O Stone and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-06-14 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Key Demographics in Retirement Risk Management argues that the weakening of public and employer-sponsored social safety nets in several countries will permanently increase pre-retirees’ risk-anxiety and create pressure towards readjustment of their expectations about the quality of their lives in retirement. The result will be to raise the priority of achieving effective comprehensive retirement related risk management. This achievement requires an emphasis upon the cascading of linked risks, and careful attention to the optimization of scarce resources used to manage those linked risks. Professional financial and retirement planning advisors comprise a key source of help. This book develops new knowledge concerning the factors that help to explain three important aspects of access to these professional advisors. The results of this analysis are used to illustrate the process of identifying distinctive population segments, key demographics, on the basis of multiple population attributes treated simultaneously. The illustration is further extended with an identification of distinctive population segments relative to performance on a composite indicator of the conduct of multiple retirement risk management activities. The book also discusses implications of the pattern of gender differences in preparedness to address retirement’s challenges, highlighting subgroups of women in which inadequate preparedness is pronounced.
Download or read book Kahnemann and Tversky and the making of behavioral economics written by Floris Heukelom and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2009 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hayek and Behavioral Economics written by R. Frantz and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An exploration of Friedrich Hayek's contribution to the foundation of behavioural economics, and how his work interacted with and complemented that of his contemporaries. Chapters include detailed discussions of the concept of rationality, psychology and Hayek's philosophical theories as well as the historical context in which he lived and worked.
Download or read book The Fantods of Risk written by Ann Blair Kloman and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2008-01-21 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fantods of Risk is a collection of essays from the pages of Risk Management Reports, which the author edited, wrote and published from 1974 through 2007, plus several other published articles. The subject is risk management, a discipline for dealing with uncertainty in our personal and organizational lives. They continue the author’s contrary and challenging approach to managing risk, first started in Risk Management Reports and later in Mumpsimus Revisited, published in 2005.
Download or read book Cognitive Unconscious and Human Rationality written by Laura Macchi and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2016-03-18 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the role of implicit, unconscious thinking on reasoning, decision making, problem solving, creativity, and its neurocognitive basis, for a genuinely psychological conception of rationality. This volume contributes to a current debate within the psychology of thought that has wide implications for our ideas about creativity, decision making, and economic behavior. The essays focus on the role of implicit, unconscious thinking in creativity and problem solving, the interaction of intuition and analytic thinking, and the relationship between communicative heuristics and thought. The analyses move beyond the conventional conception of mind informed by extra-psychological theoretical models toward a genuinely psychological conception of rationality—a rationality no longer limited to conscious, explicit thought, but able to exploit the intentional implicit level. The contributors consider a new conception of human rationality that must cope with the uncertainty of the real world; the implications of abandoning the normative model of classic logic and adopting a probabilistic approach instead; the argumentative and linguistic aspects of reasoning; and the role of implicit thought in reasoning, creativity, and its neurological base. Contributors Maria Bagassi, Linden J. Ball, Jean Baratgin, Aron K. Barbey, Tilmann Betsch, Eric Billaut, Jean-François Bonnefon, Pierre Bonnier, Shira Elqayam, Keith Frankish, Gerd Gigerenzer, Ken Gilhooly, Denis Hilton, Anna Lang, Stefanie Lindow, Laura Macchi, Hugo Mercier, Giuseppe Mosconi, Ian R. Newman, Mike Oaksford, David Over, Guy Politzer, Johannes Ritter, Steven A. Sloman, Edward J. N. Stupple, Ron Sun, Nicole H. Therriault, Valerie A. Thompson, Emmanuel Trouche-Raymond, Riccardo Viale
Download or read book Insurance and Behavioral Economics written by Howard C. Kunreuther and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-28 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the behavior of individuals at risk and insurance industry policy makers involved in selling, buying and regulation.
Download or read book The Foundations of Behavioral Economic Analysis written by Sanjit Dhami and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-02-14 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This first volume of The Foundations of Behavioral Economic Analysis covers the opening topic found in this definitive introduction to the subject: the behavioral economics of risk, uncertainty, and ambiguity. It is an essential guide for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students seeking a concise and focused text on this important subject, and examines how the decision maker chooses his optimal action in the presence of risk, uncertainty, and ambiguity. This updated extract from Dhami's leading textbook allows the reader to pursue subsections of this vast and rapidly growing field and to tailor their reading to their specific interests in behavioural economics.
Download or read book Essays on Current Topics in Life Insurance written by Gunther Kraut and published by VVW GmbH. This book was released on 2015 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Das Buch erscheint in englischer Sprache. Das Buch widmet sich verschiedenen aktuellen Themen der Lebensversicherung, insbesondere dem Management von extremen Mortalitätsrisiken und dem Versicherungsnehmerverhalten. Am Beispiel illiquider Märkte für Katastrophenrisiken wird ein axiomatisch hergeleiteter Mechanismus entwickelt, der die Poolanteilsbestimmung in Risikotragegemeinschaften von mehreren Versicherungsunternehmen auf eindeutig bestimmte Weise fairer macht. Ein solcher Mechanismus könnte in bestimmten Marktsituationen dazu beitragen, vorhandene Marktkapazitäten effizienter zu nutzen und die sogenannte Grenze der Versicherbarkeit auszuweiten. Des Weiteren wird qualitativ untersucht, wie die Entwicklung solcher neuartigen Risikotransfertechniken durch die Versicherungsregulierung befördert oder behindert werden kann. Am Beispiel des Aufsichtsregimes Solvency II wird als Resultat dieser Analyse ein generisches internes Partialmodell entwickelt, das die Anerkennung gerade nicht-proportionaler Risikotransferinstrumente erleichtert und - wo sinnvoll - durch eine entsprechende Anreizsetzung erstrebenswert macht. Nach einem thematischen Sprung in die Welt der Sparprodukte wird zuletzt das dynamische Stornoverhalten von Versicherungsnehmern für sogenannte Variable-Annuity-Produkte empirisch untersucht. Auf verhaltensökonomischer Theorie aufbauend können Aussagen zur Finanzrationalität der Versicherungsnehmer gewonnen werden, die auch generelle Rückschlüsse auf die Bewertung von in Finanzprodukte eingebetteten Optionen durch Individuen zulassen. Durch diese breite thematische Aufstellung richtet sich das Buch sowohl an die Wissenschaft als auch an die Praxis. Insbesondere für Produktentwickler, Risikomanager und Aufseher sollten die gewonnenen Erkenntnisse von direktem Nutzen sein.
Download or read book Resources Financial Risk and the Dynamics of Growth written by Roberto Pasqualino and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-05-19 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a new System Dynamics model (the ERRE model), a novel stock and flow consistent global impact assessment model designed by the authors to address the financial risks emerging from the interaction between economic growth and environmental limits under the presence of shocks. Building on the World3-03 Limits to Growth model, the ERRE links the financial system with the energy, agriculture and climate systems through the real economy, by means of feedback loops, time lags and non-linear rationally bounded decision making. Prices and their interaction with growth, inflation and interest rates are assumed to be the main driver of economic failure while reaching planetary limits. The model allows for the stress-testing of fat tail extreme risk scenarios, such as climate shocks, energy transition, monetary policies and carbon taxes. Risks are addressed via scenario analyses, compared to real available data, and assessed in terms of the economic theory that lies behind. The book outlines the case for a government led system change within this decade, where the market alone cannot lead to sustainable prosperity. This book will be of great interest to scholars of climate change, behavioural, ecological and evolutionary economics, green finance, and sustainable development.
Download or read book The Foundations of Behavioral Economic Analysis written by Sanjit S. Dhami and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 1799 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It considers the evidence against the exponential discounted utility model and describes several behavioral models such as hyperbolic discounting, attribute based models and the reference time theory. Part IV describes the evidence on classical game theory and considers several models of behavioral game theory, including level-k and cognitive hierarchy models, quantal response equilibrium, and psychological game theory. Part V considers behavioral models of learning that include evolutionary game theory, classical models of learning, experience weighted attraction model, learning direction theory, and stochastic social dynamics. Part VI studies the role of emotions; among other topics it considers projection bias, temptation preferences, happiness economics, and interaction between emotions and cognition. Part VII considers bounded rationality. The three main topics considered are judgment heuristics and biases, mental accounting, and behavioral finance.
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Behavioral Economics and the Law written by Eyal Zamir and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2014-09-16 with total page 841 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past twenty years have witnessed a surge in behavioral studies of law and law-related issues. These studies have challenged the application of the rational-choice model to legal analysis and introduced a more accurate and empirically grounded model of human behavior. This integration of economics, psychology, and law is breaking exciting new ground in legal theory and the social sciences, shedding a new light on age-old legal questions as well as cutting edge policy issues. The Oxford Handbook of Behavioral Economics and Law brings together leading scholars of law, psychology, and economics to provide an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis of this field of research, including its strengths and limitations as well as a forecast of its future development. Its 29 chapters organized in four parts. The first part provides a general overview of behavioral economics. The second part comprises four chapters introducing and criticizing the contribution of behavioral economics to legal theory. The third part discusses specific behavioral phenomena, their ramifications for legal policymaking, and their reflection in extant law. Finally, the fourth part analyzes the contribution of behavioral economics to fifteen legal spheres ranging from core doctrinal areas such as contracts, torts and property to areas such as taxation and antitrust policy.
Download or read book Microeconomics Competition and Strategic Behaviour written by Markus Thomas Münter and published by UTB. This book was released on 2022-09-05 with total page 421 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Microeconomics is not applied math – frameworks in this book are regularly in use in daily managerial practice and strategic decision-making. Numerous case studies cover price discrimination, economies of scale, digital business models, game theory, dealing with uncertainty, entry barriers or sunk costs – all of which are crucial for understanding market dynamics and competitive behaviour.
Download or read book Subject Catalog written by Library of Congress and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 1012 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Routledge Handbook of Behavioral Economics written by Roger Frantz and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-08-05 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is no doubt that behavioral economics is becoming a dominant lens through which we think about economics. Behavioral economics is not a single school of thought but representative of a range of approaches, and uniquely, this volume presents an overview of them. The wide spectrum of international contributors each provides an exploration of a central approach, aspect or topic in behavorial economics. Taken together, the whole volume provides a comprehensive overview of the subject which considers both key developments and future possibilities. Part One presents several different approaches to behavioural economics, including George Katona, Ken Boulding, Harvey Leibenstein, Vernon Smith, Herbert Simon, Gerd Gigerenzer, Daniel Kahneman, and Richard Thaler. This section looks at the origins and development of behavioral economics and compares and contrasts the work of these scholars who have been so influential in making this area so prominent. Part Two presents applications of behavioural economics including nudging; heuristics; emotions and morality; behavioural political economy, education, and economic innovation. The Routledge Handbook of Behavioral Economics is ideal for advanced economics students and faculty who are looking for a complete state-of-the-art overview of this dynamic field.
Download or read book Risk Management written by Walter V. "Bud" Haslett, Jr. and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-10-05 with total page 790 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Key readings in risk management from CFA Institute, the preeminent organization representing financial analysts Risk management may have been the single most important topic in finance over the past two decades. To appreciate its complexity, one must understand the art as well as the science behind it. Risk Management: Foundations for a Changing Financial World provides investment professionals with a solid framework for understanding the theory, philosophy, and development of the practice of risk management by Outlining the evolution of risk management and how the discipline has adapted to address the future of managing risk Covering the full range of risk management issues, including firm, portfolio, and credit risk management Examining the various aspects of measuring risk and the practical aspects of managing risk Including key writings from leading risk management practitioners and academics, such as Andrew Lo, Robert Merton, John Bogle, and Richard Bookstaber For financial analysts, money managers, and others in the finance industry, this book offers an in-depth understanding of the critical topics and issues in risk management that are most important to today’s investment professionals.
Download or read book Risk Management in Crisis written by Piotr Jedynak and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-08-19 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk management is a domain of management which comes to the fore in crisis. This book looks at risk management under crisis conditions in the COVID-19 pandemic context. The book synthesizes existing concepts, strategies, approaches and methods of risk management and provides the results of empirical research on risk and risk management during the COVID-19 pandemic. The research outcome was based on the authors’ study on 42 enterprises of different sizes in various sectors, and these firms have either been negatively affected by COVID-19 or have thrived successfully under the new conditions of conducting business activities. The analysis looks at both the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the selected enterprises and the risk management measures these enterprises had taken in response to the emerging global trends. The book puts together key factors which could have determined the enterprises’ failures and successes. The final part of the book reflects on how firms can build resilience in challenging times and suggests a model for business resilience. The comparative analysis will provide useful insights into key strategic approaches of risk management. The Open Access version of this book, available at http://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-mono/10.4324/9781003131366/ has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license.
